Breakaway - Investing & Finance

Sean Hathaway

Breakaway from the haters and mainstream thought. Learn about Investing, Finance and the Economy in a plain english and entertaining way. Understand the business environment and make money investing. Uncertainty in the markets driven by crisis, anarchy, politics and craziness is simply opportunity. Facts and truth here. 

  1. 6D AGO

    Markets, Apple, MSFT, Meta, Tesla, XaI, SpaceX, Government

    Opening Reformer Machine Workout at YogaSource in Los Gatos Sonos nightmare. Gemini won MarketsThe Federal Reserve held its key interest steady in a range between 3.5% and 3.75% after a recent run of interest rate cuts. 1 Year: VGT/QQQ 23.3%. S&P 500 17%.  2025: 1 yr and 10 yr QQQ: 20.8% and 19.4% annualized = $100k > 620 VOO 17.8% and 14.8% = $100k > 400 AppleApple revenue of $143.8 billion, up 16 percent from a year ago Google's AI technology would provide the most capable Apple foundation models Dictation sucks! MicrosoftMicrosoft Cloud revenue was $51.5 billion and increased 26%  Slowing Cloud Growth.  Meta Up 10% or so?  From Zuck: Play at 3.22: https://www.youtube.com/live/1Tm7gX-WctI?si=i66btpKGlApbuyF5&t=202 TeslaInvestor Deck Ending production of S and X in Q1.  Earnings Call:  Elon on CyberCab: Play at 26.15. Elon on TerraFab: Play here 45.40 Elon on Optimus: Play SpaceX and XaIMerger. How it would work. Tesla Shareholder Allocation. Maintaining super voting rights. Government & Fraud Ilhan Omar  US Rep for Minnesota Ilhan Omar went from a having a -$65,000 net worth in 2019 to $30,000,000 in 2026. Financial Disclosures required for Congress Persons 2023 Disclosure: $15,000 - $50,000 2024: $1,000,000 - $5,000,000 EstCru LLC Winery Ilhan Omar Winery. Husband is Tim Mynett https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016171843992912175 - The website disappeared - Listings were deleted - Archives wiped Excited that Matt Mahan is going to run.

    36 min
  2. JAN 24

    Markets, Netflix, Tesla, AI, California, Fraud

    OpeningReformer Machine Workout at YogaSource in Los Gatos.  Indiana. Fernando Mendoza is a truly special.  Markets1 Year: VGT/QQQ 17%. S&P 500 17%.  2025: 1 yr and 10 yr QQQ: 20.8% and 19.4% = $100k > 620 VOO 17.8% and 14.8% = $100k > 400 VXUS: 32% and 8.5%  Gold and Silver. Great year. 77% and 200%. That’s 3x.  IBIT and Etha: Down 14% and 10%.  Netflix Great earnings call. 17.6% YoY revenue growth, better than Q4 2024 of 16%. Warner Brothers Acquistion is huge overhang. It will help them: IP. Harry Potter, DC Comics, Game of Thrones, Matrix, Sopranos, Succession, Lord of the Rings. BarbieHBO!Lemonade HIMS.  TeslaAutonomous. Finally pulling the driver out in Austin. No longer able to buy FSD outright. Needs to be subscriptionLemonade cutting premiums by 50% if you drive a Tesla with FSD. Important implications for all car insurers.Humanoid Robots Yes Boston Dynamics and many others particularly in China are great, but… Manufacturing, Software, Hardware, ….XAI Will have more AI compute than all others combined in 5years! From Elon The Colossus 2 supercomputer for @Grok is now operational.  First Gigawatt training cluster in the world. Upgrades to 1.5GW in April. I’m using Gemini and Grok. Perfect combo.   SpaceXSpaceX will be ~99% of all Earth payload mass to orbit I think there will be an allocation to Tesla LT shareholders. Could be $1.5T, but could go to $10T.  PoliticsWealth Tax  Wealth Tax. 1 time 5% on Billionairs. No limitations on quantity or $ limit. Play Ben Horowitz on wealth tax. More taxes is not the answer. Eliminate Fraud, waste and abuse!Billionaires ~$8T, everyone else $170t.The two Google founders per Gemini represented 23 percent of the aggregate billionaire wealth in CA. Throw in Peter Thiel and well over 30 percent is goneVideo here. https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2014785916083020062 $23m $125k Rover seizedHome in GreeceMansion in LABalance the Budget State Audit Report here Budget Summary .05% of Californian’s or ~8500 people making over $10m per year pay 25% of the personal income tax liability.  1% of Californian’s pay 49% of Personal Income Tax. $54 billion  Uhaul Growth Index: Companies moving out of California Recommendations:RoganBradley CooperBen Affleck and Matt DamonEthan HawkeTim Ferris and Bill Gurley

    39 min
  3. 12/20/2025

    Markets, AI, Tesla, Netflix, Drugs

    OpeningHolidays! . Cats and Dogs and Family. Happy Holidays. New Cat named Timmy. Pure trouble and pure JOY!  Coinbase Fraud. Called with automated message asking if I attempted to change my “email contact”. If “no” they said press #1 or otherwise hangup. So I press 1. Some dude is on the line. Says he needs my first and last name to help. I ask him, “how do I even know if you’re real…How do I know you’re Coinbase?”. He hangs up!!! OMG!  Startup Investing Rule #1: Be comfortable losing all the money. Might sting, but should not cause you to lose sleep!Markets Investments for our kids!  Brad Gerstner and Michael Dell at White House.  Fed Regulation of AI. To prevent a 50 state patchwork, onerous system.  Bernie Sanders and other Dems calling for a “halt” on AI and Datacenters!! Markets S&P 500 Apple Apple head of AI retiring.  Apple could partner with Gemini. Also, tech is getting so good that Apple will offer privacy!  Netflix Netflix back in pole-position. I think this is “Good” Turnkey studio and ICONIC space. IP. Harry Potter, DC Comics, Game of Thrones, Matrix, Sopranos, Succession, Lord of the Rings. BarbieHBO! Tesla Tesla AI Chips Tesla AI Chip and Advanced Engineering from Elon.  Elon tweeing/xing tried and trying to help legacy automakers, but they want a pilot program that starts in like 5 years! This video of Optimus jogging is insane. Should double the market cap!  TSLZ SpaceXWhen Starship is launching several times a day in a few years, SpaceX will be ~99% of all Earth payload mass to orbit, even if the others triple their current launch rate. https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1994518037614268565?s=51&t=YUkdoBz4yNifBaQlQUp3-g DrugsDrug Trade Politics  https://open.spotify.com/episode/65oG0YARECbXnFCbv2PTZp David Sacks is a highly successful business person that is serving our government well and we should all be thankful. From Chamath on the Topic.  Tim Waltz Fraud.  String on X and And another oneCalifornia Budget Crisis - Wealth Tax 200 billionaires are on Zillow right now!  RecommendationsMolly’s Game (interview on All-In). Movie: The Spy Who Dumped Me. Bill Gurley on ferrisSean RYan Show with Tobi Ludke and JockoEthan Hawk

    41 min
  4. 11/21/2025

    Markets, Bitcoin, NVIDIA, Tesla, Politics

    Grok and AI Golf Click StickFull Swing Golf MonitorFairway ~60%, 8ft putt 50%, green in Regulation: 175-200yds = 50%. 150-175yds = 63%Trump Big Dinner with Trump and moguls. Ronaldo. Elon. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi ArabiaTrump with Mamdani“Shared purpose of serving New Yorkers and how to help with affordability”Fascist? INSPIRINGPolitical Absurdity My Post on X. Politicians and Investing "They’ve got the WORST policies. But I don’t talk about them. Because if I talk about it, they might change."  Larry Summers - Secretary of Treasury.  Summers resigned his seat on the OpenAI board. Then Harvard announced it would take a fresh look at his and other faculty members’ ties to Epstein.The immediate cause of Summers’s undoing was the release of a passel of messages in which he asked advice from his friend Epstein on “getting horizontal” with a woman he was pursuing.“She’s already beginning to sound needy :) nice,” Epstein notedMarketsBought:  Tesla Down 20% Meta Down 26% VOO Down ~5%Bitcoin $125,000 in October$87,000 todayDown $38k or 30%My Financial Acronyms FATMAANN. Up 160% (85% without Nvidia), compared to S&P 57% Facebook, Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Netflix, Nvidia TAMPAN Born: Nov 6, 2025 Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, Nvidia NVIDIANVIDIA Earnings Q3 2025 Record revenue for the third quarter ended October 26, 2025, of $57.0 billion, up 22% from the previous quarter and up 62% from a year ago.AI Build, Tesla, NvidiaUS Saudi Investment Forum. Full interview here. Elon and Jensen Huang.  Play at 7.37Work will be optional. Elon Musk says if current AI and robotics trends continue "money will stop being relevant in the future." Then to Jensen. Hahaha Play at 14.50.  Elon and Jenson announcing 500 mw or gw? Gazillion $’s. HaHaHa  Play at 18.35. AI in Space.  Netflix Per WSJ Bids for Warner Brothers.  At the same time, Warner Discovery continues to move forward with plans to separate its assets into two companies: one to house its studios and streaming business, and the other comprising its cable networksStock Split. 10:1RecommendationsGet a hobbyRestrung my guitarWriting a rhythm, lead and lyrics to a song

    28 min
  5. 11/14/2025

    Golf, Tesla, Robotics, Markets

    Agenda:  GolfTesla & RobotsPolitical statement absurdity. Iphone. Apple at $273 Shutdown. Politicians should forgo paychecks. Nelly Korda vs Grant Horvat. He is a +3 and gave her a 5 shot lead to start. She still won.  Kai Trump set to play in first LPGA event. Paige Spirinac cheating by stomping grass. You must not take deliberate actions to improve the position or lie of your ball, or the area of your intended stance or swing, by altering physical conditions.  Blue Origin Landed Booster Encyclopedia Galactica MarketsS&P500 Up 16%, ~2% off high Tech: Up 20%, ~5% off high TeslaPlay at 58.18. RobotsPlay at 1:14.50. Manufacturing Robots. Robotics: Prediction of how USA vs China in Humanoid robotics will go over the next few years  This is analogous to SpaceX. 86% of Global cargoTesla is our only hope for Robots General Intelligence Era (Robots work and encompass AGI).More Robots than humans by 2045. TAM = $200 trillionGlass Lewis and ISS facing antitrust probe.  White House looking at rules to curb their influence.  Bill Gurley: I’ll say it again - boards that don’t move could be sued in Delaware for staying - and exposing shareholders to uncapped securities claims.  Tesla outsold in Revenue the top 20 companies September Sales #1 and #2 in the World. Ford on Tesla Remember Ford $13 billion loss on EVs since 20231.6km of wires more!Politician’s Absurdity PlayThis video is great. Government kills affordability of everything it touches!  This video by Roland Gutierrez is a perfect summary of why socialism is pretty much evil. Economic impact of Elon Musk. Last 4 years. Salaries: $110 BillionTaxes: $46 billionVendors: $173 BCalifornia working on 5% tax “1-time” tax on wealth over $1Billion.  Irony and Paradox of people saying: Company over-valued and comp package is too high RecommendationsBilly Bob Thorton on Joe RoganMiles Teller on TheoRussel Crowe on Joe Rogan.

    42 min
  6. 11/06/2025

    Tesla $1trillion Comp Package, Palantir, Netflix, NY Mayor

    MarketsTAMPAN: Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, Nvidia TeslaCompetition with xPeng? Compensation Plan Live streaming Shareholder meeting.  “1 Trillion pay package!!”  Proxy here Rules: 12 Tranches. 12 Market Cap + 12 Operational Term: 10 years! Award: 1% of shares in form of RSU. Vest on (a) the Market Capitalization Milestone for such tranche and (b) a previously unmet Operational Milestone. 12 Market Capitalization Milestones: 1: $2 trillion2-10: $500 billion (to $6.5 trillion)11-12: $1 trillion (to $7.5 and $8.5 trillion12 Operational Milestones Product Goals 20 Million Tesla Vehicles Delivered10 Million Active FSD Subscriptions1 Million Bots Delivered1 Million Robotaxis in Commercial OperationAdjusted EBITDA Milestones. 1-8 $50 to $400b. ETF ownership and voting rights  Ford Ford executives might scrap the electric version of its F-150 pickup Ford has $13 billion in EV losses % of Global EV Sales 25.7m BEV sales since 20197.3m is TeslaLucid ranks #3 most cash burning EV maker globally with total reported cash burn of $14.4B behind Rivian $23.2 billion and Ford's EV segment $15.5 billion. PalantirEarnings Page Play Alex’s opening remarks! “114% Rule of 40 score! What Is the Rule of 40?Core Formula: Rev Growth + operating Margin Alex Letter to Shareholders  Some of our detractors have been left in a kind of deranged and self-destructive befuddlement.🤣 Orson Welles, “The enemy of art is the absence of limitations.” NetflixKPop Demon Hunters325 million views$10b kpop industryBlack Pink Tour. Highest grossing tour by female groupWarner BrothersLicensing Video podcasts from SiriusNew York City Mayor is Responsible For Public Safety: Fire and 30,000 police officers.EducationPublic Services and InfrastructureHousing and Economic DevelopmentHealth and Social ServicesCultural and Community ServicesCity Planning and RegulationAppointments and BudgetThe New York City budget $115.9 billion Real Property Taxes: ~$34.97 billionPersonal Income Taxes $17.28 billionBusiness Income Taxes: ~$11.95 billion Sales Taxes: ~$9.5 billionState Categorical Grants: ~$7 billionFederal Categorical Grants: ~$6.5 billionTop 1-5% contribute ~$1.7-$3.5 billion in FY 2025, equating to ~1.5-3% of the total budget.  Closing1929 book on Audio.  The Diplomat Elon on Joe Rogan "The enemy of art is the absence of limitations"

    47 min
  7. 10/30/2025

    Meta, Amazon, NFLX, Tesla, Nvidia, Palantir, Apple

    Wealth Management can be a scam. Spoke to a 35-year old paying XX 1.5% a year to manage his $5.5M. If he keeps going until retirement, he'll end up paying $6M in fees and end with ~$14M less than using a Vanguard ETF AI:   I was completely honest. I said I just typed it into AI. if you're not using AI now you're stupid.  Gambling: Chauncey Billips arrested!!  Markets Fed Rate Cut The latest quarter-point cut will reduce the Fed’s benchmark short-term interest rate to between 3.75% and 4%Effects Money Market almost immediately. VMFXX's 7-day yield 4.05% and SPAXX.Juices economy. Less expensive to borrow, so can invest, build etc.. Apple Slow to AI. But will figure it out. iPhone 17 awesome.  Meta  Earning ResultsRevenue $50b. Record! UCAN 43% (Side note…S&P 500 is international).CapEx $50b YTD vs $24b last year. Double!!!Stock down 11%Amazon Up 10% plus in after-hours. $180b in the quarterI’ll never sell: Package everyday. Andy Jasse Memo cultureTeslaTesla Earnings.  Record Revenue. $28b.Energy up 44% !!!!Revenue $3.4b and $2.3 cost. $1b in profitUS grid is only 50% productive. Can double with batteries. Other Services up 25%.Elon Remarks. Play at 11.00 Play thur 15.00 Leader in Realworld AI. ShockwaveDan Ives: No Drivers in Austin prior to year end. Taking a VERY conservative strategy! Nvidia & PalantirPLAY Jensen Huang on the importance of of Palantir and their ontology stack Alex and Jensen speaking together.  Autonomous Driving NVIDIA Drive Software NEWS: Nvidia today announced it is partnering with Uber to help build the "world’s largest Level 4 autonomous fleet, targeting 100,000 Robotaxis starting in 2027. NetflixEarnings Letter Earnings Call Highlights: Talked about personalized ad targeting. THIS IS HUGE!KPop Demon Hunters, which is now our most popular film ever (325M views)Top 10 movies here. Sharing view % growingWhy Netflix?Grown organically. WB and other mergers/acquisitions are a mess: Cultural and bureaucratic. Same core execs: Ted, Greg and David! Perfect mix of creative and Tech. No-one even close in tech. This helps ad money! Revenue and YoY % growth by Region: UCAN: $5.1b17%EMEA:$3.7b18%LatAm: $1.4b10%APAC $1.4b21%~43-45% of Revenue is US

    36 min
  8. 10/16/2025

    Crypto, Leverage, Commodities, Markets, Tesla

    OpenGov of Illinois Pritzker. $1.4m in gamblingSen Jon Fetterman making “based” comments. Up Next Palmer Lucky on Joe RoganBreaking 50 with Steph and Security US Bank Sharing:CoinbaseCartaIntuitMarketsYes there could be a crash. But remember economy is not same as Stock Market Gold/Silver/Bitcoin Debasement of Fiat?Sign of mania!? Foreign governments buying. Nvidia Jensen Huang 50 direct Reports. From 2023Every employee should have AI agents. Multiplying productivity by 10 to 100 X.CryptoLeverage in Crypto.  Last Friday: Bitcoin dropped ~$121k - 110. So 10%.   Crypto Bets $19b wiped out.  2 Accounts made $160m placing bets minutes before Trump News of China.  Leverage in Crypto Exchange Reports: Specifically, around 1.6 million traders across major exchanges (including Binance) got wiped out on their leveraged positions, with over $19 billion in total liquidations in just hours TeslaFrom TeslaBoomerMom on the Court proceeding on Wed Oct 15.  $345m in legal fees!  EV Adoption Globally From the WSJ China EV Sales General Motors issues profit warning - $1.6 billion hit from EV overcapacity. @GM GM just filed a form 8-K informing that it "approved charges of $1.6 billion in GM North America in the three months ended September 30, 2025".  Tesla FSD MadMax mode. OMG60 minutes to do a hit piece. Recommendations:Joe Rogan: John Kiriakou is a former CIA counter-terrorism officer and the first U.S. official to confirm the agency's torture of detainees. Punished for being a whistleblower, he served nearly 2 years in a federal prison. 1929 book

    33 min
5
out of 5
8 Ratings

About

Breakaway from the haters and mainstream thought. Learn about Investing, Finance and the Economy in a plain english and entertaining way. Understand the business environment and make money investing. Uncertainty in the markets driven by crisis, anarchy, politics and craziness is simply opportunity. Facts and truth here.