Crossing Thin Ice

Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph
  • ٥٫٠ (٤)
  • إدارة
  • يتم التحديث كل أسبوعين

A discussion of Risk and Risk Management from the perspective of an Insurance company risk manager. Insurers provide products that help everyone to manage their risks. Here you will hear Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, talk about the sorts of things that keep those insurance company risk managers up at night. Or at least they should.

  1. قبل ٦ أيام

    Pragmatist Manifesto

    Survival in chaos doesn't come from optimization. It comes from diversification, buffers, and the speed to decide what to do next. Pragmatists have a completely different way of doing risk management that is designed for these VUCA times. By focusing on building resilience to survive volatility.  Most managers are doing this wrong by chasing efficiency in a uncertain world. In this episode, we break down the "Pragmatist Manifesto" and its six core principles.

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  2. ٧ أبريل

    Feedback Loops and Tipping Points

    Stability breeds instability. If your model assumes calm continuity, you might be blind to the pile of sand that's about to avalanche.  Many actuaries and financial modelers rely on recent data and linear trending of assumptions, missing the amplifying loops that can accelerate change to topple entire systems. We discuss what to look for instead.

    ١٩ د

  3. ١٧ مارس

    VUCA Now, Regime Change Next?

    We are making decisions with incomplete and conflicting information every day.  Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity (VUCA) make it harder and harder to get those decisions right. Maybe we need to change our objective, not to find the best decision, but the one with the least chance of disastrous consequences.  Keep your eyes out for the Regime change that has started.  We provide four examples of what may be next.

    ٢٢ د

  4. ٣ مارس

    The Fog of Ambiguity

    How do you make a confident decision when the information itself is unclear? Ambiguity is the core challenge of modern leadership. But the pursuit of perfect data to drive good decisions leads right into "analysis paralysis".  We need to be enhancing our capability to use strategies like satisficing—making the best possible decision within time constraints—and using narrative scenarios to communicate complex risks to non-experts. For professionals and graduates navigating an uncertain future, the key takeaway is that human judgment, creativity, and ethical reasoning are the skills AI cannot replicate and are most valuable in an ambiguous world.

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  5. ١٧ فبراير

    Complexity - TheTwist in VUCA

    A jet engine is complicated. Your company is complex. The strategies for managing the risks of each are fundamentally—and dangerously—different. We call Complexity the "twist" in VUCA because it fundamentally changes the nature of the problems we face. While Volatility, Uncertainty, and Ambiguity describe challenging conditions, Complexity introduces a system where the parts are interdependent and adapt. This means you cannot solve a complex problem by simply breaking it into smaller, complicated parts and fixing them. Complexity is the twist: it's the element that makes VUCA environments truly unmanageable with old playbooks. You cannot apply a "complicated" solution to a "complex" problem and get the result that you want.

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  6. ٢ فبراير

    The New Age of Strategic Uncertainty

    Uncertainty is rising and AI is one of the most significant drivers.   Not because there is something wrong with AI, but because it is so different and so powerful.  We just do not know what changes are right around the corner.  We do believe that the future belongs to the companies who learn to best combine human empathy, creativity and the ability to navigate uncertainty with AI's speed of processing and power of connection making between existing ideas and new human insights.

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  7. ٢٠ يناير

    Muddling Through 2026

    We are entering a period of high risk coming from every direction that our current systems cannot hope to mitigate. This episode of Crossing Thin Ice looks ahead to 2026's major challenges. Hosts Dave and Max analyze interconnected risks—from economic fragility and climate change to AI's inflection bubble. They explore whether our systems are drifting toward crisis or a path to resilience. Tune in for a systems-thinking discussion on navigating financial, geopolitical, and technological headwinds.

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  8. ٦ يناير

    Perils of Monoculture Farming

    Diversify food strategies, not just portfolios. Solutions like the Green Revolution and widespread monoculture farming boosted food supply but created long-term ecological and social vulnerabilities. We link population ideas from Franklin and Malthus to modern pressures—climate change, resource scarcity, migration—and warns these risks could cause solvency issues for insurers. Max discusses solutions for the agriculture sector as well as for insurers. You might consider adding this to your emerging risks list.

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حول

A discussion of Risk and Risk Management from the perspective of an Insurance company risk manager. Insurers provide products that help everyone to manage their risks. Here you will hear Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, talk about the sorts of things that keep those insurance company risk managers up at night. Or at least they should.

المعلومات

  • صناع العمل
    Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph
  • سنوات النشاط
    ٢٠٢٣ - ٢٠٢٦
  • الحلقات
    ٨٠
  • التقييم
    ملائم
  • حقوق النشر
    © Copyright 2025 All rights reserved.
  • موقع البرنامج على الويب
    Crossing Thin Ice

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