Crypto Voices

Matthew Mezinskis

Podcast covering diverse trends in Bitcoin and blockchain tech, decentralization, entrepreneurship, cryptoeconomics and liberty. Author note: All authors, whose content is featured on Crypto Voices, are contacted beforehand for permission, regardless of copyright or license such as Creative Commons. If you are an author whose work is reproduced here and you have not heard from Crypto Voices, it's because we couldn't find a way to contact you. However, in this situation your work was already licensed Creative Commons, and it was so great anyway that we just couldn't wait to turn it into audio and put it up! Any questions, please write info@cryptovoices.com, we'd love to hear from you.

  1. 1d ago

    Bitcoin Prediction Markets Are Here | James Pierog on Glimpse

    Matthew sits down with James Pierog, founder of Glimpse, to discuss the launch of a new Bitcoin-native prediction market focused on forecasting Bitcoin prices and financial markets. James explains how prediction markets evolved from academic scoring-rule research into modern platforms and why he believes current prediction markets often prioritize entertainment over economically meaningful forecasting. The conversation explores the mechanics behind Glimpse’s design, including its use of Bitcoin-denominated contracts, liquidity-sensitive market makers, and probability distributions rather than simple yes/no outcomes.James argues that prediction markets can become a powerful tool for discovering future prices of Bitcoin, gold, commodities, and financial assets, while helping users think in Bitcoin terms rather than fiat currencies. The discussion examines the challenges of decentralization, market resolution, liquidity, and regulation, comparing Glimpse’s approach to platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Matthew and James also explore how prediction markets could interact with Bitcoin’s power law thesis, potentially providing real-time insight into how traders collectively view Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.The episode dives into market incentives, information aggregation, and whether prediction markets can serve as a form of financial forecasting infrastructure rather than simply speculation. James outlines Glimpse’s roadmap, including future markets for gold, commodities, and Bitcoin-denominated asset pricing, as well as API access for algorithmic traders and quantitative researchers. The conversation concludes with a broader discussion about the role prediction markets may play in a future economy increasingly measured and settled in Bitcoin.Follow James Pierog on X: @BillyHongBeatsFollow James Pierog on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-pierog/Follow Glimpse on X: @GlimpseMarketsGlimpse Website: https://www.glimpse.trading/ Crypto Voices: Episode 200Chapters:00:00 - Introduction to James Pierog and Glimpse01:05 - James’ background in math, computer science, and Bitcoin02:35 - Why Glimpse focuses on Bitcoin prediction markets04:46 - Early Bitcoin prediction market ideas and Paul Sztorc06:50 - Scoring rules, LMSR, and prediction market design10:01 - Decentralization challenges for prediction markets13:03 - How Glimpse resolves markets using financial data16:16 - Bitcoin price markets and future roadmap19:06 - How non-Bitcoin assets like gold and commodities could resolve20:37 - The benefits of forecasting prices with prediction markets23:36 - Why pricing assets in Bitcoin matters26:01 - How Glimpse’s Bitcoin price forecast works28:07 - Retail vs. institutional users29:26 - Prediction markets, politics, and regulation32:06 - Sports betting, entertainment markets, and “bread not circuses”35:22 - How Glimpse contracts resolve37:37 - Expanding from hourly to daily, weekly, and long-term markets38:44 - Bitcoin power law models and market forecasts42:31 - Timeline for APIs and additional markets45:44 - How payouts work on Glimpse46:43 - Incentivizing disagreement and prediction market odds49:16 - Why Glimpse subsidizes each hourly market51:27 - Closing thoughts and where to find Glimpse53:04 - Final remarksHost(s): Matthew MezinskisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comPodcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

    54 min

  2. Apr 20

    Bitcoin Models Are Wrong… Here’s the Better Way

    In this episode, Matthew sits down with Plan C for a deep dive into the evolution of Bitcoin power law modeling and why many commonly used assumptions may be flawed. The conversation centers on a critical distinction between calendar time vs protocol time, showing how Bitcoin’s early block production delays still distort traditional models today. The discussion expands into quantile regression vs OLS, where Plan C explains why Bitcoin’s skewed data makes median-based modeling more reliable than averages. He also introduces a newer concept around data weighting, suggesting that current models may overemphasize recent price action due to density bias, leading to unstable projections. One of the most impactful takeaways is how small modeling changes can lead to massive differences over time. Plan C demonstrates that long-term fair value projections could differ by as much as 50% depending on the methodology used, challenging widely accepted Bitcoin price expectations. Overall, this conversation reframes how serious analysts should approach Bitcoin’s long-term valuation. Follow Plan C on X: @TheRealPlanC Crypto Voices: Episode 198 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Refining Bitcoin Power Law Models 00:03:42 - Calendar Time vs Protocol Time in Bitcoin 00:06:18 - Calendar Time vs Protocol Time Regression 00:10:45 - Comparing Bitcoin Start Dates and Projections 00:12:56 - Protocol Time vs Calendar Time Analysis 00:25:44 - Protocol Time vs Calendar Time Analysis 00:35:15 - Protocol Time vs Calendar Time Analysis 00:38:55 - Quantile Regression Superior to OLS for Bitcoin 00:42:04 - Measuring Self-Similarity: Weighting and Time Scales 00:44:15 - Log-Time Weighting for Stable Power Law Regression 00:48:48 - Bitcoin's Scale Invariant Power Law Properties 00:52:34 - Comparing Regression Methods and Stability 00:56:18 - Protocol Time vs Calendar Time Differences 00:58:14 - Protocol Time vs Calendar Time Impact 01:00:44 - Decay Functions and Bitcoin Supply Modeling 01:04:19 - Building a Mathematical Model for Price Distribution 01:09:08 - Decay Functions vs Linear Quantile Regression Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis, Music: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.com Podcast & videos Bitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & liberty Thanks for watching!

    1h 13m

  3. Apr 17

    Giovanni Santostasi - Bitcoin Cycles and Power Law

    In this episode, Matthew sits down with Giovanni Santostasi to explore one of the most rigorous frameworks for understanding Bitcoin: the power law and log-periodic behavior of price cycles. The conversation begins with the launch of the Scientific Bitcoin Institute, aimed at bringing academic rigor to Bitcoin research across physics, economics, and data science. Giovanni then explains his “eigenmode” approach, showing how nearly 97% of Bitcoin’s price behavior can be explained by a power law trend, with the remaining movement driven by oscillatory cycles. The discussion dives deeper into whether Bitcoin truly follows a four-year cycle, or if that pattern is simply a byproduct of more complex log-periodic oscillations that stretch over time. Giovanni argues that what appears to be repeating four-year cycles may actually be elongating cycles, with a major peak potentially forming around late 2027. He also breaks down his accurate call for a late-2024/early-2025 downturn, driven by models suggesting Bitcoin would remain close to its power law rather than overshoot dramatically. The episode concludes with a broader macro lens, comparing Bitcoin’s decelerating growth rate to the exponential growth of traditional finance, raising the possibility of a future “phase transition” where Bitcoin reshapes the global monetary system.Follow Giovanni on X: @Giovann35084111 Visit BitPoseidon Official Site of the Bitcoin Power Law: https://bitposeidon.com/ Crypto Voices: Episode 197Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis, Michel, Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comAlec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

    2h 24m

  4. Apr 8

    Omid Malekan - IRAN, WAR & BITCOIN

    In this episode, Matthew and Alec are joined by Omid Malekan to speak about rising geopolitical tensions involving Iran, and how global instability may accelerate Bitcoin and crypto adoption. The discussion explores internal unrest in Iran, including protests driven by hyperinflation, economic collapse, and regime instability, alongside the uncertainty surrounding potential geopolitical escalation. The conversation then shifts to whether Bitcoin mining in Iran played a role in sanctions evasion, with analysis showing no meaningful drop in global hash rate, suggesting limited reliance on Iranian mining. Matthew and Omid also discuss how a fragmenting global order may require a neutral, permissionless financial system independent of U.S. or China-centric monetary control. They contrast Bitcoin with gold, noting how gold is difficult to transport or deploy during crises, while Bitcoin can move instantly using private keys. The episode also examines stablecoin usage in Iran, including reports of adoption among younger populations and potential use in cross-border payments during internet restrictions. Omid highlights how crypto adoption often spreads gradually, comparing it to early mobile technology adoption before smartphones reached mainstream use. The conversation frames Bitcoin as a geopolitical hedge and settlement network in a multipolar world. The episode concludes with the argument that geopolitical instability may serve as a long-term catalyst for crypto adoption.Follow Omid on X: @malekanomsCrypto Voices: Episode 196Contents:00:00:00 - Intro00:00:25 - Iran's Political Crisis and Regime Collapse00:07:40 - Iran's Crisis: Economic Collapse and Uncertain Future00:14:46 - Iran's Attack Reshapes Middle East Alliances00:19:27 - Military Strikes Without a Post-War Plan00:25:05 - Iran's Revolutionary Regime Goes All In00:30:19 - Bitcoin's Advantage Over Gold in Conflict00:32:47 - Gold Hoards and Bitcoin's Timing Problem00:37:51 - Stable Coins and Censorship Resistance00:44:50 - Crypto's Real Promise: Censorship Resistance Over Regulation00:51:57 - Lessons from DAO Hack: Neutrality and Risk00:55:49 - Prediction Markets and Price Discovery Challenges01:04:50 - Drones, Memes, and Modern Warfare Realignment01:09:19 - Phone Addiction and Digital Distraction RealityHosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Alec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/Show Sponsors: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comPodcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

    1h 17m

  5. Feb 24

    Jake Langenkamp - Sovereign Bitcoin, Tether, and the Mining Shift

    Bitcoin mining, state adoption, stablecoins, and geopolitical competition take center stage in this wide-ranging discussion with Jake Langenkamp. Jake Langenkamp is the founder and CEO of Bridger, a Bitcoin mining company working to partner with international utilities to monetize wasted energy. Prior to Bridger, Jake spent about two decades in the U.S. military and working for the Department of Defense. Over the course of his career, he's worked in North America, Europe, Central Asia and Africa. Jake argues we are in an “awkward middle phase” between retail-driven cycles and sovereign accumulation. Countries are experimenting with strategic Bitcoin reserves, tax policy changes, and mining initiatives, with Brazil’s recent proposal serving as a case study. The conversation dives deep into stablecoins as instruments of US monetary strategy, Tether’s expanding global role, and the implications of frozen addresses and compliance pressure. On mining, Jake explains why frontier markets, especially parts of Africa, present powerful opportunities. Bitcoin mining monetizes stranded energy, accelerates electrification, and may become a sovereign strategy as states recognize Bitcoin’s macro importance. The episode closes with broader geopolitical tensions, sanctions dynamics, and the growing intersection between Bitcoin, statecraft, and global monetary competition.Follow Jake on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jacob-langenkamp/ Follow Jake on X: https://x.com/JakeLangenkampLearn more about Bridger: https://www.bridgerbc.com/ Crypto Voices: Episode 194Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comHost: Matthew Mezinskis & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!#bitcoin #money #economics

    1h 4m

  6. 12/13/2025

    Stephen Perrenod - Money or Debt?

    This episode of Crypto Voices features Stephen Perrenod, a veteran technologist, author, and public speaker with decades of experience at the intersection of advanced computing, science, and enterprise strategy. With a background spanning cloud computing, high-performance computing, AI, and data-intensive systems, Stephen brings a rare mix of technical depth and market insight shaped by leadership roles at companies like Cray, SGI, and Sun Microsystems, as well as advisory work with Fortune 500 firms and emerging startups at OrionX. Holding degrees from MIT and Harvard, his perspective grounds today’s crypto and AI narratives in long-cycle technological evolution rather than short-term hype.Follow Stephen on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephenperrenod/ Crypto Voices: Episode 193Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comHost: Matthew MezinskisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!#bitcoin #money #economics

    1h 51m

  7. 11/25/2025

    Shaun Pinner on Mariupol, Captivity, and Russian Propaganda

    This episode features former British and Ukrainian military serviceman Shaun Pinner, who recounts his experience fighting in Mariupol during the initial Russian invasion and surviving months of brutal captivity. Shaun describes the intense seven-week battle that preceded his capture, the torture he endured, and the propaganda mechanisms used by Russian state media to portray him as a mercenary and terrorist. The conversation also covers the resilience of the Ukrainian society, the evolution of drone warfare, the shifting balance of power, and the role of NATO and Western support. Shaun also breaks down how misinformation targets Western audiences and why Russia invests heavily in online influence. He closes by discussing his book, Live Fight Survive, which recounts his captivity and counters the false narratives created about him while he was imprisoned. Follow Shaun on X: https://x.com/olddog100ua Live. Fight. Survive. The International Bestseller by Shaun Pinner: https://shaunpinner.com/bookCrypto Voices: Episode 192Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comChapters:00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:31 - Torture and Captivity in Russian Prison 00:07:26 - Systemic War Crimes in Russian Military 00:09:53 - Torture, False Confessions, and War Crimes 00:14:14 - Russian Intelligence Recruitment and POW Treatment Disparities 00:20:45 - Pokrovsk: Russia's Hollow Military Victory 00:33:32 - Ukraine's Hidden Power Shift Against Russia 00:35:49 - Living Under Constant Drone Attacks in Kharkiv 00:40:11 - Russian Economy Collapse and Putin's Failed Goals 00:43:00 - Putin's Paranoia and Oligarch Pressure 00:48:48 - Republican Support for Ukraine Explained 00:52:00 - NATO Spending and Modern Drone Warfare 00:56:34 - Ukraine's Training Edge Over Russian Forces 00:59:45 - Russia's Sanitation Crisis and Poverty 01:03:58 - Decoding Russian Propaganda and Media Control 01:07:04 - Russian Propaganda and Misuse of Free Speech 01:10:27 - Russian Propaganda and Disinformation War 01:15:11 - Ground Sources and Detecting Propaganda 01:16:48 - Supporting Ukraine: Donations and Legal ActionHost: Matthew MezinskisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!#ukraine #russia #unitedstates

    1h 23m

  8. 11/14/2025

    David Schwed - What We’re Getting Wrong About Crypto Security

    This episode of Crypto Voices is all about the hard truths of digital asset security and why the industry still isn’t ready for what’s coming. David Schwed, former CISO at Robinhood and now COO at SVRN, unpacks the real-world gaps in crypto infrastructure, the illusion of safety in enterprise setups, and why physical attacks may be a bigger deal than the headlines suggest.Crypto Voices: Episode 191Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comAlec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/Chapters:00:00:00 - Security Fundamentals: Keys and Digital Signatures00:02:03 - Crypto Security: Prevention Over Response00:05:42 - Physical Security and Infrastructure Vulnerabilities00:08:31 - Policy Gaps and Quantum Threats in Crypto Security00:10:58 - Quantum Computing Threats to Encryption00:15:39 - Banks Focus on Blockchain Technology Over Digital Assets00:18:52 - Bitcoin as Digital Gold and Stablecoin Future00:24:10 - AI Over-Reliance in Cybersecurity Tools00:28:16 - Legal Risks of AI-Generated Code in Production00:31:27 - Data Governance and Privacy in AI Security00:35:56 - Protecting Personal Information in Digital Forms00:37:34 - Zero Knowledge Proofs and Privacy Standards00:40:33 - Technology Maturity and Regulatory Standards00:42:10 - Self-Custody vs Platform Security Trade-offs00:46:33 - Crypto's Growth: Missing the Early Community Days00:49:08 - Crypto Market Growth and Builder ConcernsHosts: Matthew Mezinskis & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!#bitcoin #privacy #unitedstates

    51 min
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4.8
out of 5
65 Ratings

About

Podcast covering diverse trends in Bitcoin and blockchain tech, decentralization, entrepreneurship, cryptoeconomics and liberty. Author note: All authors, whose content is featured on Crypto Voices, are contacted beforehand for permission, regardless of copyright or license such as Creative Commons. If you are an author whose work is reproduced here and you have not heard from Crypto Voices, it's because we couldn't find a way to contact you. However, in this situation your work was already licensed Creative Commons, and it was so great anyway that we just couldn't wait to turn it into audio and put it up! Any questions, please write info@cryptovoices.com, we'd love to hear from you.

Information

  • Creator
    Matthew Mezinskis
  • Years Active
    2017 - 2026
  • Episodes
    355
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Matthew Mezinskis
  • Show Website
    Crypto Voices

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