Decision Advantage

Jonathan Pan
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Decision Advantage is a content series centered on how to achieve decision advantage and dominance for the United States military.

Episodes

  1. 10/11/2025

    Stuart Williams: Sustainment at the Tactical Edge | Decision Advantage #9

    Stuart is a career Army officer with over 25+ years of distinguished service, blending deep expertise in logistics, sustainment, and strategic planning. Most recently, he commanded the Army Field Support Battalion – Charleston (AFSBn-CHS), home of the Army’s Prepositioned Stocks (APS-3) program, where he led a 600-person organization responsible for maintaining and deploying combat power positioned aboard ships worldwide. His career has spanned tactical, operational, and strategic levels. Stuart has commanded at company and battalion levels, deployed multiple times to Iraq, Korea, and Europe, and served in elite assignments including Regimental S4 for the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (Airborne) and SAMS planner for the XVIII Airborne Corps. He holds master’s degrees in business administration, Military Arts and Science, and Military Operations, and is a graduate of the School of Advanced Military Studies. #decisionadvantage #decisiondominance 02:18 - Stuart introduction 07:17 - School of Advanced Military Studies overview 11:14 - Why sustainment is such a critical, but overlooked component of Army operations 16:41 - How is the role of the logistician evolving in an era of contested logistics 21:41 - Why should people pay attention to sustainment at the tactical edge, not just headquarters? 26:20 - AI-enabled sustainment at the tactical edge 29:56 - How Stuart defines "AI" for defense 32:45 - Where sustainment is going in the next 5-10 years 36:00 - Great books for sustainment 37:10 - Superbowl prediction! Referenced in the show -https://www.amazon.com/Logistics-Falklands-War-Expeditionary-Warfare/dp/1473899044 -https://www.amazon.com/Engineers-Victory-Problem-Solvers-Turned/dp/0812979397 -https://armyuniversity.edu/cgsc/sams/sams

    38 min

  2. 10/06/2025

    Kent Park: The Paradox of Combined Operations | Decision Advantage #8

    Colonel Kent Park has served in the U.S. Army as an Infantry officer for over 25 years. Most recently, he was the Joint Base Commander of Joint Base Lewis-McChord, leading one of the Army’s largest and most complex installations. During his career, Park commanded at every level and deployed multiple times to Iraq and Afghanistan in support of combat operations. Park served in key strategic assignments, including U.S. Army Pacific and Combined Forces Command, Republic of Korea, where he advanced U.S.–ROK military cooperation and combined defense planning. A graduate of West Point, the U.S. Army War College, and Harvard Kennedy School, Colonel Park has shaped Army modernization, installation management, and international security policy. His leadership has spanned combat operations, strategic planning, and institutional reform, reflecting a career dedicated to national defense and the profession of arms. 00:12 – Introduction 01:10 – The next major war 02:35 – The paradox of combined operations: combined, fast, precise 04:06 – Why segregating different national armies into separate areas doesn't work 04:27 – Interoperability challenges as the root cause of failure of combined operations; types of interoperability 07:20 – Examples of cultural interoperability 08:53 – Solutions for interoperability challenges 13:36 – Crisis action SOP 17:50 – What's needed at the tactical echelon to help with cultural interoperability Referenced in the episode: -https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/45319/the-charge-of-the-light-brigade -https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Balaclava

    22 min

  3. 10/06/2025

    Serj Kazar: The Technology Behind Decision Dominance | Decision Advantage #7

    Serk Kazar is Co-Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Exia Labs. 00:12 Decision advantage definition 01:43 What technology is required to generate feasible courses of action 02:43 Spatial awareness proof of concept Referenced in this episode: https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.08545 https://mapeval.github.io/

    4 min

  4. 09/06/2025

    Brian Steed: Narrative War | Decision Advantage #6

    Brian L. Steed is a retired US Army lieutenant colonel with more than thirty two years of civilian and uniformed experience in artillery, armor, cavalry (reconnaissance and security), international engagement, and professional military education. He is a practitioner, student, and writer of military theory, Middle East culture, and history. The views expressed are those of the speaker and do not reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Army, the U.S. Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. 00:22: Brian introduction 01:33: 9/11 story 05:23: Foreign area officer, Middle East experience 09:30: Debating the center of gravity for ISIS 10:45: Big ideas of Narrative War 13:40: Narrative space as a geological metaphor: space, terrain, landscape, shape 16:33: Narrative War well 20:13: Narrative War is how our opponents fight 21:20: The narrative environment: transient, enduring, societal 25:25: Narrative entrepreneur, governments, and political campaigns 27:55: Explaining how the Taliban navigated the Afghan societal narrative 31:26: TikTok as a mechanism to make Americans hate and fight each other 31:53: All war issues are domestic 33:39: Currencies of Narrative war 36:60: Proactive story vs. counter-narrative 37:53: Operations orders as stories 41:04: Rules of Social Conflict 44:26: Consolidation of gains 46:52: Narrative Space Terrain 51:20: Narrative strategy: Domestic, Expeditionary, Third Party, Great Power 54:05: Narrative strategy during IPOE and Mission Analysis 59:00: Brian's contact information Referenced in this episode: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tip_O%27Neill https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Mosul_(2016%E2%80%932017) https://www.newsweek.com/gavin-newsom-breaks-through-trolling-trump-his-own-meme-game-2114281 https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/Article/607722/three-approaches-to-center-of-gravity-analysis-the-islamic-state-of-iraq-and-th/ https://www.understandingwar.org/jaysh-al-mahdihttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fX_NZtMDd3A

    1 hr

  5. 09/06/2025

    John Herrman: Agentic AI and the Future of Decision Dominance | Decision Advantage #5

    0:16 John's background1:00 Framework for decision dominance3:26 Understand: Carl von Clausewitz, not taking shortcuts on mission analysis5:17 Visualize: George C. Marshall's canal-side vision for the Meuse-Argonne Offensive7:40 Direct: Noncombatant Evacuation Operations planning in Sudan8:16 Assess: Spotting HIMARS flaw through dataShow notes:https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/03/29/world/europe/us-ukraine-military-war-wiesbaden.htmlhttps://blog.exialabs.com/p/exia-welcomes-john-herrman-jay-miselihttps://www.thehistoryreader.com/military-history/marshall-mitchell-meuse-argonne/

    11 min

  6. 09/06/2025

    Craig Broyles: Effective Military Decision-Making Frameworks | Decision Advantage #4

    Colonel Craig Broyles is the Commander of the 81st Stryker Brigade Combat Team. 1:40 Worshiping the MDMP process4:32 Origins of the word "Decide"5:30 John Boyd's OODA Loop6:50 Focusing on what's worked in the past7:40 Understanding that the context will evolve8:10 METT-TC / S13:28 Deep dive on terrain analysis17:08 Adjusting the plan when the environment changes19:05 Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment21:20 Planning the mission from the opponent's point of view26:20 Commander's intentShow notes:https://www.etymonline.com/word/decidehttps://www.usmcu.edu/Outreach/Marine-Corps-University-Press/MCU-Journal/JAMS-vol-14-no-1/Colonel-John-Boyds-Thoughts-on-Disruption/https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Military-Review/English-Edition-Archives/May-June-2023/Furthering-the-Discussion/

    33 min

  7. 09/06/2025

    Kent Park: AI for Tactical Decision Making | Decision Advantage #3

    Colonel Kent W. Park is the commander of Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington. As the commander, Colonel Park ensures mission essential support and services to units, service members, families, civilian employees, contractors and retirees -- which totals more than 290,000 people within 414,000 acres -- to ensure the resilience of our Service members and their families.A graduate of the United States Military Academy, Colonel Park was commissioned as an Infantry Officer in 1999 and served in various leadership and broadening assignments over the past 24 years.His overseas and deployment experiences include: Republic of Korea as an Infantry and Scout Platoon Leader with 2-9 Infantry, 2nd Infantry Division, Civil Affairs Operations Officer with 8th Army, and Chief of Current Operations with the Combined Forces Command/U.S. Forces Korea; Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) as a Company Commander with C/2-1 Infantry, 172nd Stryker Brigade Combat Team; Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) as Battalion Operations Officer with 1-23 Infantry, 2nd Infantry Division; and Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR) as Squadron Commander of 3rd Squadron, 3rd Cavalry Regiment.Other assignments include: Associate Professor at the United States Military Academy teaching American Politics, Civil-Military Relationship, and American Foreign Policy in the Department of Social Sciences; Researcher for talent management initiatives at the Office of Economics and Manpower Analysis (OEMA); and Director of Commander's Action Group and Speechwriter for the Commanding General of U.S. Army Pacific.COL Park earned a Bachelor of Science in International Relations from the United States Military Academy, Master in Public Policy from the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, and a Master in National Security Studies from the U.S. Army War College.00:00 – Personal Experience in Mosul, Iraq01:28 – Introduction02:12 – Part 1: Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink02:46 – The Getty Kouros04:12 – John Gottman’s Marriage Prediction Studies05:39 – Case Study: Mr. Amadou Diallo Shooting06:58 – NCT Scenario Example11:15 – Part 2: The Limits of Human Cognition11:33 – Insights from The User Illusion by Tor Nørretranders12:55 – Part 3: Thin Slicing and Summary of Blink15:25 – Part 4: The 10,000-Hour Rule from Outliers18:52 – Part 5: Introduction to AI in Military Contexts20:11 – Project Maven Overview20:28 – Palantir’s Role in Military Intelligence21:56 – Exia Labs: Project Blue22:24 – Part 7: AlphaGo, Move 37, and Military Applications24:46 – Part 6: Centaur Chess – Human-AI Collaboration26:31 – Part 8: Adversaries and AI27:57 – Part 9: Exponential Progress & Future of Military Operations29:42 – Part 10: Tactical Recommendations for Modern Leaders35:12 – ClosingShow notes:-Malcom Gladwell's Blink: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blink:_The_Power_of_Thinking_Without_Thinking-The Getty's Kouros: https://www.getty.edu/art/collection/object/103VNP-Gottman Institute Marriage and Couples Research: https://www.gottman.com/about/research/couples/-Case of Mr. Amadou Diallo: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Amadou_Diallo-The User Illusion by Tor Nørretranders: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/106732.The_User_Illusion-https://deepmind.google/research/projects/alphago/-Malcom Gladwell's Outliers https://www.amazon.com/Outliers-Story-Success-Malcolm-Gladwell/dp/0316017930-Project Maven https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Maven

    37 min

  8. 09/06/2025

    Jay Miseli: Practical Applications of Maneuver Theory (How vs. What) | Decision Advantage #2

    Jay Miseli is a retired US Army officer and proven executive leader, founder, and innovator with 30 years of experience delivering results in military organizations and industry. Jay is Co-Founder of Red Thread X and has led Sales and Business Development for a $50M technology firm as a Senior Vice President.His military career spanned a broad range of responsibilities including large unit command, executive-level plans and operations, multinational and cross-agency coordination, US Army combat vehicle modernization, human resource and program management, and budget programming and execution. Jay continues to support strategic wargaming and analysis as a highly qualified expert for Army Futures Command.Jay attended the United States Military Academy at West Point, New York, where he completed a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering. Jay holds a master’s degree in operations research from the Georgia Institute of Technology, and he earned the academic title of Assistant Professor of Mathematics as course director for the advanced mathematics program at West Point.Jay lives and works in the greater Austin area where he can enjoy the many opportunities to mountain bike, hike, and be outdoors and working in the burgeoning tech and defense innovation sectors.00:05 - Intro00:34 - Controlling transitions02:51 - Force the enemy's transitions04:57 - Enemy SITTEMP07:03 - Key Terrain07:52 - Gettysburg08:57 - When/where to dismount?15:30 - COP - digital and analog16:11 - Digital Fires and PTT Command Nets18:49 - Graphic control measures and boundaries / FSCMs23:13 - METT - TC variables and forms of contact25:25 - Tracking and reporting Enemy BDAReferenced in the episode:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Gettysburg,_third_day_cavalry_battles

    29 min

  9. 09/06/2025

    Jay Miseli: Maneuver Theory, Surfaces and Gaps, OODA Loop | Decision Advantage #1

    Jay Miseli is a retired US Army officer and proven executive leader, founder, and innovator with 30 years of experience delivering results in military organizations and industry. Jay is Co-Founder of Red Thread X and has led Sales and Business Development for a $50M technology firm as a Senior Vice President.His military career spanned a broad range of responsibilities including large unit command, executive-level plans and operations, multinational and cross-agency coordination, US Army combat vehicle modernization, human resource and program management, and budget programming and execution. Jay continues to support strategic wargaming and analysis as a highly qualified expert for Army Futures Command.Jay attended the United States Military Academy at West Point, New York, where he completed a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering. Jay holds a master’s degree in operations research from the Georgia Institute of Technology, and he earned the academic title of Assistant Professor of Mathematics as course director for the advanced mathematics program at West Point.Jay lives and works in the greater Austin area where he can enjoy the many opportunities to mountain bike, hike, and be outdoors and working in the burgeoning tech and defense innovation sectors.00:05 Background00:38 War of Words in the Kinetic Activity in North Korea00:52 BCT vs. BN Fight02:21 Bicycle Wheels03:17 Maneuver Theories Intro04:05 Move Strike Protect04:06 JFC Fuller 06:32 Interior and Exterior Lines06:52 Battle of LC X-Ray07:40 Battle of Little Bighorn08:10 Surfaces and Gaps10:27 Maneuver Based Fires vs Fire Based Maneuver11:24 Pacific Theater12:05 World War II European Theater13:20 ISD Methodology17:32 Expanding Torrent Model18:58 Boyd Cycle / OODA LoopReferenced in the episode:https://www.americanprogress.org/arti...https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._F._C...https://lzxray.com/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_...https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war...https://www.nationalww2museum.org/sit...https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war...https://web.archive.org/web/201812152...https://gacbe.ac.in/pdf/ematerial/18B...

    21 min
  • 9 Episodes

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Decision Advantage is a content series centered on how to achieve decision advantage and dominance for the United States military.

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  • Creator
    Jonathan Pan
  • Years Active
    2K
  • Episodes
    9
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Jonathan Pan
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    Decision Advantage