Dynasty Compass

Jeff Blaylock

Dynasty Compass is your guide to building a fantasy football team that lasts. Hosted by Jeff Blaylock—fantasy analyst, Footballguys contributor, and dynasty strategist—this show helps you find direction in a noisy fantasy football world. Each episode delivers short, actionable advice for dynasty managers: trade strategy, rookie draft tactics, roster-building frameworks, and more. Whether you’re contending now or rebuilding for the future, Dynasty Compass helps you orient your team toward long-term success. 🎧 New episodes weekly during the NFL season 🧭 Because in dynasty, you don’t need a GPS—you need a compass.

  1. 46M AGO

    On the Clock? When to Trade That Rookie Draft Pick with Pete Nova

    Your rookie pick is never more valuable than when it's on the clock, and the trade window is open. Should you make the pick, trade down, or trade out? Jeff Blaylock sits down with Pete Nova of PlayerProfiler to break down the strategy behind trading picks during your live rookie draft. Knowing when to sell, when to hold, and what to ask for can be the difference between winning and spinning your wheels. Whether you're sitting at the 1.01 or staring at a late third you're not excited about, there's a strategy for every spot on the board. 💡 Key Takeaways A pick's value peaks when it's on the clock — certainty is the asset being traded, and knowing your league matters before you try to use it.Rebuilders with the 1.01 should always be listening to offers, not just taking the pick. Drafting a player without offering trades or considering trading down for multiple assets is malpractice.Moving from an early first area requires a proven player in return, not just picks. A.J. Brown is the kind of asset that justifies dropping a few slots.Moving up in the second round means targeting running backs. Wide receiver hit rates are too low to justify burning assets for a late-second receiver.Third-round picks are prime candidates to trade for veterans if you're contending, like a Rachaad White or J.K. Dobbins, or opportunities to invest in intriguing tight end prospects.Future non-first picks are throw-ins. Future distant firsts should be valued like seconds because the uncertainty is real.The person holding the pick on the clock has the leverage, but if you're sitting on a pick you don't want, smart opponents will smell it.⏱️ Chapters / Timestamps 00:00 – Intro 05:06 – When Is a Draft Pick's Value at Its Peak? 09:26 – The 1.01: Buying and Selling the Top Pick 14:04 – The 1.03 Tier: What It Takes to Move Down 16:34 – Second-Round Strategies 21:49 – Third-Round Picks: Veterans, Tight Ends, and Futures 28:06 – Your Guy Is on the Board: Draft Now or Negotiate? 35:15 – Who Has the Leverage On the Clock? 39:52 – Deciding to Trade Down vs. Move Out Completely 44:10 – Buying the 2027 Hype? 47:16 – How to Value Future Picks in an Active Trade 🔗 Links Mentioned PlayerProfiler Dynasty YouTubeFollow Pete Nova on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty RankingsFollow Jeff on Twitter/X  👍 Support the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    55 min
  2. 2D AGO

    What the Metrics Say About the 2026 Rookie Class with Ryan Heath

    Every incoming rookie gets defined by a blizzard of metrics, but which ones matter for predicting dynasty success? Ryan Heath of Fantasy Points joins Dynasty Compass to walk through the analytical models he built to rank rookies at wide receiver, tight end, and running back. He explains the specific metrics that predict early career fantasy success, which players in the 2026 class those metrics love, which ones concern him, and why. Ryan drops tons of insights on Jordyn Tyson, Jonah Coleman, Elijah Sarratt, Max Klare, Michael Trigg, Tanner Koziol, Zachariah Branch, and many more. 💡 Key Takeaways Yards per team passing attempt and first downs per route run are the most predictive metrics for WRsReception share, missed tackles forced and athleticism score matter most for TEs"Yards After" and targets per routes run are critical to RB successRaw metrics can mislead; they need to be adjusted for age, team volume & strength of scheduleBeware "one hit wonders" – guys with a single season of solid productionSlot concentration and overreliance on screens are big red flags for WRsThe evolution of the TE role and rise of multi-TE sets have serious implications for production ⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps 00:00 – Welcome & Model Building 05:44 – What the Model Predicts 10:35 – Predictive Metrics for WRs 17:14 – Predictive Metrics for TEs 28:09 – Predictive Metrics for RBs 33:17 – Flag Plants: Coleman, Tyson, Sarratt 41:54 – The Problem with Screens: Zachariah Branch 46:32 – Troubles with Washington, Bell & Hurst 52:27 – TEs Who Shine and Those Who Don’t 56:51 – The Problem with Slot Concentration 1:01:31 – Understanding Tiers Is Key 🔗 Links Mentioned Ryan's Rookie RB Rankings Ryan's Rookie WR Rankings Ryan's Rookie TE RankingsFollow Ryan Heath on Twitter/XFantasy PointsFollow Jeff on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty Rankings at FootballguysFootballguys Rookie Draft Guide👍 Support the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    1h 6m
  3. APR 14

    Run Leagues No One Wants to Leave with Joey Wright

    Most commissioners think their job is merely administrative. They collect dues, schedule drafts, manage league settings and move on. Footballguys' community engagement leader Joey Wright thinks that's only the beginning. In this episode, Joey joins Jeff Blaylock to talk about what it actually takes to build a dynasty league that people never want to leave, from the three roles every commissioner plays to the tools and traditions that keep a league alive year-round to what separates a good commissioner from a great one. Whether you're a veteran commissioner or thinking about launching your first league, this conversation will change how you see your role. You may want to check out this episode on YouTube for some special photos and moments that don't necessarily translate to audio-only formats. Topics Include The three hats every commissioner wears: administrator, mediator, and social chairWhy turnover is the truest signal a league is in troubleHow a league constitution prevents most conflicts before they startThe best communication tools for keeping leagues engaged are outside the appThe off-season engagement playbook: events, birthdays, and moreWhat to look for in a commissioner and what skills the role actually requiresStarting a dynasty league from scratch: settings, format, buy-in, and timingThe Empire dynasty format and why it may be the future of money leaguesChapters/Timestamps 00:00 — The Commissioner Builds the Community 01:55 — Joey's Road to a Full-time Fantasy Role 09:19 — The Home League Show & How It Came to Be 13:10 — Think Bigger Than Administration 17:06 — The Three Hats: Administrator, Mediator, Social Chair 23:01 — What to Look for in a Commissioner 31:00 — Skills Every Commissioner Needs 38:29 — Handling Conflict & the Constitution 46:17 — How to Level Up Your League 55:39 — Parting Advice for New Commissioners 58:58 — Where to Find Joey Links & Resources Mentioned in the Show Download an Example League Constitution Order "The Commissioner's Playbook: A Guide to Creating the Fantasy Football League of Your Dreams" from Amazon (not an affiliate link) Follow Joey on Twitter/X The Home League Show on YouTube Trivia Night Live on YouTube Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings Support the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    1h 5m
  4. APR 8

    Dynasty Orphans: What to Expect When You're Expecting

    Orphan leagues are often the easiest entry into dynasty, and adopting one comes with a learning curve that nobody warns you about. FFToday's Dustin Ludke joins Jeff Blaylock to walk through the full orphan experience: how to evaluate a roster before you commit, what to expect from your new league mates, and how to rebuild from the worst team in the league into a contender. Knowing what's actually coming — from early lowball offers to the energy drain of managing a rebuild — can be the difference between a frustrating experience and a future championship run. Topics Include: How to evaluate an orphan roster before agreeing to take it overRed flags that signal a league you should walk away fromFee negotiation and how to protect yourself from being a league's ATM machineFinding cornerstone players in a bad rosterHow to use a win threshold framework for closing the gap, position by positionWhy new orphan managers underestimate the energy a rebuild requiresHow to read your league mates and match the trading energy of a new leagueThe "ask for the throw-in" principle and how lottery tickets compound over timeChapters/Timestamps: 00:00 — Orphans Are the Gateway Drug to Dynasty 02:05 — Justin's Diary of an Orphan 07:10 — Evaluating an Orphan Before You Commit 12:00 — Red Flags: Turnover, Fees & League Drama 20:00 — Finding Cornerstones in a Disaster Roster 22:48 — What New Orphan Managers Underestimate 28:50 — The First Thing to Do After Adoption 35:25 — Minimal Increases: How Rebuilds Actually Work  42:50 — What Dustin Wishes He'd Known About Dynasty  47:10 — Where to Find Dustin Links Mentioned in the Episode Follow Dustin on Twitter/X FFToday Follow Jeff on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty RankingsFootballguysLeagueSafe LeagueSafe Find a LeagueDynatyze Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    50 min
  5. APR 2

    Finding Rookie Sleepers Before the Draft with Alfredo Brown

    Alfredo Brown of the Pretend GM joins Jeff Blaylock to dig into the 2026 rookie class — not the names everyone already knows, but the players worth targeting in rounds 2, 3, and beyond. Knowing which late-round prospects have real upside versus which ones are just names on a sheet can mean the difference between a dynasty-winning stash and wasted roster space. Alfredo walks through his proprietary PGM Score, his Low/Median/High player comp framework, and what he took away from watching prospects in person at the NFL Combine. A must-listen before your rookie draft. Topics Include: How the PGM Score is built and what it measures at each positionWhy three player comps beat one, and how to read a range of outcomesWhat it's actually like to scout players in person at the NFL CombineWR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brennan Thompson, and CJ DanielsRB sleepers: Jaydn Ott and what makes him a fourth-round targetTE sleepers: Max Claire, Oscar Delp, Eli Rein, and the blocking-matters argumentPass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Jadarian Price, and Kenyon SadiqWhy Pretend GM Gems mark the players where film, analytics, and draft value all alignClass quality, kicking the can on bad draft years, and using picks based on your team's actual directionChapters/Timestamps 00:00 — Intro & Welcome 02:57 — What moved Alfredo to build a rookie guide 06:23 — The PGM Score: how it's built and why 09:48 — How the PGM Score maps to player tiers 11:50 — Player comps using Chris Brazzell as an example 16:15 — Where to find the Pretend GM Rookie Draft Guide 17:33 — Alfredo's experiences at the Combine 22:16 — How the Combine affects his rankings 28:03 — WR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brenen Thompson 36:20 — RB sleepers: Jaydn Ott 39:12 — TE sleepers: Max Klare, Oscar Delp, Eli Raridon 43:19 — Pass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Kenyon Sadiq 48:29 — Pretend GM Gems: CJ Daniels, Taylen Green 51:20 — Class quality, kicking the can, and using picks wisely 57:43 — Wrap & where to find Alfredo Links Mentioned on the Show Get the Pretend GM Rookie Guide Pretend GM Podcast  Follow Alfredo on Twitter/X Jeff's Dynasty Rankings at FootballguysFollow Jeff on Twitter/X Support the Show: If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    1h 1m
  6. MAR 26

    Free Agency Fallout: Buy/Sell/Hold with Alan Seslowsky

    Jeff Blaylock and RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky return for Part II of their conversation, working through every significant free agency mover and what it means for your dynasty roster before the NFL Draft arrives. Knowing which players to buy now, which to hold, and which to trade away before the market catches up is the difference between a dynasty offseason well-spent and one you'll regret. They close with a look at which veteran players are about to get kneecapped by the incoming rookie class — and how both hosts are planning to use their picks in the degenerate four-quarterback league they share. Topics Include Travis Etienne's move to New Orleans and what it means for Bhayshul Tuten in JacksonvilleRico Dowdle in Pittsburgh: real dynasty asset or glorified trade chip?The Panthers backfield: Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Brooks, and Trevor EtienneA.J. Brown as the run-into-the-burning-building buy of the offseasonMike Evans to San Francisco: the easiest veteran buy of the windowD.J. Moore to Buffalo, Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee, and what they leave behindIsaiah Likely, Chig Okonkwo, and the tight end middle classTyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings — buy while unsignedWhich veterans are primed to get kneecapped by Jeremiah Love's landing spotHow Jeff and Alan are approaching their rookie draft picks in their shared leagueChapters/Timestamps 00:00 — Intro 00:50 — Travis Etienne & Jaguars Impacts 04:23 — Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh 08:19 — The Panthers Backfield: Hubbard, Brooks & Trevor Etienne 12:35 — Courtland Sutton & De'Von Achane: Hold or Move? 14:51 — The Seattle Backfield Without Kenneth Walker 18:08 — Time to Buy A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle? 22:13 — Mike Evans to San Francisco: Easy Buy 25:35 — DJ Moore to Buffalo & Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee 32:08 — Isaiah Likely, Mark Andrews & David Njoku 35:30 — Chig Okonkwo: Sneaky Winner of Free Agency 38:29 — Aiyuk, Hill, Deebo & Jauan Jennings: Buy the Unsigned 41:58 — Who Gets Kneecapped by the Rookie Draft? 45:31 — What We're Doing with Our Picks Links Mentioned on the Show Episode 29 (Part 1 of this conversation with Alan) Follow Alan Seslowsky on X: RotoWire SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Catch The Dynasty Hour, hosted by Alan Seslowsky, on SiriusXM Channel 87, Tues/Wed/Fri 1:00 PM ET Jeff's Dynasty Rankings Follow Jeff on Twitter/X Support the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    52 min
  7. MAR 24

    Pre-Draft Dynasty Trade Strategy with Alan Seslowsky

    The window between free agency and the NFL Draft may be the most underrated trade market of the dynasty calendar, and most managers are either frozen or making the wrong moves. Jeff Blaylock sits down with RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky to break down how to think about this moment and shares his philosophy of running into the burning building.  In Part 1 of this two-episode series, Jeff and Alan discuss who to target before the market catches up and why waiting for the draft usually costs you more than it saves. They also dig into the 2027 pick hype, the Alec Pierce sleeper case, Kyler vs JJ, Jaylen Waddle's prospects in Denver, and why Kenneth Walker's dynasty value is more complicated than it appears. Topics Include Why the post-free agency, pre-draft window is an undervalued trade marketAlan's philosophy of running into the burning buildingDented cans & broken toys: names worth a second lookThe 2027 pick hype: legitimate signal or dynasty groupthink?Alec Pierce: overlooked dynasty riser right now?How coaching changes create buy and sell opportunities dynasty managers are missingJaylen Waddle's upside in Denver and what it means for the whole offenseKenneth Walker: cash out into the Super Bowl MVP hype, or hold?Chapters/Timestamps 00:00 – That Crazy League We're In Together 05:04 – Should You Ever Rebuild, or Always Go for It? 09:54 – Grading the Offseason Chaos 12:59 – Run Into the Burning Building 17:39 – Dented Cans & Broken Toys 21:09 – Bench Size Changes Everything 24:52 – The 2027 Class Hype: Real or Overblown? 29:14 – The Counterintuitive Play for an 8th Place Team 31:26 – Offseason Storylines We're Sleeping On 36:30 – The Case for Buying Productive Vets Now 39:24 – Jaylen Waddle's Opportunity in Denver 44:38 – Kenneth Walker: Cash Out or Hold? 50:32 – Juggling Leagues & Platforms 55:37 – On Agentic AI: "I Saw War Games" Links Mentioned RotowireSiriusXM Fantasy Sports RadioFollow Alan on Twitter/XJeff's Dynasty Rankings at Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/XSupport the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    1 hr
  8. MAR 18

    The Rookie Draft Pick Where Everything Changes

    Dynasty rookie draft picks look sequential — but they are not created equal. Knowing where the gaps are located lets you trade for value and avoid traps. In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock breaks down the hidden value cliffs that divide rookie drafts into distinct probability bands. Using nine years of ADP data and rookie performance outcomes, Jeff explains why the 1.01 stands alone, how much value the first 16 picks historically produce, how likely you'll draft a fantasy starter, and why the largest value cliff in the entire rookie draft occurs between picks 2.04 and 2.05. Understanding where these cliffs exist can help dynasty managers trade down intelligently, capture additional value, and avoid the traps that cause managers to overpay for perceived certainty. Topics Include Why rookie draft picks have no inherent valueDraft pick bands vs rookie tiersThe unique value of the 1.01Historical hit rates by rookie draft pickThe 2.04 vs 2.05 “Grand Canyon” value dropHow your rookie draft is really two draftsTrading down to gain dynasty valueChapters / Timestamps 00:00 The Dirty Secret of Rookie Draft Picks 03:02 The Lottery Ticket Problem 04:18 What Draft Picks Actually Guarantee 06:33 Certainty vs Flexibility in Rookie Drafts 08:50 Draft Pick Bands vs Rookie Tiers 10:06 This Year's 1.03-1.05 12:51 How the Research Was Built 16:27 The Rookie Draft Pick Bands 17:54 Why the 1.01 Is Unique 19:54 Expected Value by Pick Range 23:23 The 2.04 vs 2.05 Chasm 29:05 Example Dynasty Trades 32:52 The Strategy: Trade Down Within Bands Resources Mentioned in the Show Episode 25 - Draft or Trade? 1-Round Rookie Mock with Heath CummingsFootballguys Rookie Draft GuideDynasty League Football Jeff's Dynasty RankingsFollow Jeff on Twitter/XSupport the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow. Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

    34 min
5
out of 5
7 Ratings

About

Dynasty Compass is your guide to building a fantasy football team that lasts. Hosted by Jeff Blaylock—fantasy analyst, Footballguys contributor, and dynasty strategist—this show helps you find direction in a noisy fantasy football world. Each episode delivers short, actionable advice for dynasty managers: trade strategy, rookie draft tactics, roster-building frameworks, and more. Whether you’re contending now or rebuilding for the future, Dynasty Compass helps you orient your team toward long-term success. 🎧 New episodes weekly during the NFL season 🧭 Because in dynasty, you don’t need a GPS—you need a compass.

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