ECNFIN is about Economics, Finance, and Investments. You will learn about the health of the economy, monetary and fiscal policies, valuations of the stock market, investment strategies, and geopolitical risk. Original articles and more information are published on ecnfin.com
Impact of High Oil Prices, Inflation, Debt and Restrictive Monetary Policies on the Health of the Economy
It is a combination of multiple negative factors that creates a worrisome diagnosis for already fragile economic health of the US economy. A sharp increase in oil prices from $22 in April 2020 to $120 in June 2022. The highest... Read More ›
Economic Recession Maybe Around the Corner in the US and Europe
Inflationary pressures are becoming less transitory and more long-lasting. Even before the horrific events in Ukraine, inflation was already very high. Additional sanctions on Russia added additional fuel to the fire of already hot inflation. Sanctions on Russia will also... Read More ›
Forecast the Future Standard & Poor’s 500 Index for the 1st Quarter 2022
This is the forecast of the S&P 500 Index for the 1Q 2022. It is based on the linear regression model where I use the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to predict the value of the S&P 500 Index. This forecast... Read More ›
Fifteen Investing Principles
The fifteen investing principles create the foundation of investing. Before you go on to build your wealth castle, you need to understand how to build a strong foundation. This is the starting point of your investing journey. The learning process of being a successful investor only starts here and continues through your life
The analysis of the stock market volatility and ways to mitigate the risk
Oftentimes a successful investing requires the time commitment, ability, and wiliness to take risk. When it comes to the real life, very few investors have the luxury and wiliness to meet these conditions to become successful. In this paper, I analyze the stock market risk and highlight difficulties to remain calm and rational during volatile times. For risk averse investors, one of the solutions is to have a diversified portfolio. The simple 50/50 asset allocation strategy combines a broadly diversified equity index with long-term government bonds. It is one example of a simple diversification strategy.
How will the new US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen effect the Economy and the Stock Markets?
President elect Joe Biden nominated Janet Yellen as the 78th United States secretary of the treasury. In my opinion, Janet Yellen will support aggressive fiscal stimulus of the US economy at the beginning of her new job.