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LessWrong

Audio narrations of LessWrong posts.

  1. 1시간 전

    “Postrationality: An Oral History” by Gordon Seidoh Worley

    Last week I gave an invited talk as part of the Integral Altruism speaker series. A recording of the talk and the extensive Q&A is up on YouTube; it's close to 90 minutes long. If you’d rather read than watch/listen, I had Claude convert the transcript into something more like essay form. In the talk I try to cover roughly how the postrationalist scene got started and how it later merged with other scenes thinking along similar lines but with different intellectual starting points. If it contains any errors (because you were there and remember it differently than me!), please let me know in the comments. A Short History of Postrationality Opening Presentation Thanks for having me. This is exciting to get to talk about this stuff. I occasionally grab people at conferences and they’ll ask me questions about this or we’ll just get on this topic. It's [...] --- Outline: (00:46) A Short History of Postrationality (00:51) Opening Presentation (02:27) The Berkeley Origins (2014-2015) (05:49) The Reading Group and Foundational Texts (14:31) The Movement Fragments (18:07) Q&A Section --- First published: October 22nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oq46pqQNxaL5MMbL7/postrationality-an-oral-history-1 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    49분

  2. 3시간 전

    [Linkpost] “Consider donating to AI safety champion Scott Wiener” by Eric Neyman

    This is a link post. Written in my personal capacity. Thanks to many people for conversations and comments. Written in less than 24 hours; sorry for any sloppiness. It's an uncanny, weird coincidence that the two biggest legislative champions for AI safety in the entire country announced their bids for Congress just two days apart. But here we are. On Monday, I put out a long blog post making the case for donating to Alex Bores, author of the New York RAISE Act. And today I’m doing the exact same thing for Scott Wiener, who announced a run for Congress in California today (October 22). Much like with Alex Bores, if you’re potentially interested in donating to Wiener, my suggestion would be to: Read this post to understand the case for donating to Scott Wiener. Understand that political donations are a matter of public record, and that this [...] --- First published: October 22nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/n6Rsb2jDpYSfzsbns/consider-donating-to-ai-safety-champion-scott-wiener Linkpost URL:https://ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/10/22/consider-donating-to-ai-safety-champion-scott-wiener/ --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    3분

  3. 5시간 전

    “How Well Does RL Scale?” by Toby_Ord

    This is the latest in a series of essays on AI Scaling. You can find the others on my site. Summary: RL-training for LLMs scales surprisingly poorly. Most of its gains are from allowing LLMs to productively use longer chains of thought, allowing them to think longer about a problem. There is some improvement for a fixed length of answer, but not enough to drive AI progress. Given the scaling up of pre-training compute also stalled, we'll see less AI progress via compute scaling than you might have thought, and more of it will come from inference scaling (which has different effects on the world). That lengthens timelines and affects strategies for AI governance and safety. The current era of improving AI capabilities using reinforcement learning (from verifiable rewards) involves two key types of scaling: Scaling the amount of compute used for RL during training Scaling [...] --- Outline: (09:46) How do these compare to pre-training scaling? (14:16) Conclusion --- First published: October 22nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xpj6KhDM9bJybdnEe/how-well-does-rl-scale --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. --- Images from the article: Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

    16분

  4. 5시간 전

    “White House OSTP AI Deregulation Public Comment Period Ends Oct. 27” by Zack_M_Davis

    The White House's Office of Science and Technology Policy has issued a request for information (RFI) relevant to regulations that "unnecessarily hinder the development, deployment, and adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies within the United States." If you have anything to say about that topic that you want the U.S. government to hear, consider submitting a public comment before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Monday 27 October 2025. The emphasis on removing regulations is pursuant to the White House's AI Action Plan, which was the subject of a previous RFI. I submitted a one-page commment to that one, which did get dutifully included in the 18,480 page PDF of 10,067 responses. Interestingly, the new RFI on deregulation only has 243 comments at press time for this post; perhaps informative comments are less likely to get drowned out in the noise this time. --- First published: October 22nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ujbcS7NiLCJje2Eeg/white-house-ostp-ai-deregulation-public-comment-period-ends --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    1분

  5. 6시간 전

    “Is 90% of code at Anthropic being written by AIs?” by ryan_greenblatt

    In March 2025, Dario Amodei (CEO of Anthropic) said that he expects AI to be writing 90% of the code in 3 to 6 months and that AI might be writing essentially all of the code in 12 months.[1] Did this prediction end up being true? We'll charitably interpret the prediction as being about Anthropic itself. Recently, various articles have claimed that Dario said that AIs are writing 90% of the code at Anthropic (7 months after the prediction of 3-6 months was made). This is a reasonable summary of what Dario said when talking to Marc Benioff, but my current understanding is that it isn't true that AIs are writing 90% of code at Anthropic. The exact text being referenced by these articles is: Dario: 6 months ago I I made this prediction that, you know, in in 6 months 90% of code would be [...] --- Outline: (04:05) Takeaways (08:11) Making predictions is good (09:25) Appendix: relevant sources and adjudication of the prediction The original text contained 14 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: October 22nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/prSnGGAgfWtZexYLp/is-90-of-code-at-anthropic-being-written-by-ais --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    13분

  6. 16시간 전

    “Stratified Utopia” by Cleo Nardo

    Summary: "Stratified utopia" is a possible outcome where mundane values get proximal resources (near Earth in space and time) and exotic values get distal resources (distant galaxies and far futures). I discuss whether this outcome is likely or desirable. 1. Introduction 1.1. Happy Coincidence I hold mundane values, such as partying on the weekend, the admiration of my peers, not making a fool of myself, finishing this essay, raising children, etc. I also have more exotic values, such as maximizing total wellbeing, achieving The Good, and bathing in the beatific vision. These values aren't fully-compatible, i.e. I won't be partying on the weekend in any outcome which maximizes total wellbeing[1]. But I think these values are nearly-compatible. My mundane values can get 99% of what they want (near Earth in space and time) and my exotic values can get get 99% of what they want (distant galaxies and far [...] --- Outline: (00:26) 1. Introduction (00:30) 1.1. Happy Coincidence (01:48) 1.2. Values and Resources (01:53) 1.2.1. Mundane vs Exotic Values (02:54) 1.2.2. Proximal vs Distal Resources (03:36) 2. Stratified Utopia: A sketch (03:41) 2.1. Spatial Stratification (04:26) 2.2. What Each Stratum Looks Like (07:26) 3. Is Stratified Utopia Likely? (07:31) 3.0. Four Premises (08:38) 3.1. Efficient Allocation (11:47) 3.2. Value Composition (14:17) 3.2. Resource Compatibility (19:40) 3.3. Persistence (20:55) 4. Is Stratified Utopia Desirable? (24:29) Appendices (24:32) Appendix A: Spatial vs Temporal Stratification (26:41) Appendix B: Stratified Dystopia (27:14) Appendix C: Firewalls (28:33) Appendix D: Death and Uplifting The original text contained 22 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: October 21st, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5XjrEr8c8z6tTHDF2/stratified-utopia-2 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. --- Images from the article: Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

    30분

  7. 17시간 전

    “Remarks on Bayesian studies from 1963” by dynomight

    In 1963, Mosteller and Wallace published Inference in an Authorship Problem, which used Bayesian statistics to try to infer who wrote some of the disputed Federalist Papers. (Answer: Madison) Anyway, at the end they have a list of "Remarks on Bayesian studies" which is astonishing to read 62 years later: Study of variation of results with different priors is recommended. Bracketing the prior is often easy. When founded in data, the choice of the prior has a status like that of the data distribution—subjectivity tempered with empiricism. Where possible, priors should be empirically oriented. Planning ahead for the collection of data suitable for estimating the form and underlying constants of prior distribution is useful and important, and very likely not hard to do once one gets in the frame of mind of preparing to use Bayes' theorem. The remark is all the more germane in the field of [...] --- First published: October 21st, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DQ5RjkX4S7WfnahJD/remarks-on-bayesian-studies-from-1963 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    3분

  8. 1일 전

    [Linkpost] “21st Century Civilization curriculum” by Richard_Ngo

    This is a link post. I’ve just released a curriculum on foundational questions in modern politics, which I drew up in collaboration with Samo Burja. I’ve copied the introductory text and the section headings below; you can find the full curriculum at www.21civ.com. Sign up here by 27 October to join the first cohort of discussion groups (which will meet weekly to discuss each of the 11 sections of the curriculum). This curriculum is about Western civilization, and how it enables citizens of the Western world to live together in a just, orderly way. But it's also about the 21st century, which has been characterized by the continual decline of many aspects of that civilization. Despite our superior technology, there are many things that Western countries could do in the past that we can’t today—e.g. rapidly build large-scale infrastructure, maintain low-crime cities, and run competent bureaucracies. More importantly, it feels [...] --- First published: October 21st, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2CGXGwWysiBnryA6M/21st-century-civilization-curriculum Linkpost URL:www.21civ.com --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    3분
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