Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore
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  • 每週更新

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

  1. 3 天前

    Small Caps Telling Us Rate Cuts | It's Not Just the Mag 7 Near All-Time Highs | Fear & Greed Index Disconnect | HOPE Economic Sequence

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the coming Fed decision and what the market is telling us. Plus, CNN's Fear and Greed Index is almost at extreme fear so why are most markets near all-time highs? Then, looking at the economy through the lens of Michael Kantro's HOPE theory and whether the recent ADP employment report is giving mixed messages. All this and more this week.   HOPE = Housing Orders Profits Employment Russell 2000 Cup or Vase with Handle pattern? Fed interest rate cut now at 94% probability Are small caps telling us more rate cuts coming? Earnings expectations on the Russell 2000 Index? CNN Fear and Greed Index showing almost extreme fear Disconnect between Fear and Greed Index vs the stock market Soft data vs hard data disconnect Bitcoin and MicroStrategy or Strategy catches a bid on Vanguard news ADP soft private employment data     Mentioned in this Episode   Rob Arnott on "The Bubble You Can't Short" episode of Excess Returns podcast https://excessreturnspod.com/podcast/excess-returns/episode/the-bubble-you-cant-short-rob-arnott-on-what-you-can-do-instead   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    43 分鐘

  2. 11月23日

    Nvidia Saves the Market? | Fed Cut Whisperers | MSCI to Dump Strategy? | Sentiment vs the Market

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Nvidia's moves post earnings and whether the options market got it right. Then, what would happen if MSCI removes Strategy and index funds must liquidate? Later, did the Fed just say they are cutting without saying they are cutting? Plus, has sentiment ever been this bad near all-time highs?   MSCI might dump MicroStrategy | Strategy from its index Fed enters the blackout period before their meeting Probability of an interest rate cut Did buying or selling the at-the-money Nvidia straddle work post earnings? Looking at when sentiment was low during good periods of market gains Did Nvidia calm the AI is a bubble trade? Rob Arnott comments around AI vs the internet from Excess Returns   Mentioned in this Episode   Rob Arnott on "The Bubble You Can't Short" episode of Excess Returns podcast https://excessreturnspod.com/podcast/excess-returns/episode/the-bubble-you-cant-short-rob-arnott-on-what-you-can-do-instead   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    38 分鐘

  3. 11月17日

    OpenAI IPO | Michael Saylor's Strategy's Bitcoin Strategy Reframed | Michael Burry on Mag 7 Earnings Quality | NVDA Earnings Options Volatility

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder this week to talk about people's reaction to Michael Burry's comments on earnings quality in the Mag 7 companies, talk of the OpenAI IPO, and Nvidia's options ahead of earnings week. Plus, they reframe the idea of Strategy buying Bitcoin by using an alternative example. What if they held Apple stock instead? All this and much more this week.    Michael Burry suggests depreciation and accounting adjustments driving earnings in Mag 7 OpenAI most anticipated IPO since Snapple in the early nineties? What if AI technology is a technical revolution but the winning companies are different? Michael Saylor's Bitcoin strategy landing on hard times What if Saylor bought Apple stock instead of Bitcoin, does that make their strategy easier to understand? Enterprise value vs market cap Implied volatility on Nvidia options ahead of earnings   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    55 分鐘

  4. 11月10日

    S&P 500 Stocks Dispersion | Small Caps Outflows | NVDA Implied Volatility | Market Re-Rating Forward PE Ratio

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder where they look at the dispersion happening within the S&P 500 Index November to date. Then, they discuss the outflows ongoing for the small caps and what if anything that means. Later, looking at the effects of earnings on Nvidia's option prices, Apple's outlier as the strongest of the Mag 7 this week, and reviewing how the market re-rating caused the market to ease even though another record forward earnings expectation number from analysts.   Not all Mag-7 stocks are acting in unison NVDA implied volatility comparison between expirations around earnings Small cap outflows are showing people aren't favoring them this year despite interest rate cuts Forward 12-month analyst EPS estimates on S&P 500 hit record high While the forward multiple declines in a market re-rating Apple vs the other Mag-7 stocks Market pullback before going for 7000? Don't try and time it, just be hedged!   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    45 分鐘

  5. 11月3日

    Hindenburg Omen | MicroStrategy vs Bitcoin | CAPE Ratio and Forward Returns | No More Tariff Tantrum?

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss the Hindenburg Omen and what that means for the stock market. Plus, looking at whether the Tariff trade has been completely wrong. Later, the best six months of the year are here, problems with using CAPE Ration to predict forward returns, permabears, and examining whether MicroStrategy (Strategy) is starting to not make sense to investors. All that plus looking at Semiconductors cycle against the Mag 7 and the S&P 500 Index.   Tariff trade MicroStrategy (Strategy) vs Bitcoin trade Enterprise value of MicroStrategy vs intrinsic value of their Bitcoin holdings What is the CAPE Ratio? CAPE Ratio and forward 10-year and 12-year returns Earnings multiples John Hussman 12-year forward expected returns What are the best six months of the year Federal Reserve Obfuscation Index Semiconductors broke out "after going nowhere for over a year"     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    54 分鐘

  6. 10月27日

    AAPL MSFT META GOOG Earnings Volatility | 5% Mortgage Rates Coming? | No Inflation Despite Tariffs | 7000 Up Next for S&P 500 Index?

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to discuss the upcoming huge week in earnings and where the options markets rank the big 4 this week for implied moves. Then, they ask the question of what would need to happen to see 30-year mortgage rates slip lower to 5%. Later, they review the latest (albeit late) CPI figures and note, despite tariffs, no surge in inflation. All this and more plus a couple of recommendations.    Implied volatility around earnings AAPL MSFT META GOOG Spread between 30-year mortgage rates and the 10-year treasury yield Spread narrowing plus lower 10-year yields impact on mortgage rates CPI comes out late but still no surge in inflation How shelter (housing) is still responsible for most of the CPI YoY change VIX gets crushed lower after only a week ago piercing the 25 level     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    55 分鐘

  7. 10月20日

    VIX Too High? | SCOTUS Tariff Decision Looming | TSLA vs INTC Implied Volatility | Regional Bank Trouble?

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the VIX Index is too high based on market movements. Plus, is the regional bank trouble really trouble for the stock market? Later, looking at implied volatility on TSLA and INTC ahead of earnings. Finally, why no one is talking about the November 5th SCOTUS hearing on the Trump Tariffs. All that and much more this week.    Implied volatility around earnings SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) upcoming tariff hearing on November 5th TSLA vs INTC options implied volatility Regional banks have a tough week Most anticipated earnings coming up Retail vs institutional options volume Upcoming Fed decision on interest rates     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    56 分鐘

  8. 10月13日

    Tariff Tumble | Historical Anomaly Gold vs Oil | Buying Opportunity or Continuation of Weakness? | Volatility Ahead of SCOTUS Tariff Hearing

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about Friday's tumble in stocks after the 100% China tariffs were announced. More to come or another buying opportunity? Plus, looking at the anomaly of gold being up but oil being down in the same year. Market doesn't care about the government shutdown. Volatility brewing through the Nov 5th Supreme Court tariff review?   100% Tariffs proposed on China Stocks finally have a bad day SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) upcoming tariff hearing on November 5th Gold up but oil down so is that a historical anomaly? Is this another buy the dip opportunity or will we see weakness continue? Affect of market maker positioning in stock prices due to selloff and rise in volatility We were due based upon research showing one of longest streaks ever without 3% pullback Why we hedge     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    56 分鐘
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5
（滿分 5 顆星）
19 則評分

簡介

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

資訊

  • 創作者
    Derek Moore
  • 活躍年代
    2018年 - 2025年
  • 集數
    352
  • 年齡分級
    兒少適宜
  • 版權
    © Copyright Broken Pie Chart Podcast. Can site, link, or share provided podcast website listed and sourced.
  • 節目網站
    Broken Pie Chart

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