Guggenheim Macro Markets Guggenheim Investments

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, a Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their perspectives and outlook following two eventful weeks in markets and the economy. They discuss the future path of monetary policy, the effects of a possible credit crunch, and investment strategy and positioning.
Related Insights:
A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate
The Fed’s next move and beyond.
Read Macroeconomic Commentary

Silicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of Disintermediation
Assessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.
Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility
The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.
Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.
This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.
Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.
SP 56637

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, gives a master class in structured credit, including where he is finding attractive absolute and relative value in mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized loan obligations. U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the resilience of recent economic data and what it means for the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. (Structured credit is complex and may not suitable for all investors.)
Related Insights:
1Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views
Valuations have reset after a volatile year.
Read Fixed-Income Sector Views
1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.
Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility
The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.
Read Market Commentary
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

SP 56400

Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, shares a CIO’s unique perspective on active portfolio management in a time of higher yields and macroeconomic complexity. He discusses recent economic data, relative value opportunities, and the importance of making asset allocation decisions for a range of different outcomes.
Related Insights:
Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility
The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices.
Read Market Commentary

10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023
10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023.
Read 10 Macro Themes

1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.
Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook


Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.
Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

SP 56209

Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023.
Related Insights:
10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023
10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023.
Read 10 Macro Themes
1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
Move up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.
Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
“Right Now, the Fixed-Income Story is a Good One”
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joined CNBC in Davos to discuss her outlook for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, the coming recession, and the positive backdrop for bonds.
Watch Video

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.
This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.
Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

SP 56000

Scott Minerd, Global CIO for Guggenheim Partners and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins the year-end episode of Macro Markets on Fed Day for a wide-ranging discussion of the Federal Reserve’s execution of monetary policy, economic conditions, the investment landscape for risk assets, portfolio strategy, and more.
Related Insights
Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking Something
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly not done. October will test the Fed’s resolve.
Read Global CIO Outlook
CIO Outlook: For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946
Clues from history on how to successfully end the current surge in prices.
Read Global CIO Outlook

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.
Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the structure and value in the residential mortgage-backed securities market and other ABS sectors. Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, answers a listener question on liquidity. Jerry Cai, an economist in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings the latest on the labor picture and an update on China.