Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore
  • 5.0 (19)
  • INVESTING
  • UPDATED WEEKLY

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

  1. 2D AGO

    Commodity Boom? | Energy Stocks Running | Tariffs Don't Matter? | Market Broadening| Earnings Season is Here

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course, earnings season is starting and in the end earnings matter above all else.   Earnings matter in the long run XOM Exxon some back Energy stocks no longer hibernating How stocks can do well even if the underlying commodity isn't Commodity next boom? Does the Fed theoretically use taxpayer funds for their expenses? Will Powell leave the Fed when his term as chair ends (but not his governor term) Different pockets of the market still running Mag 7 trailed through April then led, not that gap is closing   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    33 min

  2. JAN 12

    High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google's Number 2 | Payrolls

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices.   Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and what it means for markets Copper prices are about to break out or break down? Fed interest rates saying no cuts until after Powell leaves? Semiconductor earnings estimates vs the S&P 500 Index as a whole Polymarket sees only a 25% chance tariffs are upheld Google (Alphabet) surpasses Apple to be world #2 behind Nvidia Three-Month payroll contraction on nonfarm payrolls Talking technical analysis with regression channels on the SPX Free cash flow margins tech vs the rest Valuation forward pe ration adjusted for net profit margins S&P 500 companies' real revenue per worker highest going back to 1986 S&P 500 quarter EPS growth estimates Y/Y % change   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1h 12m

  3. JAN 5

    2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025 | Outliers and Consensus | Gold, Rates, Markets, Economy, Bitcoin, The Dollar & More

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right.   2026 Year End S&P 500 Index Targets VIX high for 2026 10 Year Treasury predictions Where will Bitcoin end 2026? Where will Oil, Gold, & the US Dollar End land in 2026? Outliers amongst the group and some consensus Why you shouldn't trade off these Why committing to strategies rather than trying to time markets is the way 2025 Predictions and who was right and who was wrong The challenge in trying to predict markets When will the last Fed rate change happen next year? Where do interest rates wind up landing? What about GDP and CPI Inflation forecasts for 2026?   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1h 19m

  4. 12/29/2025

    Santa Claus Rally | Silver Goes Parabolic | S&P 500 Growth Due to Earnings & Multiple | International Stocks Rocking

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about silver prices going parabolic while Gold, Copper, Platinum, and other metals are clocking in gains. Does the rally continue? They, they look at how well international markets have done crushing the S&P 500 Index this year where Spain's IBEX 35 and South Korea's KOSPI are the top dogs that no one saw coming. Later, they discussed the attribution to gains this year including how much it is due to earnings growth vs the growth of the forward PE multiple. Finally, discussing how much the S&P 500 Index companies' turnover (and have done so at a much higher rate recently) showing the value of owning a momentum index that is diversified.    Oil vs Gold Ratio Silver, Gold, Platinum, and Copper all rallying Surprising international markets crushing it this year including Spain and Korea Russell 2000 Index consensus 2026 earnings forecast sees EPS growing 61% in 2026 What is the Santa Claus rally? S&P 500 Index Company Turnover and disruption Why own indexes and is the S&P 500 Index a momentum index? Earnings growth vs multiple expansion responsible for market gains in 2025 Yardeni Research projects gold to hit $6000 in 2026 and $10,000 by 2030 Does the national deficit matter? Energy commodities vs metals Truck Tonnage Index decouples with the S&P 500 Index performance TIPS bonds may not help you during inflationary periods due to duration interest rate risk   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    50 min

  5. 12/22/2025

    What if Bitcoin Goes Nowhere? | No Inflation | TSLA Volatility & SpaceX | Gold vs Bitcoin | Japan 10YR Yields

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a small ETF is gaining flows because of a small allocation to SpaceX. We'll also talk sector performance YTD in 2025, Bitcoin vs gold searches, and yup, a little Japan talk looking at their 10 year yields surging across 2% for the first time in a while and whether this is an issue.    Gold vs Bitcoin Bitcoin if its flat over the next 5-10 years as it matures SpaceX seeking investors pile into XOVR ETF (ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF) What could go wrong for investors seeking private investments Sector performance YTD and some surprises Should Apple be a consumer staple? Japan 10-year yields surge past 2% so what could go wrong? Tesla TSLA implied volatility seems high, but it really isn't on a relative basis CPI prints a lower-than-expected reading  Still no inflation from tariffs      Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1h 4m

  6. 12/15/2025

    $1 million Now vs $1000 a Week for Life | Wall Street Prediction Cycle | Markets Go Up More Than Average | Goldilocks Markets | Apple's Resilience

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to ask if you would rather have a $1 million lump sum vs $1000 per week for life if you won the lotter. Then, looking at some of the incoming 2026 Wall Steet year end S&P 500 Index targets. Don't forget we'll do our own 2026 prediction show. Later, Apple seems to be bucking the AI spend and its price has been resilient in 2025, so what goes right or wrong in 2026? Plus, how markets go up over time but more specifically, in years they are up it's likely they are up more than average.   Apple bet not to go all in on AI Wall Street investment banks 2026-year end targets starting Average market returns vs returns in up markets Time value of money Lottery winner in Canada chooses $1000 a week for life vs $1 million today The goldilocks markets as a thesis   Mentioned in this Episode   20-Year-old lottery winner decies against $1M lump sum, opts for lifetime weekly $1000 payout https://ca.news.yahoo.com/20-year-old-lottery-winner-decides-against-1m-lump-sum-opts-for-lifetime-weekly-annuity-in-hopes-of-buying-a-home-120026248.html   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    54 min

  7. 12/08/2025

    Can't Be a Bubble Without? | Contrarian Signal Consumer Sentiment Hits a Low | Gold vs Stocks | Earnings Guidance Rises

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer's chart showing we aren't in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan's rise in interest rates a problem for stocks, bonds, or neither? Finally, looking at the returns of gold vs stocks plus surprising forward P/E ratio of Walmart vs Nvidia.   Gold vs Stocks performance Jurrien Timmer's market return attributions comparing earnings vs valuation gains Bubble or not a bubble. Earnings multiple changes vs earnings changes Walmart forward P/E ratio University of Michigan consumer sentiment of economic conditions index     Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    39 min

  8. 12/04/2025

    Small Caps Telling Us Rate Cuts | It's Not Just the Mag 7 Near All-Time Highs | Fear & Greed Index Disconnect | HOPE Economic Sequence

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the coming Fed decision and what the market is telling us. Plus, CNN's Fear and Greed Index is almost at extreme fear so why are most markets near all-time highs? Then, looking at the economy through the lens of Michael Kantro's HOPE theory and whether the recent ADP employment report is giving mixed messages. All this and more this week.   HOPE = Housing Orders Profits Employment Russell 2000 Cup or Vase with Handle pattern? Fed interest rate cut now at 94% probability Are small caps telling us more rate cuts coming? Earnings expectations on the Russell 2000 Index? CNN Fear and Greed Index showing almost extreme fear Disconnect between Fear and Greed Index vs the stock market Soft data vs hard data disconnect Bitcoin and MicroStrategy or Strategy catches a bid on Vanguard news ADP soft private employment data     Mentioned in this Episode   Rob Arnott on "The Bubble You Can't Short" episode of Excess Returns podcast https://excessreturnspod.com/podcast/excess-returns/episode/the-bubble-you-cant-short-rob-arnott-on-what-you-can-do-instead   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    43 min
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5
out of 5
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About

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

Information

  • Creator
    Derek Moore
  • Years Active
    2018 - 2026
  • Episodes
    359
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright Broken Pie Chart Podcast. Can site, link, or share provided podcast website listed and sourced.
  • Show Website
    Broken Pie Chart

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