The Paper Trail

Chris Seveney

Welcome to The Paper Trail, where we follow the journey—my journey—through the world of mortgage note investing. I'm Chris Seveney, and after years of buying, managing, and selling notes with 7e Investments, I'm here to share the real stories behind the deals—what went right, what went wrong, and what I wish I knew earlier. From non-performing loans to seller financing to private lending, this show is about more than strategies—it’s about learning to follow the paper trail and doing the due diligence that separates the pros from the rest. Let's hit the trail.

  1. 348 | Predictions for 2026 in Real Estate and Non Performing Note Space

    12/17/2025

    348 | Predictions for 2026 in Real Estate and Non Performing Note Space

    2026 Real Estate and Non-Performing Notes Predictions In this episode of the Paper Trail Podcast, Chris shares his top 10 predictions for the real estate and lending markets in 2026. He discusses tighter lending standards, rising defaults, and the importance of being a disciplined operator. Key trends include the tightening of investor space lending conditions, challenges in the multifamily sector, struggles for sponsors operating outside their expertise, a slowdown in fix-and-flip activity, the rise of build-to-rent, increased defaults on investor loans, the complexities of judicial foreclosures, potential declines in home prices in booming states like Florida and Texas, and the predicted growth of 7E Investments. Chris emphasizes the necessity for consistency, strategic focus, and disciplined underwriting in navigating the year ahead. 00:00 Introduction and Recap 00:12 2026 Real Estate Predictions Overview 01:05 Trend 1: Tightening Lending Conditions 04:07 Trend 2: Multifamily Market Challenges 05:42 Trend 3: Struggles of Inexperienced Sponsors 09:01 Trend 4: Decline in Fix and Flip Activity 10:15 Trend 5: Build to Rent Opportunities 13:31 Trend 6: Rising Defaults on Investor Loans 15:59 Trend 7: Owner-Occupied Market Insights 19:10 Trend 8: Judicial Foreclosure Challenges 23:52 Trend 9: Home Price Declines in Key States 26:18 Trend 10: Growth Projections for 2026 27:47 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

    31 min
4.9
out of 5
93 Ratings

About

Welcome to The Paper Trail, where we follow the journey—my journey—through the world of mortgage note investing. I'm Chris Seveney, and after years of buying, managing, and selling notes with 7e Investments, I'm here to share the real stories behind the deals—what went right, what went wrong, and what I wish I knew earlier. From non-performing loans to seller financing to private lending, this show is about more than strategies—it’s about learning to follow the paper trail and doing the due diligence that separates the pros from the rest. Let's hit the trail.

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