Swedish House of Finance

Swedish House of Finance

Join the Swedish House of Finance and guests from academia and finance for conversations about the ideas shaping markets, policy, and financial research. The Swedish House of Finance at the Stockholm School of Economics is Sweden's national research center for financial economics.

  1. 1d ago

    Central Questions EP. 5: Credit Booms, Crashes and Why Policymakers Act Too Late

    Are financial crises really impossible to predict?  Harvard economist Andrei Shleifer argues that the warning signs are often visible long before a crisis erupts. Rapid credit growth, deteriorating lending standards and unusually narrow credit spreads can all point to growing fragility—yet investors and policymakers repeatedly struggle to act before it is too late.  In this live episode of Central Questions, Shleifer joins former Riksbank Governor Stefan Ingves to discuss why credit cycles matter so much for the economy, why sophisticated investors move together during booms, what economic models missed before the 2008 financial crisis, and whether authorities should intervene before they are certain a crisis is coming.  They also discuss private credit, behavioral finance, the difficulty of timing markets, and why preventing a crisis can be politically harder than cleaning one up afterwards.  Guest: Andrei Shleifer is the John L. Loeb Professor of Economics at Harvard University Host: Stefan Ingves, former Governor of the Riksbank and Senior Fellow at Swedish House of Finance  Topics:  Andrei Shleifer, Stefan Ingves, financial crisis, financial crises, credit cycle, credit boom, 2008 financial crisis, behavioral finance, financial stability, private credit, economic crisis, banking crisis, credit markets, central banks, systemic risk, Harvard economics, Swedish House of Finance

    Central Questions EP. 5: Credit Booms, Crashes and Why Policymakers Act Too Late
  2. Aug 18

    Central Questions EP. 4: When Does a Boom Become a Crisis? Robin Greenwood on AI, Bubbles and the “Red Zone”

    Is the AI boom a bubble, and should we be worried? Robin Greenwood (Harvard Business School) joins formerRiksbank Governor Stefan Ingves to unpack why bubbles form, why they often start with something genuinely transformative, and what turns a boom into a real economic threat. From dot-com to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis to today's AI buildout, Greenwood argues rising prices alone aren't the danger. It's when booms collide with rapid credit growth and leverage that things turn risky. They dig into why even seasoned investors get swept up, how competition undermines "unstoppable" growth stories, cracks forming in private credit, and whether policymakers can catch trouble in time. Greenwood also breaks down the "red zone," periods when credit growth and asset prices rise together, historically pushing the odds of a financial crisis within three years from about 8% to 40%. They discuss: as AI spending increasingly needs outsidefinancing, could this largely equity-funded boom turn into something riskier? Guest: Robin Greenwood is the George Gund Professor of finance and Banking at Harvard Business School. Host: Stefan Ingves, former Governor of theRiksbank, and Senior Fellow at Swedish House of Finance Topics: Financial bubbles, AI investment, artificial intelligence, data centers, private credit, financial crises, credit booms, leverage, financial stability, behavioral finance, investor psychology, competition, monetary policy, macroprudential policy, asset prices.

    Central Questions EP. 4: When Does a Boom Become a Crisis? Robin Greenwood on AI, Bubbles and the “Red Zone”
  3. Jun 8

    Central Questions EP 2: Are Giant Companies Rewriting Capitalism? Yueran Ma on Adam Smith, AI, and the Future of Firms

    Two hundred and fifty years after Adam Smith published The Wealth of Nations, the economy looks very different from the world he described. Firms are bigger. Production is more centralized. AI and automation are changing what companies can do at scale. And yet markets still matter, perhaps more than ever, in deciding which firms rise, which fall, and how innovation spreads. In this episode of Central Questions, Stefan Ingves speaks with Yueran Ma, Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, about the rise of large corporations, the changing role of capital and labor, and what Adam Smith, Karl Marx, and Friedrich Hayek can still teach us about today’s economy. They discuss why the largest firms now account for a growing share of output and assets, why employment has not concentrated in the same way, what AI could mean for productivity and inequality, and why financial markets may be crucial for spreading the gains from capital more broadly. Guest: Yueran Ma, Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Host: Stefan Ingves, former Governor of the Riksbank and Senior Fellow at Swedish House of Finance Topics: Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, Yueran Ma, Stefan Ingves, Central Questions, Swedish House of Finance, large firms, corporations, AI, automation, capital deepening, productivity, corporate finance, economic growth, financial markets, capitalism, Karl Marx, Hayek, visible hand, invisible hand, firm concentration, monetary policy, innovation, Chicago Booth

    Central Questions EP 2: Are Giant Companies Rewriting Capitalism? Yueran Ma on Adam Smith, AI, and the Future of Firms
  4. May 11

    Central Questions EP 1: Financial Literacy Isn't the Issue. The Advice Industry Could Be.

    In this episode of Central Questions, former RiksbankGovernor Stefan Ingves speaks with SHoF’s Paolo Sodini about the hidden logic behind how households build—and lose—wealth. They cover household finance, investing mistakes, diversification, mortgage risk, financial literacy, andwealth inequality. (0:29) Sweden’s Financial Crisis & Household Debt (2:16) Swedish Data & the Rise of Household Finance (4:48) The 2 Types of Financial Risk08:19 How Households Should Build Financial Buffers (10:49) Fixed vs Variable Mortgage Rates (14:23) Why Financial Literacy Matters (18:24) The Biggest Investing Mistakes People Make (19:33) Why Expensive Mutual Funds Often Fail (21:48) Why Financial Literacy Should Start Early (24:48) Why Financial Products Are Too Complicated (26:43) What Swedish Data Reveals About Wealth (27:50) Why Wealth Inequality Is Rising (29:24) Why Rich Investors Keep Gambling (30:44) Real Estate & Middle-Class Wealth Building (33:50) Skill vs Luck in Investing (35:07) “Too Good To Be True” Investments (36:37) Equality vs Entrepreneurship (37:53) Why Rich Families Stay Rich (40:04) Sweden’s Housing Market Problem (40:41) Why Wealth Data Matters (44:37) How Many Mutual Funds Do You Really Need? (45:15) Why Financial Advice Needs Regulation (47:56) Final Advice on Investing & Wealth Guest: Paolo Sodini, Researcher at the Swedish Houseof Finance and Professor of Finance at the Stockholm School of Economics Host: Stefan Ingves, former Governor of the Riksbank and Senior Fellowat Swedish House of Finance Topics: household finance, investing, personal finance,financial literacy, wealth inequality, diversification, mortgages, mutual funds, economics

    Central Questions EP 1: Financial Literacy Isn't the Issue. The Advice Industry Could Be.

About

Join the Swedish House of Finance and guests from academia and finance for conversations about the ideas shaping markets, policy, and financial research. The Swedish House of Finance at the Stockholm School of Economics is Sweden's national research center for financial economics.