The InvestSense Podcast

InvestSense
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InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world. Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly

  1. 12h ago

    Just noisy bond markets, or is the start of something?

    There is a respectable case that this is noise, if painful noise. Much of the move in long yields has tracked oil almost tick for tick, and one analysis circulating this week put the rolling correlation between the two at its highest in four decades. On that reading, the bond market is a hostage of the Gulf: a durable ceasefire takes oil down and yields with it, and central banks return to something closer to normal policy considerations. Nothing structural has to be true for that story to work.The alternative reading is that oil is the trigger, not the cause. US federal debt sits near 123% of GDP, a level last seen in 1946, with deficits above 6% of GDP and real yields close to zero on trailing inflation. Bond markets in Japan and the UK are under the same pressure as the US, which is hard to square with a purely Middle Eastern explanation. And the last time inflation drove both equities and bonds down together in real terms, in 2022, the standard 70/30 portfolio was found wanting and many are now much more aware that traditional portfolio construction is equipped to deal with a growth shock rather than an inflation shock. Get access to the graphs:  www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/just-noisy-bond-markets-or-is-the-start-of-something  Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

  2. 3d ago

    Will America's creditors keep buying? With Economist Andrew Hunt

    When we spoke with Andrew Hunt in late July, his advice was to stay at the party. Getting defensive, he said, would be like standing on a railway track in front of an oncoming locomotive: you might know the track is broken behind you, but the train won't notice you. The impetus  was extraordinary, a US credit boom that refused to stop, and trillions of dollars of Asian trade surpluses being recycled into global markets. The level of the market is faith times liquidity, and while faith may have peaked, liquidity had not.  Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

    Will America's creditors keep buying? With Economist Andrew Hunt

  3. Aug 31

    Australian inflation refuses to budge & Warsh talks tough(ish) at Jackson Hole

    The domestic focus last week was Wednesday's July CPI, and it was not the one the Reserve Bank wanted. Headline inflation eased to 3.5% over the year on base effects, despite a roughly 6% monthly rise in fuel prices, but the trimmed mean held at about 3.6%, and rose 0.5% in the month, well above expectation, with the pressure broad-based across goods and services rather than concentrated in one or two misbehaving components. The RBA's own forecast for August sees an acceleration to 0.83% and markets have moved to a coin toss for a hike in September and if not one is fully priced for November. Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/prices-up-and-labour-cooling-in-australia   Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

  4. Aug 28

    Australia's August Reporting season: the unloved are rallying with Tim Binsted

    Australia's August reporting season is drawing to a close, and the more interesting story is not the earnings themselves but what they triggered. CSL guided to flat revenue and rose 20%. Private equity bids arrived for Cleanaway, Equity Trustees, Perpetual, Steadfast and Reliance Worldwide. Meanwhile, the banks drifted the other way as mortgage applications rolled over post-Budget. This week, we look at what the rotation means for diversified portfolios and whether it has a second leg. Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

    Australia's August Reporting season: the unloved are rallying with Tim Binsted

  5. Aug 24

    Australia’s reporting season: rotation beneath a flat tape

    The ASX 300 fell 0.6% last week, but the index number disguised a sharp change in leadership Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/australian-reporting-season-rotation-beneath-a-flat-tape  Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

  6. Aug 17

    A hawkish RBA hold and a rally that is finally broadening

    The RBA dominated the local week, holding the cash rate as universally expected but with a deliberate hawkish tilt.  Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/us-earnings-growth-hits-50-4-or-32-once-the-paper-gains-come-out  Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

  7. Aug 14

    What Australian small caps add to diversified portfolios in the here and now with Ben Griffiths

    Australian small caps are usually treated as a satellite, added when markets feel buoyant and trimmed at the first sign of trouble. The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries is not a miniature ASX 100 though, and it is not the banks and iron ore that drive it. We speak with Ben Griffiths of Eley Griffiths Group about what small caps genuinely add to a diversified portfolio, and why valuations make this a better than usual moment to be asking. Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

    What Australian small caps add to diversified portfolios in the here and now with Ben Griffiths

  8. Aug 10

    The strongest earnings season since 2021

    With 88% of the S&P 500 now reported, second-quarter blended earnings growth stands at 50.4% — the strongest since Q2 2021 — on revenue growth of 15.0%, itself the best since late 2021. The headline flatters, though. Alphabet's result included a US$98 billion unrealised gain on equity securities and Amazon's a US$53.4 billion gain on its Anthropic investment; strip those paper gains out and earnings growth is a still-remarkable 32% Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/us-earnings-growth-hits-50-4-or-32-once-the-paper-gains-come-out  Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

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About

InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world. Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly

Information

  • Creator
    InvestSense
  • Years Active
    2020 - 2026
  • Episodes
    254
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright InvestSense
  • Show Website
    The InvestSense Podcast

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