THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

4Five Productions
  • 5.0 (5)
  • SPORTS
  • UPDATED WEEKLY
THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

The Window is a sports betting podcast hosted and produced by experienced betting analyst, Matt Russell. Matt dives deep into the NFL, NCAA sports, and the NHL, as well as March Madness, NBA Playoffs and Golf’s major championships. With extensive experience in the sports betting content space, Matt’s also a 2-time cash winner in the Las Vegas Supercontest, who believes in responsible gaming as a form of recreation. He celebrates and commiserates betting results with good humor. Join him and various guests here each week, and follow him on X: @mrussauthentic

  1. 5 DAYS AGO

    I GOT A FEEL FOR IT (2.17.25): The 4 Nations Faceoff comes alive and “The Quicks” start off strong

    On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the first four games of the 4 Nations Face-off, and a Saturday night that was impossible to be ready for even if he’s lived it a few dozen times before (including when dudes were getting super creepy during the anthem in 2004), and the hope that there are many more high stakes Canada-USA matchups to come.  Finally, Matt reflects on the first week of “The Quicks” - a high-volume approach to college basketball, which went 107-86-2, amounting to a football season’s worth of betting in just seven days of hoops. Plus, we’ve got a relatively busy Monday, with more “secret” podcast-only plays. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CFB, CBB, NHL and more.

    1h 4m

  2. FEB 10

    EAGLES HAND CHIEFS 40 LIX (2.10.25): Philly wins the Super Bowl, Hurts wins MVP, and the props get weird

    On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Super Bowl LIX, as the Eagles win and Jalen Hurts takes home the MVP, breaking down why Philadelphia might have actually done too good of a job in dismantling the Chiefs when it comes to a game thrown out of whack from a props betting perspective. Naturally, the big game wasn’t without its bad beats. Jahan Dotson falling just short of the end zone was a tough break for two reasons, and Patrick Mahomes going over 252.5 passing yards might as well have been a million-to-1 shot.  Matt digs into THE WINDOW’s overall results this season, re-visiting an outlier regular season where underdogs often went to die for those looking to bet the RUMP, and discussing why an unbecoming ATS record is the least of his worries for next season. Matt formally announces the first “perk” to subscribing to THE WINDOW as a “Founding Pledger” for next season: A 1% share in the THE WINDOW’s Circa Survivor entry for the 2025 NFL season. Finally, Matt touches on the next chapter of our betting season - a high-volume approach to college basketball, with 11 “secret” podcast-only plays for Monday night.  It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CBB and more.

    1h 7m

  3. FEB 4

    Super Bowl Week Smorgasbord (2.4.25): The NBA steals the headlines, CBB gets crazy, and the plan for the run to March Madness

    On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) takes on a variety of topics after the NFL pre-Super Bowl bye week, including how he spent the first Sunday without real football in a long time.  The NBA stole the show overnight on Saturday. Matt discusses the Luka Doncic trade and the reaction to it, and why it’s another example of how perception gets created outside of what’s happening on the inside between players and teams.  College basketball’s wild Saturday was overshadowed by NBA trades, but there were a quartet of games where the “information” we have about the teams couldn’t have mattered less when compared to the results of the games. It’s a great example of why we should rely on a formula to find an edge on the betting market versus just taking what we “know” at face value.  Matt looks ahead to his “how-to” article on betting college basketball and breaks down when you’ll start getting daily reports on how taking ShotQuality metrics and applying that to team efficiency ratings will give us an edge on the point spread each day.  Lastly, Matt gives an update on THE WINDOW as we finish up the football season, with a request for readers to like/restack the Super Bowl articles to see if that improves our placement in the Substack algorithm. Plus, NINE college basketball bets for Tuesday night?!? The Madness is coming… eventually. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CBB and more.

    59 min

  4. JAN 27

    SECOND LIX (1.27.25): The Super Bowl is set with another showdown between the Eagles and Chiefs

    Super Bowl LIX has its matchup! Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Conference Championship Sunday in the NFL after a pair of easy cashes on the Eagles (-6) and the over (47.5) in the AFC title game.  The Commanders weren’t able to keep playing perfect football, and their own turnovers led to a lopsided score. Was hanging 55 points on Washington enough to return the Eagles back to a market rating that we had noticed slipped going into the NFC title game?  It was another instant classic between the Bills-Chiefs. Why the “bet the over and kick back” strategy was an easy winner, while we sweat out some close player prop wins, after racking it up with early “anytime touchdown” scorers.  Then, Matt looks ahead to the Super Bowl. The people don’t seem excited about the matchup because of what we’re subject to for the next two weeks, but why he’s already made a bet on a side in a game that might be looked back on more favorably once the story’s been written on this era. Lastly, Matt outlines his plan for the Super Bowl bets, and thinks aloud about getting ready for March Madness and the Stanley Cup Playoffs.  Plus, FOUR college basketball bets for Monday night?!? The Madness is coming… eventually. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CBB and more.

    1h 7m

  5. JAN 21

    PRETTY GOOD DAY (1.21.25): Ryan’s Buckeye$ win, the real story around the bad beat on Saturday (+ how we avoided it all), and coin-flips games on a wild Sunday in the NFL

    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the NFL’s Divisional Round, where the wrong play is getting credited for a bad beat for Texans’ backers, and how we avoided it all with some astute betting strategy. The Lions blow their best-ever season thanks to turnovers that cost them in the neighborhood of 15-18 points. Jake Elliott stung Eagles’ backers, but there was more than enough opportunity to avoid that live. Plus, the Ravens commit three turnovers, have no answer for the Bills’ gameplan, and STILL are a dropped pass away from potentially going to overtime.  Then Matt takes a quick look back at a pretty lame National Championship game, as Ohio State dominates Notre Dame, only to see that point spread come into question late as well.  Some “fun” high-leverage/variance NFL stats: While teams we bet on went 4-for-5 on 4th down compared to 7-for-9 against, they lost the collective turnover margin 8-2 (22-8 for the playoffs), and missed two field goals and three extra points (compared to one missed field goal against). Plus, SEVEN college basketball bets for Tuesday night?!? The Madness is coming… eventually. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CFB and more.

    1h 7m

  6. JAN 14

    GRAPES OF WRATH? (1.14.25): Football playoff games suggest a curse may be among us for 2025

    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at a disastrous playoff run against the spread in both the College Football Playoff and Wild Card Weekend in the NFL. The difference between Penn State not covering and Texas not covering Why missing out on Houston as a value play was a lesson in football-knowledge hubris How the Broncos and Packers were closer than the scoreboard indicated (and why did Green Bay have a timeout left late?!?) Baker Mayfield blows it for the Bucs Sam Darnold turns into a pumpkin And how it all might be blamed on a New Year’s Eve grape ritual gone bad. Some “fun” stats: Teams we bet on went 6-for-16 on 4th down compared to 6-for-6 against, and we lost the turnover margin 14-6. Plus, college basketball bets for Tuesday night??? The Madness is coming… eventually. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CFB and more.

    1h 12m

  7. JAN 6

    GOOD RIDDANCE - Not the time of our lives (1.6.25): The NFL regular season is over, Week 18 shenanigans, and a look ahead to Wild Card Weekend

    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Week 18 in the NFL with a focus on the Vikings-Lions game and how the final score might have been a microcosm of the “New NFL” where teams going for it on 4th down more frequently are causing a wider range of results.  Matt then goes through the results of the weekend, pointing out how the same thing that led to a loss on Kansas City led to win on the Rams against the spread, along with various other betting stories.  Finally, Matt takes a look at the point spreads for Wild Card Weekend, and if there’s anything that surprised him based on our final market rating chart. Plus, a pair of touchdown scorers for the College Football Playoff are the subject of secret, podcast-only plays.  It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CFB and more.

    1h 3m

  8. JAN 3

    HOLIDAY CATCH-UP (1.3.25): The CFP, Bowl Season, and NFL Week 18 market mayhem

    Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the College Football Playoff’s road back to the best four teams. How there’s probably just six worthy teams, but why it’s fine that we took a circuitous route to get back to the semi-finals we had grown accustomed to. Meanwhile, Matt looks back at how Boise State probably deserved to cover, while for 50+ minutes Arizona State didn’t, and the nature of luck in how some of these football games shake down.  With Bowl Season almost over, the betting market’s been wilder off the field than the action on it. If you waited until the last moment and faded the line predominant line move versus the open, you’d still be profitable, even in games where a line like Oklahoma -13.5 and Texas -25.5 became available live.  Lastly, Matt speeds through Week 17, as an old reliable bad beat - +3.5 in overtime - found its way back into our lives double-time, but how some of last week’s results set up some decent bets (such as they are) for Week 18.  Plus, a SNF SGP, the team total waste of time, and our “Hook ‘n’ Ladder” bet for the secret, podcast-only bets. It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go! Subscribe for FREE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mrussauthentic.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for the rest of the bets in NFL, CFB and more.

    1h 8m
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About

The Window is a sports betting podcast hosted and produced by experienced betting analyst, Matt Russell. Matt dives deep into the NFL, NCAA sports, and the NHL, as well as March Madness, NBA Playoffs and Golf’s major championships. With extensive experience in the sports betting content space, Matt’s also a 2-time cash winner in the Las Vegas Supercontest, who believes in responsible gaming as a form of recreation. He celebrates and commiserates betting results with good humor. Join him and various guests here each week, and follow him on X: @mrussauthentic

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