CANEGROWERS Around the Paddock

CANEGROWERS

CANEGROWERS advocates on behalf of sugarcane growers in Australia. This podcast series examines some key issues and challenges and celebrates the successes.

  1. Jun 20

    Sugar Prices Are Below Cost So What Happens Next

    Send us Fan Mail Sugar doesn’t need a headline to hurt, it just needs to sit below the cost of production for long enough. We’re back with the CANEGROWERS Marketing Information Service update for June 2026, and the message is blunt: prices aren’t where growers want them, shared pool add-ons are under pressure, and the market is still working through surplus supply from the last upswing. We’re joined by Tom from Green Pool and Rob from Famarco to unpack what’s really driving the global sugar outlook. We talk Centre‑South Brazil’s huge crop and rising input costs, Thailand’s switch toward cassava and the production hit from disease, and why the EU could step down next season. On the demand side, we look at how China’s stronger production and Indonesia’s slow import permits change trade flows, plus how the Middle East conflict disrupts refinery buying and the usual stock-building behaviour. For Australian cane growers, the practical issues land in the shared pool: softer Far East premiums, lower polarisation upside, and marketing costs that don’t fall just because the futures price does. We also get specific about forward pricing and risk management: what “time in the market” buys you, why knowing your cost of production matters more in a low-price year, and how to avoid backing yourself into a corner while you wait for the next cycle turn. If you’re watching El Nino probabilities and the Indian monsoon for a trigger, you’ll want these frameworks in your pocket. Subscribe for the next market update, share this with a grower mate, and leave a review with your question: what’s the one signal you’re watching before you commit more pricing?

  2. 11/13/2025

    Talking Trade: From Surplus to Strategy: Making Sense of a Softer Sugar Market

    Send us Fan Mail Prices are soft, tanks are full, and the sugar market is asking a hard question: how do you protect margin when the prompt is at life‑of‑contract lows but the future looks better? We dig into the turn from a multi‑year deficit to a sizeable surplus and show why the forward curve is your best signal right now. You’ll hear a clear breakdown of Brazil’s production mix, why mills kept maximising sugar over ethanol, and when that balance might finally shift. We also unpack Thailand’s rebound, India’s fixed cane pricing and likely export subsidies, and what those flows mean for raw premiums and shared pool values across Asia. Zooming out, we connect the macro dots that matter: cheaper oil, policy‑driven trade volatility, and the tug‑of‑war in currencies with the Aussie dollar and Brazilian real. Then we bring it back to the paddock with practical steps to manage price risk. If you’ve been waiting for certainty before locking prices, this conversation makes the case for a different approach: anchor decisions to your cost of production, use layered targets, and treat the forward curve as a tool to move profit out of a noisy present and into a steadier future. We close with a simple framework you can apply this week. Map volumes by season, set trigger levels that clear your margin needs, and pre‑commit to execution so you’re not forced to price at the worst time. The prompt may sting, but deferred seasons still offer room to build resilience. If this helped clarify your plan, follow the show, share it with a grower who needs a pricing reset, and leave a review with your top takeaway so we can dig deeper next time.

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CANEGROWERS advocates on behalf of sugarcane growers in Australia. This podcast series examines some key issues and challenges and celebrates the successes.

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