Stock Market Updates

HDFC Securities

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  1. 6d ago

    Opening Bell - 16 / 10 / 2026

    Wall Street Rebounds From Deep Losses as Dow Leads on Defensive Rotation United States stock indexes bounced back from deep early-session declines to close in positive territory. While the technology-heavy Nasdaq and the S&P 500 hovered near flat lines due to persistent artificial intelligence sector jitters, both managed to pare losses by the closing bell. The market stabilisation followed reassurance from sector leaders regarding the structural financial health of prominent AI data infrastructure partners. The Dow Jones outperformed the broader market, advancing over 550 points, or approximately 1.1%. Driven by mounting anxieties regarding overextended capital investments in technology companies, market participants actively repositioned capital into consumer-staple, industrial, and transportation equities. Companies like Nike, Home Depot, and Salesforce led the blue-chip index higher as defensive allocation patterns dominated trading. The Nasdaq fell 1.88%, with semiconductors down seven straight sessions on worries about the AI trade. Asian markets plunged Thursday before dip buyers stabilised sentiment Friday. Long-term U.S. government bond yields saw significant downward pressure as investors sought refuge from macroeconomic and sector-specific risks. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield tumbled to roughly 5.09%, recording its largest single-day contraction in over twelve months. This intense bond purchasing activity signalled that fixed-income traders are prioritising safety amidst volatile conditions in the equities landscape. Fresh macroeconomic reports indicated persistent price growth, with the latest wholesale and consumer metrics rising at unexpectedly swift clips. This sticky inflation data has generated heightened concerns that the central bank may implement another interest rate hike at its upcoming policy meeting. These indicators have severely complicated the near-term economic projection, moving probability metrics closer to a coin flip for further monetary tightening. The Indian Rupee extended its winning streak to a fifth straight session yesterday, appreciating 9 paise to close at 95.06. Easing crude prices, unwinding of dollar long positions and firm domestic risk appetite supported the currency, though early gains were partly pared by a widening trade deficit and strong importer demand for dollars. Nifty resumed its upward trajectory, rallying 374 points to close at 22,997 yesterday. It decisively cleared the key 22,776 resistance, pointing to a continuation of the ongoing pullback. The earlier 22776-22,800 resistance band is now likely to act as immediate support. On the upside, 23,100–23,150 is the next resistance band; a sustained break above it could open the path toward 23,490. Short covering in select largecaps drove the market yesterday. For the rally to be sustained, it needs to spill over into midcaps and smallcaps and broaden participation. Indian equities are poised for a moderately higher open, on firm cues from Asian markets

  2. Oct 15

    Opening Bell - 15 / 10 / 2026

    Hot CPI Drives Tech-Led Selloff U.S. stocks closed lower, led by technology, after a hotter-than-expected September CPI report raised fears of another Fed rate hike. Headline CPI rose 3.7% year over year against a 3.6% forecast. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month and 2.6% on the year, both above forecasts, suggesting price pressures are spreading beyond energy. Indexes erased their premarket gains. The Nasdaq fell 1.88% to 26,692.87, its worst day since July 23, and the S&P 500 lost 1.11% to 7,718.94. The Dow slipped just 0.09%. Technology and communication services led the decline, and the Philadelphia semiconductor index dropped 4.3%. Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom fell sharply as higher borrowing costs and funding constraints on the AI infrastructure buildout clouded data-centre spending. Apple rose 0.5% to a record close, lifting its market value above $5 trillion, and healthcare stocks held up. Treasury yields rose on the report. The 2-year yield jumped more than 10 basis points, while the 10-year briefly touched its highest level this year before reversing lower. The odds of an October rate hike climbed to about 37% from 22%, and traders still expect a hike in December. Brent settled at $105 after Houthi strikes on Saudi Aramco and attacks on Hormuz shipping. The Indian rupee extended its winning streak for a fourth session, appreciating 13 paise to close at 95.15, supported by central-bank intervention and unwinding of long dollar positions. However, strong importer demand capped further gains. Asian equity markets experienced a sharp sell-off, led by heavy losses in technology and semiconductor shares. South Korea's KOSPI plunged 7.32% (triggering temporary emergency trading curbs), Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped 4.56%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng declined by 0.97%. Nifty witnessed profit booking and slipped 99 points to close at 22,622. Nifty must reclaim last week’s high of 22,776 to secure fresh bullish confirmation and that would open the way toward the next resistance band of 23,100–23,150. On the downside, 22,300 remains the pivotal support zone. Indian equities are likely to open subdued, weighed down by weak global cues.

  3. Oct 14

    Opening Bell - 14 / 10 / 2026

    Chip Rout and Bank Misses Cap Wall Street gains Major Wall Street benchmarks finished flat or slightly negative as investors evaluated the start of the corporate earnings season. Healthcare and manufacturing names like Johnson & Johnson and Caterpillar weighed heavily on the blue-chip Dow, offsetting initial optimism surrounding banking results. The S&P 500 finished essentially flat near 7,805, the Nasdaq fell 0.15%, and the Dow lost 0.35%. Citigroup fell 5.6%, Wells Fargo fell 3.1%, and JPMorgan fell 0.9% after a rare profit miss, while Goldman Sachs slipped 0.2% despite beating estimates and Johnson & Johnson dropped 5.7%. Technology and semiconductor stocks experienced selling pressure for a second consecutive session due to concerns over international market developments. Technological advancements from Chinese memory chip manufacturers have heightened worries about long-term US dominance in the sector. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell for a fifth straight session on Chinese memory-chip competition, with Micron down 3.6% and Applied Materials down almost 7%. Concerns over intensifying international market competition triggered a significant decline in South Korea's memory chip sector, which subsequently rippled into the U.S. markets. Brent crude oil prices hovered around $ 106 a barrel, firmly elevated due to persistent geopolitical tensions involving Iran and the wider Middle East. The decline in energy commodities helped provide temporary relief to Treasury yields as market participants pivot their attention to upcoming inflation readings. September CPI is due today in the USA, with consensus near 3.6% to 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4%, driven by energy costs. It is the last inflation reading before the Fed's October 27-28 meeting, and a higher number could pressure risk assets. NY Fed's Williams said one more hike this year is appropriate, but no further tightening is needed in 2027. Stocks recovered from session lows, Treasuries rallied, and the dollar slipped, and the 10-year yield eased to about 5.18%. Nifty staged a powerful reversal yesterday, surging 358 points, or 1.60%, to settle at 22,721—its sharpest single-session percentage gain since 12 June 2026. Indian equities rallied as hopes of relief on STT or capital gains tax grew, after the finance minister said the government is open to discussion. The rupee strengthened for a third consecutive session, gaining 49 paise to close near a one-month high. The move was supported by RBI measures to curb volatility and speculative activity, unwinding of long dollar positions, broader dollar weakness, lower crude prices and the recovery in domestic equities. Nifty’s close above the 13-day DEMA for the first time since 25 August 2026 marks an early improvement in short-term momentum. The index has also confirmed a higher top and higher bottom on a closing basis, validating a short-term bullish reversal. Resistance is now seen in the 23,100–23,150 zone; a decisive breakout above this band would further strengthen the bullish structure. On the downside, support has shifted higher to 22,580, followed by 22,300. As long as these levels hold, the near-term bias favours buying on dips. Indian equities appear set for a subdued start to the session, weighed down by a soft global backdrop.

  4. Oct 13

    Opening Bell - 13 / 10 / 2026

    Tech Slides on AI Valuation Worries as Treasury Yields Hit 5.3%, Oil Near $105 The technology sector experienced broad weakness today, causing the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite to finish modestly lower. Investors shifted focus into value-oriented sectors, allowing the blue-chip Dow Jones to log a positive gain. Warnings about artificial-intelligence sector valuations and a broader market rotation weighed particularly heavily on semiconductor and hardware stocks. The Dow rose 0.38% to 51,850 while the S&P 500 was flat at 7,807 and the Nasdaq fell 0.44%. Micron dropped 3.9% on Chinese rival CXMT's chip progress. Investors are shifting their focus to corporate fundamentals as major financial institutions prepare to report their third-quarter performance. Banking giants including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup will kick off the corporate earnings season today. These upcoming reports are expected to provide key insights into how sustained high bond yields have impacted economic growth. The dollar index is around 102.5, its highest since April 2025, on hawkish Fed expectations and safe-haven demand. EUR/USD is steady near 1.12 but pressured by France's debt worries, weak Italian industrial output and fading ECB hike bets. The US 10-year Treasury yield is around 5.3%, and the 30-year hit 5.70%, the highest since 2002, pressuring stocks, gold and crypto. Brent surged to $107, now hovering near 105.5 following Houthi strikes on Riyadh's airport. Crude oil benchmarks fell slightly as traders responded to reports of a potential Russia-Ukraine energy infrastructure ceasefire. Market participants remained cautious as the White House noted the unconfirmed truce focused heavily on refinery targets. Cleveland Fed's Hammack said fast, incremental tightening may be needed. Markets see about 81% odds of a hold on Oct. 28 but still expect a possible further hike by year-end. September CPI is due Wednesday, with a 3.6% y/y consensus versus 3.4% in August. PPI follows Thursday, and Fed Chair Warsh speaks Friday at the IMF-World Bank meetings, where a hawkish tone could hit risk assets. India’s retail inflation accelerated to 5.5% YoY in Sep 2026 from 4.82% in Aug-26, in line with expectations, as higher food and energy prices continued to feed into broader metrics. Core CPI edged up by 4.6% YoY in Sep-26, indicating a gradual broadening of price pressures beyond food and fuel. With headline inflation moving closer to the upper end of the RBI’s 2-6% target band, upside risks have intensified amid El Niño concerns, a deficient monsoon and elevated global commodity prices The Indian rupee was the strongest performer among its Asian peers, appreciating 96 paise to close at 95.77. The move was supported by the RBI’s targeted measures to curb speculation and contain volatility in the forex market. After opening higher, profit-taking set in almost immediately and persisted throughout yesterday's session, pulling the Nifty nearly 250 points lower from its high to close near the day’s low. A sustained move above last week’s high of 22,776 would be needed to signal a bullish trend reversal. On the downside, 22,180 is near-term support; a break below it could signal a resumption of the downtrend. Asian markets opened lower today, followed by Wall Street, as Technology stocks, particularly chipmakers, came under pressure as investors reduced exposure to growth-oriented shares ahead of earnings announcements and inflation readings. Indian equities appear set for a subdued start to the session, weighed down by a soft global backdrop.

  5. Oct 9

    Opening Bell - 09 / 10 / 2026

    OpenAI Revenue Shortfall Hits AI and Chip Stocks Technology and semiconductor shares sold off after OpenAI reported annualised revenue of about $50B, roughly $20B below expectations. The report deepened doubts over debt-funded AI infrastructure spending. The Nasdaq fell 1.25% to 27,193, and the S&P 500 lost 0.47% to 7,765, while the Dow edged up 0.09% to 51,225. Oracle slid about 5.5%, Micron 4.8%, Broadcom 4.4%, AMD nearly 4% and Nvidia nearly 3%. Fresh tanker attacks in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz, hurricane-related cuts to US output and reports that the Pentagon is preparing major strikes added to the crude rally - Brent oil rose above $103. Trump said he does not want an Iran deal, though crude eased after he said he would not attack before the midterms. The 10-year yield eased to about 5.23% after strong demand at the 30-year auction. Fed officials Waller and Musalem signalled further hikes, with markets pricing in about 83% odds of a December hike versus 17.7% for October. Trump administration announced a sweeping suspension of several massive tech and IT service giants from the Permanent Labour Certification (PERM) program—the essential employer-sponsored pathway used by H-1B holders to obtain a Green Card. TCS's Q2FY27 performance signals a gradual improvement in growth momentum (+0.5% QoQ CC), led by its international business and accelerating AI adoption, even as macro remains unchanged and discretionary spending is muted. The rupee ended with minor losses, depreciating 1 paise to close at 96.78. Pressure on the Indian rupee persisted, driven by rising crude oil prices and sustained FII outflows. Nifty breached the previous swing-low support at 22,217 as well as the key April 2026 swing low of 22,182. The decisive breakdown of these levels indicates a further escalation in selling pressure and an intensification of the ongoing downtrend. The next support for the index is placed near 21,750, while 22,400 and 22,600 are likely to act as immediate resistance levels. Indian equities are poised for a moderately higher open, on firm Asian cues.

  6. Oct 8

    Opening Bell - 08 / 10 / 2026

    Start of Earnings Season to Drive Markets as Interest Rate, Currency and Crude Worries Persist Major U.S. stock indexes retreated from their all-time highs as investors locked in gains. The Dow Jones dropped 0.66%, while both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.22% following their record-breaking sessions. This pullback was heavily driven by heightened energy price volatility and lingering inflation anxieties. Long-term U.S. bond yields soared to levels not seen since 2002, with the 30-year Treasury yield scaling to 5.66% and the 10-year note touching 5.37% in early trading. Heavy pressure in the fixed-income sector initially rattled equities, though yields moderately pared back their daily gains following a solid $39 billion government auction of 10-year notes. Global energy benchmarks remained elevated, with Brent crude stabilising around the $102 per barrel threshold. Persistent anxiety regarding attacks on supply lines in the Strait of Hormuz continues to bolster prices, creating a structural undercurrent of inflation worries that is complicating the Federal Reserve's monetary trajectory. EURO fell about 0.6% to near 1.119. French fiscal stress, Spain's snap election and Brent above $100 are weighing on the euro. The RBI MPC hiked the repo rate by 25bps for the first time since Feb’2023 to 5.5%, citing hardening inflation and the re-escalation of the West Asia crisis and the resulting hardening and volatility in global crude prices. It also changed the stance from ‘neutral’ to ‘calibrated tightening’, indicating that rate cuts are off the table and there would be further hikes or a pause in the coming months. The rupee depreciated 36 paise to close at a five-month low of 96.78, marking its second-weakest close on record and underperforming most Asian currencies. Sentiment weakened after the RBI adopted a hawkish stance amid renewed inflation concerns. A rebound in crude oil prices and heightened risk aversion added to the pressure, keeping dollar bulls firmly in control. TCS is going to report Q2 FY27 results today, after market hours, with the board also due to consider a second interim dividend. The market expects revenue growth of about 0.5% QoQ and 2.8% YoY, broadly stable margins versus Q1, and TCV of $10–11 billion. The focus is on whether growth stabilises and how quickly margins can move toward the 25%+ exit target. Nifty resumed its downward trajectory, declining 173 points to close at 22,603 yesterday amid a highly volatile trading session. Immediate resistance is placed near 22,800, aligned with the 10-day EMA, while key supports are seen at 22,397 and 22,217. A sustained move above 22,800 would be required to signal meaningful short-term recovery. Indian equities look set for a muted open in the absence of strong global triggers.

  7. Oct 7

    Opening Bell - 07 / 10 / 2026

    S&P 500 and Nasdaq reach historic heights as artificial intelligence trade re-ignites Major US stock indexes advanced as tech giants paced a broader market rally, sending the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite to fresh closing records. The upward momentum was fueled by investor optimism surrounding artificial intelligence hardware leaders and upwardly revised corporate earnings expectations for the upcoming season. The S&P 500 rose about 0.6% to a record close at 7,819, and the Nasdaq notched a second straight record near 27,599. The Dow added roughly 250 points as AI-linked shares led the gains. Fixed-income pressure on equities relaxed slightly as the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield pulled back from near its multi-decade high above 5.3%. The 10-year yield fell to about 5.27% after touching a level not seen since 2002, which helped equities. Economic data revealed the US domestic trade deficit expanded to $105.6 billion in August, exceeding consensus forecasts. Driven by a surge in record import levels, the gap reflects the widest imbalance observed since early 2025. Crude oil rebounded as a Gulf of Mexico storm threatening US output and refineries, together with Houthi attacks on Saudi airports, outweighed higher Middle East exports and the G7's 100-million-barrel reserve release. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee announces its decision today at 10:00 am, and the consensus is a 25 bp hike in the repo rate to 5.50% from 5.25%, the first increase since February 2023. Eight of 10 economists in a poll expect the hike, so it is a majority call rather than a unanimous one. Rising inflation, surging oil prices and rupee pressure are behind the expectation. Markets will focus on the guidance rather than the decision itself, especially the vote split, any shift in stance away from neutral, and the revised inflation and growth projections. The Indian rupee depreciated 13 paise to close at 96.42 against the US dollar, weighed down by continued dollar demand from FPIs and oil companies. Market participants will now focus on the RBI’s monetary-policy decision due today, along with the trajectory of foreign capital flows. Nifty gained for the second consecutive session yesterday, rising 220 points to close at 22,776. Immediate resistance is placed at 22,875, followed by 23,080. On the downside, support has shifted higher to around 22,550. Indian equities are poised for a subdued open, on rising energy costs and weaker cues from Asian markets.

  8. Oct 6

    Opening Bell - 06 / 10 / 2026

    Nasdaq Hits Record as Nvidia Leads Wall Street rallied on AI-linked strength, with the Nasdaq Composite rising 1.05% to a record close of 27,477, the S&P 500 gaining 0.66% to 7,774 and the Dow adding 0.18%. Nvidia closed at a record high, surpassing its mid-May peak and anchoring the tech advance ahead of earnings season, though elevated yields continued to weigh on non-AI sectors. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to about 5.31%, up roughly 50 bps in a month, while a September payrolls print of 29,000 against an 84,000 estimate lifted market-implied odds of an October Fed hold to about 78% from 36% a week earlier. In currency markets, the euro fell to 1.1161, its lowest since May 2025, as French 10-year yields hit their highest since 2002 and the France-Germany spread widened past 140 bps, with political turmoil in Spain and record speculative euro shorts adding pressure while the dollar index touched an annual high. Crude fell about 2% as Middle East exports recovered toward pre-war levels and a 100-million-barrel G7 emergency release and a Saudi price cut added pressure. After shedding half a per cent last week, the Indian Rupee steadied, appreciating 3 paise to close at 96.29 as easing supply concerns pulled crude oil prices lower. While improving risk-on sentiment provided an additional cushion for the local currency, market participants remain focused on the upcoming RBI monetary policy decision and foreign capital flows. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting October 5-7, with the decision due tomorrow. Markets are leaning toward a 25 bp repo hike to 5.50%, with 38 of 61 economists in a poll expecting it. Nifty snapped its four-day losing streak, advancing 133 points to settle at 22,555 yesterday. Short-term indicators are deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical bounce. Immediate resistance sits at 22,655 and 22,810—a decisive breakout above this zone is essential to signal a meaningful recovery. Conversely, a move below the swing low of 22,397 could extend the decline toward 22,200. Indian equities are poised for a moderately higher open, on firm cues from Wall Street

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