Stock Market Updates

HDFC Securities

Stay updated with the latest happenings in the world of stock markets with our expert analysts

  1. 1D AGO

    Opening Bell - 15/05/026

    Dow Reclaims 50000, Constructive Signals from the Trump-Xi Summit, Doemstic Fuel Prices Hiked by Rs 3 per Litre U.S. equity markets surged Thursday as the Dow reclaimed the 50,000 milestone and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at record highs. The rally was driven by AI optimism, the blockbuster Cerebras IPO, and constructive signals from the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing — where Boeing and Nvidia deal announcements drew particular attention. Cisco jumped more than 13% after beating Q3 earnings estimates and raising its full-year revenue guidance. Cerebras soared 68–99% in its market debut, the largest IPO of 2026. Nvidia gained over 4% after reports that the U.S. cleared several Chinese firms to purchase its H200 chips. Treasury yields were little changed, with the 10-year hovering near 4.48%. Inflation data remained mixed — producer and consumer prices stayed elevated, though wholesale prices posted a surprise decline earlier in the week. The Treasury is managing a $125 billion securities refunding maturing today. Oil prices pulled back, as traders balanced cautious summit optimism against the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict. The EIA raised its U.S. crude production forecast to 13.65 million bpd, while OPEC trimmed its 2026 demand-growth outlook citing the impact of regional conflicts on trade routes. It projects global oil demand to contract by 420,000 barrels per day year-over-year in 2026, adding further pressure on prices. The Indian rupee recovered part of its losses after touching a record low of 95.96 against the US dollar. It rebounded on expectations that the government may reduce taxes on foreign investment in bond allocations to support capital inflows, and finally closed at 95.77, down 6 paise for the day. The currency’s partial recovery provided some comfort to the broader market sentiment. Nifty extended its recovery for a second straight session, surging 277 points to close at 23,689. A decisive breakout above 23,800 would strengthen the bullish setup and open the door for a move toward the next resistance near 24,100. The recent swing low of 23262 has emerged as immediate support and can be used as a stop-loss level for long positions. Indian markets are likely to open flat on mixed market cues.

    2 min
  2. 2D AGO

    Opening Bell - 14/05/2026

    Nvidia's $5.5 Trillion Milestone Drives US Markets to New Heights The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at fresh all-time highs on Wednesday, led by a broad technology rally even as hotter-than-expected inflation data tempered sentiment. Gains were concentrated at the top, as roughly two-thirds of S&P 500 constituents finished the session lower, underscoring the narrow breadth beneath the headline records. NVIDIA was the standout, surging 2.29% to become the first company in history to reach a $5.5 trillion market capitalisation. CEO Jensen Huang's appearance alongside President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Beijing summit lent the stock additional momentum. Micron Technology also advanced on AI-driven optimism. After the close, Cisco Systems jumped 18% in extended trading following an earnings beat and an AI-focused restructuring that includes approximately 4,000 job cuts. On the macro front, inflation continued to reassert itself. April's Producer Price Index rose 6.0% year-over-year — the fastest pace since December 2022 — and climbed 1.4% month-over-month, exceeding consensus on both measures. Core wholesale prices advanced 5.2% annually. The print compounds Tuesday's April CPI reading of 3.7% and a Q1 PCE of 4.5%, stacking a formidable case that inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target. The U.S. Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair. Boston Fed President Susan Collins separately flagged a potential rate hike as a tail risk should inflationary pressures broaden, though she was careful to characterise it as outside her base case. The 10-year Treasury yield pressed toward 4.5%, and rate-cut expectations for the remainder of the year have largely been priced out ahead of the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. Asian markets are trading higher today as investors look to a high-stakes meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping for clues on the future of U.S.-China ties and global trade. The Indian rupee weakened for a fourth straight session and plummted to an all-time low of 95.80 per dollar. Despite the government’s move to raise import duties on gold and silver to discourage purchases, the currency remained under pressure amid sustained foreign capital outflows. Government banned sugar exports with immediate effect until September 30, 2026, or until further orders, as the world’s second-largest sugar producer moved to contain rising domestic prices. The restrictions apply to both raw and white sugar exports, although shipments already in the pipeline will be permitted under specified conditions. Nifty snapped its four-session losing streak, rising 33 points to close at 23412. The recovery was supported by strong performance in the metal, oil, and gas sectors, despite continued selling pressure in the IT and Auto stocks. The former support near 23800 is now likely to act as resistance on pullbacks, while immediate downside support is seen around 23100. Indian markets are likely to open higher on strong global cues.

    3 min
  3. 3D AGO

    Opening Bell - 13/05/2026

    Semiconductors Slide in the US, Nifty Bleeds on Austerity Measures, Govt. Hikes Import Duty on Bullion. Major U.S. stock indexes pulled back from recent all-time highs as a massive surge in semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks lost momentum. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 both ended Tuesday lower, with notable declines in large-cap chipmakers like Micron and AMD following a period of extreme outperformance. Consumer price index data for April showed an annual inflation rate of 3.8%, surpassing forecasts and marking the highest level since May 2023. This persistent price growth, driven largely by energy costs, has led market participants to price out immediate rate cuts and instead increase bets on potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes later this year. Oil prices continue to climb amid unresolved U.S.-Iran tensions, with President Trump dismissing Iran's peace proposal and calling ceasefire talks on 'life support.' Intel fell 10% to around $116, and AMD dropped 5% to approximately $436 on Tuesday, pulling back sharply after Intel surged 35% and AMD gained 34% in just the prior week. The Q1 2026 earnings season is proving exceptionally robust, with approximately 84% of S&P 500 companies reporting results that exceed analyst estimates. The Indian rupee extended its losing streak to a third day, hitting an intraday record low of 95.74 amid general weakness in Asian markets. The depreciation is largely attributed to anxieties over elevated crude oil prices and their adverse impact on the fiscal deficit. Combined with rising risk aversion and sustained foreign capital outflows, these factors have positioned the rupee as the worst-performing Asian currency so far this year. Nifty witnessed a sharp and broad-based sell-off, declining for the fourth consecutive session and ending 436 points lower at 23,379, marking its steepest single-day fall of the current financial year. Nifty has now surrendered over 1,100 points from its recent swing high of 24,482 in just four days. Sectoral performance was overwhelmingly negative, with the Nifty IT and Realty indices each crashing by roughly 4%. IT majors like TCS and Infosys reached new annual lows, pressured by concerns over AI-led service disruptions and a general retreat from growth stocks amid unfavourable global cues. In a strategic move to curb imports and support the falling rupee, the Indian government increased the import duty on gold and silver to 15%. This policy adjustment aims to protect foreign exchange reserves and narrow the widening trade deficit caused by high energy prices and sustained capital outflows. Nifty is now placed below its key short-term averages. The earlier support level of 23800 is now expected to act as a resistance on any pullback. On the downside, immediate support is placed near 23100. Indian markets are likely to open flat on subdued global cues.

    3 min
  4. 4D AGO

    Opening Bell - 12/05/2026

    The U.S.-Iran Ceasefire on the Edge of Collapse, Markets to shift focus to US-China Summit The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at fresh all-time highs - 7,412 and 26,274, respectively — as strength in technology and semiconductors outweighed investor unease over the collapse of Iran ceasefire talks. Market sentiment remains buoyed by the belief that the AI supercycle is in its early stages, with major firms like Micron reaching new record levels. After President Trump rejected Tehran's counterproposal as "totally unacceptable," Brent crude surged to $105 per barrel. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.41% as markets repriced for inflation risk ahead of Tuesday's April CPI release, which economists expect to show a 3.7% year-over-year gain. The euro held flat against the dollar at $1.18, repeatedly testing but failing to clear that resistance level, with currency markets effectively in a holding pattern until the inflation print. President Trump and Xi Jinping are set for sweeping talks covering Iran, nuclear policy, trade, and AI — one of the most consequential U.S.-China summits in years. The breadth of the agenda signals a deliberate thaw, with both sides engaging across every major axis of strategic and economic tension. Executives from Apple, Boeing, Citi, Tesla, and Meta are joining Trump in China, one of the most significant corporate delegations ever to accompany a sitting president. Their presence confirms that trade normalisation and market access sit at the heart of the U.S. agenda. The outcome of the summit could materially shift global markets, energy dynamics, and the AI race simultaneously. The Indian rupee began the week on a weak footing, depreciating by 83 paise to close at a record low amid escalating geopolitical tensions. The decline was primarily driven by a breakdown in U.S.-Iran peace negotiations, which led to a surge in crude oil prices and strengthened the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven appeal. Domestic sentiment was further dampened by Prime Minister Modi’s “Nation First” austerity call, urging reduced fuel consumption and postponement of non-essential foreign travel to conserve foreign exchange reserves. Nifty extended its losing streak for the third consecutive session, declining sharply by 360 points to settle at 23815, weighed down by rising crude prices and a weakening rupee. Nifty is likely to breach the critical support level of 23,800 at the open. The next strong support comes in at the 23,550-23500 range. On the upside, the 24000–24125 zone is expected to serve as immediate resistance. Indian markets are likely to open lower today on weak global cues.

    2 min
  5. 5D AGO

    Opening Bell - 11 / 05 / 2026

    Market Summary: Global Records vs. Domestic Austerity The financial landscape is currently defined by a sharp contrast between record-breaking U.S. and Asian performance and a cautious, "austerity-focused" environment in India. U.S. Performance: The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit fresh record highs last week, marking their sixth consecutive weekly gain. This was fueled by a blowout April jobs report (115,000 new jobs vs. 55,000 forecast) and a massive upward revision in corporate earnings. Earnings Growth: S&P 500 net income is projected to rise by 27.7%, the strongest growth since 2021. Asia-Pacific: South Korea’s Kospi hit a record high Monday morning, jumping 3.67% as it navigated regional tensions and oil price surges. Energy Surge: Brent crude has climbed back above $105/barrel due to supply disruptions and conflict with Iran. This has made energy the top-performing sector of 2026, up nearly 25% year-to-date. Sticky Inflation: With U.S. inflation hitting 3.3% and energy costs surging (up 12.5% YoY in March), analysts predict interest rate cuts may be delayed until 2027, with some even eyeing potential rate hikes later this year. Consumer Sentiment: U.S. sentiment fell to 48.2 in May, reflecting public anxiety over rising fuel and living costs. While global indexes hit records, Indian benchmarks (Nifty 50 and Sensex) ended the week lower due to foreign outflows and profit booking. The domestic focus has shifted toward economic preservation: PM Modi’s Appeal: To protect foreign exchange reserves and combat the impact of high oil prices, the Prime Minister has urged citizens to: Postpone Gold Purchases: Defer buying for at least one year. Limit Travel: Postpone non-essential foreign vacations and destination weddings. Adopt Remote Work: Revive pandemic-era WFH habits to save fuel. Dietary Shifts: Reduce edible oil consumption for health and economic reasons. Market Outlook: The Indian market is in a consolidation phase. Experts expect the Nifty to oscillate between 23,800 and 24,400, with a likely lower opening today following weak global cues and geopolitical instability in the Middle East.

    3 min
  6. MAY 8

    Opening Bell - 08 / 05 / 2026

    US Markets Retreat as Hormuz Tensions Push Crude Higher American forces struck Iranian military facilities responsible for attacks on warships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, adding that US forces "do not seek escalation." Oil resumed its rally Friday after US and Iranian forces exchanged fire near the Strait of Hormuz, stoking fears that a fragile ceasefire was unravelling and threatening further disruption to one of the world's most critical shipping lanes. The military exchanges injected fresh uncertainty into global markets, with crude jumping roughly 2% in after-hours trading amid revived concerns over energy supply stability and inflation. US equities retreated with the S&P 500 falling 0.38% to 7,337.11 and the Dow shedding 313 points to 49,596.97 — though both indexes remain well above year-ago levels following April's record monthly advance. Losses were driven by a cooldown in technology stocks, with the Dow slipping more than 0.6% after failing to breach the 50,000 threshold. Broadcom shares dropped 4% after reports emerged that its landmark $18 billion AI chip deal with OpenAI is facing a major financing hurdle, contingent on Microsoft committing to purchase roughly 40% of the chips. Should Microsoft decline, the financing terms for the project would need to be renegotiated, casting doubt over the timeline of the high-profile partnership. While long-term appetite for artificial intelligence remains robust, semiconductor firms like Intel and Advanced Micro Devices faced significant pressure, with some shares falling roughly 3%. This retreat follows a period of strong quarterly gains, as investors begin to weigh lofty valuations against actual earnings performance. The Indian rupee strengthened for the second consecutive session yesterday, appreciating by 36 paise to close at 94.25, supported by gains in Asian currencies. Support came from short covering and steady dollar inflows through domestic banks. Nifty extended its alternating trend of gains and losses, slipping marginally by 4 points to settle at 24,326. Despite the profit booking during the second half, the broader technical structure remains intact, with the index sustaining the uptrend. Immediate support is at the 24,000 level, while resistance is near 24,600. Indian markets are likely to open lower on weak global cues.

    2 min
  7. MAY 4

    Opening Bell - 04 / 05 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Wall Street Surges to New Highs While Indian Markets Consolidate The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed at fresh all-time highs, buoyed by strong mega-cap tech earnings and a modest pullback in crude prices. The S&P 500 extended its winning streak to five consecutive weeks on Friday, closing 0.3% higher at a record high, led by technology and consumer discretionary sectors. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.9%, also finishing at a record. US GDP grew at a 2.0% annualised rate in Q1 2026, accelerating from 0.5% in Q4 2025, but fell slightly short of consensus estimates and was well below the 4.4% pace recorded in Q3 2025. Earnings expectations surged after mega-cap technology companies reported better-than-expected results. With 63% of S&P 500 companies having reported, analysts now project first-quarter earnings growth of 27.1%, up sharply from a 15.0% forecast the prior week. The past week was a period of consolidation and heightened volatility for the Indian equity markets. While the benchmarks had enjoyed a stellar April—with the Nifty 50 surging over 5.8% for the full month—the final week saw a tactical retreat. Investors grappled with a combination of higher-for-longer global interest rate signals and a sharp escalation in energy costs driven by geopolitical friction. The Indian Rupee hit a historic psychological milestone, slipping past the 95-per-US-dollar mark on April 30. This depreciation was accelerated by continued foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows as traders pivoted toward the safety of the US dollar index. BSE Sensex added 0.3%, and the Nifty gained 0.4% for the week. The BSE 150 MidCap Index gained 0.3%. The BSE 250 SmallCap index jumped 2.0%. The IT sector was a rare bright spot, acting as a natural hedge against a weakening Rupee. The Banking and Financial Services sectors bore the brunt of the selling pressure, with Nifty Bank falling roughly 1% in the final session of April. Additionally, the Metals and Energy space faced headwinds. Indian automakers exhibited robust monthly sales, surging 8-10% YoY amid festive demand and lower taxes. India’s GST collections jumped 8.7 per cent year-on-year to hit an all-time high of Rs 2,42,702 crore in April 2026, according to the latest official data released on Friday, May 1. Results for four state assembly elections and one Union territory — Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, and Puducherry — are due today and that is likely to drive sentiments in the short run. Nifty found support near the key 23,800 level, which reinforces its role as pivotal support. Immediate hurdles stand at 24,334 and 24,600. Indian markets are likely to open higher on strong global cues.

    2 min
  8. APR 24

    Opening Bell - 24 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Crude Oil Spikes to $106 on Hormuz Blockade Woes US stocks closed lower on Thursday, retreating from recent record highs as investors weighed mixed quarterly earnings, fading hopes for a swift diplomatic resolution in Iran, and inflationary pressures. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all declined, with tech shares underperforming and defensive sectors gaining. The Nasdaq Composite led the declines, down 0.89%, while the S&P 500 and the Dow fell approximately 0.4% each. Market sentiment was dampened by disappointing quarterly results and tempered guidance from key industry players, including ServiceNow and IBM. The retreat followed stalled US-Iran peace negotiations, even as 81% of the 87 S&P 500 companies reporting so far beat earnings estimates. Sentiment improved on Thursday evening, as investors reacted to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension. Intel shares surged more than 20% in extended trading after the chipmaker reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings. The upbeat performance was driven by robust demand for data centre processors and artificial intelligence-related workloads, which have become a key growth driver for the company. Uncertainty surrounding the ongoing conflict with Iran and a continued naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent crude oil prices toward $106 per barrel. These rising energy costs have fueled inflationary concerns, leading to higher U.S. Treasury yields across maturities. The benchmark 10-year yield recently traded near 4.3% as investors assessed the potential for sustained high interest rates. Recent economic data indicate a cooling labour market, with weekly jobless claims climbing to 214,000, exceeding previous expectations. Many firms are reportedly holding headcounts steady or only hiring to replace departing workers, a shift from the aggressive hiring seen in prior periods. This trend, combined with sticky inflation, is complicating the Federal Reserve's path for future interest rate decisions. Driven by surging hedging demand and a flight to safe-haven assets, the Indian rupee weakened for a fourth straight day, depreciating 32 paise against the dollar to hit its lowest level this April. Nifty has now entered the gap zone between 24,145 and 23,907, formed on 15 April 2026, which may act as short-term support. On the upside, 24,310 and 24,600 are likely to act as resistance levels. Indian markets are likely to open marginally higher amid strong NASDAQ futures cues.

    3 min

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