Straight Outta Vegas AM

Pregame.com

Start your day off with a winner! The Pregame.com team breaks down the games, the stories & the bets you need to know every morning. With contributions from Pregame’s RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik & More!, SOV AM is your daily destination for sports conversation with a Vegas lean!

  1. 2d ago

    What I Bet - Tuesday July 14th

    Griffin Warner talks sports betting for Tuesday. Griffin Warner delivers a leaner but sharp episode of What I Bet built around the only two events worth betting on this Tuesday, the World Cup semifinal between Spain and France at AT&T Stadium in Arlington and the Major League Baseball All Star Game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Griffin opens at 0:32 by setting the stage for Spain and France, two nations that entered the tournament as co favorites at 5 to 1 odds as of July 3rd but have since diverged, with France now installed as the clear favorite needing a win in regulation to cover the spread. At 1:17 Griffin lays out his case for Spain, arguing that their possession based style works identically whether they are favored or underdogs, a trait he considers rare in knockout soccer, and noting the team is getting healthier at the right time. At 1:33 he acknowledges France's individual talent, led by Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, both of whom scored from outside the box in a 2 to 0 quarterfinal win over Morocco discussed at 2:03, while questioning whether longtime manager Didier Deschamps offers much beyond simply fielding the more talented roster. By 2:18 Griffin lands on his headline soccer pick, backing Spain as a quarter goal underdog and urging listeners to grab the number immediately before it shifts, explaining that the quarter goal split between a pick em portion and a plus one half portion protects bettors with a partial cash return if the match extends into extra time, which he expects given Spain's discipline defending against counterattacks. At 2:48 he shares his lean on the two and a half goal total, expecting the public to favor the over given the star power on both rosters while he sees a low scoring, controlled match shaping up instead, landing at 3:19 on a combined recommendation of Spain under the total and Spain to advance outright near plus 130 depending on the sportsbook. The show pivots to baseball at 3:49, with Griffin outlining the All Star Game lines, a National League team favored at minus 128 against the American League at plus 116, and a total of eight runs priced at minus 104 to the under and minus 116 to the over. At 4:20 he explains his general approach to exhibition baseball, trusting that the sport's best pitchers will suppress even the hottest first half hitters, despite acknowledging Philadelphia's shorter outfield dimensions raise the risk profile for an under play. At 4:50 Griffin spends real time on the Toronto Blue Jays' dominant presence in All Star voting following last season's seven game World Series run, highlighting Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s selection as the American League's starting first baseman despite a career worst first half that included stretches of just five home runs, and wondering aloud whether a taxing offseason program contributed to the decline. At 5:05 he notes Blue Jays manager John Schneider is running the American League dugout, tying the assignment to Toronto's pennant winning season, and projects a National League win that should mean fewer total at bats and a lower final score. After a quick promotional break at 5:35 pointing listeners toward pregame dot com and the CUP15 discount code for 15 dollars off any package, including Griffin's World Cup All Access pass covering the tournament's final four match days for 60 dollars instead of 75, Griffin previews an upcoming return to full scale baseball coverage once the World Cup wraps this Sunday and marks the milestone of six years and 64 episodes of Pregame Network podcasting. He closes at 6:51 with his top play of the night, the under eight runs total in the All Star Game, built on the theory that elite pitching wins out over hot hitting even in a hitter friendly ballpark, and offers the under first five innings at 7:07 as a higher variance alternative for bettors wanting extra action, reasoning that without extra innings or the Manfred Man rule extending the game the first five inning number offers a cleaner read on true scoring pace. Griffin signs off previewing Tuesday's World Cup semifinal as the centerpiece of the show's next episode and thanking listeners for their continued support of What I Bet and the wider Straight Outta Vegas AM lineup on the Pregame Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  2. 5d ago

    Cash That Ticket - Friday July 10th

    Munaf Manji and Dave Essler talk betting for Friday. On this Friday edition closing out the first half of the baseball season, Munaf Manji and Dave Essler run through a full slate of matchups before turning their attention to an NFL win total preview on the Dallas Cowboys, all while being honest about a rougher stretch of results over the past couple weeks. Dave opens by noting he cashed his client best bet on the Brewers first five the night before, and he shares that he likes Matt Fitzpatrick and Rory heading through their respective golf rounds. Munaf explains that Thursday cards have been a consistent trouble spot this season, largely because of the thin getaway day schedule, and he pledges never to force plays just to have something on the board every day. The two then work through four featured games in careful detail. In the nation's capital, Ryan Weathers and the Yankees face Carson Palmquist and the Nationals, with both hosts leaning heavily on the over given Palmquist's expected short outing, a shaky Nationals bullpen, and a Nationals lineup that leads the majors in runs scored, plus a standout trend showing the Nationals going twelve and three to the over in the first game of a home series this season. In Tampa Bay, Luis Castillo and the Mariners take on Nick Martinez and the Rays, with the pair pointing to Castillo's poor history following high pitch count starts and Martinez owning a career mark of zero and four against Seattle, landing both hosts on the over and some added interest in the Rays moneyline. In Miami, Parker Messick faces Sandy Alcantara in what both expect to be a tightly pitched affair, with a detailed discussion of pitch count trends, Jose Ramirez potentially returning to the Guardians lineup soon, and Alcantara's strong home splits this season. In Cincinnati, Shota Imanaga takes on a struggling Hunter Greene coming off a brutal return from injury, with both hosts leaning toward the Cubs in the first five innings and citing Imanaga's strong career track record against the Reds, including a ten strikeout effort earlier this season. The conversation also touches briefly on several other games around the board, including Chris Sale and the Braves against the Cardinals, the Dodgers as rare underdogs against the Diamondbacks, a total that spiked from nine and a half to ten and a half between Baltimore and Kansas City, action involving the Athletics and White Sox, a total shift in the Astros and Rangers game, the Angels and Twins, Phillies and Tigers, Red Sox and Mets, and a notable total jump in the Blue Jays and Padres matchup. From there, the show shifts into a lengthy and opinionated breakdown of the Dallas Cowboys ahead of the coming NFL season, with a win total set at nine and a half. Dave delivers an extended take on ownership, ongoing questions about the new defensive coordinator and head coaching staff, and why he continues to side with the under until the results prove otherwise, while Munaf highlights a brutal opening stretch of the schedule, an offense that should remain productive, and a defense that gave up the second most points in the league last season, ultimately projecting an eight or nine win season. The episode wraps with best bets for Friday, as the hosts land on a Royals team total play, a low scoring first five bet between the Guardians and Marlins, and a bonus mention involving a red hot Twins starter against a struggling Orioles pitcher working back from injury. Before signing off, the pair remind listeners this is the final show before the All-Star break, with new episodes returning around July twenty first, and they encourage listeners to check out a discounted picks package covering baseball, golf, and basketball coverage heading into a busy sports weekend that also includes UFC action and World Cup quarterfinal matches. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  3. 5d ago

    What I Bet - Friday July 10

    Griffin Warner talks betting for Friday. Griffin Warner opens the latest episode of the What I Bet podcast with a full breakdown of the biggest remaining World Cup quarterfinal, Belgium against Spain, before working through the entire Major League Baseball card and landing on the night's featured best bet, all while riding a hot recent stretch that has the show at nine wins and four losses across its last thirteen selections. Belgium arrives having stunned the United States in Seattle, a result built on an aggressive opening from a golden generation anchored by Romelu Lukaku, Kevin De Bruyne, and longtime goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois, a group Warner calls the most talented in the nation's history despite years of underachievement on the international stage. He walks through how that match turned on a costly American goalkeeping mistake and frames this tournament as potentially the last realistic chance at glory for this core of Belgian players. Standing across from them is a Spanish side Warner considers more dominant than Argentina, even though Spain has looked shakier than expected this tournament, dealing with injury concerns around Lamine Yamal and fellow winger Nico Williams and needing a stoppage time goal to escape Portugal. Warner argues Spain remains a sleeping giant given its championship pedigree dating back to 2010 and its sustained run of success at the Euros, and he walks listeners through how the betting market has shifted, with Belgium drawing real money on the spread and the total climbing from two and a half goals toward two and three quarters. On the outright market to advance, Spain has moved from minus three hundred thirty five down toward minus three fifteen while Belgium has drifted back out to plus two sixty five, a swing Warner ties directly to bettors buying into the Belgian upset. From there the show pivots into the Major League Baseball card, where Warner builds his own numbers from scratch before comparing them to the market in real time. He covers bullpen concerns in Pittsburgh, a Yankees lineup trying to bounce back from a rough outing in Tampa, a Washington offense that has hit consistently all season, a Kansas City team he wants no part of, a red hot Miami bullpen, and a Boston starter pitching with something to prove after being left off the All-Star roster. He continues through matchups involving Cincinnati and Chicago, Seattle and Tampa Bay, Houston and Texas, Atlanta and St. Louis, Toronto and San Diego, Arizona and Los Angeles, and Colorado and San Francisco, offering a lean or a pass on nearly every game while explaining exactly what is driving each number. The episode closes with the night's featured best bet, Minnesota at home against the Los Angeles Angels, with Warner backing the Twins as Los Angeles wraps up a second consecutive road series heading into the All-Star break. Listeners can find the full show daily on Pregame Now and can save money on World Cup coverage and individual day picks using a promo code mentioned during the episode, good through the twentieth of July. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  4. 6d ago

    Cash That Ticket - Thursday July 9th

    Munaf Manji and Dave Essler talk betting for Thursday. Munaf Manji and Uncle Dave Essler open Thursday's episode of Cash That Ticket riding a two-for-two night on best bets, having cashed the Washington Nationals team total over four and a half against the Houston Astros and a comfortable Padres win the night before, before turning their full attention to a busy getaway-day slate across Major League Baseball. The two work through nearly every matchup on the six-forty Eastern window, starting with the Athletics and Tigers in Detroit, where a late bullpen shuffle for Oakland puts Jose Suarez in an opener role against Framber Valdez, a pitcher Essler says grows sloppy against lesser competition and whose splits back it up, a 2.95 ERA in day games against a 5.06 mark at night, leading both hosts to the Athletics team total over and a first five innings over. From there the show shifts to Seattle's visit to Miami, where Bryce Miller's elite control this season, sixty two strikeouts against just five walks and a 0.676 WHIP, squares off with Janson Junk in his first start back from a shin injury, and Manji builds his headline best bet of the day around the Mariners first five innings run line, betting that Seattle gets to Junk early and rides Miller through the middle innings. The Brewers and Cardinals draw attention next, with Logan Henderson returning from a back issue to face Andre Pallante, a pitcher who has been unable to beat Milwaukee in four tries this season and owns a far worse home ERA than road mark, pushing both hosts toward Milwaukee and a first five innings under. The toughest call of the night comes in Arizona's trip to San Diego, where neither Merrill Kelly nor Griffin Canning inspires much confidence, both carrying ERAs north of five and seventy, and the two ultimately fade a market-favored over in favor of the under, with a lean toward the Diamondbacks given San Diego's inconsistent offense and Kelly's rough recent history against the division. Rounding out the card, the hosts touch on a Phillies team total over against a homer-prone Brady Singer, a first five innings lean on the Angels against Texas, and an under look at the Rockies and Giants. The back half of the show turns to football, continuing a running series of NFL win total previews with a detailed breakdown of the Jacksonville Jaguars, fresh off a thirteen and four season, an AFC South title, and an eight game winning streak to close the year under first year head coach Liam Coen. Essler and Manji dig into the departure of running back Travis Etienne to the New Orleans Saints, the uncertain readiness of Bhayshul Tuten to replace his receiving and blocking value, continued doubts about quarterback Trevor Lawrence turning a corner, the loss of linebacker Devin Lloyd on defense, and a schedule that includes just six true home games and a brutal late season road stretch. Essler reluctantly lands on the over given Jacksonville's raw talent, while Manji takes the under, pointing to the tougher slate and thinner roster depth, and both agree Houston is the favorite to win the division this season regardless of where Jacksonville's total settles. The episode closes with a recap of the day's best bets, a look ahead to Friday's show covering the Dallas Cowboys win total, and a quick mention of a subscription promotion for the upcoming football season. Throughout the episode, timestamps mark each matchup discussion, from the two forty two mark opening the MLB slate through the twenty two thirty six mark beginning the Jacksonville breakdown, giving listeners an easy way to jump straight to the picks and analysis that matter most to them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  5. Jul 9

    What I Bet - Thursday July 9th

    Griffin Warner talks betting for July 9th. Griffin Warner opens episode 61 of What I Bet on a winning note, cashing the Marlins moneyline as Tuesday night's best bet and pushing the show's recent form to 8 and 4 in the last 12 picks, 5 and 2 in the last 7, and 3 and 1 in the last 4. The episode carries the name of Heriberto Hernandez, the Marlins outfielder who has become a frequent feature on recent Marlins broadcasts thanks to a run of highlight reel home runs. From there the show turns to the World Cup quarterfinals, where four matches are on tap for Thursday, July 9, and the biggest one by far is France against Morocco at Gillette Stadium outside Boston. Griffin calls France the most talented team in the tournament behind Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise, co favorites with Spain, but questions whether manager Didier Deschamps will let his players attack with the freedom their talent deserves given how conservative Deschamps has been all tournament. That doubt pushes Griffin toward Morocco, a one goal underdog with the total at two and a half, a price he calls expensive but still appealing given how much more pragmatic and possession oriented Morocco has become in this competition. He also floats a Morocco to advance price near plus 305, leaning on his earlier successful call backing Morocco past the Netherlands. The show then moves into a full Major League Baseball breakdown covering nine games on the July 9 card. Bryce Elder and the Atlanta Braves visit Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates in an early getaway day matchup, with Griffin leaning toward the Pirates at a plus price. Michael Wacha and the Kansas City Royals visit Sean Manaea and the New York Mets, with Griffin favoring Kansas City. Trevor Rogers and the Baltimore Orioles host David Peterson and the Chicago Cubs in what Griffin calls his top interest of the day. Patrick Sandoval and the Boston Red Sox visit Anthony Kay and the Chicago White Sox, with Griffin fading the White Sox. Jack Perkins and the Athletics visit Framber Valdez and the Detroit Tigers, with Griffin liking the Tigers price. Jesus Luzardo and the Philadelphia Phillies visit Brady Singer and the Cincinnati Reds, with Griffin leaning to the over. Logan Henderson and the Milwaukee Brewers visit Andre Pallante and the St. Louis Cardinals, with Griffin sticking to his rule against road favorites and taking the Brewers. Reid Detmers and the Los Angeles Angels visit Nathan Eovaldi and the Texas Rangers, with Griffin leaning under while flagging the shaky Angels bullpen. Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks visit Griffin Canning and the San Diego Padres, with Griffin fading a tired San Diego bullpen after closer Mason Miller worked on Tuesday. To close the episode, Griffin delivers his single best bet of the day, the Baltimore Orioles at minus 125 behind Trevor Rogers in an early matinee against the Chicago Cubs, calling Rogers the far more trustworthy arm in a spot he believes is priced too cheap. He wraps by restating the show's hot recent stretch and encouraging listeners to keep riding the streak through both the World Cup and Major League Baseball slates, with new episodes landing daily on the Straight Outta Vegas AM podcast feed and across social media at Real Underscore G. Warner. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

4.6
out of 5
160 Ratings

About

Start your day off with a winner! The Pregame.com team breaks down the games, the stories & the bets you need to know every morning. With contributions from Pregame’s RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik & More!, SOV AM is your daily destination for sports conversation with a Vegas lean!

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