Memia Podcasts

Ben Reid

Conversations about AI, emerging tech and the future with leading technologists and innovators. memia.substack.com

  1. 3d ago

    Paul Duignan: The Psychology Of AI Overdrive

    Kia ora and welcome to another irregular Memia podcast. This episode I talk with Dr Paul Duignan, a Te Whanganui-a-Tara Wellington-based clinical and strategy psychologist, outcomes theorist and author of Surfing AI: 30 New Concepts for Getting Your Head Around AI Shock. Paul splits his week between his clinical practice and strategy work and over the past year he has vibe coded a complete rearchitecture of his strategy visualisation tool, DoView, from a shelved desktop app into an open-source project. I first connected with Paul after seeing his posts on “AI overdrive” on the Agentics New Zealand group chat: the late nights and 3am checks for a reset usage window that anyone working intensively with AI will recognise. We start there. Paul separates AI Overdrive from so-called “AI psychosis”, which he says is mostly a folie à deux (“Madness of two”) with an endlessly affirming machine. From there the conversation covers a lot of ground: * why strategy practice needs a visual model rather than a stack of documents * what happens when humans and agents form hybrid swarms around shared outcomes * the Red Queen dynamics of the AI race * where identity comes from when work stops anchoring it * humanoid robots, companionship and who owns them * how the AI dividend might be shared * what New Zealand’s politicians should already have on the shelf through What-If planning Paul’s closing thought: this is the most exciting time, and the most exciting time is always the most hazardous. This was a really thought-provoking, wide-ranging discussion with Paul - I hope you enjoy the episode! Chapters * 00:00 Preview * 01:00 Intro * 02:35 What is a strategy psychologist? * 04:25 AI overdrive, AI psychosis and the AI Long Game * 11:35 The Red Queen effect * 14:50 AI, work and identity * 16:55 Robots and future society * 21:00 Robots, the economy and control * 26:10 Intelligence, evolution and AI consciousness * 30:05 AI shock and the CHILL tool * 32:10 AI and politics: What If Planning * 35:55 New Zealand as a refuge? * 37:00 DoView and visualising outcomes * 38:25 Strategy in an environment of accelerating change * 39:15 Rebuilding and open sourcing DoView with AI * 41:05 Could AI agents run strategy, and whole organisations? * 43:50 An outcomes-based economy and society * 45:10 Surfing AI Links * Paul Duignan Consulting: https://paulduignan.consulting * Surfing AI (full text free online): https://www.paulduignan.consulting/surfingai * The Outcomes Society: https://www.paulduignan.consulting/outcomessociety * Resources for dealing with AI shock: * AI Long Game Tool * CHILL Tool * Paul’s Substack: * DoView Planning: https://doviewplanning.org * DoView Boards on GitHub: https://github.com/doviewplanning/official-doview-boards * Outcomes theory: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outcomes_theory Mentioned in the episode * METR task-completion time horizons: https://metr.org/time-horizons/ * Microsoft 2025 Work Trend Index, The Frontier Firm is Born, which argues for a shift from org charts to fluid, outcome-driven “Work Charts” that draw on the right mix of humans and agents: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/2025-the-year-the-frontier-firm-is-born * Foresight Institute talk on the hypothalamus: Ann Kennedy | The Anatomy Of The Soul: Neural Circuits For Flexible And Adaptive Survival Behaviors * The Red Queen effect, from Through the Looking-Glass * The Butlerian Jihad, from Dune * Previous episode, Tom Barraclough on sovereign AI policy: https://memia.substack.com/p/tom-barraclough-sovereign-ai-policy A couple of corrections: * “86 billion neuron neocortex” (Ben, around 00:36:00). 86 billion is roughly the neuron count for the whole brain. The neocortex is about 16 billion. Doh. * “Alice in Wonderland” (Paul, around 00:22:10). The Red Queen is actually from Through the Looking-Glass if you really want to nitpick! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit memia.substack.com/subscribe

  2. Jun 23

    Tom Barraclough: Sovereign AI policy and digital regulatory architecture

    Kia ora and welcome to another irregular Memia podcast - I really need to do more of these! Last week I sat down for an in-depth conversation with Auckland-based researcher Tom Barraclough, one of Aotearoa New Zealand’s most important voices on AI policy, regulation and governance. Tom brings a decade’s experience working inside, alongside and across from governments in law, public policy and technology. He is a founder and director of a tech policy think tank (the Brainbox Institute, since 2018), as well as a start-up tech company (Syncopate, since 2023), which turns regulatory documents into digital infrastructure for implementation in computers. Tom has led public interest legal research projects, acted as project lead for a global multistakeholder coalition on tech transparency, and has consulted to public and private clients including the New Zealand government, the Global Partnership on AI and the Global Network Initiative. He’s a super smart mind and we stretched ourselves across a wide range of topics over an hour’s discussion. Some of the key subjects we covered: * Law as cultural runtime, not neutral code — Tom’s jurisprudence background and why he’s always been sceptical of the idea that law is simply rules neutrally applied; the courts as a kind of interpretive culture rather than a deterministic runtime. * Paper plumbing and the PDF problem — How every large organisation is essentially “made up of PDFs” that don’t network with each other, and why that document architecture is failing us at exactly the moment we need it most. * Introducing Syncopate and DocRef — Tom’s origin story at Syncopate: turning law and regulation into structured, referenceable datasets so they can be versioned, annotated, linked at a granular level, and made interoperable across agencies. * The rules-based order under attack — Why bringing more people into political discourse hasn’t produced the shared interpretive consensus institutions hoped for, and why our “institutional software” may simply be past its use-by date. * What “radical digital regulatory infrastructure” actually means — The Cambridge paper in progress: publishing law and regulation as open, versioned, linkable datasets — roots that filter up through every digital system built on top of them. * Unpacking AI sovereignty — Why Tom was initially sceptical of “sovereign AI” (government builds a foundation model — what could go wrong?🫣), and the multidimensional framework he’s developing to pull the concept apart: compute, data, training, content moderation, literacy, individual agency and more. * The one-in-a-million shot problem — Why even a well-resourced, highly centralised state like China can’t fully nail every layer of the sovereign AI stack simultaneously, and what that means for small countries like New Zealand. * Te Hiku Media as the positive model — The closing epilogue to Karen Hao’s Empire of AI in practice: community-owned, values-driven AI development in Te Reo Māori as a template for what distributed, multi-stakeholder sovereignty could look like. * Confidential computing and personal AI sovereignty — Apple Intelligence, Private Cloud Compute, and the Tinfoil startup doing hardware-verifiable privacy — why contractual assurances aren’t enough and what cryptographic attestation offers instead. * AI-accelerated lawmaking: promise and tension — Tom’s live DocRef/MCP/Claude demo that drafted a new API standard from the existing regulatory corpus in an afternoon, and the open question of how fast legislation should move when stability is itself a public good. Links mentioned: * Brainbox Institute: https://www.brainbox.institute/ * Docref.org / Syncopate Labs: https://docref.org/syncopate/blog/ * Tom’s Sovereign AI multidimensional prototype: https://sovereign-ai.tombcgh.tech/ * Te Hiku Media https://tehiku.nz/ * Tinfoil - Verifiably Private AI https://tinfoil.sh/ * Apple Intelligence / Siri AI WWDC Keynote: Introducing Siri AI and More It was great to geek out with Tom on some pretty technical topics with huge relevance to our future here in Aotearoa New Zealand and the world, I hope you enjoy this episode! Ngā mihi Ben Full Transcript This post has bonus content for paid subscribers. Upgrade to get full access. **Tom Barraclough:** [00:00:00] Any large organization that requires any kind of institution or risk management process or policies is just basically made up of PDFs. And they just get layered and layered and layered, and none of these things network with each other. say you had a government wanting to do a sovereign AI model or even just to fund one, so if you’re gonna have government involved in any of it these are the rough layers that I see you needing to basically ace. And I kinda feel like even if you nail one of them Getting all of them just feels like this one in a million perfect shot. Yeah. And it just feels like it’s never gonna happen to me. **Tom Barraclough:** there’s all these different interesting layers of sovereignty that don’t just require it being a government. And I think you can take it beyond government too, and you can start to think about community sovereignty or you can think about individual agency. **Ben Reid:** agency, to be honest, is the control plane that I’m most interested in here. **Tom Barraclough:** we didn’t have a [00:01:00] rules-based order. We had a pre-rules based order, and maybe now we can move into a rules-based order if we recommit to ​ **Ben Reid:** kia ora and welcome to another irregular Memia podcast. I really need to do a few more of these. I’m Ben Reid, and I write the weekly Memia newsletter, and generally spend a lot of my time drinking from the fire hose of accelerating AI this episode I’m gonna be talking with Tom Barraclough. Tom’s an Auckland-based researcher, former lawyer and one of Aotearoa’s most important voices on AI policy and governance. He’s the founder and director of tech policy think tank the Brainbox Institute, as well as tech startup Syncopate, which turns regulatory documents into digital infrastructure. Tom has consulted to many public and private clients, including the New Zealand Government. Welcome Tom. **Tom Barraclough:** Thank you, Ben. Really nice to be chatting about all of these things and share a drink from the fire hose. **Ben Reid:** Yeah, there’s a fair [00:02:00] amount going on, and we , we need a few more hours. **Tom Barraclough:** Yeah ... **Ben Reid:** we’ve only... We’re, we’ll budget ourselves to one hour not really into Lex Fridman-type five-hour marathons. We could. All so look key things I’d like to talk about today is what you’re doing with Syncopate, Yeah and your current research focus. And I think as part of that, we’ll basically go in on the whole concept of AI sovereignty. So you’re doing work which I think is probably some some of the most advanced analysis of pulling that whole concept apart and ‘cause it means a lot of things to a lot of people. . Let’s also talk about some of the tech sovereign strategies in UK and Europe that’s happened recently. So plenty to be getting on with. Yeah. You and I go back many years. ... And I think we touched base for the first time when I was running the AI Forum New Zealand back in- Mm ...... 2019 or something. So that’s a long time ago. So these conversations have been going on for a long time. And you’ve been right at the center of this with Brainbox and then more recently Syncopate. So maybe just give us a sort of potted career history for yourself and and , the really interesting work you’re doing at Syncopate these days. **Tom Barraclough:** [00:03:00] Thanks, Ben. The potted history would be that I... So I studied law and politics, and n-none of that really came alive for me until I started learning about jurisprudence and the kind of legal philosophy side of things because that sort of lets you sit back and go, “What is this law thing? And what is it-- what do people think it does, and what does it actually do?” And yeah, how does it all work? Whereas the other side of law is quite like what does this… This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit memia.substack.com/subscribe

  3. 04/17/2025

    Chainsaws vs scalpels: The DOGE effect and a better way for NZ

    (Podcast originally appeared on Businessdesk, listen to the entire discussion on episode 94 of The Business of Tech, streaming on iHeartRadio or wherever you get your podcasts.) Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) initiative has sparked global debate about balancing disruptive reform with sustainable public sector innovation. In a panel discussion on The Business of Tech, experts Rob Campbell, Ben Reid, and Paul Quickenden critiqued Musk’s approach while proposing alternative strategies for New Zealand to drive efficiency in government while harnessing technologies like blockchain and AI. Campbell, former chair of Te Whatu Ora, acknowledged the need for continuous efficiency evaluation in government but likened Musk’s methods to “letting a mad axeman roam” through bureaucracies. Uncreative destruction He emphasised the critical importance of understanding systemic models, not just slashing budgets or headcount: “If you don’t understand the machinery, you’ll cause destruction, not creation." Campbell highlighted NZ’s own struggles with siloed systems, such as healthcare’s “ramshackle assembly” of incompatible financial tools. Reid, author of Fast Forward Aotearoa, contrasted the US’s “brokenist” political climate with NZ’s inertia-driven bureaucracy. He warned against Musk’s “dismantle-first” strategy, advocating instead for digital-first governance built on open-source platforms and API-driven services. Easy Crypto’s Paul Quickenden added that blockchain could address transparency gaps but stressed that solutions must align with outcomes, not ideology. Identity, payments, and democratic trust The panel identified decentralised identity management as a prime use case for blockchain. Quickenden argued that securely managing personal data across agencies could mitigate future AI-driven security risks, citing South Korea’s blockchain-based voting systems as a model. Campbell supported blockchain’s auditability for benefits distribution, while Reid proposed rearchitecting monolithic departments into modular, interoperable platforms. Quickenden also suggested that blockchain could streamline expense systems and legacy tech debt. “Every government department could see if someone’s reinventing the wheel,” through transparent ledgers, he said. However, all agreed that adoption requires a clear vision, not just technological novelty. AI, open-source, and decentralised innovation Reid pushed for AI-driven automation of bureaucratic processes, envisioning AI agents handling tasks like permit approvals or benefit calculations. He stressed the need for open-source systems to avoid vendor lock-in and cited Taiwan’s GovZero initiative, a citizen-contributed digital governance model, as inspiration. Campbell added that AI could address inefficiencies in healthcare payments and diagnostics but cautioned against top-down mandates. “Innovation often bubbles up from communities, not central agencies,” he said. Both Reid and Quickenden emphasised decentralised experimentation. Reid proposed “innovation sandboxes” to test solutions like smart contracts or consensus-building tools (eg, Polis), while Quickenden urged leveraging NZ’s tech startups for scalable pilots. Lessons for NZ: pragmatism over politics The panel consensus rejected Musk’s disruption in favour of: Transparent systems: Open-source software and auditable processes. Modular design: Shared infrastructure for identity, payments, and data. Decentralised funding: Venture-style support for grassroots tech solutions. As Campbell summarised, “The answer isn’t another agency, it’s creating space for small, practical innovations.” Listen to the entire discussion on episode 94 of The Business of Tech, streaming on iHeartRadio or wherever you get your podcasts. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit memia.substack.com/subscribe

  4. 09/12/2024

    BizBytes: Fast Forward Aotearoa, Navigating New Zealand’s Future with Exponential Technology - A Conversation with Ben Reid

    If you're interested in your own copy of Fast Forward Aotearoa,  visit https://www.ffwd.nz. use BIZBYTES10OFF at checkout for a 10% discount In this episode, BizBytes podcast host Ant McMahon is joined by Ben Reid, author of “Fast Forward Aotearoa", his latest book which explores How Exponential Technology is Defining the Future of New Zealand… and What We Can Do About It.”  During the discussion we delve into the rapid pace of technological acceleration and its profound impact on New Zealand. Ben shares the motivation behind his book, highlighting the growing gap between global tech centers and New Zealand, and the urgent need for the country to catch up. We explore the concept of techno-optimism and its implications for New Zealand’s future, balancing this optimism against the realities of climate change and geopolitical instability. (Check out the BizBytes podcast website here) Our conversation covers a range of critical topics, including the potential societal impact of AI, the future of work, and the importance of skills development and education in the AI era. Ben discusses the challenges of increasing energy consumption due to AI and computing demands, and the need for sustainable energy solutions.We also examine New Zealand’s technological strategy and sovereignty, emphasizing the importance of developing a broader objective function beyond GDP and considering environmental and social externalities in business and national strategies. Ben provides insights into the potential for decentralised and open-source technologies to rebuild capability and maintain technological sovereignty.Additionally, we discuss the role of data centres and infrastructure in New Zealand, the balance between relying on hyperscalers and maintaining local control, and the government’s role in building its own data centre for sovereignty.Join us as we unpack these critical topics and consider the future of New Zealand in the age of AI. Lets get on with the episode! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit memia.substack.com/subscribe

  5. 06/13/2024

    Ben Reid - Te Hono Speaker Series 7th June 2024

    Te Hono Speaker Series: World-class speakers discuss key themes in a webinar format. (See other speakers here: https://www.tehono.co.nz/newsandevents)​ In this webinar, Memia Director of Future technology and foresight Ben Reid explores How AI and exponential technologies are defining the future of New Zealand's economy... and what we can do about it. Facilitated by David Downs. Watch the video below or stream on Vimeo (starts with a traditional Māori Karakia 4 minutes in): AI Generated Summary (Generated by Claude 3 Opus) Summary of the "AI, Exponential Technology and the Future of New Zealand's Economy" webinar: The webinar, held on June 7th, 2024 at 8:15am, was organised by Te Hono and featured speaker Ben Reid discussing the latest developments in AI and exponential technology and their potential impact on New Zealand's economy. Key points covered: * AI and exponential technologies are advancing rapidly, with innovation cycles compressing. This acceleration needs to be considered in economic planning. * Generative AI has made significant strides in the past year, enabling the creation of text, images, video, and audio that is often indistinguishable from human-created content. This has implications for content creation, design, and productivity. * AI agents and answer engines are emerging, able to break down complex tasks and provide summaries and research quickly. This could significantly boost productivity across industries. * Robotics is advancing, with autonomous vehicles, robots in healthcare/hospitality, and humanoid robots becoming more sophisticated. This may impact labour and society. * New Zealand faces strategic choices regarding its economic future and technology strategy. Focusing on knowledge-intensive, complex products and maintaining technological sovereignty through open-source models are potential paths forward. * Doubling New Zealand's exports in 10 years amid global challenges will require careful consideration of what products and services to focus on. Reducing bulk/weight and increasing information content could be advantageous. * Boards should consider implementing AI usage policies balancing innovation and risk. The education sector may need to adapt as AI democratises access to knowledge. * The energy demands of exponential technologies are a concern that needs to be addressed, potentially through renewable energy, nuclear fusion, or space-based solar. The webinar concluded with a Q&A session and a book giveaway. Ben emphasised the need for New Zealand to engage in a mainstream discussion about these technologies and develop a national technology strategy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit memia.substack.com/subscribe

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Conversations about AI, emerging tech and the future with leading technologists and innovators. memia.substack.com