Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Nicholas Rossolillo; Kasey Rossolillo
  • 4.6 (14)
  • Investing
  • Updated Weekly

Semiconductors are the heart of the modern economy. These small devices that manipulate the flow of electricity run everything from our PCs and smartphones to our cars to manufacturing. The semiconductor industry is at an inflection point of renewed growth, powering new movements like generative AI and electric vehicles. The Chip Stock Investor Podcast explores how semiconductors work, and especially the business of chips. Follow Nicholas and Kasey to learn how chip technology has become the engine of the world, and how to invest in its growth.

  1. 2d ago

    $900B in AI CapEx, $1.5T Coming in 2027 — Is the Semiconductor Cycle Still Intact?

    Nearly $580 billion in trailing twelve-month capital expenditure across Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Oracle, Tesla, and SpaceX. Full year 2026 approaching $900 billion. CSI's 2027 estimate: $1.5 trillion. CSI breaks down the Q2 hyperscaler CapEx numbers and makes the case for why the semiconductor bull market remains intact despite a volatile few weeks for chip stocks.AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and Oracle are all reporting multi-year backlogs. Amazon just raised its 2026 CapEx guide to $220 billion, partly driven by rising memory prices — sending more capital directly to the semiconductor supply chain. Gartner revised data center spending up to $820 billion for 2026, a sixty-three percent year-over-year increase. The recent pullback looks like a leverage unwind, not a fundamental shift.For in-depth research and the Semiconductor Insider membership, visit chipstockinvestor.com. Use fiscal.ai/csi for 15% off any paid plan.Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI owns shares of Meta, Alphabet, Oracle, and Amazon.

  2. 2d ago

    Seagate (STX): HDDs Roar Back on AI Storage Demand

    Seagate's latest results show hard disk drives making a real comeback as NAND and SSD prices rise and hyperscalers turn to HDDs for flexible, massive AI storage capacity. CSI breaks down a quarter where exabyte shipments grew 34% year over year, with 90% going to data centers, data center revenue up 57% to $2.9 billion, and total revenue up 48%. The conversation covers Seagate's broad shipments of Mozaic 3, the ramp of 40TB-plus Mozaic 4 with the two largest global cloud service providers, and plans for Mozaic 5 qualification shipments in late 2027. We also dig into how Seagate plans to grow without expanding manufacturing capacity, using vertically integrated HAMR technology to increase terabytes per drive, and how that strategy is driving profitability, debt reduction, buybacks, and dividend support. Finally, we look at guidance for Q1 FY2027, which implies revenue of roughly $4.1 billion, about 36% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and what that means for the broader memory cycle story heading into 2027. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csi This content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal. CSI owns shares of Seagate.

  3. 5d ago

    ServiceNow (NOW): Down 60%, But Now a Cybersecurity Player

    ServiceNow has been hammered in the software selloff, but our Q2 2026 earnings breakdown reveals a business quietly repositioning itself for the AI edge. CEO Bill McDermott and CFO Gina Mastantuono delivered 25% year-over-year revenue growth, accelerating subscription guidance, and two strategic acquisitions, Veza and Armis, that push ServiceNow into identity, access, and device-level cybersecurity. We break down why McDermott calls this the fastest-growing risk and security business among the top 10 enterprise cybersecurity players, and why the market still treats ServiceNow like an AI-era loser rather than an edge-AI beneficiary. The conversation covers GAAP versus non-GAAP metrics, including a 55% decline in GAAP operating income, balance sheet strength post-acquisitions, full-year subscription revenue guidance near $16 billion, and a reverse DCF on free cash flow per share to gauge what the current stock price is actually pricing in. We also compare ServiceNow's cybersecurity revenue against pure-play peers like Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Fortinet using data from our research dashboard. If you're evaluating semiconductor and AI infrastructure stocks, foundry exposure, or non-correlated edge-AI plays for portfolio diversification, this ServiceNow deep dive lays out both the bull case and the real risks. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csi This content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal. CSI owns shares of ServiceNow.

  4. 6d ago

    Honeywell Technologies (HON): Buy After the Breakup?

    Honeywell has completed its long-awaited breakup, separating Honeywell Aerospace from the newly focused Honeywell Technologies. CSI walks through Honeywell's Q2 2026 earnings report, covering the building automation, process automation, and industrial automation segments, and explains why organic sales growth alone doesn't tell the full story: the real story is what's happening to margins. The conversation digs into the recently closed Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies acquisition, the LNG equipment business driving process automation orders, and the divestitures of Honeywell's productivity solutions and warehouse and workflow segments. It also covers the balance sheet, including nearly $34 billion in total debt offset by asset sale proceeds, and Honeywell's 47% remaining equity stake in newly public quantum computing company Quantinuum. Finally, CSI runs Honeywell Technologies stock through a reverse discounted cash flow model using updated adjusted EPS guidance to estimate fair value, and discusses what would make this semiconductor-adjacent industrial and energy transition stock a stronger buy. If you're a long-term fundamental investor tracking the semiconductor supply chain, AI infrastructure spending, and the industrial automation cycle, this breakdown is for you. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csi This content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal. CSI owns shares of Honeywell.

  5. Jul 28

    Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Stock Down 40%: Buy the Dip?

    Intuitive Surgical posted double-digit growth in revenue, procedures, and installed base but ISRG stock is down over 40% from its highs. We dig into why the market is repricing this healthcare stock despite strong fundamentals. Da Vinci procedure growth came in at 15% year-over-year, the installed base grew 12% to nearly 12,000 systems worldwide, and revenue hit $2.9 billion, up 19% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 70%. Yet none of that has stopped the stock's slide. We break down Intuitive Surgical's revenue mix between recurring instruments and accessories, systems revenue, and services, and walk through what's actually driving the selloff. That includes the impact of ACA subsidy expirations on elective procedure volume, hospital capital spending trends, GLP-1 headwinds on bariatric surgery, and semiconductor memory cost pressures mentioned on the earnings call. We also cover the Extended Use Program and a recent FDA filing as potential positive catalysts, along with full year 2026 guidance. Finally, we run a reverse DCF to figure out what growth rate is actually priced into ISRG stock today, and whether this sets up as a legitimate buy-the-dip opportunity for long-term investors or if there's more downside ahead. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csi This content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. CSI owns shares of Intuitive Surgical.

  6. Jul 24

    Mycronic Raises Guidance: Why We're Still on the Sidelines

    Mycronic just raised full-year guidance after a surprise rebound in equipment orders, and the stock already popped on the news. Here's what's actually driving the turnaround, and why we're still on the sidelines. Mycronic is a Swedish semiconductor equipment company that plays on the edges of the core wafer fab process, supplying pattern generators for photomask production, along with test, chip packaging, and PCB assembly equipment. In this episode, we break down Mycronic's Q2 2026 earnings, including a 7% year-over-year decline in its largest segment, Pattern Generators, offset by a 118% surge in Global Technologies, its fastest-growing test and packaging business. We also cover the smaller High Volume and PCB Assembly Solutions segments, one of which is undergoing restructuring after a recent acquisition underperformed. Combined net sales grew 17% year over year, and management raised full-year 2026 guidance by roughly 500 million SEK. We dig into Mycronic's tuck-in acquisition strategy, balance sheet strength (net cash, minimal debt), and run a reverse discounted cash flow model to estimate fair value. If you're looking for semiconductor equipment exposure beyond the "Fab Five" — ASML, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Tokyo Electron, and KLA — Mycronic is worth understanding, even if it's not a stock we're buying right now. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Full research and stock tools: https://chipstockinvestor.comGet 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: https://fiscal.ai/csi Content in this podcast is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.

  7. Jul 23

    Netflix Stock: Is the Q2 Sell-Off a Buying Opportunity?

    Netflix just posted its slowest revenue growth in over a year, and the stock got hammered. We break down why the sell-off might be mispricing what's actually happening underneath the numbers. Netflix's Q2 2026 earnings sparked a sharp market reaction, with growth decelerating and forward guidance coming in around 12% for Q3 and Q4. Using fiscal.ai data, we compare Netflix's 325+ million paying subscribers against Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery/Paramount+, Amazon Prime Video, and ad-supported giants like YouTube and Meta. We dig into why Netflix remains the clear leader in paid streaming even as its ad-tier data center buildout has yet to reaccelerate top-line growth. On the financials side, we cover Netflix's 33% operating margin, $3.4 billion in GAAP net income, and $1.5 billion in free cash flow for the quarter, plus the lingering cash impact from the terminated Warner Bros. Discovery merger talks. Then we move to valuation: trailing and forward P/E and price-to-free-cash-flow multiples, and why this may be the cheapest Netflix has traded in three to four years. Is Netflix transitioning from a high-growth streaming stock to a steady, profitable value stock, and does that make current levels an entry point? We break down what the market is pricing in for long-term EPS growth and whether the bar has been set low enough to matter for long-term investors. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. Full research and stock tools: https://chipstockinvestor.comGet 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: https://fiscal.ai/csi Content in this podcast is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. CSI owns shares of Netflix.

  8. Jul 21

    Intel's Packaging Edge: EMIB, Foveros vs. TSMC CoWoS

    Intel's recent rally has investors asking whether the turnaround is real, but the answer may have less to do with wafer manufacturing and more to do with advanced packaging. We break down EMIB (Embedded Multi-Die Interconnect Bridge) and Foveros, Intel's chip-to-chip interconnect technologies, and compare them directly against TSMC's CoWoS-S, CoWoS-R, and CoWoS-L packaging families. We explain the technical differences in plain language, including interposers, redistribution layers, local silicon interconnects, and through-silicon vias, and why Intel's substrate-embedded bridge approach could offer a real diversification opportunity as AI shifts from training to inference workloads. We also cover Intel's packaging partnerships, including the Google TPU relationship, and why Nvidia's dominance in AI training leaves TSMC's CoWoS capacity fully booked, potentially opening a lane for Intel elsewhere. Finally, we zoom out to portfolio strategy: why understanding the technology layer matters less as this AI bull market matures, and why valuation discipline and balance sheet health deserve more of your attention going forward. Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform, tools, and deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com. This content is for general information and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. CSI does not own shares of Intel.

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4.6
out of 5
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About

Semiconductors are the heart of the modern economy. These small devices that manipulate the flow of electricity run everything from our PCs and smartphones to our cars to manufacturing. The semiconductor industry is at an inflection point of renewed growth, powering new movements like generative AI and electric vehicles. The Chip Stock Investor Podcast explores how semiconductors work, and especially the business of chips. Follow Nicholas and Kasey to learn how chip technology has become the engine of the world, and how to invest in its growth.

Information

  • Creator
    Nicholas Rossolillo; Kasey Rossolillo
  • Years Active
    2023 - 2026
  • Episodes
    470
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Nicholas Rossolillo; Kasey Rossolillo
  • Show Website
    Chip Stock Investor Podcast

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