Weather Insights

Weather Insights

a podcast with Jeff Lindner and Scott Pitney

Episodes

  1. 22h ago

    Low chance (20%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend

    Low chance (10%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend  Increasing signal for heavy rainfall late Sunday-Tuesday A tropical wave and associated large plume of moisture has moved over the Bay of Campeche this morning. Satellite images show a burst of deeper convection but there is no indication of any surface low IR Satellite Loop for Gulf of Mexico | Tropical Tidbits . Upper level conditions are only marginally favorable for any development of this system given westerly and southwesterly wind shear in place over the southern and western Gulf. This feature and associated moisture will spread NW toward the northern Mexican coast and south Texas coast over the weekend and then northward along the TX coast early next week. Sunday-Tuesday: As the feature in the southern Gulf moves toward the NE MX and lower TX coast over the weekend and plume of tropical moisture will spread NW into the TX coast. At the same time an usually strong trough of low pressure over the central plains will push a cold front southward into the region. This front looks to stall over the area Monday and Tuesday. The combination of the stalling front and tropical moisture will surge rain chances late Sunday into Tuesday. With the stalled front in the area the potential for cell training within a moisture rich environment will be increased. WPC has already outlooked portions of the area for Sunday and Monday for excessive rainfall. It will be important over the next few days to monitor forecasted rainfall amounts and any potential flooding concerns early next week. The post Low chance (20%) of tropical development in the southwest Gulf into this weekend appeared first on Weather Insights.

    9 min
  2. May 1

    Stormy start to the day across Southeast Texas 🌧️

    Heavy rainfall is ongoing this morning, primarily north of US-59, where a Flood Watch remains in effect. Early impacts are already being observed, including areas of street flooding and rising water levels along creeks and bayous—especially across the شمال and northwest portions of the Houston metro. Overnight, thunderstorms produced pockets of large hail from Sugar Land to Pearland. While storm intensity has briefly decreased, the overall pattern remains active, and multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the day. The axis of heaviest rainfall is currently aligned from Columbus through Sealy, Cypress, Kingwood, and Liberty. Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are likely, with isolated areas potentially receiving 4 to 5 inches where storms repeatedly move over the same locations. As rainfall continues and soils become increasingly saturated, runoff will intensify, leading to ongoing rises in creeks, bayous, and rivers. Although storm motions are relatively fast, the potential for training storms raises concern for localized flooding, particularly in more vulnerable watersheds. There is also a limited severe weather risk. A few stronger storms today could produce large hail or gusty winds, especially if the coastal boundary shifts farther inland and enhances instability. A strong cold front is expected to move through later today, bringing an end to the rain from north to south by this evening. In its wake, a much cooler and drier air mass will settle into the region, setting up a more pleasant and stable weather pattern for the weekend. The post Stormy start to the day across Southeast Texas 🌧️ appeared first on Weather Insights.

    2 min
  3. Mar 15

    Strong cold front will sweep across the area Sunday evening

    Strong cold front will sweep across the area Sunday evening   A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible along the front   Strong northerly winds of 35-45mph will occur behind the front Sunday night into early Monday   Frost possible Tuesday morning   Tranquil weather today and much of Sunday will quickly change as a late season powerful cold front sweeps across the region late Sunday afternoon/evening. Temperatures on Sunday will warm into the mid and even upper 80’s ahead of this boundary and this will create an increasingly unstable atmosphere favorable for some storm development along the incoming front. Do we see a broken line or more solid line of storms is questionable, but some activity is likely and nearly all of the high resolution guidance shows activity along the front. Front should cross the metro area between 500pm-900pm with activity quickly exiting to the east and south. A few storms along the front could become severe with damaging winds and large hail being the main threats. SE TX is on the southwest tail end of a larger scale severe weather outbreak focusing to our northeast. SPC has placed all of the region in a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms on Sunday evening. Once the front passes, strong northerly winds will ensue with frequent gusts of 35-45mph through Sunday night into early Monday as a cold air mass pours into the region. Winds will start to come down on Monday as the surface high builds over the area but will remain gusty. This will create a favorable period of high fire danger with gusty winds and low humidity values, but recent rains and ongoing “green-up” may help mitigate otherwise favorable fire weather factors. Note that highs on Monday in the mid 50’s will be some 30 degrees colder than Sunday. Depending on cloud cover that may pass over the area late Monday…there is the potential for late season frost or even a light freeze int eh colder outlying locations on Tuesday morning. The post Strong cold front will sweep across the area Sunday evening appeared first on Weather Insights.

    3 min
5
out of 5
6 Ratings

About

a podcast with Jeff Lindner and Scott Pitney