The STIMPACK Podcast

Jeff Frazier

STIMPACK is a Haiti focused think tank and interventional NGO. We look for points of leverage to help Haitians lift their entire country out of extreme poverty. This podcast discusses those points.

  1. S3.E8 - Can AI bring peace to Haiti?

    10/06/2025

    S3.E8 - Can AI bring peace to Haiti?

    Could artificial intelligence be the breakthrough Haiti desperately needs? In this episode, I explore how AI technology might revolutionize peace negotiations and conflict resolution in one of the world's most dangerous situations. Drawing on insights from Henry Kissinger and Eric Schmidt's groundbreaking book "Genesis," I break down how AI can analyze complex conflict dynamics, process massive amounts of data, and generate innovative solutions that human negotiators might miss. What You'll Learn: ✅ How AI can transform peace negotiations in active conflict zones ✅ The critical difference between forgiveness and reconciliation ✅ Why justice and peace often conflict in Haiti's situation ✅ The strategic importance of ceasefires vs. truces ✅ AI's role in analyzing gang dynamics and power structures ✅ How machine learning can identify negotiation opportunities ✅ Real strategies for implementing AI-driven peace processes   Key Insights from "Genesis" Henry Kissinger and Eric Schmidt's final collaboration reveals how AI is reshaping governance and international relations. I apply their framework specifically to Haiti's gang crisis, showing how technology could break decades of failed peace attempts. The Haiti Crisis Context With gang violence controlling 80% of Port-au-Prince and humanitarian conditions deteriorating daily, traditional approaches have failed. This video explores whether AI represents a genuine paradigm shift or just another failed promise. TIMESTAMPS 00:00 - AI's Role in Haiti's Peace Process 01:36 - Insights from 'Genesis' by Kissinger and Schmidt 06:07 - Understanding Peace and Its Complexities 08:01 - Forgiveness vs. Forgetting in Conflict Resolution 15:54 - Justice vs. Peace: The Dilemma in Haiti 17:32 - The Path to Ceasefire and Truce 19:44 - Leveraging AI for Peace Negotiations 26:46 - Building a Peace Plan with AI 33:12 - Hope for Peace in Haiti 33:13 - The Role of the Gang Suppression    Force Resources Mentioned StimPack PeaceBot:  https://peacebot.stimpack.org/   "Genesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit" by Henry Kissinger, Eric Schmidt, and Craig Mundie   #AI #Haiti #PeaceProcess #ArtificialIntelligence #ConflictResolution #Genesis #HenryKissinger #EricSchmidt #Geopolitics #HaitiCrisis #GangViolence #Innovation #Technology #Peace #Justice #Negotiation #MachineLearning #ForeignPolicy #HumanitarianCrisis #SocialImpact

    34 min
  2. 03/28/2025

    S3.E7 - Considering Haiti as a Crime State with guest Dr. Felbab-Brown

    Haiti is collapsing. Gangs now control most of Port-au-Prince, and the international response is failing. Can anything stop the takeover? In this gripping episode of The Stimpack Podcast, Jeff Frazier sits down with Dr. Vanda Felbab-Brown, a top expert in insurgency and organized crime from the Brookings Institution, to break down the current crisis in Haiti. Together, they explore how armed gangs like Viva Ensemble have outmaneuvered the Haitian government and the internationally funded MSSM force—and why so many conventional strategies, like high-value targeting, are likely to fail. They also discuss how Haiti's elite once puppeteered the gangs, and how that dynamic has now reversed, leading to bold attacks in upscale neighborhoods and fears of a full-scale collapse. This is a must-listen if you want to understand the power struggle, the humanitarian cost, and what could happen next if the world continues to look away. 🎙 About the Guest Dr. Vanda Felbab-Brown is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and one of the world's leading experts on conflict zones, organized crime, and counterinsurgency. With a PhD in political science from MIT and an undergraduate degree from Harvard, she has spent decades in the field, interviewing armed actors, insurgents, and civilians across places like Iraq, Afghanistan, Mexico—and now Haiti. Her work influences top decision-makers around the globe. ⏱️ Timestamps  00:00 – Introduction: Vanda Felbab-Brown joins the show  01:58 – Vanda's background: from communist Czechoslovakia to Harvard & MIT 04:36 – Why she's drawn to war zones and underdog causes 08:00 – How she gathers intel: interviews, fieldwork, and analysis 11:34 – A breakdown of Haiti's armed actors: gangs, militias, police 14:20 – Why the MSSM is failing 16:06 – Can high-value targeting work? (Spoiler: probably not) 21:00 – The rise of Viva Ensemble: unity among deadly rivals 26:00 – Attacks in the hills: gangs encroach on elite neighborhoods 31:00 – Daily life in Port-au-Prince: famine, collapse, no escape 32:39 – What solutions remain—if any 37:52 – The reemergence of gang-political bargains 42:31 – Why Haiti matters to the world 📝 Show Notes This conversation offers one of the most thorough, real-time assessments of Haiti's gang crisis available today. Dr. Vanda Felbab-Brown explains why the MSSM mission, even at full strength, is unlikely to contain the growing power of gang coalitions like Viva Ensemble. She outlines how gang leaders have evolved—becoming more politically strategic, militarily capable, and economically self-sufficient. We also explore: The failures of decapitation strategies (targeting gang leaders) How corruption, sanctions, and foreign disengagement accelerated the crisis Why drone strikes may be more symbolic than effective The surprising parallels with other conflict zones like Afghanistan and Mexico What could happen if no outside force intervenes—and what happens if the wrong one does Jeff and Vanda dive deep into the systemic collapse of governance, and the daily realities of hunger, displacement, and fear for millions of Haitians. If you're trying to understand Haiti not as a headline, but as a living, breathing crisis—this episode is essential. Stay Connected 🎧 Subscribe to The Stimpack Podcast → [https://stimpack.org/season-3] 🌐 Learn more about STIMPACK → [https://www.stimpack.org] 📱 Follow Us on Instagram → [  / stimpack_haiti  ] ▶️ Watch Jeff's Kidnapping story → [   • Prologue - 43 Days to Freedom  ] #HaitiCrisis #GangsInHaiti #StimpackPodcast #VandaFelbabBrown #PortauPrince #MSSM #Haiti2025 #HaitianGangs #BrookingsInstitution #OrganizedCrime #HaitiViolence #GangTakeover #HumanitarianCrisis #PoliticalCollapse #JeffFrazier

    45 min
  3. S3.E6 - Diego Da Rin (Int. Crisis Group) joins us to talk about Haiti's Security Crisis

    03/13/2025

    S3.E6 - Diego Da Rin (Int. Crisis Group) joins us to talk about Haiti's Security Crisis

    In this episode of the Stimpak podcast, Jeff Frazier interviews Diego Da Rin from the Crisis Group, focusing on the complex situation in Haiti. They discuss Diego's background, the role of the Crisis Group, the challenges faced by the Multinational Security Support (MSS) mission, and the dire state of affairs in Haiti due to gang violence and political instability. The conversation also touches on the potential for negotiations with gangs and the need for elections and governance in Haiti. Takeaways Crisis Group operates with country-specific analysts to provide in-depth analysis. Diego Da Rin's journey into crisis analysis began with a focus on social movements in Colombia. The MSS faces significant challenges due to underfunding and lack of resources. Haiti's political landscape is heavily influenced by gang violence and corruption. International attention is often diverted to other crises, leaving Haiti under-supported. The need for a robust security mission in Haiti is critical to restoring order. Haitians are largely opposed to negotiating with gangs due to past violence. The situation in Haiti can worsen if immediate action is not taken. Elections in Haiti are complicated by security issues and gang control. Long-term solutions must address the root causes of violence and corruption. Chapters 00:00 Introduction to Diego Da Rin and His Background 01:14 New Chapter 08:16 Transition to Crisis Group and Focus on Haiti 10:43 Crisis Group's Approach to Conflict Analysis 14:36 International Response to Haiti's Security Crisis 20:40 Understanding the Gang Dynamics in Haiti 23:34 The Complexity of Haiti's Political Landscape 30:42 The Role of the International Community 39:30 Prioritizing Security Over Elections in Haiti    General Hashtags: #JeffFrazier #StimpackPodcast #PodcastInterview #Haiti #HaitiCrisis #HaitiNews #HaitiViolence #HaitiConflict #HaitiPolitics #InternationalRelations #GlobalConflict #CrisisGroup #DiegoDaRin #Geopolitics #WorldPolitics #CurrentEvents #HumanitarianCrisis #SecurityIssues #Peacekeeping #ConflictResolution #InternationalAid #ForeignPolicy Haiti-Specific Hashtags: #HaitiUnrest #HaitiGangs #HaitianPolitics #HaitianCrisis #PortAuPrince #HaitianPolice #MSS #MINUSTAH #UNPeacekeeping #HaitiSecurity #HaitiEconomy #HaitiCorruption #HaitiAid #HaitianElections #HaitiGovernment #HaitiWarzone #HaitiRescue #HaitianPeople Crisis & Security Hashtags: #GangViolence #PoliticalCrisis #FailedState #UrbanWarfare #PeaceOperations #InternationalSecurity #GlobalConflicts #SecurityThreats #LawAndOrder #UNMission #HumanRights #StateCollapse #CrisisResponse #DDR #PeaceNegotiations #HumanTrafficking #CivilUnrest Podcast & Media Hashtags: #YouTubePodcast #Podcasting #TrueStories #RealTalk #WorldIssues #DeepDive #PodcastEpisode #Journalism #InvestigativeReporting #NewsAnalysis #GeopoliticalAnalysis #ThinkTank #ExpertInterview #PodcastDiscussion #YouTubeInterview

    43 min
  4. S3.E5 - Saving Haiti: Who's Responsible?

    03/07/2025

    S3.E5 - Saving Haiti: Who's Responsible?

    Summary In this episode, Jeff Frazier discusses the potential impact of the Trump-Rubio administration on Haiti, focusing on security and governance. He explores the ethical implications of humanitarian aid, individual responsibilities in giving, and the U.S. interests in Haiti's stability. The conversation delves into the current security situation in Haiti, the influence of gangs, and the broader geopolitical context involving China and Russia. Takeaways The Trump-Rubio effect on Haiti will focus on security and governance. Ethics and morality play a crucial role in humanitarian aid. Individuals must assess their responsibility in giving. The U.S. has strategic interests in Haitian security. Stopping mass migration from Haiti is a priority for the U.S. Economic opportunities in Haiti can benefit both nations. The influence of gangs in Haiti is a growing concern. There is no neutral ground in global politics. The U.S. must act to prevent foreign adversaries from gaining influence in Haiti. The current situation in Haiti requires urgent attention and action. Chapters 00:00 Introduction to the Trump-Rubio Effect on Haiti 00:14 Ethics and Morality in Humanitarian Aid 02:33 The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Giving 05:01 The Role of Government in Humanitarian Efforts 07:10 Understanding Security and Governance in Haiti 10:09 The Big Four: U.S. Interests in Haiti 12:45 The Current Situation in Haiti 14:53 Expectations for the Trump-Rubio Administration 18:24 Conclusion and Future Outlook 20:57 Season Three mpeg.mp4

    21 min
  5. S3.E4 - The Trump, Rubio, Musk effect on Haiti

    02/19/2025

    S3.E4 - The Trump, Rubio, Musk effect on Haiti

    Keywords Haiti, humanitarian aid, self-reliance, economic development, Trump-Rubio effect, USAID, power giving, governance, foreign aid, community empowerment Summary In this conversation, Jeff Frazier discusses the future of Haiti, focusing on the need for a new approach to humanitarian aid that emphasizes self-reliance and economic development. He critiques the current methods of aid distribution, arguing that they often perpetuate dependency rather than foster independence. Frazier introduces the concept of 'power giving,' which aims to empower individuals and communities by providing them with the tools and opportunities necessary for sustainable growth. He also explores the potential impact of the Trump-Rubio effect on Haiti, suggesting that a shift in mindset towards personal responsibility in aid could lead to significant improvements in the country's situation. Takeaways The future of Haiti depends on self-reliance and opportunity. Current humanitarian aid often perpetuates dependency. Power giving focuses on empowering communities. Economic development requires understanding local needs. The Trump-Rubio effect could change the aid landscape. Aid should be tailored to avoid creating laziness. Listening to communities is crucial for effective aid. Self-reliance can be achieved through local initiatives. The role of government in aid should be minimal. Real change requires hard work and commitment. Chapters 00:00 The Trump and Rubio Effect on Haiti 06:50 The Dangers of Lazy Giving 15:10 Power Giving: A New Approach 21:55 The Future of Haiti: Self-Reliance and Opportunity

    29 min
  6. All the Puzzle Pieces!

    02/14/2025

    All the Puzzle Pieces!

    In this episode, Jeff Frazier discusses the complex issues facing Haiti, emphasizing the importance of understanding the existing puzzle pieces of governance, rule of law, and economic development. He highlights the critical role of humanitarian aid and the need for self-reliance initiatives to create sustainable growth. The conversation also touches on the interplay between these elements and the challenges posed by corruption and governance failures. Jeff concludes by outlining future discussions on the Trump effect and ethical obligations towards Haiti. Takeaways The world is moving too fast for traditional approaches. Good governance is essential but not sufficient for progress. Haiti currently has zero elected officials, indicating a governance crisis. Tax collection is crucial for providing basic societal services. Corruption is a pervasive issue in all developing nations. Rule of law is necessary for entrepreneurship and investment. Economic development must be prioritized over security concerns. Humanitarian aid must be paired with self-reliance initiatives. The disparity between Haiti's economy and population growth creates scarcity. Understanding the missing piece is vital for sustainable development. Chapters 00:00 Introduction to the Puzzle of Haiti 00:40 Understanding the Work Streams 02:49 The Importance of Good Governance 06:31 Rule of Law and Its Challenges 09:45 Economic Development and Its Dependencies 12:27 The Missing Piece: Self-Reliance Initiatives 17:44 Looking Ahead: The Future of Haiti 22:42 Season Three mpeg.mp4

    23 min
  7. The First Puzzle Piece

    10/01/2024

    The First Puzzle Piece

    www.stimpack.org Summary This conversation delves into the complex history of Haiti, exploring the factors that have contributed to its current state of poverty. Jeff Frazier discusses the historical context of Haiti's struggles, the impact of isolation and crippling debt, the rise and fall of its golden age, and the consequences of dictatorship on investment and economic stability. The conversation culminates in identifying the missing piece necessary for Haiti's prosperity, emphasizing the importance of good governance and international relations. Takeaways Haiti's environmental degradation is a significant issue. The historical context of slavery and colonialism shaped Haiti's economy. Haiti was once a wealthy colony, producing immense wealth for France. Isolation and debt have severely impacted Haiti's development. The Duvalier dictatorship led to a significant decline in investment. Predictability and freedom are essential for economic growth. Haiti's golden age in the 1950s was short-lived due to political instability. The international community has focused on governance in Haiti. Understanding Haiti's history is crucial for addressing its current challenges. The missing piece for Haiti's prosperity is yet to be fully identified. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Welcome 00:52 The Puzzle of Haiti 01:35 Haiti's Poverty and Food Insecurity 03:22 Gangs and Control in Port-au-Prince 04:17 Haiti's Potential and Missing Piece 06:51 The Journey Begins: Captivity and Enslavement 08:41 The Revolt: A Fight for Freedom 11:00 Haiti's Independence: A New Dawn 13:04 The Burden of Debt: France's Demands 17:06 The Golden Age: A Brief Resurgence 22:43 The Downward Spiral: Economic Collapse 24:57 New Chapter 25:07 New Chapter 2 25:12 New Chapter 3

    26 min
4.7
out of 5
35 Ratings

About

STIMPACK is a Haiti focused think tank and interventional NGO. We look for points of leverage to help Haitians lift their entire country out of extreme poverty. This podcast discusses those points.

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