Florida State Primetime LIVE 29 notes. Host Jackson Burleson with Austin Williams (Sports Talk with Austin, Louisville fan). Topic: Can FSU keep rolling at Louisville on Friday after the Virginia win. Presented by FanDuel. Quick frame Game: Florida State at Louisville, Friday (not Saturday). Odds (FanDuel): Louisville −3.5, FSU +3.5. Over/under 60.5. Series: FSU leads all-time 18–6; 7–3 in Louisville. History includes Lamar Jackson and an FSU comeback from 28–0. Both sides treat this as a momentum game. FSU would go 4–2 with a second ACC win before Miami. Louisville is 2–3 and sliding after near-misses against Ole Miss and SMU. Score calls: Burleson FSU 38–35. Williams Louisville 41–34. Odds and talent gap (1:31–3:15) Burleson expected FSU to be favored after Virginia; instead Louisville is a home favorite. Williams: 3.5 is basically home-field. He thought the talent gap was small coming in. Outside Miami, ACC rosters are closer than preseason talk suggested. Number feels fair, slightly surprising. FSU has not won a true road game in a long stretch (Burleson cites roughly 1,000 days). He sees this as the spot to break it after an explosive Virginia showing. Both defenses are soft against the pass. FSU had 7 sacks all season, then 10 against Virginia. Clip: 1:38–2:55, odds reaction and “fair number.” Louisville offense (4:18–5:21) Williams is still confident in the offense: Lincoln Keyholes, Isaac Brown, and Keewon Brown. Calls the Brown duo one of the most explosive RB tandems in the country. Keyholes is a playmaker outside the pocket (Ole Miss deep ball to McCoy cited). Ohio State background, polished thrower who can run. Ceiling is the Ole Miss-level output if they avoid penalties and turnovers. Losses have still featured points. Concern is the defense, not the offense, against FSU. Clip: 4:22–5:09, Keyholes and the Brown backs. Turnovers and cleanliness (6:47–9:28) Louisville has turned it over repeatedly the last three games (SMU, Wake Forest, NC State). Three lost fumbles vs. NC State. Jeff Brohm said after the presser that ball security is on coaches and players. Cost them Wake and NC State. They survived the turnovers vs. SMU; Williams calls that a lucky win. Both guests are skeptical SMU is as good as the national take. What Williams wants Friday: no pre-snap penalties, treat the ball like a child, situational awareness late (don’t loaf a lead). Do that and Louisville leaves 3–3. FSU has its own penalty problem: 17 combined in the last two games (10 vs. Central Arkansas, 7 vs. Virginia). Offense has been slow starting. Burleson worries about falling behind 14–0 and the defense not bailing them out, even after fourth-down stops and the sack outburst. Norvell has framed recent games as 45-minute efforts. Burleson wants a full 60. He calls this the biggest game of the year, same as he felt about Virginia. Clip: 7:16–8:16, Brohm on turnovers. Clip: 8:53–9:28, “treat it like your child.” Why the line still favors Louisville (10:50–12:00) FSU has only been favored vs. New Mexico State and Central Arkansas. Underdogs at home and on the road otherwise. Burleson thought the Virginia win earned a lean the other way. Williams agrees recent form favored FSU and expected maybe FSU −1.5 or −2.5, but home field and earlier Ole Miss/SMU tape kept Louisville favored. Injuries (12:21–16:28) FSU Darryl Desir (expected defensive piece) limited by accountability issues. Burleson wants him healthy and back. Out: Samuel Singleton Jr. (called one of the best RBs in the country when healthy; not Ousmane Kromah, but close), Blake Nicholson (LB depth), Jordan Crutchfield (had been getting snaps). Louisville does not have to face Singleton. Louisville K. John Brown questionable. Was questionable vs. NC State. Injury history, nothing major per Brohm, expected to play Friday. Williams notes the RB room has been bitten by injuries. Antonio Watts out for the year is the big one. Williams calls him the heart and soul: DB, safety, and linebacker, green-dot communicator. Defense looks different on All-22 without him (missed tackles, unfilled gaps). Pairing him with Calvin Wu would have changed the unit. “Can’t cry over spoiled milk.” Clip: 14:58–16:14, Watts as the missing piece. Ashton Daniels game plan (17:13–21:14) Brohm has said Daniels is different from anyone Louisville has faced. Williams: film shows rope throws (Alabama tape), can escape the pocket, not a pure runner but can hurt you. Reputation for inconsistency from Stanford/Auburn; this year has been steadier. Plan is to keep him from extending and playing hero ball. Burleson: Daniels is more dangerous outside the pocket than inside. Big body, doesn’t look fast, still dynamic. Arm talent is NFL-level on some throws, baffling on others. Interception in four of five games (clean vs. SMU). Some are miscommunication (Contrarian Weisner route vs. Central Arkansas). Better than the Stanford/Auburn tape suggested outside the Vanderbilt game. Daniels took four sacks vs. Virginia. Burleson wants him not to hold the ball. Louisville will pressure if he does. Wants Deuce Robinson involved more than two catches. Micahi Danzy has been productive; Deuce is the matchup nightmare with the ball. Clip: 19:19–20:03, “worse inside the pocket.” Clip: 21:21–21:39, get Deuce the ball. Louisville pass defense and Deuce (21:40–24:46) Louisville: 125th in total defense (423 ypg), 130th in pass defense (266.8). Williams comps Deuce to Gronkowski/Tony Gonzalez size with Calvin Johnson speed. Jump balls and red-zone throws are the scare. Run game is less of a worry in his view because Daniels drops back. Defense has papered over yards with timely takeaways, same as last year. Calvin Wu is among the national leaders in passes defensed. Must get FSU off schedule so screens and slants do not set up the shot. Ole Miss (Chambliss, Deuce Alexander twice in the third) is the blueprint if FSU studies it. Burleson pushes back: FSU does run the ball. Ousmane Kromah has 41 forced missed tackles on 81 carries, leads FBS. Fifteen missed tackles forced vs. Virginia. Clip: 22:04–23:08, Deuce size/speed. Clip: 24:46–25:26, Kromah missed-tackle stat. Tackling (25:40–27:07) Williams says the run game didn’t jump out in the Alabama or SMU tapes he watched, but missed tackles are a multi-year issue (effort or technique). Vs. NC State, C.J. Bailey and backs were in the backfield and not wrapped. Brohm lit into the defense on the sideline. Kromah breaking tackles is a real problem if that continues. Score predictions and stakes (27:13–31:00) Burleson: high-scoring, FSU 38, Louisville 35. Cover is irrelevant if they win. Gets them to 4–2 before Miami. Williams: two paths. Brohm has talked all week about responding and playing hungry. Or FSU’s momentum becomes dangerous. Expects a track meet, not a defensive game. Louisville 41–34. Preseason narrative was this could be Norvell’s last game if FSU lost. That has flipped. Louisville thought 3–1 at worst (lose to Ole Miss, beat SMU). Williams says Louisville needs it slightly more; the Virginia win gives Norvell more margin. Heard number for Norvell: eight wins keeps the job. Burleson says eight is manageable and this game gets them halfway. Clip: 27:24–28:49, both score calls. Clip: 29:12–30:14, preseason “last game” narrative flipped. After the guest: comments, Danzy, road streak (31:49–34:53) Chat on new university sports leadership and NIL money. Still searching for an AD. Burleson thinks new leadership can make it sustainable; promises a deeper NIL/money video later (short week because of Friday). Micahi Danzy: 243 receiving yards and 28 rushing yards in five games. On the Virginia win he said it felt like old Florida State, dominant on both sides. Sack emphasis landed even though Tony White said it was not a stated emphasis. Road drought is the proof point. Burleson still thinks they blew the Alabama game. Win here and carry it into Miami (7 p.m. at Hard Rock). Ideal is a Virginia-style margin without the slow start. Spread still surprises him, but 3.5 is close enough. Ousmane Kromah spotlight (34:54–36:33) Not the best RB in the country in Burleson’s view (Jadan Baugh, Florida). Top two or three. 41 forced missed tackles on 81 carries, FBS lead. Fifteen vs. Virginia. Historical comps: Trey Benson 2022 PFF mark of 0.51 forced missed tackles per attempt; Dalvin Cook 2015 school record 56 in a season. Kromah is on a faster pace. OC Tim Harris: playmakers have to be playmakers every week; Kromah has created regardless of opponent. Clip: 35:00–35:24, Baugh vs. Kromah ranking. Film: 2028 commit Man Robinson (37:54–45:30) Three-star CB, 2028, 5-11, 180. No. 43 CB in the class. Third commit in FSU’s 2028 class. Plans two Tallahassee visits next month. Chose FSU over Florida, Miami, Georgia, Oregon, Tennessee, Oklahoma, others. IMG Academy (previously Christian Academy of Louisville). Quote: chose FSU because of love since his freshman year. Evan Cooper, Blue Adams, Tony White, and Norvell were consistent and told him early he was a top DB. On scheme: loves White’s attacking style, calls himself a physical playmaker. Acknowledges the defense has struggled, says good coaches don’t forget how to coach, and the Virginia win proved it. Film notes (IMG midseason highlights, national schedule): Jump of a route for a pick-six. Reads QB eyes, acceleration after the catch. Tackle in space; could have triggered earlier. Plays cushion but closes. Near-INT on another throw. Backfield havoc. Physical, not afraid to hit. Loose Jalen Ramsey comp on temperament only. Communication and switch. Special-teams effort, pins a returner deep instead of coasting. Burleson likes the IQ more than the star rating. IMG reps and facilities ar