Texas–Oklahoma Best Bets / Call-In Show LIVE (TexasVOCFB), hosts Matthew Miller and Thomas Bresee, FanDuel-sponsored. Roughly 31 minutes. Core focus is Red River Showdown props and sides, then caller segments on Cam Coleman, Arch Manning, and Michigan, then quick takes on Alabama–Georgia and Oregon–UCLA. Best bets (Tommy on screen; Matt mostly aligned) Texas -7.5, parlayed with the first-half line. Tommy’s case: outside a defensive or special-teams score (the Tennessee issue he expects cleaned up), Oklahoma does not score more than 13. Last year’s offensive output vs. OU was Texas’s worst under Sark; he sees a better line, receivers, and back, plus more explosives. Texas scores at least 21 and wins by at least 8. OU cannot sustain drives unless Texas gifts short fields. First half: they find rhythm quicker than the Tennessee script (two brilliant opening drives, then the Arch pick and a collapse). Bye week, Sark’s best game plan of the season, and Arch trusting the line earlier. Expect up 5–10 at the half. Matt agrees. He does not have the full-game spread on his card but his score prediction matches it. He allows OU could punch first and Texas might miss a 4.5 first-half number, then still cover the game. Hollywood Smothers over 47.5 rushing yards (both). The team that runs it best usually wins this rivalry. Smothers dressed as an emergency back vs. Tennessee, so he was already ~80–90% and should be full after extra weeks. Tommy: if he does not clear 47.5, Texas can lose. Matt: Sark-era Texas RB1 low in this game is 94 yards (Tre Wisner, 2025). Wisner went over 100 in 2024; Jonathan Brooks had a big day earlier. OU has never fully solved Sark’s wide zone the way Georgia has. Expect two explosives (15–20+ yards) and a path to 50, maybe 100. Smothers was not needed late vs. Tennessee once Texas was up 10 and CJ Baxter / the relief back was rolling. Emmett Mosley over 31.5 receiving yards (both). Matt: he has cleared this easily in the big games (Ohio State; only one catch vs. Tennessee and still relevant). Forgotten behind Ryan Wingo and Cam Coleman. Matt is done betting Coleman yards the rest of the year; yards go to Mosley and Wingo, touchdowns can still be Coleman. Tommy: under Sark, the slot or tight end has led Texas in receiving in every Red River game (DeAndre Moore, Gunnar Helm, Jordan Whittington). Sark opens the unexpected guy over the middle while safeties chase the outside threats. Mosley’s coming-out party was this game a year ago; the Ohio State over-the-middle shot is the template. Cam Coleman anytime touchdown (Tommy only). They have hunted the same shot every week: Wingo on a mesh or deep over, Coleman on the post, trying to pull the safety. Ohio State: Arch overthrew it, possible trip, pick. Tennessee: overthrow, Coleman did not play the ball, Keon Lee pick. UTSA: Coleman free over the middle, Arch did not pull the trigger. Tommy expects them to hunt it early (screen or run to a 2nd-and-short, then the post) to take half the Cotton Bowl out of it. Matt does not have it on his card but sees the logic. He wants the Wingo screen to open the game (effective late last year, scarce this year) and the outside zone back specifically for OU and A&M, who slant late and lose gap integrity. Shared lean: Texas is the far superior team. It would take a lot of self-inflicted damage for OU to steal it. Both want 10–12 play drives and some Arch run-game involvement (including the Ohio State opening-play concept from last year). Caller: Burks Opens as a Michigan fan calling his program a dumpster fire; hosts note Texas lived that stretch. Longhorn Network: SEC Network absorbed it after the conference move. Residual content runs through On Texas Football / YouTube; the app is still where Matt watches Sark pressers because Texas does not post them on YouTube. Brand argument: Burks says Texas is the biggest brand (own network, ~$2.5B valuation gap, population, merch peak in the mid-2010s). Hosts put Texas top three worldwide, with Notre Dame and USC in the conversation, and note Texas stays in the news year-round across football, basketball, baseball, volleyball, and Olympic diving (long conference streak). Cam Coleman: Burks is disappointed; mocks have him out of round one. Tommy: traits still get him drafted (George Pickens comp); he may simply be better in the NFL and should find a late-season rhythm. Matt: most impactful play so far is a fumble recovery through five or six weeks; he has not won the 50/50s (Tennessee ball was catchable). Still a first-round traits pick, now more like 18–26 than top 10, and he still leaves for the money. Arch Manning return rumors: both expect Dia Bell as the 2027 starter if Arch leaves (KJ Lacey the fallback). Tommy thinks Arch plays well enough over the next ~8 games to land in the top 10 or so; a return would signal he did not light it up or win a title, but money is not the issue and Mannings have used their college time. Matt always thought a three-year start was more likely than a one-and-done, expected this to be the leave year, and would not be shocked by a return. Dia Bell (Elite 11, NBA dad, “trust the process”) told Cover 3 he was fine sitting year one and another if needed. Matt: no other QB in the class pairs Arch’s measurables with strong play; Dante Moore is hurt and was not playing well; Trinidad Chambliss is the eye-test No. 1 but short; Todd McShay still has Arch No. 1 overall. Destination risk: Eli/Chargers history; hosts downplay a Jets/Browns block (Haslam relationship, possible Jets coaching change) but doubt the Mannings take a Chargers call if that pick is No. 1. Burks on 2027 Michigan–Texas: easy Texas win if Kyle Whittingham is still coach. He says Whittingham is trying to make Michigan into Utah, Underwood could leave at 5–7 or 6–6 or after a benching, Jason Beck likely gone, Devin Hamp is not portaling, and Michigan will not fire Whittingham after one year. Michigan has never beaten Texas; Burks will not convert if they lose again. He also calls OU as bad as or worse than Michigan, so Red River should be an easy Texas win at the Cotton Bowl despite rivalry noise. Dia Bell vs. KJ Lacey (after a dropped Caden caller) Hosts land on Dia Bell. Tommy: a little more horsepower, CJ Stroud / Dante Moore type, more of the NFL arm traits. Matt: Lacey is more athletic, but Sark will not let him run if he will not let Arch run, and Lacey is smaller. If Arch leaves, Sark still keeps Lacey as the 2027 backup because the play-calling transfers. Long term, Dia Bell can be a top-10 pick; Lacey probably cannot. Other games Alabama–Georgia (if it is played). Tommy leans Alabama. Kirby still has not beaten them in the regular season. Tuscaloosa mystique matters. Winner of Keelon Russell vs. Gunner Stockton becomes the No. 2 Heisman name Monday behind Jeremiah Smith. Weather/ground-and-pound would help Georgia. He does not buy the “DeBoer quits up 14” read; this offense looks more like the Dylan Johnson Washington version. He is picking against his alma mater. Matt takes Georgia: Russell makes too many mistakes; rain could turn it into a footing game. Oregon–UCLA. Comp to last year’s playoff JMU win is only partial. Oregon’s defense looks undisciplined (eyes, linebackers), similar to early Raheem Biles worries at Texas, and UCLA’s run game can mess with that and shorten it to four quarters. Oregon still wins after the Oklahoma State wake-up and the USC win for Dylan Raiola’s confidence. Matt: competitive, UCLA loses by about 13–17, maybe a late Oregon score stretches it. A couple of UCLA names become known after this one. Close / schedule Like and subscribe. Postgame Saturday ~7 p.m. ET, grades video Sunday, Monday 7 p.m. ET with the Florida VOCFB crew. Sign-off: “hook ’em.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.