Ottawa’s Immigration Backlog Due to Staffing Right now, newcomers from Hong Kong, Ukraine and Sudan all sit in the same queue: the Humanitarian and Compassionate program, or H&C, the category for people who don’t fit Canada’s normal immigration streams but have a strong enough case to stay. As of January 2026, those three groups made up 48% of the entire H&C waitlist. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan sets crisis-response admissions at 5,800 for 2026, dropping to 4,000 for both 2027 and 2028. Internal estimates say some applicants could wait up to 50 years for a decision. Look at the programs, and it gets bleaker. The Hong Kong Lifeboat pathway closed on August 31, 2026, after roughly 30,315 applications covering about 48,560 people, most of whom won’t get a decision until after 2027. Around 300,000 Ukrainians arrived under CUAET (the Canada-Ukraine Authorisation for Emergency Travel, a temporary status, not permanent residence) before 2024, and most are still renewing work permits over and over just to stay legal. Sudan’s pathway opened on February 27, 2024, capped at 3,250 applications, and closed within months because demand blew past that cap. IRCC (Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, the department that actually processes these files) doesn’t have the people to keep up. At the same time, anger over housing and jobs is landing on the wrong target. Hate crimes against South Asian Canadians rose more than 200% between 2019 and 2023. Anti-South Asian slurs online jumped 1,350% between 2023 and 2024. That’s what happens when a government expands the Temporary Foreign Worker (TFW) program and international student visas without building the oversight to match, then leaves the public to blame immigrants. By 2024, Ottawa itself admitted temporary immigration had outgrown the country’s capacity to absorb it. Housing demand does go up with immigration. However, researchers point to decades of underbuilding, restrictive zoning and land-use rules, piled up under Harper and Trudeau governments alike. There’s a quieter bias running through all of this too. Some people call it polite racism: a racialised professional gets praised for their English or watches their idea get ignored until a white colleague repeats it minutes later. Returnees and dual citizens get a version of it too, treated as less Canadian for having lived somewhere else for a while. That links to something bigger: Canadian Exceptionalism, the assumption that Canada is just naturally more tolerant than America. It’s also why Mi’kmaq fishers in Nova Scotia still get arrested for exercising treaty rights the Supreme Court confirmed back in 1999, because Ottawa never wrote the regulations to enforce them. It’s why, until the 2023 Bjorkquist ruling and Bill C-3 in 2025, a second-generation cutoff buried in the Citizenship Act stopped Canadians born abroad from passing citizenship to their own kids. People call them Lost Canadians, and the name fits. There’s foreign interference too. A public inquiry led by Justice Marie-Josée Hogue named the People’s Republic of China as Canada’s most active foreign interference actor, often working through local consulates to downplay what Hong Kong arrivals are actually going through. That’s transnational repression: a state reaching past its own borders to pressure or discredit its own diaspora abroad. Fixing any of this means hiring more IRCC officers, closing the gaps in workplace policy, and actually enforcing court rulings on Indigenous rights, instead of announcing another program for the headline. If this hit a nerve, hit like, send it to someone who needs the real numbers instead of the press release, and subscribe so you don’t miss the next one. Paid annual subscriptions are discounted right now, and they’re what keep us ad-free and independent. Can’t swing a subscription? A one-time coffee on Buy Me a Coffee helps just as much. This Substack is reader-supported. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit canadianreturnee.substack.com/subscribe