Compound Growth

Compound Growth
  • 5.0 (5)
  • Investing

We will share insights into current market movements, tips for achieving financial freedom, and answer common questions about the financial world.

  1. 2d ago

    A Call From Inside the House, the Fall of FICO, and a Retirement Plan AI Couldn't Finish

    Homes cost about five times the typical household income, the average car payment has climbed by about a third in five years, and letters from the Treasury keep arriving with help that rarely adds up to much. It can feel like the basic markers of financial stability have moved out of reach. Wheeler opens with a Halloween urban legend about a call coming from inside the house, and argues that's where the housing problem sits too. The postwar version of the American dream was built around a specific household and a much smaller home, roughly 1,000 to 1,200 square feet, often without a garage or air conditioning, in a market that shut many families out through redlining. The point was stability, not wealth. Today's homes are about twice that size, and Colin adds that labor now makes up close to half the cost of building one. Using OECD data, the hosts compare US homeownership and home sizes with countries like Japan, Italy, Germany and Switzerland, where smaller homes, multigenerational living or a cultural preference for renting change the picture. They also talk about the rise of accessory dwelling units and how a bigger house can mean less time out in the community. Colin then breaks down the auto loan market tier by tier, from about 4.5% on a new car for borrowers with excellent credit to more than 20% on a used car at the bottom of the credit scale. With the average amount financed above $43,000 and loan terms now stretching past six years, he explains why credit scores matter so much and what goes into them. Wheeler adds a twist: Fair Isaac, the company behind the FICO score, has seen its stock fall sharply since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac began allowing lenders to use VantageScore for mortgages. The two also weigh leasing against buying and why a reliable used car can be freeing. Next, a client's IRS notice about a federal match on retirement contributions. The Saver's Match is real and begins with 2027 contributions, but the income limits are low enough that the hosts question how many eligible savers can afford to contribute. Along the way they touch on this year's Social Security cost of living adjustment and rising Medicare costs. The episode closes with a client story about an early retirement plan built with an AI tool that looked very different once the actual accounts and numbers were reviewed, and why putting a plan into action is still where people need the most help. By the end, you'll understand why today's housing market looks so different from the one the American dream was built on, how credit tiers shape the cost of a car loan, and where AI planning tools fall short. 0:00 — Cold open: rethinking the dream home  1:30 — The call coming from inside the house  5:00 — Who the American dream was built for  12:13 — How US homes compare around the world  19:36 — What do we do about it?  22:25 — Car loan rates by credit tier  27:14 — FICO vs. VantageScore  33:49 — The IRS letter and the Saver’s Match  40:11 — Client story: an AI-built retirement plan  44:46 — Wrap-up Sources: OECD Affordable Housing Database (homeownership rates, rooms per person, home size) Experian, State of the Automotive Finance Market (loan rates by credit tier) FHFA, announcement allowing VantageScore 4.0 for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans IRS, Saver's Match under SECURE 2.0 Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  2. 5d ago

    Mailbag: Is AI Truly Being Adopted or Just Distributed?

    In the race of technology, is AI truly the fastest adopted innovation in history, or is it just a case of mass distribution?  If you’ve been questioning the impact of AI on the economy, your portfolio, or even just your daily life, this is a must-listen.   Wheeler and Colin tackle a listener’s intriguing question about the economic ramifications of AI’s rapid integration into our lives. They explore critical distinctions between exposure, usage, and genuine adoption, challenging the conventional wisdom surrounding these terms. As they unpack the data, you'll discover the nuances of AI’s implementation across industries and how it’s changing the landscape of personal finance.   You'll discover:   The stark differences between technology usage and true adoption — and why it matters.  Shocking statistics about AI adoption rates in the U.S. compared to other countries, shedding light on global trends.  The implications of AI's mass distribution on economic performance and investor strategies.  Real-world anecdotes that illustrate the varying experiences of individuals and businesses with AI technology.  Insights on how tech companies are leveraging AI for B2B success, even as consumer adoption lags.   Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  3. Oct 19

    The Best 7 Months of the Election Cycle, Apple's Push Into Your Home, and the Fall of AT&T

    Election ads everywhere, a new Apple product every few months, and maybe a stock in your portfolio that has done so well you're afraid to touch it. It's hard to tell which headlines matter for your money and which ones are noise. Wheeler starts with seasonality and the four-year presidential cycle. Midterm elections tend to bring anxiety, but historically the October through April stretch of a midterm year has been the strongest seven-month window of the entire cycle, averaging about 18% compared with roughly 5.4% for a typical seven-month period. The hosts are clear that this isn't a prediction or a reason to buy, and Colin draws a useful line between politics, meaning who wins, and policy, meaning taxes, tariffs and war, which is what has actually moved markets. Next, Colin breaks down Apple's bigger push into the smart home, led by HomeView, a wall-mounted screen that changes profiles depending on who walks up to it. Apple holds a small share of a market led by Amazon's Alexa, so the hosts debate whether Apple is late to the party or whether Amazon and Google simply warmed up the market for it. Colin sees a race to get an AI assistant into the home and the data that comes with it. Wheeler sees a new leader looking to make his mark, the way the Apple Watch and AirPods defined the last era, plus a political risk if regulators ever loosen Apple's grip on the App Store. That leads Wheeler to a monopoly from another era. AT&T was once the most valuable company in the country and stayed at or near the top for two decades. Early in his career, Wheeler had clients who wouldn't sell their AT&T shares for emotional reasons or for the dividend, even as the company slipped. With SpaceX buying wireless spectrum to bring Starlink to phones, the hosts talk about why owning the infrastructure matters and what the AT&T story means for anyone holding a large position in a Mag 7 company today. Colin shares a story about Bill Gates and Warren Buffett and his own experience selling a fast-rising stock too early, and both hosts explain why realizing some gains along the way, or using them for gifting and estate planning, can make sense. The episode closes with a year-end retirement account check. Colin walks through the 2026 limits for 401(k), 403(b) and 457 plans, the catch-up contributions for savers 50 and older and for ages 60 to 63, and why October is the time to confirm you're on track if maxing out is your goal. Wheeler asks about clients who front-load their contributions early in the year, and Colin explains why that can cost part of the employer match unless the plan offers a true-up. By the end, you'll understand how election cycles have historically lined up with market returns, why Apple wants a screen on your wall, and what a year-end look at your accounts should include. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  4. Oct 12

    A Shrinking Social Security Fund, a Rent vs. Buy Showdown, and 50 Years of Tax-Free Growth

    Mortgage rates near 7%, a Social Security fund that has started shrinking, and a new account for kids that most parents still haven't heard of. It's a lot to keep straight, and the headlines rarely explain how any of it affects your own plan. It starts with an envelope from the US Department of the Treasury. Wheeler's family received a $1,500 refund tied to healthcare.gov marketplace fees, even though he estimates he paid only a few hundred dollars in fees over three years. The hosts explain how those fees reach families through higher premiums, why a flat refund to households that don't receive subsidies misses the people who need help most, and why the Crowleys are donating theirs to the HealthWell Foundation. Colin follows up on last week's Social Security conversation. He walks through the 1983 reforms that kept the system running, how reserves grew to about $2.9 trillion by 2020 and have been shrinking since, and why fewer workers paying in for each retiree makes the math harder every year. The hosts talk about the $184,500 cap on Social Security payroll taxes, why investing the surplus in stocks would have bought time without solving the problem, and why they stress test client plans with reduced or missing benefits. Next, interest rates. Corporate interest burdens are near record lows because well-run companies refinanced when rates were low, while households shopping for a home now face mortgage rates near 7%. Wheeler shares a rent vs. buy exercise the team ran for Portsmouth, Boston and Los Angeles. In every scenario they tested, renting and investing the difference came out ahead. On a $400,000 loan, the gap between 3% and 7% is about $1,000 a month. The hosts debate why Seacoast home prices hold up, how AI data center borrowing may be pushing long-term rates higher, and why the same rates that make buying expensive also let savers lock in steady income. Colin then covers NASA's X-59, an experimental jet built to turn the sonic boom into a muffled thump, and how NASA's testing over US cities could open the door to supersonic passenger flights over land. Wheeler closes the main segments with Trump accounts. He walks through signing his daughter up in the app, answers a question from a stranger at a coffee shop about why he'd use one instead of a UTMA, and explains why the account becoming an IRA at 18 matters. Converted to a Roth over time, after the kiddie tax years, it can grow tax-free for decades. The episode ends with two client stories: a family who realized the upkeep on three homes was missing from their financial plan, and a longtime listener who called in to review his beneficiaries after hearing an earlier episode. By the end, you'll understand why today's interest rates cut both ways, where Social Security actually stands, and how a Trump account fits into a child's long-term savings. Compound Growth is produced by CoFi Advisors. If this episode raised a question about your own plan, we're happy to talk it through. [draft] Sources: HealthWell Foundation, healthwellfoundation.org NASA X-59 / Quesst mission (referenced on the recording) IRS Form 4547, Trump account election (referenced on the recording) Brookings estimate of AI infrastructure spending (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  5. Oct 5

    Main Street Millionaires, Private Equity Vet Bills, and the Wealth Tax That Can't Fix the Deficit

    When people talk about wealth in America, the conversation usually splits into two groups: the billionaires and everybody else. A new book from economists Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick, The Everywhere Millionaire: Who Is Really Rich in America and How They Got There, argues there's a huge group in between. Wheeler and Colin dig into it this week. The book focuses on "Main Street millionaires." These are households worth $10 million or more who got there by owning private businesses: HVAC companies, car dealerships, construction firms, roofers. Together, they hold far more wealth than the Forbes 400 combined. The stat that stood out most: about 75% of households worth $10 million or more built that wealth through a privately held business. Above $100 million, it's nearly all of them. That leads to a problem the hosts see all the time: succession. Many of these owners started out just trying to make a living, grew faster than they planned, and never decided what happens to the business next. Colin shares a private equity friend's story about valuing a roofing company whose owner has no plan for handing it to his son. The hosts look at how private equity has moved into a growing share of veterinary practices, what that has meant for pet owners' bills, and why an owner who dies without a plan can leave the family forced to sell. The takeaway: plan for your business the same way you plan for your family. That can mean a buy-sell agreement, an ESOP, insurance-funded buyouts or trust planning, with the estate tax exemption in mind. From there, the conversation turns to wealth taxes. Using the UK's inheritance tax changes on farmland as an example, Colin explains why owners who are wealthy on paper often don't have the cash to pay a tax on it. Wheeler runs the math on a 2% annual tax on the country's wealthiest households: roughly $160 billion a year against a deficit of nearly $2 trillion. Even taking everything the 400 wealthiest Americans own wouldn't cover a fifth of the national debt. The hosts look at where federal spending actually goes and ask whether the goal is debt reduction or redistribution, because those are two different problems. Their conclusion: the deficit can't be fixed with taxes alone. It takes spending, interest rates and growth too. The episode ends on a practical client win. A construction business owner in Maine wanted to reward the 8 to 10 employees who had been with him from the start. Setting up a 401(k) with a generous match and a quick vesting schedule gave them real ownership and access to much higher contribution limits than an IRA. A small step that makes a big difference. Sources: The Everywhere Millionaire: Who Is Really Rich in America and How They Got There, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick Congressional Budget Office federal spending data (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  6. Sep 28

    Is the AI Bubble Just Getting Started?

    Everyone seems to agree AI is a bubble that's about to burst. But what if everybody's wrong? This week starts with a contrarian column arguing that roughly $1 trillion in AI build-out since 2024 is only about 2% of GDP, while past build-outs like the railroads and telecom reached closer to 25% before they peaked. At today's pace, AI wouldn't get there until around 2030. The hosts test the comparison against the Panic of 1873. Railroad track roughly doubled in the years after the Civil War, and financier Jay Cooke's bank funded long-term railroad loans with short-term borrowing. When a crash in Vienna spread across the Atlantic and depositors wanted their money back, the money wasn't there. From there, they look at today's circular AI financing, where chipmakers, cloud providers and hyperscalers are each other's biggest customers, and at Oracle's large lease commitments tied to OpenAI. Their conclusion: yes, there's a bubble, and nobody knows when it pops. The practical answer is to know your exposure, diversify, and benefit along the way without going all in. Next up is Meta's new agentic AI, Muse. Colin tested it by asking it to review the podcast. It watched recent episodes and came back with notes on thumbnails, chapters and editing. The hosts walk through Muse's pitch: goal-first instead of a blank prompt, end-to-end encryption from the cryptographer behind WhatsApp's encryption, and passwords kept in a separate vault. They also cover the trade-off underneath it. Letting an assistant shop, schedule and watch on your behalf means handing over access in exchange for ease, and metadata still flows back to the parent company. That leads to a debate over whether AI is really the fastest-adopted technology in history, or whether most people are using it without choosing to every time they run a search. Then a viral post from a San Francisco tech executive listing her non-negotiables in a partner, including that he be "post-economic," meaning wealthy enough never to worry about money again. The hosts run the odds, then turn to the more useful question of what role financial stability should play in a relationship. Before the wrap, research showing that only about 23% of S&P 500 stocks outperformed the index over ten years. That's roughly a one-in-four chance for each pick, and a reminder of why buy-and-hold stock picking is harder than the success stories make it look. The episode closes on a difficult client story. An inheritance of about $100 million lost roughly $40 million to estate taxes because no estate planning was done. The previous advisors hadn't even named beneficiaries on the accounts. Updating beneficiaries takes minutes, and at that level of wealth, the basics should never be missed. Sources: "Everybody's Wrong" column, JC at Paradigm (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Trivalent / Adam Parker research on 10-year S&P 500 constituent performance (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Meta Muse launch coverage and Mark Zuckerberg's AI paper (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) The Rogers Diffusion of Innovations framework Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  7. Sep 21

    Billionaires Dodging a Wealth Tax, New England's Housing Rally, and Mortgage Rates Jumping Two Full Points

    This week opens with a genuinely funny mishap — one host asked Gemini to research video ideas and got rickrolled by the AI itself, complete with a self-aware "busted" when called out — before the show turns to a much bigger AI story: a wave of doomer warnings from Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, and now Elon Musk, including a widely repeated claim that there's a 10% chance AI ends humanity by 2030. The hosts push back on the framing, walking through Musk's proposal that AI companies test each other's models instead of grading their own homework, and making the case that the loudest calls for regulation double as a form of regulatory capture — locking in the biggest players' advantage before competitors, especially open-source ones, can catch up. They tie it to a recent AI-company whistleblower whose resignation letter went viral on X and turned up in major papers suspiciously fast, and close the segment with a chart from 314 Research showing application software revenue per employee has gone hockey-stick since the start of the AI era — evidence, they argue, for the productivity story over the mass-unemployment story, at least so far. From there, a mortgage rate gut check: a preferred rate with points that was 5.65% one Friday jumped to 6.12% within three business days, with the average 30-year now sitting between 7% and 7.2%. The hosts walk through why the Fed doesn't actually set mortgage rates directly, then trace how quickly Fed expectations have swung this year — from a consensus rate cut in May, to a hawkish pivot after the July meeting, to a strong August jobs report pushing the market toward pricing in a hike, with 65 of 93 surveyed economists now expecting one. A full breakdown of mortgage discount points follows: what a point costs, when it typically pays off (usually 5–7 years), and data suggesting 60% of borrowers are now paying for points, up from 31% in 2021. On housing, national home sales fell 5.4% year over year — but New England was the one region where sales actually grew, with the hosts quick to point out how much variation exists within New England itself. That leads into a proposed wealth tax in California: a one-time 5% capture of worldwide net worth above $1 billion, prompted by a personal story about a family that left the state over it. The hosts largely agree that very high earners should pay taxes, but argue the mechanism itself is the problem — comparing it to the Los Angeles mansion tax that cut high-end transaction volume in half, and walking through how trusts, LLCs, and illiquid ownership make net worth nearly impossible to pin down and tax fairly. The show wraps on lighter ground: JetBlue's new Boston-themed lounge at Logan Airport, which requires either a paid premium credit card, top-tier elite status, or a Mint fare to access — part of a broader airline trend toward prioritizing higher-paying passengers. The hosts close with a personal spending exercise: what's easy to cut (souvenirs, sunglasses, brewery merch) versus what's genuinely hard to give up (the location of a hotel, the convenience of not Ubering everywhere) as travel keeps getting more expensive. Sources: California's proposed wealth tax, Proposition 40 (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Mortgage discount points data via the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and Freddie Mac (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) 314 Research, application software revenue per employee chart (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) JetBlue Lounge, Logan Airport Terminal C (referenced on the recording; not independently verified) Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

  8. Sep 14

    A Peacock Who Can't Fly, Tucker Carlson's Boat, and Dan Wilson's Road to CoFi

    This week Wheeler and Colin sit down with Dan Wilson, CoFi Advisors' newest financial planning associate and a CFP® candidate, to get his full story — after months of him quietly feeding the show's news segments from his own five-newsletter-a-day habit. Dan likes to work backward, so they start with how he landed at CoFi (a LinkedIn search for "para-planner near Amesbury" while he was two years into a banking job at Chase) and trace it back through a genuinely winding career: a commercial-bank credit analyst role, weekend serving shifts at what's now Treehouse Brewing, two years in fintech sales at Toast right as the pandemic hit, two years running sales for Athletic Brewing in Arizona, and a remote stint at a home equity company before Chase and the CFP® track. From there, the conversation traces Dan's actual interest in markets back to sophomore year of college — a copy of Stock Market for Dummies, a professor-mentor who ran the school's investment club, and a behavioral finance class senior year that pulled him away from spreadsheets and toward human decision-making. All three compare notes on their own first finance books (Rich Dad Poor Dad for two of them, The Wolf of Wall Street for the other), and Dan talks about growing up without much money talk at home, balanced against parents who prioritized his time over their careers. Since joining CoFi, the thing that's genuinely surprised him has been estate planning — trusts, and strategies like the intentionally defective grantor trust (IDGT), which he calls one of the more mind-bending things he's studied for the CFP®. Colin runs Dan through a behavioral finance pop quiz on the Monty Hall problem — why switching doors after the host reveals a "zonk" actually improves your odds from one-in-three to two-in-three, and why that statistic is so much easier to accept than to feel, which becomes a stand-in for how clients relate to their own financial decisions. The back half turns personal: why Dan keeps a running folder of political news to track how fast the news cycle actually moves (with a nod to a line he attributes to Morgan Housel, "bad news is instant, good news is slow"), his belief that a good advisor stays neutral no matter who's across the table, and a detour to a canoe trip in Maine where he's fairly sure he nearly got run over by Tucker Carlson's boat. It closes on why none of the three can take a compliment, and the case for why that's actually a bad habit to have with clients. Sources: this is a get-to-know-the-team episode rather than a markets week, so there's no Tuesday briefing to pull from. What's cited above is what's referenced directly on the recording — Rich Dad Poor Dad (Robert Kiyosaki), The Psychology of Money and the "bad news is instant" line (Morgan Housel), The Wolf of Wall Street (Jordan Belfort), the Monty Hall problem (a classic probability puzzle popularized by the show Let's Make a Deal), and the intentionally defective grantor trust (IDGT) as an estate-planning strategy. Send over anything else you'd like credited and I'll swap it in. Follow Us: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/compoundgrowthpod YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CompoundGrowthPodcastTikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@compoundgrowthpod Wheeler’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wheeler-crowley-0a63933b/ Colin’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colin-walker-mba-6099a038/Credits: Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

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5 Ratings

About

We will share insights into current market movements, tips for achieving financial freedom, and answer common questions about the financial world.

Information

  • Creator
    Compound Growth
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    76
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © 2026 Compound Growth
  • Show Website
    Compound Growth

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