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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 4h ago

    Best Bets Today | Rays vs Brewers: A New Champ Guaranteed?! | MLB, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Friday

    Got smoked on the Predators yesterday, then watched the Cavs blow a modern-history 29-point lead to the 76ers and the Patriots miss covering TNF. Today I go through two NHL games, the full NBA slate, five Friday college football games, and World Series Game 1. Two plays on the card: Miami Heat and Tulsa. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BETS 🏀 Miami Heat +1 / +1.5 vs Detroit Pistons: biggest sandwich spot of the day. Detroit just burned a ton of effort overcoming a 22-point deficit vs the Celtics, then has the Sixers and Knicks on deck. Fade what you saw in Game 1. 🏈 Tulsa -1.5 vs Army: Army is overvalued off a 56-point win over FAU that was skewed by turnovers, sitting in a sandwich/look-ahead to Memphis, and Tulsa has seen triple-option offense three weeks in a row. Leans only (not plays): Blackhawks ML vs Canadiens, Avalanche vs Lightning, Bulls vs Bucks, Celtics vs Knicks, Hornets vs Hawks, Pacers vs Mavericks, Magic +1.5 vs Timberwolves (close to a second NBA play), Wizards vs Raptors, Rockets + pts vs Spurs, Jazz vs Pelicans, Warriors vs Grizzlies, Clippers +9.5 vs Lakers, Kings +8.5 vs Trail Blazers, Virginia -2.5 vs Duke, UConn vs UMass, Air Force-Wyoming under, Stanford +6.5/+7 vs NC State, and a slight Rays lean (esp. first-five run line) plus preference for the under in World Series Game 1 (no play). Today's games (all times ET): ⚾ MLB World Series Game 1: Rays @ Brewers, 8 PM (FOX) 🏀 NBA: Bulls @ Bucks, 4 PM; Knicks @ Celtics (Prime), Hawks @ Hornets, Mavericks @ Pacers, Timberwolves @ Magic and Raptors @ Wizards, 7 PM; Pistons @ Heat, 8 PM; Rockets @ Spurs (Prime) and Pelicans @ Jazz, 9:30 PM; Grizzlies @ Warriors, Clippers @ Lakers and Trail Blazers @ Kings, 10 PM 🏒 NHL: Canadiens @ Blackhawks, 8 PM; Lightning @ Avalanche, 9 PM 🏈 College football: Duke @ Virginia (ESPN) and UMass @ UConn, 7 PM; Army @ Tulsa, 8:30 PM (ESPN2); Air Force @ Wyoming, 9 PM (CW); NC State @ Stanford, 10:30 PM (ESPN) 0:00 Yesterday's results: Predators get smoked 1:10 Cavs blow a 29-point lead to the 76ers 2:22 TNF recap: over was right, side was tough 2:59 Today's rundown 4:45 Show open 4:54 NHL: Canadiens @ Blackhawks 7:10 NHL: Lightning @ Avalanche 9:53 NBA slate open 9:58 NBA: Bulls @ Bucks 12:17 NBA: Knicks @ Celtics 14:37 NBA: Hawks @ Hornets 16:11 NBA: Mavericks @ Pacers 18:01 NBA: Timberwolves @ Magic 21:03 NBA: Raptors @ Wizards 23:45 NBA BEST BET: Pistons @ Heat 27:52 NBA: Rockets @ Spurs 30:35 NBA: Pelicans @ Jazz 33:33 NBA: Grizzlies @ Warriors 36:32 NBA: Clippers @ Lakers 37:57 NBA: Trail Blazers @ Kings 40:15 Hydration break 40:37 College football open 43:02 CFB: Duke @ Virginia 46:35 CFB: UMass @ UConn 51:36 CFB BEST BET: Army @ Tulsa 59:37 CFB: Air Force @ Wyoming 65:08 CFB: NC State @ Stanford 70:20 World Series Game 1: Rays @ Brewers 82:33 Today's two plays recap 88:30 Sign-off Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #BestBets #WorldSeries #MLBPicks #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks

  2. 1d ago

    Best Bets Today | Maye vs Caleb Under the Lights?! NFL, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday

    Maye vs Caleb under the lights! Drake Maye's Patriots visit Caleb Williams' Bears on Thursday Night Football. After a WNBA Finals rant (Atlanta won the free-throw battle again) and a recap of yesterday (my Timberwolves and Rockets leans cashed, New Mexico State side was right), I go through all 12 NHL games, Cavaliers at 76ers, Nuggets at Thunder, three Thursday night college football games and Patriots at Bears. My one play of the day is in hockey. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BET 🏒 Nashville Predators ML +132 at Boston Bruins: fading my own Bruins, who come home from a long road trip right after a draining overtime loss in Dallas Leans only (not plays): the over 50.5 in Patriots @ Bears (slight lean Patriots +3), Maple Leafs vs Rangers, the over 6.5 in Sharks @ Senators, Ducks on the puck line at Devils, Panthers at Penguins, Kings at Islanders, Blues vs Golden Knights, Jets +1.5 at Stars, the over 6 in Wild @ Flames, Canucks vs Red Wings, Cavaliers at 76ers and Nuggets at Thunder (slight; the market says under in both), App State vs James Madison, Kennesaw State vs Liberty, and Memphis plus the over (or the Memphis team total over) vs East Carolina. Passing on Hurricanes @ Oilers and Utah @ Kraken. Today's games (all times ET): 🏈 Thursday Night Football: Patriots @ Bears, 8:15 PM (Prime Video) 🏀 NBA: Cavaliers @ 76ers, 7 PM; Nuggets @ Thunder, 9:30 PM (ESPN) 🏒 NHL: Predators @ Bruins, Rangers @ Maple Leafs, Sharks @ Senators, Ducks @ Devils and Panthers @ Penguins, 7 PM; Kings @ Islanders, 7:30 PM; Golden Knights @ Blues and Jets @ Stars, 8 PM; Wild @ Flames and Hurricanes @ Oilers, 9 PM; Utah @ Kraken and Red Wings @ Canucks, 10 PM 🏈 College football: James Madison @ App State and Liberty @ Kennesaw State, 7 PM; East Carolina @ Memphis, 7:30 PM 0:00 WNBA Finals rant: Atlanta wins the free-throw battle again 1:11 Yesterday's results: Wolves and Rockets leans cash 1:54 Today's rundown: one play, in hockey 2:15 Intro 3:43 Show open 4:03 NHL BEST BET: Predators @ Bruins 10:14 NHL: Rangers @ Maple Leafs 12:45 NHL: Sharks @ Senators 15:57 NHL: Ducks @ Devils 17:49 NHL: Panthers @ Penguins 20:35 NHL: Kings @ Islanders 23:12 NHL: Golden Knights @ Blues 26:33 NHL: Jets @ Stars 28:24 NHL: Wild @ Flames 32:29 NHL: Hurricanes @ Oilers 37:01 NHL: Utah @ Kraken 39:51 NHL: Red Wings @ Canucks 42:04 Hydration break 44:36 NBA: yesterday's leans and the letdown angle 45:33 NBA: Cavaliers @ 76ers 48:16 NBA: Nuggets @ Thunder 52:38 College football: James Madison @ App State 57:46 College football: Liberty @ Kennesaw State 1:03:06 College football: East Carolina @ Memphis 1:10:54 TNF: Patriots @ Bears 1:21:11 Today's play recap 1:21:42 Sign-off Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #BestBets #NFLPicks #ThursdayNightFootball #NHLPicks #NBAPicks #CFBPicks

    Best Bets Today | Maye vs Caleb Under the Lights?! NFL, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday

  3. 2d ago

    Best Bets Today | The Celtics Blew a 22-Point Lead?! NBA, WNBA, NHL & CFB Picks Wednesday

    The Celtics blew a 22-POINT LEAD?! Boston let Detroit close on a 23-0 run in the fourth quarter on opening night, and I'm sick of it. After the Celtics rant and a recap of yesterday (Thunder cash, Red Wings lose in a shootout after tying it late), we break down the full Wednesday board: 10 NBA games headlined by Warriors at Lakers, my one play of the day in WNBA Finals Game 3, two NHL games and Wednesday night college football. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BET 🏀 Golden State Valkyries +3.5 at Atlanta Dream (WNBA Finals Game 3): zigzag spot after Atlanta's free-throw edge in Game 2 Leans only (not plays): Timberwolves at Heat and Rockets vs Mavericks (my two strongest NBA leans), Lakers -6.5 vs Warriors, Nets vs Hornets, Wizards -4.5 vs Bucks, Suns +2.5 at Trail Blazers, Grizzlies vs Jazz, opening-night NBA unders, the over in Valkyries/Dream, the over in Flyers/Sabres, Senators vs Panthers, and New Mexico State -2.5 plus the under 45.5 vs Sam Houston. Today's games (all times ET): 🏀 NBA: Hawks @ Magic and Bucks @ Wizards, 7 PM; Timberwolves @ Heat, Hornets @ Nets and Bulls @ Raptors, 7:30 PM; Jazz @ Grizzlies, 8 PM; Mavericks @ Rockets, 8:30 PM; Warriors @ Lakers and Suns @ Trail Blazers, 10 PM; Kings @ Clippers, 10:30 PM 🏀 WNBA Finals Game 3: Valkyries @ Dream, 8 PM (series tied 1-1) 🏒 NHL: Flyers @ Sabres and Panthers @ Senators, 7:30 PM 🏈 College football: New Mexico State @ Sam Houston, 8 PM 0:00 Celtics rant: Boston blows a 22-point lead at Detroit 2:16 Yesterday's results: Thunder win, Red Wings shootout loss 3:34 Today's rundown 4:26 Intro 5:52 Show open 6:12 NHL: Flyers @ Sabres 9:08 NHL: Panthers @ Senators 11:14 NBA: handicapping opening day 11:51 NBA: Hawks @ Magic 13:10 NBA: Bucks @ Wizards 14:44 NBA: Timberwolves @ Heat 17:27 NBA: Hornets @ Nets 20:22 NBA: Bulls @ Raptors 22:35 NBA: Jazz @ Grizzlies 25:16 NBA: Mavericks @ Rockets 26:55 My two strongest NBA leans 27:10 NBA: Warriors @ Lakers 29:56 NBA: Suns @ Trail Blazers 34:09 NBA: Kings @ Clippers 35:17 Why opening-night unders make sense 37:12 WNBA FINALS BEST BET: Valkyries @ Dream 44:56 College football: New Mexico State @ Sam Houston 49:19 Baseball returns Friday, today's play recap and sign-off Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad #BestBets #WNBAFinals #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks

    Best Bets Today | The Celtics Blew a 22-Point Lead?! NBA, WNBA, NHL & CFB Picks Wednesday

  4. 3d ago

    Best Bets Today | LeBron Is Helicoptering to Home Games?! NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Tuesday

    LeBron is living in New York, playing for the 76ers, and taking a HELICOPTER to home games?! We get into the most ridiculous story of NBA opening night, then break down the full Tuesday slate: all three NBA tip-off games, a big NHL board and Tuesday night college football. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BETS 🏒 Detroit Red Wings ML (-105) at Seattle Kraken 🏀 Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 at San Antonio Spurs Leans only (not plays): Kings ML at Washington, Stars in regulation or the -1 puck line split vs Boston, Wild at Edmonton, Ducks at the Islanders, Knicks -4.5 vs the 76ers, opening-night unders (especially first-half unders), Marshall +3.5 vs South Alabama and the South Alabama/Marshall over, plus hockey over leans in Jets/Blues and Hurricanes/Canucks. Also: recap of a 13-1 NFL pick'em week and the Washington spread lean that covered on Monday night, plus an early World Series Game 1 angle on the Rays for Friday. Today's games (all times ET): 🏀 Celtics @ Pistons, 3 PM: NBA season tipoff 🏀 76ers @ Knicks, 7 PM: LeBron's Philly debut, banner night at MSG 🏀 Thunder @ Spurs, 9:30 PM: Western Conference finals rematch, Thunder revenge spot 🏒 NHL: Red Wings @ Kraken, Bruins @ Stars, Wild @ Oilers, Kings @ Capitals and more 🏈 College football: Middle Tennessee @ FIU and Missouri State @ Delaware, 7 PM; South Alabama @ Marshall, 7:30 PM 0:00 Cold open: 13-1 NFL pick'em week, Washington lean cashes 1:51 Today's rundown 2:29 Intro 3:39 Show open 4:03 NHL: Sharks @ Canadiens 6:51 NHL: Avalanche @ Devils 9:49 NHL: Ducks @ Islanders 12:25 NHL: Kings @ Capitals 15:10 NHL: Maple Leafs @ Blue Jackets 17:36 NHL: Jets @ Blues 21:09 NHL: Bruins @ Stars 24:52 NHL: Wild @ Oilers 27:29 NHL BEST BET: Red Wings @ Kraken 35:13 NHL: Hurricanes @ Canucks 39:58 NHL: Lightning @ Golden Knights 42:27 Hydration break 45:16 NBA: Celtics @ Pistons 50:58 NBA: 76ers @ Knicks 53:04 LeBron's helicopter commute 58:27 Why first-half unders make sense on opening night 59:34 NBA BEST BET: Thunder @ Spurs 1:07:25 College football: Middle Tennessee @ FIU 1:12:09 College football: Missouri State @ Delaware 1:15:30 College football: South Alabama @ Marshall 1:21:03 World Series Game 1 preview angle 1:22:46 Today's plays recap and sign-off Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad #BestBets #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks

    Best Bets Today | LeBron Is Helicoptering to Home Games?! NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Tuesday

  5. 4d ago

    MY FAVORITE PLAY RUINED A PERFECT 12-0 WEEK | Monday Takes on ALCS, NHL, WNBA Finals & NFL

    My favorite play ruined a perfect week. I got the first 12 NFL games right against the spread — then my favorite play of the week, the Cowboys, was the one that lost. Of course it was. No best bets today — I'm skipping the board. This is a leans-only Monday show: analysis on today's NHL games, WNBA Finals Game 2, ALCS Game 6, and Monday Night Football, with no actual plays locked in. Leans only (NOT best bets): - NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs ML — the strongest NHL lean; oddsmakers are telling you something with Toronto favoured here. Also discussed: Anaheim Ducks at the New York Rangers, Colorado at Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh at Utah (weaker/hedged leans only). - WNBA Finals Game 2: OVER 151.5 in Atlanta at Golden State — both teams shot in the low 30s in Game 1 and the total dropped from 153/154 to 151.5, so I'm expecting positive shooting regression. - ALCS Game 6: Tampa Bay Rays ML (conditional — only if it's Freddy Peralta vs a Cleveland bullpen game; if Gavin Williams starts on short rest, the first-five under is the alternative lean instead). - Monday Night Football: Washington +7.5 at San Francisco and a lean to the over — the undefeated 49ers are in a letdown spot, but Washington's travel (London, then East Coast, now West Coast) is why this doesn't make the cut as an actual play. Yesterday's context (prior shows only, NOT new bets today): Raiders +5.5 covered and Cowboys +1.5 — my favorite play — lost. Both originated on prior shows. 0:00 Cold open - near-perfect NFL week, favourite Cowboys play loses 4:18 Intro song 4:47 Show open - Monday Oct 19, calm before NBA tip-off 5:34 NBA preview plug - futures value / hedging explainer 6:11 NHL - Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers 8:41 NHL - Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers 10:37 NHL - San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs 12:13 NHL - Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah 14:15 WNBA Finals Game 2 - Atlanta at Golden State, over lean 18:20 ALCS Game 6 - Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians (Rays up 3-2) 25:42 NFL Monday Night - Washington at San Francisco, Washington +points lean 33:47 Wrap - no actual plays today, record/TikTok note, socials 37:31 Shout-outs / sign-off www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad | TikTok: @learntotoad #sportsbetting #NFL #MNF #ALCS #WNBAFinals #NHL

  6. 4d ago

    LEBRON + JAYLEN BROWN ON THE 76ERS?! | NBA 2026-27 Season Preview

    Are the Philadelphia 76ers actually building a superteam? LeBron James and Jaylen Brown to Philly is the talk of the offseason — are they the best team in the NBA, or should we hate them? Bonus NBA preview show — this is a season futures preview with value leans only, no best bets tonight. I walk the entire Eastern and Western Conference, then the championship odds. My futures value leans: Boston Celtics +500 to win the East, Oklahoma City Thunder to win the West, Thunder +270 to win the championship, and Celtics 13-1 to win the title. Full show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcCvxJk4O3Y 0:00 Intro 3:04 Show open - bonus NBA season preview 3:52 Eastern Conference - Philadelphia 76ers superteam? 6:10 New York Knicks (+360 to win East) 7:25 Boston Celtics - East value at +500 11:01 Cleveland Cavaliers (+900) 11:59 Toronto Raptors (10-1) - Kawhi Leonard returns 13:32 Detroit Pistons (10-1) 14:04 Miami Heat (11-1) - Giannis move 15:20 76ers chemistry - superteam ego question 16:14 Indiana Pacers (12-1) 16:45 Orlando Magic / Atlanta Hawks (22-1) 18:20 Charlotte Hornets (45-1) - LaMelo Ball traded 19:36 Washington Wizards (75-1) - No. 1 pick AJ Dybantsa 21:05 Milwaukee Bucks after Giannis 21:33 Western Conference - Thunder vs Spurs two-team race 23:14 Minnesota Timberwolves (14-1) 24:10 Houston Rockets / Denver Nuggets (15-1) 25:59 Los Angeles Lakers (20-1) 26:43 Golden State Warriors (40-1) 27:02 Portland Trail Blazers (40-1) 27:42 Phoenix Suns (70-1) 28:01 Utah Jazz (80-1) 29:16 Dallas Mavericks (120-1) 29:37 Memphis Grizzlies (200-1) 30:48 New Orleans Pelicans (250-1) 31:07 Los Angeles Clippers (300-1) / Sacramento Kings (700-1) 31:24 Conference value recap - Celtics East, Thunder West 31:44 Championship odds - Thunder +270, Celtics 13-1 value 35:24 Final value recap - Thunder/Celtics, long shots Nuggets/Rockets 35:54 Wrap - college basketball preview tease, socials 37:25 Sign-off www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad | TikTok: @learntotoad #sportsbetting #NBA #NBAPicks #76ers #Celtics #Thunder

  7. 5d ago

    Everyone Hates My Favorite NFL Pick

    Everyone hates my favorite NFL pick today — and that's exactly why I like it. Dallas just looked awful, Green Bay just looked great, and the books make their money off people betting what they saw last. I think you should do the opposite. No new best bets today — this is my Sunday final read: ALCS Game 5 (Rays at Guardians, Rasmussen vs rookie Parker Messick), NHL leans on Columbus at Minnesota and Carolina at Calgary, Saturday's recap starting with my Oregon rant, my 57%-over-~200-days record defense, and a full final market read of the Sunday NFL slate. Last night's best bets (from the NFL night show, NOT new today): Raiders +5.5 vs Bills and Cowboys +1.5 vs Packers — my favorite play — revisited at 23:22 and in the final read. Full night show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYcY9FERpYU 0:00 Cold open - Oregon QB rant (Raiola benched) 2:30 Saturday recap - Florida & Tennessee outright wins, Vandy, Nevada by the hook 4:41 Today's slate preview - NHL + ALCS, no new plays 4:53 Intro song 6:22 Show open - Sunday morning, Houston lean in London 7:47 Haters & the record - 57% over ~200 days 8:53 NHL - Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild 12:29 NHL - Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames 15:41 ALCS Game 5 - Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians 23:22 Final NFL reads - last night's Raiders +5.5 & Cowboys +1.5, "do the opposite" 25:58 Fantasy dilemma - Mike Evans vs George Pickens, Green Bay front seven 27:50 Final NFL market read - full Sunday slate 31:35 Wrap - contest entry, closing chat 33:22 Outro www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad | TikTok: @learntotoad #sportsbetting #NFL #NFLPicks #BestBets #ALCS #NHL

  8. 5d ago

    NFL Week 6 BEST BETS | Hello Good Bye

    Two best bets for NFL Week 6 — I'm already 1-0 on the week with Denver on Thursday night, and my favorite play on the entire board is still to come on Sunday night. Full breakdowns of the whole Sunday slate plus Monday night, headlined by Chargers at Chiefs and Commanders at 49ers. Best Bets: 1. Las Vegas Raiders +5.5 vs Buffalo Bills 2. Dallas Cowboys +1.5 vs Green Bay Packers (Sunday Night Football) — my favorite play of the week 0:00 Intro 1:53 Show open - ugly plays, 1-0 start with Denver Thursday 2:53 Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (London) 7:18 Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons 11:51 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns 15:05 Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts 18:01 New York Jets at New England Patriots 21:21 New Orleans Saints at New York Giants 25:07 Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles 30:01 Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34:46 Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams 38:43 Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs 42:14 BEST BETS - Las Vegas Raiders +5.5 vs Buffalo Bills 48:04 BEST BET - Dallas Cowboys +1.5 vs Green Bay Packers (Sunday Night) 53:10 Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers (Monday Night lean) 58:25 Recap - Raiders +5.5, Cowboys +1.5 58:50 Wrap - TikTok/socials, new intro, NBA preview coming 62:59 Sign-off www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG: @LearnToToad | TikTok: @learntotoad #sportsbetting #NFL #NFLPicks #BestBets #Week6 #SundayNightFootball

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    568
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports