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Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 4h ago

    SUNDAY BEST BETS | No High Fives | MLB & WNBA | 8/2/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB PHI/BAL F5 Under 4 -118 ARI/CLE F5 Under 4 +100 MIL/LAA F5 Under 3.5 +100 WNBA POR +1.5 Sunday Betting Card (Aug 2): MLB First 5 Unders + Portland WNBA Pick | Toadstool Sports The host recaps a 2-1 day (Sky ML win, Mets loss, Red Sox/Dodgers under win) and builds a Sunday, Aug. 2 card focused on MLB first-five unders to avoid bullpens. Official plays: Phillies/Orioles 1st 5 under 4 (Wheeler vs. Bradish), Diamondbacks/Guardians 1st 5 under 4 (Merrill Kelly vs. Gavin Williams), and Brewers/Angels 1st 5 under 3.5 (Misiorowski vs. Ureña). He discusses market splits, bullpen usage, sweep-avoidance motivation, and trade-deadline “dream crusher” effects (notably Detroit after trading Skubal). Leans include Nationals 1st 5 vs. Braves, Cardinals/Blue Jays over, White Sox/Rays over, Pirates/Reds 1st 5 under, and Red Sox/Dodgers full-game under. In WNBA, he adds Portland vs. LA as a play, leans Minnesota vs. Indiana, and passes on other games. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Yesterday Recap 03:33 Card Strategy Unders 04:14 Phillies Orioles F5 Under 11:27 Nationals Braves Pitching 18:19 Cardinals Jays Total Talk 23:36 Dodgers Money Debate 26:54 Dbacks Guardians F5 Under 34:03 White Sox Rays Over Lean 39:03 Marlins Mets Trade Rumors 40:50 Alcantara vs Mets Chaos 42:40 Market Read and Betting Approach 45:00 Pirates Reds First Five Under 48:58 Rangers Astros Sweep Spot 53:45 Yankees Cubs Wind Total Trap 59:30 Royals Rockies Coors Breakdown 01:05:34 Slump Rant and Reset 01:07:09 Brewers Angels First Five Under 01:14:11 As Tigers Trade Deadline Angle 01:21:03 A’s Tigers Market Read 01:22:16 Twins Mariners Breakdown 01:24:19 Bradley vs Kirby Leans 01:29:36 Giants Padres Betting Angles 01:30:52 Raup vs King Total Talk 01:34:31 Red Sox Dodgers Spotlight 01:37:40 Bennett Sheehan Under Case 01:43:02 WNBA Slate Starts Here 01:45:04 Fading Public Underdogs 01:46:20 Portland Play Locked In 01:50:39 Dallas Connecticut No Read 01:53:41 Toronto Golden State Pass 01:55:47 Card Recap and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  2. 1d ago

    Saturday BEST BETS | Slow Saturday | MLB & WNBA | 8/1/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYM -126 BOS/LAD Under 7.5 -105 WNBA CHI +6.5 Toadstool Sports (Aug 1): Mets ML, Red Sox–Dodgers Under, and WNBA Chicago +6.5 | Full MLB Card Breakdown On the Saturday, Aug. 1 episode of Toadstool Sports, the host recaps a losing day driven by two-out runs and moves into a full MLB slate breakdown with betting leans based on bullpen ranks, offensive metrics, home/road splits, and market percentages. He highlights Cardinals–Blue Jays as a likely low-scoring matchup, discusses White Sox–Rays pitching uncertainty, and analyzes several other games including Twins–Mariners, Pirates–Reds, Phillies–Orioles, Rangers–Astros, Diamondbacks–Guardians, Nationals–Braves, and Yankees–Cubs (noting an unusually low total at Wrigley). His official picks are Mets moneyline behind Zach Thornton versus Miami, Red Sox–Dodgers full-game under 7.5 (Yamamoto vs. Talley), and WNBA Chicago +6.5 vs. Las Vegas in a perceived sandwich spot. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 00:45 Show Intro and Reset 01:36 Recapping Yesterday Loss 03:00 Cardinals Blue Jays Breakdown 03:50 Quinn Matthews Debut Scout 05:58 Gausman and Betting Lean 08:46 White Sox Rays Matchup 10:21 Schultz Opener Scenario 12:06 Rasmussen Edge and Price 14:37 Mets Pick vs Marlins 17:03 Phillips vs Thornton Analysis 21:18 Market Read and Total Talk 22:58 Twins Mariners TV Game 25:37 Prelip vs Gilbert Under Lean 31:27 Pirates Reds After Skenes 32:39 Ashcraft Abbott and Lines 36:06 Phillies Orioles Preview 36:56 Sanchez vs Baz Setup 39:08 Philly vs Baz Breakdown 41:09 Battle of Texas Preview 42:01 deGrom vs Blanco Angles 46:21 Arizona Cleveland Value 48:55 Messick Edge Pricey 51:34 Nats Braves Over Talk 58:10 Yankees Cubs Wind Game 01:06:57 Slump Rant Reset 01:08:41 Royals Rockies Coors Under 01:14:43 Chat Food Side Quest 01:15:08 Giants Padres Next Up 01:16:53 Padres Bullpen Edge 01:18:25 Giants Starter Breakdown 01:19:58 Buehler Matchup Numbers 01:21:08 Padres Moneyline Lean 01:22:30 Red Sox Dodgers Under 01:24:11 Bullpens And Yamamoto 01:27:18 Talley Case For Under 01:31:05 Market Read And Line 01:32:53 Brewers Angels Handicap 01:37:14 Tigers As Pitching Angles 01:43:11 WNBA Chicago Plus Points 01:50:19 Wrap Up And Plugs #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  3. 2d ago

    Friday BEST BETS | Hard to Figure Friday | MLB & WNBA | 7/31/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB PIT/CIN F5 Under 3.5 +100 MLB Picks & Market Reads (Fri, July 31) | One Official Play: Pirates/Reds F5 Under Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Friday, July 31, recapping a 1-0-1 day that included a push on Nationals F5 after surrendering two runs in the fifth and a win on the Marlins-Mets under. He says he dislikes the MLB board and ultimately gives just one official bet: Pirates/Reds first five innings under 3.5, preferring to wait for 4 due to trust in the Skeens vs. Greene starting matchup and distrust of both bullpens. He runs through situational angles, bullpen usage, offenses, starters, matchup history, line movement, and ticket/cash splits for multiple games (including Yankees-Cubs, Phillies-Orioles, Cardinals-Blue Jays, D-backs-Guardians, White Sox-Rays, Marlins-Mets, Nationals-Braves, Rangers-Astros, Royals-Rockies, Brewers-Angels, Tigers-A’s, Giants-Padres, Red Sox-Dodgers, and Twins-Mariners) and briefly discusses three WNBA games, offering leans but no official plays. 00:00 Intro Song Cold Open 01:28 Show Opening Recap 04:09 Yankees Cubs Breakdown 10:59 Best Bet Pirates Reds Under 19:15 Phillies Orioles Preview 24:24 Cardinals Blue Jays Spot 31:56 Diamondbacks Guardians Edge 37:15 White Sox Rays Mismatch 43:38 Tampa vs White Sox Lean 44:52 Marlins Mets Over Angle 45:50 Junk vs Peralta Breakdown 48:55 Market Read and Total 50:19 Nationals Braves First Five 52:13 Griffin vs Elder Matchups 56:16 Washington F5 and Line Move 58:13 Rangers Astros Spot Factors 01:01:12 Eovaldi vs Brown Pitching 01:05:43 Royals Rockies Coors Chaos 01:08:54 Wacha vs Sugano Totals 01:15:47 Slump Rant Reset 01:17:19 Brewers Angels Price Debate 01:18:59 Drohon vs Johnson Preview 01:21:44 Run Line and Team Total Ideas 01:23:21 Podcast Shoutouts Transition 01:23:41 A’s Series Unders 01:25:05 Tigers at A’s Breakdown 01:30:35 Totals and Market Read 01:32:07 Giants at Padres Chaos 01:33:26 Whisenhunt vs Bullpen Game 01:37:46 Red Sox at Dodgers Preview 01:42:50 Twins at Mariners Spot 01:49:46 WNBA Slate Leans 01:57:30 Final Pick and Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  4. 3d ago

    Thursday BEST BETS | Thursday Throw Up | MLB & WNBA | 7/30/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB WSH F5 +114 MIA/NYM Under 7 -102 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Thu July 30): Nationals F5 vs Braves + Marlins/Mets Under Toad recaps a rough prior slate (including a correct Phillies first-five that still lost late, a Brewers-Giants no play after a starter scratch, and missed totals), then breaks down Thursday’s MLB card with notes on bullpen usage, home/road splits, market percentages, and pitching matchups. He leans toward Tampa Bay behind Shane McClanahan versus a Texas bullpen game, considers first-five unders in Royals-Twins and Yankees-White Sox, and discusses Cubs-Cardinals angles and totals. His two official plays are Washington first five moneyline (+114) fading Atlanta off a doubleheader/return-home spot with Jake Irvin vs Grant Holmes, and the full-game under 7 in Marlins-Mets behind Yuri Perez vs Nolan McLain. He also briefly reviews other late games and touches on WNBA matchups without making plays. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Yesterday Recap 03:52 Today Slate Setup 04:37 Rangers Rays Breakdown 08:35 Royals Twins Under Lean 12:51 Yankees White Sox Under 18:35 Cubs Cardinals Handicapping 24:38 Best Bet Nationals F5 34:40 Final Play Marlins Mets Under 41:52 Mets Marlins Under 42:27 Mets Side And Bullpen 43:38 Pirates Reds Over Lean 45:13 Bullpen Game Breakdown 46:47 Lowder Vs Pirates Data 49:46 Red Sox A's Handicapping 51:48 Gray Vs Barnett Angles 56:46 Break And Slump Rant 58:44 Giants Padres Preview 01:04:34 Mariners Dodgers Under Talk 01:11:13 WNBA Prime Doubleheader 01:18:41 Final Picks And Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  5. 4d ago

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Spraying It | MLB & WNBA | 7/29/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB PHI F5 -0.5 -115 MIL/SF Under 7.5 -105 COL F5 +114 CLE/CIN Over 9 -104 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Wed, July 29): Phillies F5, Brewers–Giants Under, Rockies F5 + Over CLE–CIN Toad recaps an 0–2 day, blaming Shane Bieber’s six-walk first inning and a Connecticut WNBA spread loss driven by a major free-throw disparity, then skips the WNBA card today due to limited matchups. He gives four MLB plays, focusing on avoiding weak or taxed bullpens and noting several opener situations: Phillies -0.5 first five vs Miami behind Jesús Luzardo; Brewers–Giants full-game under 7.5 citing Shane Drohan vs Logan Webb and Webb’s strong history vs Milwaukee; Rockies first five moneyline (+114) vs San Diego behind rookie Gabriel Hughes against an uncertain Padres pitching plan likely involving Griffin Canning; and Guardians–Reds over 9 due to heavily used bullpens from a doubleheader plus Joey Cantillo vs Brady Singer. He also discusses leans and market notes across other games and promotes his socials, audio feeds, Patreon, and other channels. 00:00 Cold Open Rant 01:28 Intro and Bad Beats 03:35 Today’s Card Setup 04:39 Phillies vs Marlins Pick 12:42 Dbacks vs Pirates Breakdown 18:46 Blue Jays vs Nationals Lean 24:10 Braves vs Mets Doubleheader 33:37 Orioles vs Tigers Under Talk 41:01 Brewers Giants Under 44:44 Webb Dominates Brewers 48:05 Rockies First Five Shot 50:00 Hughes Versus Canning 54:55 Rangers Rays Lean 57:39 Opener And Seymour 01:00:43 Guardians Reds Over 01:03:29 Cantillo Singer Breakdown 01:08:00 Twins Royals No Bet 01:13:55 Slump Rant Reset 01:15:26 Yankees White Sox Preview 01:16:37 Yankees White Sox Breakdown 01:20:32 Cubs Cardinals Series Spot 01:25:32 Astros Angels Sweep Angle 01:30:48 Red Sox Athletics Total Talk 01:36:39 Mariners Dodgers Pitching Duel 01:41:43 WNBA Lines And Leans 01:47:19 Final Card And Wrap Up #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  6. 5d ago

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Return of the Ladies | MLB & WNBA | 7/28/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TOR/WSH F5 Under 4.5 +106 WNBA CON +6.5 MLB Picks & WNBA Return (July 28): Blue Jays/Nationals F5 Under + Sun vs Mystics Toad recaps going 1-0-1 the previous day (a Mets first-five push despite a 14–3 win and an Angels first-five win before a bullpen collapse) and previews Tuesday, July 28 with selective betting. His only MLB play is Blue Jays vs Nationals first five under 4.5, citing Shane Bieber’s improved recent form, Cade Cavalli’s strong July, unfamiliarity edges, and avoiding taxed bullpens (Toronto used six relievers, Washington’s pen is weak). He discusses several leans without adding them to the card, including Cleveland in a doubleheader, Twins first five, Brewers, and other matchup/situational notes across the slate. With the WNBA back, his lone WNBA play is Connecticut +6.5 vs Washington, pointing to a low total, post-break momentum/letdown angles, and scheduling spots. 00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 03:31 Today’s Card Overview 04:24 Guardians Reds Game 1 09:19 Guardians Reds Game 2 13:22 Diamondbacks Pirates Breakdown 18:00 Orioles Tigers Matchup 22:38 Phillies Marlins Aftermath 29:07 Rangers Rays Rest Edge 35:12 Best Bet Jays Nats F5 Under 39:50 Cavalli First Five Under 41:55 Braves Mets Matchup 43:55 Sale Versus Mets Splits 45:13 Scott Form And Value 47:45 Royals Twins Pitching 49:54 Bradley Edge First Five 52:09 Yankees White Sox Bullpens 53:23 Cole Versus Kay Market 57:36 Cubs Cardinals Breakdown 01:02:23 Slump Rant Reset 01:03:54 Astros Angels First Five 01:09:54 Red Sox As Young Lefties 01:12:09 Bennett Versus Jump 01:16:55 Under And Sox Philosophy 01:18:33 Wade Boggs Talk 01:19:39 Padres Rockies Breakdown 01:25:04 Brewers Giants Pick 01:29:59 Mariners Dodgers Value 01:36:17 WNBA Best Bet 01:40:30 Other WNBA Leans 01:50:31 Plays Recap Outro 01:52:17 Steam Hack Rant 01:54:32 Final Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  7. 6d ago

    Monday BEST BETS | Major League Monday | MLB | 7/27/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYM F5 -106 LAA F5 -108 MLB Picks & Breakdown (Mon, July 27) | First 5 Bets: Mets ML & Angels ML + Kirby vs Rocker, Wheeler Mismatch Toad returns with Toadstool Sports for Monday, July 27th, recapping a 2–1 day (Cleveland–Tampa under cashes easily, Pirates 1st 5 wins, Rangers bullpen blows the Seattle–Texas under) and discussing slate context across multiple MLB games with bullpen/offense ranks, market movement, and situational spots. He leans Seattle over Texas behind George Kirby vs Kumar Rocker but ultimately keeps it off the card. The two official plays are both first five sides: Mets 1st 5 moneyline vs Atlanta (backing rookie Zach Thornton over Martín Pérez) and Angels 1st 5 moneyline vs Houston (Walbert Ureña over Tatsuya Imai), explicitly avoiding weaker bullpen exposure. He also touches on Phillies–Marlins with Wheeler, Toronto–Washington with Scherzer’s struggles, and other matchups before closing with channel plugs. 00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues 01:28 Show Intro Recent Run 01:47 Yesterday Recap Bullpen Pain 03:46 Monday Slate Setup 04:17 Mariners Rangers Breakdown 09:11 Diamondbacks Pirates Handicapping 15:15 Orioles Tigers Matchup 21:22 Phillies Marlins Fade Spot 27:47 Blue Jays Nationals Scherzer Watch 34:13 Battle of Ohio Preview 41:22 Best Bet Mets First Five 43:04 Mets First Five Angle 44:17 Fade Martin Perez 46:30 Back Zach Thornton 48:12 Market Read And Total 49:22 Break And Slump Rant 51:16 Yankees White Sox Breakdown 57:40 Cubs Cardinals Uncertainty 01:04:11 Angels First Five Play 01:11:40 Red Sox A's Price Trap 01:18:57 Brewers Giants First Five Under 01:24:25 Final Plays And Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  8. Jul 26

    Sunday BEST BETS | Get Down | MLB | 7/26/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB CLE/TB Under 7 -107 PIT F5 -0.5 -105 SEA/TEX Under 7 +100 Toadstool Sports (July 26) — MLB Picks: CLE/TB Under 7, Pirates F5 -0.5, SEA/TEX Under 7 Toad recaps a 3–0 day on Saturday with wins on Nationals F5, Orioles F5, and Dodgers/Mets under, then breaks down Sunday afternoon MLB betting angles with a contrarian, market-based approach. He details pitching matchups, bullpen usage, offensive rankings, motivation spots (avoid sweeps, bounce-back after blowouts), and ticket/cash splits across several games, including Cleveland–Tampa, Arizona–Washington, Atlanta–Baltimore, Cubs–Pirates, Toronto–Boston, Kansas City–Detroit, Dodgers–Mets, Padres–Marlins, A’s–Twins, Rockies–Brewers, Astros–White Sox, Reds–Cardinals, Angels–Giants, and Yankees–Phillies. His official plays are Cleveland–Tampa under 7, Pirates first five -0.5, and Seattle–Texas under 7, with additional leans discussed. He closes with plugs for social, audio, Patreon, and other channels, plus brief WNBA and TV chatter. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Welcome Recap 03:31 Contrarian Betting Mindset 04:29 Guardians Rays Under 07:38 Pitching Breakdown 11:48 Dbacks Nats Preview 18:08 Braves Orioles Lean 22:40 Pirates First Five Play 28:53 Red Sox Jays Analysis 34:34 Next Game Tease 34:44 Royals Tigers Breakdown 35:29 Avila vs Valdez Angles 38:07 First Five Market Read 39:40 Dodgers Mets Sweep Spot 41:30 Sheehan Peralta Matchup 44:29 Mets Value Run Line 45:57 Padres Marlins Streak 47:22 Buehler vs Junk Risks 51:55 A's Twins Total Confusion 53:45 Springs vs Prelip Leans 58:06 Rockies Brewers Mismatch 58:51 Freeland vs Mierowski Pricing 01:03:05 Break Then Slump Rant 01:03:48 Slump Spiral Update 01:04:54 Astros vs White Sox Breakdown 01:10:19 Reds vs Cardinals Leans 01:14:47 Mariners Rangers Under Pick 01:22:09 Angels Giants First Five Angle 01:26:49 Yankees Phillies Night Game 01:32:43 Plays Recap and Sign Off 01:33:40 WNBA Rant and Random Chatter 01:34:38 Final Goodbye Message #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    465
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports