Full Signal

Phil Rosen

Award-winning business reporter and media operator Phil Rosen analyzes financial markets and economic data through charts, interviews and unique commentary to pair with his newsletter, Opening Bell Daily, which is read by roughly 200,000 investors each morning.

  1. 15H AGO

    This is how the RECESSION starts in 2026 | Phil Neuhart

    Phil Neuhart is the Director of Market and Economic Research at First Citizens Wealth. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to break down the tension between rising geopolitical uncertainty and a surprisingly resilient stock market, the real recession trigger to watch in the labor market, why mega caps may be less insulated than investors think, the Fed's impossible position, and what an AI unwind would actually look like. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:20 - Uncertainty vs. resilience 1:30 - Tail risks investors are ignoring 2:50 - The bear case 3:25 - Labor market as a recession trigger 5:40 - Stocks insulated from oil? 6:30 - Earnings season and the multiple contraction 10:20 - Complex Fed outlook 12:55 - What would trigger the first rate cut? 13:50 - Kevin Warsh's problem 15:30 - AI trade rotation 18:10 - Bullish small caps 20:20 - AI as scapegoat for layoffs 24:50 - Recession odds 27:35 - Does history still apply to this market? 28:50 - Follow Phil Neuhart Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    29 min
  2. 1D AGO

    Investing in the $14 trillion ETF BOOM | Jon Maier, JPMorgan

    Jon Maier is the chief ETF strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss the sea change underway in ETF flows, why active management is set up to outperform passive for the first time in years, how the Iran conflict is reshaping the macro outlook and what investors should actually do with their portfolios right now. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:20 - Iran conflict macro implications 1:20 - 66% of S&P stocks beating the index 3:10 - Breaking down $14T ETF market 6:00 - More ETFs than stocks 6:45 - Derivative income ETFs 8:20 - International vs. US rotation 12:05 - Bear sentiment and hedging strategies 14:30 - Rotation out of tech 15:40 - Should you go to cash right now? 18:20 - Active vs. passive long view 21:20 - How pullback compares to history 23:10 - JPMorgan Guide to ETFs Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    25 min
  3. 2D AGO

    AI agents give retail investors a new EDGE on Wall Street | Yannick Malling

    Jannick Malling is the co-founder and co-CEO of Public, one of the largest retail investing platforms in the world. He joins Phil Rosen to discuss retail investor sentiment, why buying the dip keeps working, the AI bubble debate, and why Public just launched AI agents inside investor portfolios and what that means for the future of trading. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:25 - Retail investor sentiment 3:55 - Why buying the dip keeps working 5:10 - The AI bubble debate 8:00 - Retail's edge on Wall Street 8:25 - AI agents in portfolios 11:10 - Security concerns with AI agents 13:45 - Taking emotion out of investing 16:35 - Sophisticated trading strategies 19:35 - Will agents push back on bad trades? 22:40 - "Agentic brokerage" era 27:50 - Joining Public's wait list Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    28 min
  4. 6D AGO

    The WINNING stocks for the next bull run! | Tom Hulick

    Tom Hulick is the CEO of Strategy Asset Managers. He joins Phil Rosen to discuss the earnings outlook and macro impact of the Iran war, the specific sectors and stock picks he is most bullish on, and why geopolitical noise hasn't shaken his long-term thesis. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:20 - Geopolitical backdrop 3:35 - The next bull market 5:30 - Market resilience 7:50 - Oil spike and stocks 9:35 - Oil, inflation, and the Fed 11:30 - Rate hike or rate cut? 14:00 - $8 trillion cash on the sidelines 15:50 - Why Wall Street targets were modest 18:10 - Biotech sector 20:35 - Eli Lilly 26:45 - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 32:05 - Bear case for 2026 35:00 - Follow Tom's work Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    35 min
  5. MAR 26

    Gold is CRASHING but bitcoin is up! | Sam Callahan

    Sam Callahan is the director of research and strategy at OranjeBTC, one of the largest bitcoin treasury companies in the world. He joins Phil Rosen to discuss bitcoin's rally and the geopolitical turmoil, the divergence of bitcoin and gold, the macro tailwinds for hard assets, and more. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:20 — Bitcoin's divergence from other assets 4:00 — Bitcoin vs. gold 6:10 — The Fed's dilemma 9:30 — Yield curve control and rates 11:25 — Bitcoin as two different assets 13:05 — Public & Generated Assets 14:10 — Bitcoin treasury companies 17:30 — Can treasury companies recover without $BTC? 18:35 — OranjeBTC 21:00 — Follow Sam Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    22 min
  6. MAR 24

    How to invest in the MACRO SUPERCYCLE! | Jeff Park

    Jeff Park is a veteran macro investor and CIO at ProCap Financial. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to walk through three forces reshaping asset markets: accelerating demographic decline, widening wealth inequality, and AI's labor-destructive impact on the economy. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:25 - Jeff's viral essay 1:55 - 3 macro certainties 2:50 - Demographic headwinds 5:55 - Coming liquidity event 7:40 - Wealth vs. income inequality 13:45 - Generational wealth transfer 16:10- AI is labor destructive 18:45 - Mispriced education trap 20:25 - What makes Jeff optimistic 21:00 - US demographics edge 24:30 - Universal basic income 25:45 - Trump Accounts as soft UBI 26:50 - Reimagining private-public partnerships 28:40 - How to play the 3 mega trends 30:25 - Radical portfolio theory 32:15 - How to invest for the future 34:25 - Follow Jeff's work Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    41 min
  7. MAR 19

    INSIDE Robinhood's $1.5 billion stock portfolio! | Stephanie Guild

    Robinhood's chief investment officer Stephanie Guild joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to unpack the exact framework behind the $1.5 billion Robinhood Strategies portfolio, including the specific stocks she's buying right now, why she moved off the Magnificent 7 over a year ago, and the two biggest risks threatening markets in 2026. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:25 – Robinhood's investment thesis 2:55 – Compelling stock picks 5:25 – Robinhood Strategies' strategy 9:50 – The rise of retail investors 12:00 – What Robinhood users are actually buying 15:05 – Robinhood Strategies vs. index funds 16:05 – Calling Mag 7 rotation early 20:20 – Under-the-radar opportunities 22:40 – S&P 500 target of 7,500 29:20 – 2 biggest market risks 32:30– How to hedge as a retail investor 34:25 – What's next for Robinhood Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    37 min
  8. MAR 18

    Stocks are up. That's the problem | Bob Elliott

    Bob Elliott is the co-founder and CIO of Unlimited Funds. He joins Phil Rosen to discuss the macro outlook and oil shock, the Fed's dilemma, portfolio positioning for 2026, and lessons from working next to Ray Dalio. This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbell Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribe Follow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosenn Follow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/ Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:30 - The current economic shift 1:25 - Impact of oil shock 3:45 - The Fed's impossible situation 5:25 - Labor market weakness 7:15 - Fed nominee Kevin Warsh 10:15 - Why stocks haven't sold off 13:15 - Oil shock amnesia gripping markets 15:10 - Commodities, risk reduction, rebalancing 17:10 - Long-term positioning 19:45 - Gold and bitcoin 23:45 - What investors are getting wrong today 26:25 - Pain comes before policy 29:20 - Lessons from Ray Dalio 32:00 - The 55/45 rule 35:10 - Putting hedge fund strategies in an ETF 37:35 - HFGM 39:10- Follow Bob Elliott Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. #podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

    40 min
5
out of 5
16 Ratings

About

Award-winning business reporter and media operator Phil Rosen analyzes financial markets and economic data through charts, interviews and unique commentary to pair with his newsletter, Opening Bell Daily, which is read by roughly 200,000 investors each morning.

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