Market Beat

Argus Research

Market Beat is your daily briefing on what's moving markets, straight from the analysts at Argus Research. Hosted by Caroline Wygal and revolving analysts from the Argus team, each episode covers the topics Wall Street is buzzing about and the morning's biggest market movers.  We also provide quick takes on 2-3 individual stocks that have piqued our analysts’ interests, and a deeper dive into top investing themes. New episodes drop Monday through Thursday. #stocks #investor #investing #marketinsights #businessinsights #industryinsights #equityresearch #markets

  1. 13h ago

    Market Beat | Episode #48

    In episode 48 of Market Beat by Argus Research, host Caroline Wygal covers a down day as crude oil climbs another 3% to $96 a barrel, stoking inflation fears and pushing the major indices lower. In Active Stocks, Casey's General Stores drops 15% on tepid same-store sales guidance despite an earnings beat, Chewy falls 7% even after raising full-year revenue guidance, and Meta Platforms rises 5% on the launch of its new AI personal agent, Muse. The Market Buzz looks at why volatility has stayed subdued, with the VIX opening at 15.7 and holding below 20 for most of 2026, reflecting investor confidence backed by roughly 30% second-quarter earnings growth and two-year forward P/E valuations below the five-year average. With the S&P 500 up about 13% year to date, Argus notes that double-digit gains nine months in historically point to a double-digit full year, which would mark a fourth consecutive year of double-digit returns and shake off the midterm-year curse. Analyst Stephen Biggar delivers Quick Takes with a raised target on Air Products and Chemicals on decarbonization potential, a positive outlook on Entergy as a consistent dividend grower with data center interest in its Gulf Coast territory, and continued bullishness on Toll Brothers and its dominant position in luxury homebuilding. The Deeper Dive examines the global march higher in sovereign bond yields, with UK gilts at their highest since 2008, German bunds climbing on above-target inflation, and Japanese JGB yields rising on BOJ normalization. For full research and information about Argus subscriptions, visit argusresearch.com.

  2. Sep 2

    Market Beat | Episode #45

    In episode 45 of Market Beat by Argus Research, host Caroline Wygal covers a softer-than-expected private jobs report ahead of Friday's government payrolls data. The ADP National Employment Report showed 38,000 private payroll jobs created in August, below both the 47,000 consensus and last month's 44,000, with education and health services adding jobs while manufacturing and professional services posted losses. In Active Stocks, Dell rises 5% on strong results and raised guidance driven by AI infrastructure demand, Palo Alto Networks falls 7% on narrowing margins and rising component costs, and MongoDB drops 10% on soft third-quarter guidance despite 30% revenue growth. Analyst Stephen Biggar delivers Quick Takes on Autodesk's MaintainX acquisition and its expanding total addressable market, Williams-Sonoma's industry-leading digital and social media capabilities with roughly two-thirds of sales from e-commerce, and a raised target on Marvell Technology on AI momentum and its Celestial AI acquisition. The Deeper Dive examines stock valuations across multiple measures, with the Stock/Bond Barometer showing a 0.83 sigma premium within the normal range, a forward P/E of 20, and an earnings yield gap of 345 basis points in line with historical averages, all suggesting the market, up nearly 12% year to date, is reasonably valued but not cheap, and not in bubble territory. For full research and information about Argus subscriptions, visit argusresearch.com.

  3. Sep 1

    Market Beat | Episode #44

    In episode 44 of Market Beat by Argus Research, host Caroline Wygal kicks off September with a look at why it's historically the market's worst month. Argus analysis of S&P 500 returns going back to 1980 shows September is the only month with an average loss, shedding about 0.9% annually, with a win rate of just 48% and some brutal outliers including 2008's 13.6% drop. The episode explains what makes September a transition month: corporations back in gear after Labor Day, a reviving IPO market, a Fed meeting, and third-quarter pre-warnings that can send investors fleeing entire sectors, with midterm elections added to the mix this year. Markets open the month in the red as a global rise in bond yields pushes the 10-year to 4.77% and crude climbs another 3% to $88 a barrel. In Active Stocks, oil names BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil move higher, Medtronic gains 3% on an earnings beat, and NIO falls 5% on a revenue miss. Chief Economist Chris Graja's call of the week looks for wage growth to stay well below inflationary levels, with average hourly earnings up 3.2% for August against a 2.1% productivity trend. Analyst Christine Dooley delivers Quick Takes with an upgrade of Abercrombie & Fitch to Buy after a record quarter and sharply raised guidance, a raised target on Salesforce following its second guidance boost and new Anthropic partnership, and a maintained Hold on Canadian National Railway. For full research and information about Argus subscriptions, visit argusresearch.com.

  4. Aug 27

    Market Beat | Episode #42

    In episode 42 of Market Beat by Argus Research, host Caroline Wygal covers a strong day for tech earnings and asks a question on every investor's mind: when does the next pullback come? Nvidia rises 6% on a beat and upbeat guidance, Salesforce surges 21%, and CrowdStrike jumps 19%, while HP falls 7% on disappointing results. The Market Buzz digs into sector rotation, where semiconductors and oil and gas exploration lead year to date, but biotech and big pharma have blasted off roughly 27% and 26% over the past three months, gold and silver miners have surged 36% and 34% over the past month, and solar and clean energy have plummeted. Argus views ongoing rotation as a healthy sign of broadening participation rather than fragile concentrated leadership. Editor Olivia Frey delivers Quick Takes on Nvidia's continued position as the linchpin of the generative AI industry, Intuit's humming growth engines despite AI disruption fears, and Meta's landmark settlement, which Argus sees as dodging a bullet at reasonable cost. The Deeper Dive examines pullback history: it's been about five months since the last 5% drop, pullbacks happen on average three times per year, corrections about once a year, and the average recovery takes one month. With the economy growing and corporate profits climbing, Argus remains optimistic stocks can post gains in 2026 even if a pullback materializes. For full research and information about Argus subscriptions, visit argusresearch.com.

  5. Aug 26

    Market Beat | Episode #41

    In episode 41 of Market Beat by Argus Research, host Caroline Wygal covers a hotter-than-expected inflation print that has investors watching the Fed closely. The PCE index rose 0.2% in July, above the 0.1% consensus, putting full-year inflation at 3.7%, with elevated service-sector prices offsetting a 0.1% decline in goods. Treasury yields moved higher on the news. In Active Stocks, Intuit falls 4% on soft top-line guidance, Zoom drops 7% citing a consumer slowdown, and Meta rises 1% after settling a social media addiction case with 29 state attorneys general for $18 billion. A slew of tech earnings arrive after the close, including Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Salesforce, and HP. The Market Buzz also looks ahead to the November midterms and why strong corporate earnings and solid GDP growth may sustain double-digit stock gains through the toughest year of the presidential election cycle. Analyst Stephen Biggar delivers Quick Takes with a long-term case for First Solar after a 19% six-month decline, a look at McDonald's three-pillar strategy and its Super Mario Galaxy and KPop Demon Hunters partnerships, and a raised target on Merck following positive skin cancer vaccine pipeline news. The Deeper Dive investigates how Alan Greenspan identified the mid-1990s productivity acceleration years before official data confirmed it, and which indicators Argus is watching to determine whether AI can deliver a similar productivity boom today. For full research and information about Argus subscriptions, visit argusresearch.com.

About

Market Beat is your daily briefing on what's moving markets, straight from the analysts at Argus Research. Hosted by Caroline Wygal and revolving analysts from the Argus team, each episode covers the topics Wall Street is buzzing about and the morning's biggest market movers.  We also provide quick takes on 2-3 individual stocks that have piqued our analysts’ interests, and a deeper dive into top investing themes. New episodes drop Monday through Thursday. #stocks #investor #investing #marketinsights #businessinsights #industryinsights #equityresearch #markets