Commentary From the Trading Desk at Stipelis

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Easy‑to‑understand insights on stock index futures, interest rates, commodities, and currencies. Host Stephen Coleman breaks down market trends, risks, and key signals so you can stay informed without the noise. Markets move fast—this podcast helps you keep up with what matters.

  1. Jul 30

    Beyond the Headlines

    What Is the Bond Market Really Saying? The headlines are easy to find. Federal Reserve policy. Economic growth. Corporate earnings.Rising tensions involving Iran. Yet the Stipelis Bond Index Indicator suggests the bondmarket may be paying attention to something deeper than today's news cycle. Current readings show the index remaining below several keytrend measures, while momentum continues to reflect a cautious tone. Recent economic data, mixed corporate earnings, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty have all contributed to a market environment where confidence remains difficult to establish. But those observations are only part of the story. What caught my attention wasn't the moving averages, themomentum readings, or even the recent news developments. It was a specific shift inside the indicator that mayprovide important context for understanding what investors appear to be evaluating right now. That change doesn't guarantee anything about future marketdirection. However, it does help explain why the bond market's recent behavior may be more significant than many headlines suggest. The full analysis breaks down what the Stipelis Bond Indexis seeing, why it matters, and the key signal that most market observers may be overlooking. Read the full commentary at https://stipelis.com/the-stipelis-bond-index-indicator/ #stipelis #BondMarket #FinancialMarkets #MarketAnalysis#Investing #InterestRates #Economy #Macro #MarketTrends #ManagedFutures Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with theCommodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National FuturesAssociation.   Member ID 0474441     The opinions expressed are those of Stipelis Global Trading LLC and are provided for informational and market commentary purposes only. They are not intended asinvestment recommendations. Individuals should make investment decisions based on their own analysis and in consultation with a financial advisor.   THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING ISSUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

  2. Jul 2

    The Market Gets it Wrong....Sometimes

    From the Trading Desk The Strategy Session - The Markets Are Wrong For decades, investors operated under the assumption thatstocks would remain the center of the investment universe while commodities occupied a supporting role. Recent market behavior has raised questions about whether that relationship could evolve over time. George Soros built much of his thinking around the idea thatmarkets are not always correct. Prices influence behavior, behavior changes reality, and reality then reinforces prices. That cycle can continue for years before conditions begin to shift. The recent strength in real assets alongside signs offatigue in some areas of the equity market has renewed interest in this concept. Commodities, energy, metals and agricultural markets often move quietly for long periods before returning to the center of economic discussion. Whether this becomes a temporary development or thebeginning of a larger shift remains to be seen. What appears clear is that markets are capable of becoming deeply attached to narratives that eventually require reexamination. Explore this week's Strategy Session from the Trading Deskat Stipelis. https://stipelis.com/the-markets-gets-it-wrong/   Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with the CommodityFutures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. Member ID 0474441   The opinions expressed are those of Stipelis Global TradingLLC and are considered market commentary. They are not intended to act as investment recommendations. Individuals should make investment decisions based on their own analysis and with direct consultation with a financial advisor.  THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTSCAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

  3. Jun 22

    Markets Pause, Tension Builds

    From The Trading Desk at Stipelis  Daily Market Commentary – Markets Press Pause as Tension Builds  Monday, June 22, 2026 Markets are showing a quieter but more conflicted tone thismorning. Equity indices are mixed, with the Dow holding modest gains while theS&P and Nasdaq trade slightly lower. Small caps are showing relativestrength, suggesting some underlying risk appetite remains. At the same time,volatility is moving higher, signaling a level of unease beneath the surface. Energy markets are drawing attention, with crude oil pullingback close to four percent. This shift comes even as geopolitical concerns remain in focus, suggesting that supply fears may be stabilizing for now. Gold is also softer, reflecting a mild reduction in immediate safe haven demand. The US dollar is steady and holding its ground, whileTreasury futures are slipping slightly. This combination suggests that interest rate expectations remain firm and that investors are still watching inflationand policy signals closely. Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with theCommodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National FuturesAssociation.   Member ID 0474441   The opinions expressed are those of Stipelis Global TradingLLC and are provided for informational and market commentary purposes only.They are not intended as investment recommendations. Individuals should makeinvestment decisions based on their own analysis and in consultation with afinancial advisor.   THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BESUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING ISSUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

  4. Jun 18

    A Hawkish Fed Shakes Up the Markets

    From The Trading Desk at Stipelis   Daily Market Commentary -   Wednesday, June 17, 2026 The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%,but the tone of the meeting marked a clear shift. The central bank moved away from earlier signals that suggested possible rate cuts and instead emphasized that inflation remains above target. Updated projections showed a higherexpected rate path, with several officials now pointing toward the possibility of hikes later in 2026. Markets reacted quickly. Stocks moved lower, short-termyields pushed higher, and the dollar strengthened. Gold declined as pressure from rising yields returned. The overall move reflected a reset in expectations after markets had leaned toward easing. What stood out most was the broader change in approach under the new Fed chair. Communication was simplified, forward guidance was reduced, and a number of internal reviews were launched. The result is a central bankthat is less predictable and more reactive to incoming data. The main takeaway is straightforward. Policy did not changetoday, but the direction of thinking did. Inflation, energy prices, and geopolitical risk will continue to shape the path forward. Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with theCommodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National FuturesAssociation. Member ID 0474441 The opinions expressed are those of Stipelis Global TradingLLC and are provided for informational and market commentary purposes only.They are not intended as investment recommendations. Individuals should makeinvestment decisions based on their own analysis and in consultation with afinancial advisor.   THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BESUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING ISSUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

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Easy‑to‑understand insights on stock index futures, interest rates, commodities, and currencies. Host Stephen Coleman breaks down market trends, risks, and key signals so you can stay informed without the noise. Markets move fast—this podcast helps you keep up with what matters.