In this episode of The Bit Outside, I look at one of the most important but under-discussed challenges facing the United Kingdom: food security. The UK is not about to run out of food, but that does not mean the system is secure. Around 40% of the food we consume is imported, while British farming is dealing with drought, flooding, depleted reservoirs, rising costs, imported fertiliser, labour shortages, declining biodiversity and fragile supply chains. The real question is not whether Britain has food today, but whether the country can continue to provide enough affordable, nutritious food when several pressures arrive at the same time. The episode begins with a recent walk across London to a conference on food and national security. Hyde Park was yellow after the summer drought, yet it was pouring with rain and I arrived soaked. That contradiction captured the wider problem rather well. Britain can move rapidly from too little water to too much, and a wet week does not immediately repair depleted reservoirs, damaged crops or months of drought. At the same time, climate shocks elsewhere can affect British food supplies just as quickly as events at home. The UK currently produces about 60% of the food it consumes by farmgate value. That figure was above 80% in the 1980s. This does not mean Britain should try to become completely self-sufficient. Trade gives us food we cannot sensibly grow here and can strengthen resilience when domestic harvests fail. The danger comes when too much depends on too few places. Spain, for example, supplies a very large share of some of the fruit and vegetables eaten in Britain. The shortages of tomatoes, peppers and cucumbers in early 2023 were a useful warning that a supermarket shelf can look wonderfully diverse while the supply chain behind it is surprisingly concentrated. This is one of the central themes of the podcast: efficiency is not the same as resilience. A system can be extremely efficient in normal conditions but have very little spare capacity when something unusual happens. That matters because unusual conditions are becoming less unusual. England moved from its wettest 18-month period on record between October 2022 and March 2024 into drought. By early September 2026, reservoir storage stood at only 58%, more than 19 percentage points below the average for the time of year. At the same time, an exceptional El Niño is developing in the Pacific. El Niño can alter rainfall and temperature patterns across major food-producing regions. That does not mean Britain will necessarily experience a food shortage, but it does mean poor harvests abroad can affect British prices and availability. We do not simply import food. We import weather. Food security is also a defence issue. During the Second World War, Germany did not need to invade every British farm. It needed to disrupt the ships carrying food, fuel and fertiliser. That principle still applies. The war in Ukraine has shown how agricultural land, grain stores, ports and export routes can become part of a conflict. NATO already includes resilient food and water supplies among its civil-preparedness requirements, and the UK Government itself has warned that ecosystem collapse could threaten the country’s ability to maintain food security. The episode also looks at the land beneath us. Around 69% of the UK’s land area is used for agriculture, although only about a quarter of total land is classed as croppable. That land is increasingly being asked to provide food, housing, energy, biodiversity recovery, carbon storage, flood protection and recreation all at once. All may be legitimate aims, but the same hectare cannot always do everything. Nature is part of this story, not separate from it. Pollinators, healthy soils, water retention and nutrient cycling are agricultural infrastructure. The 2023 State of Nature report showed serious declines in wildlife across the UK, including pollinating and predatory insects. A farm cannot remain productive indefinitely if the natural systems that support it are steadily degraded. There is also a hidden international dimension to food that appears British. A field of wheat in Lincolnshire may rely on imported fertiliser, machinery parts, fuel, crop-protection products, packaging and energy. Phosphorus is a good example. British agriculture depends heavily on imported phosphorus because the UK lacks economically significant phosphate rock reserves. Research into phosphorus flows through the UK food system found that large quantities are imported, yet only a proportion ultimately appears in food and exported commodities. Much is lost, trapped in soils or wasted. This is both an environmental and a strategic problem. People are part of the infrastructure too. The food system depends on farmers, vets, agronomists, engineers, seasonal workers, lorry drivers, food processors and warehouse staff. A crop can grow perfectly and still be wasted if nobody is available to harvest, grade, chill, transport or process it. The podcast therefore looks at the so-called “missing middle” - abattoirs, mills, canning plants, cold stores and regional distribution. These are rarely noticed when everything works, but quickly become critical when supply chains are disrupted. Another major theme is affordability. Food insecurity does not always mean there is no food. It can mean that food is available but people cannot afford the right food. The Food Foundation’s Broken Plate 2026 report calculated that households with children in the poorest fifth of the population would need to spend about 85% of their disposable income on food to afford the Government-recommended healthy diet. Healthy food is also considerably more expensive per calorie than less healthy food. This means a supermarket can be full while a family is still food-insecure. That leads to the idea of nutrition security. Food security asks whether people have enough to eat, while nutrition security asks whether the food they can obtain is good enough to support health. Seafood provides an interesting example. The UK produces large quantities of salmon, mackerel and herring, yet exports much of it while importing a very high proportion of the seafood consumers prefer. Researchers have estimated that the nutrients lost through seafood exports include substantial amounts of omega-3 fatty acids, vitamin B12 and vitamin D. Britain can therefore produce food, export nutrition and import preference. The Government has started to respond but appears to be slower than slow. The Good Food Cycle has set out priorities for a healthier and more resilient food system, a Food Strategy Advisory Board exists, and a Farming and Food Partnership Board has also been established. These are worthwhile steps, but recognition is not the same as readiness. The Climate Change Committee has said that important areas of food-system and climate planning remain insufficient, while England’s approach remains less formal and less clearly accountable than Scotland’s statutory Good Food Nation framework. The concern is therefore not that Government has ignored food security completely. It is that implementation still appears fragmented. Food security crosses departmental boundaries. Defra cannot solve it alone. It also involves Defence, Treasury, Health, Energy, Business and Trade, Housing, Transport, local government and the devolved administrations. A system problem requires a system response. The answer is not autarky or complete self-sufficiency. Britain should not try to grow everything it eats. Trade is useful and can strengthen resilience, provided dependence is sufficiently diverse. The real objective should be to make the system harder to disrupt. That means maintaining a strong domestic farming base, protecting healthy soils and secure water, reducing unnecessary dependence on vulnerable inputs, restoring regional processing where concentration has gone too far, supporting skilled workers, encouraging research and crop breeding, and making sure farmers can actually make a living. The episode closes with a warning, but not a prediction of disaster. I do not think Britain is about to starve. I do think the country has built a food system that works extremely well in normal times but is increasingly exposed to abnormal ones. Climate change is here, reservoirs are depleted, international food markets can be disrupted quickly, natural systems are deteriorating, farm profitability can be fragile, and many households are struggling with food prices. Any one of these pressures may be manageable. Several happening together are different. That is why food security should be treated as part of national resilience, alongside energy, water and defence. The issue is not panic. It is preparedness. The best food system is not one that never experiences shocks. It is one that can absorb them. Britain still has time to strengthen its food security, but that does not mean it has time to waste. Food security is rather like insurance - the best time to arrange it is before you need to claim. ****************************************************************************************** Hashtags #FoodSecurity #UKFarming #NationalResilience #ClimateChange #TheBitOutside Keywords food security UK UK farming resilience national food security climate change and food supply UK food system