Curio Compass

Curio Capital Management

The market is always moving, but what actually matters for long-term investors? Each week, Curio Capital Management founder Dustin Terry and Director of Research Mike Zaccardi examine the forces driving markets and what they could mean for long-term investment outcomes. You’ll hear thoughtful, research-driven conversations that challenge consensus, look beyond the headlines, and separate meaningful signals from short-term noise. From shifting economic conditions and market volatility to emerging investment themes and changing investor behavior, Curio Compass brings curiosity and context to the questions that matter most. Tune in each week and gain a more informed perspective on the markets, the economy, and the road ahead. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.

Episodes

  1. 4d ago

    EP 8: Hurricane Isaias, Volatility and Bank Earnings

    This episode explores a fascinating theme: whether markets, like weather systems, are best understood by predicting one outcome — or by weighing probabilities, adapting to new information, and recognizing patterns before they become obvious. Energy markets remain another major focus. With oil, refining capacity, diesel prices, and geopolitical risks influencing inflation expectations, the discussion looks at why energy continues to be one of the biggest drivers for interest rates and market sentiment. The charts segment dives into several important areas investors should be watching: 📊 Inflation Expectations The episode examines market-based inflation indicators, including inflation-protected securities and inflation swaps, to understand what investors are pricing in for the months ahead. 📈 The S&P 500 & New Highs Despite concerns about market breadth, the S&P 500 continues to show strength. Dustin and Mike discuss why new highs are not automatically bearish and why weekly closes remain an important technical signal. Key topics covered in this episode: • Hurricane forecasting and what weather teaches us about market forecasting • Technical analysis, probability, and recognizing patterns • The latest Federal Reserve minutes and rate expectations • Inflation concerns and the role of energy prices • Oil markets, refining capacity, and geopolitical risks • Bond yields and whether sentiment has become too negative • The importance of weekly market closes and new highs • Small-cap opportunities and potential market rotation • Volatility indicators investors should monitor • Bank earnings, CPI, and retail sales expectations Curio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions. Resources: ●      Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X ●      Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X ●      Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X ●      Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

  2. Oct 5

    EP 7: Washington Ai Summit and Midterm Bullishness

    This week on Curio Compass, the conversation turns to artificial intelligence following a White House meeting with leaders from NVIDIA, Meta, and other major technology companies. The hosts discuss the push toward industry-led AI regulation, the competitive race between the U.S. and China, and why continued government and corporate support could mean the massive AI capital spending cycle still has room to run. On the charts, Dustin and Mike look ahead to what has historically been a strong period for stocks. They examine Q4 seasonality during midterm election years, weak market breadth, and the possibility that lagging areas of the market could begin catching up. Equal-weight technology has broken to new highs, while small caps are testing an important area of technical support after their recent pullback. Topics Covered: Dovish Fed commentary and expectations for the October meetingJobs data, wage growth, and the outlook for interest ratesCore PCE revisions and improving inflation trendsAI regulation and the U.S.-China technology raceQ4 and midterm-year market seasonalityMarket breadth and mega-cap tech leadershipEqual-weight technology breaking to new highsSmall caps testing major technical supportUtilities as a signal for a potential peak in yieldsThe 10-year Treasury and a possible retracement toward 4.8%Fed minutes, consumer sentiment, and the week aheadCurio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions. Resources: ●      Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X ●      Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X ●      Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X ●      Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

  3. Sep 28

    EP 6: Yields Break Out, Market Breadth Weakens, and Bitcoin Retests Support

    This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike examine the sharp breakout in Treasury yields and the surge in bond market volatility. With the 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year yields moving higher and the MOVE Index jumping above 100, they discuss whether the bond market may be nearing a capitulation point—and why stocks have remained resilient despite the rate shock. The conversation turns to the economy after U.S. manufacturing PMI reached its highest level since 2022. Dustin and Mike break down how strong growth, Treasury supply, hawkish Fed commentary, and energy prices may be pushing yields higher, while inflation expectations remain relatively contained. With earnings season approaching, they preview what to watch from the major banks, including capital markets activity, trading revenue, the consumer, and the impact of higher rates. On the charts, they examine weakening market breadth as equal-weight stocks, industrials, financials, and defensive sectors struggle while mega-cap technology continues to support the broader market. The episode closes with Bitcoin retesting the $82,000–$83,000 area after its recent breakout. Dustin and Mike discuss if former resistance can become support and what Bitcoin’s resilience may signal about risk appetite. Plus, they preview the September jobs report, PCE inflation, ADP payrolls, ISM data, and jobless claims. Topics Covered: Treasury yields and bond market volatilityThe MOVE Index and possible capitulationStrong manufacturing PMI and economic growthBank earnings and the consumerWeakening market breadth and tech leadershipFed expectations and the next rate decisionBitcoin’s $82,000–$83,000 support testJobs data, PCE inflation, and the week aheadCurio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what’s driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions. Resources: Dustin Terry: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dustinterryclearharbor/ | X: https://x.com/DustinTerry00Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikezaccardi/ | X: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikezaccardi/Curio Capital Management: Website: http://www.curiocm.com/ | LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/curio-capital-management/ | X: https://x.com/CurioCapMGMTFounder’s Fortune: https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Fortune-Entrepreneurs-Freedom-Lasting/dp/B0FPBRCX5C by Dustin Terry

  4. Sep 21

    EP 5: Fed Hike Fallout, AI Alarm Bells, and Bitcoin’s $83K Breakout Test

    This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike break down the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike since 2023 and what the unanimous quarter-point move could mean for markets. They contrast those concerns with the push to keep advancing AI development and ask a familiar question: what is the market actually telling investors beneath the headlines? The episode closes with Bitcoin surging back toward a critical technical level. Dustin and Mike examine the potential breakout above $83,000, a possible cup-and-handle pattern, and why confirmation matters before projecting the next move. Plus, they preview a lighter economic calendar featuring PMI data, consumer sentiment, and continued attention on AI and geopolitical developments.   Topics Covered: ·       The Fed’s first rate hike since 2023 and Warsh’s message ·       Inflation trends versus individual economic data points ·       Fed funds futures and the outlook for additional rate hikes ·       The 2-year Treasury yield and what markets are signaling ·       Anthropic, AI safety, regulation, and the AI arms race ·       Magnificent Seven strength and shifting market leadership ·       Defensive sectors, market breadth, and September seasonality ·       Bitcoin’s $83,000 breakout level and technical setup ·       PMI, consumer sentiment, and the week ahead   Curio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success.   Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.   Resources: ●      Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X ●      Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X ●      Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X ●      Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

  5. Sep 14

    EP 4: Fed Hike Expectations, the 5% Treasury Test, and Shifting Market Leadership

    This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike unpack Treasury buybacks, the latest inflation reports, and rising expectations for a September Fed rate hike. They discuss Scott Bessent’s “I am the house” comments, why bonds sold off, and how stocks have absorbed higher yields. With the 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5%, the hosts explore a key resistance level, the longer-term shift in the bond market, and how interest income can help cushion bond returns. The conversation turns to the Fed’s next decision, including a potential “dovish hike,” the dot plot, and what Kevin Warsh’s press conference could signal. The episode closes with a preview of retail sales, regional manufacturing surveys, and the week ahead for markets.  Topics Covered:  Treasury buybacks and Bessent’s message to bond markets CPI, PPI, and the outlook for a September Fed hike The dot plot and a potential “dovish hike” The 10-year Treasury’s 5% resistance levelHomebuilders, interest rates, and key support levels Semiconductor versus software leadership: SMH and IGV Retail sales and the upcoming economic calendar Curio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends.  About Curio Compass  Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success.    Disclosure:  Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management.   Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.     Resources:  Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

  6. Sep 7

    EP 3: Fed Rate Debate, Software’s Comeback, and a Strong Jobs Report

    This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike discuss the growing debate around interest rates following the G20 meeting and recent comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. With inflation still above target and markets watching every economic release, the hosts explore whether the Fed is more likely to hike rates or remain on hold heading into September. Based on the transcript, they specifically discuss the G20 meeting, Bessent and Warsh's alignment, and the importance of the upcoming CPI report.  Topics Covered: G20 meeting and Fed policy outlookTreasury yields and higher interest ratesPotential September Fed rate decisionBroadcom earnings and AI infrastructure demandRetail sector weakness and consumer trends Curio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions. Resources: Dustin Terry: LinkedIn Mike Zaccardi: LinkedInCurio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn Founder’s Fortune by Dustin Terry

  7. Aug 31

    EP 2: Markets Shrug Off Treasury Drama, NVIDIA Delivers Again

    This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike unpack a surprisingly calm market reaction to big headlines out of Washington. Despite Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent floating the possibility of large-scale Treasury purchases and renewed debate over long-term interest rates, both stocks and bonds largely took the news in stride. The duo explores whether these announcements are meaningful policy shifts or simply attempts to influence market sentiment.  They also dive into inflation and monetary policy, breaking down the latest Core PCE report, discussing quirks in inflation measurement, and analyzing Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's highly anticipated Jackson Hole speech. Will the Fed remain focused on its 2% inflation target, and what are the odds of another rate hike?  The highlight of the week was undoubtedly NVIDIA's earnings report. Topics Covered:  Highlights from Jackson Hole and Fed Chair Warsh's speech NVIDIA's blockbuster earnings and AI spending trends Bull vs. bear sentiment in today's market What to watch in the upcoming jobs report Curio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends.    About Curio Compass  Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success.    Disclosure:  Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management.   Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.     Resources:  Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

  8. Aug 23

    EP 1: Markets Near Highs, Treasury Moves, and the AI Trade

    Episode #1: Markets Near Highs, Treasury Moves, and the AI Trade  Markets continue to climb despite a constant stream of headlines about interest rates, inflation, government policy, and geopolitical uncertainty.  What You'll Learn:  Why markets have remained resilient despite rising Treasury yields. What Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond-buying announcement could mean for investors. Why gold and Bitcoin have surged and how they fit into a diversified portfolio. The relationship between interest rates, mortgage rates, and housing affordability. Why today's interest-rate environment may be more normal than many investors realize. What historical market seasonality suggests heading into the fall and midterm election cycle.   Ideas Worth Sharing:  "There's always going to be scary-sounding headlines, but when you actually look at the data and the trends, that can tell a different story." — Mike Zaccardi  "Price is the only thing that pays." — Dustin Terry  "It's not so much the level of interest rates that's important. It's how quickly you get there." — Mike Zaccardi    About Curio Compass  Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what's driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success.    Disclosure:  Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management.   Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.     Resources:  Dustin Terry: LinkedIn | X Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn | X Curio Capital Management: Website | LinkedIn | X Founder's Fortune by Dustin Terry

Ratings & Reviews

5
out of 5
2 Ratings

About

The market is always moving, but what actually matters for long-term investors? Each week, Curio Capital Management founder Dustin Terry and Director of Research Mike Zaccardi examine the forces driving markets and what they could mean for long-term investment outcomes. You’ll hear thoughtful, research-driven conversations that challenge consensus, look beyond the headlines, and separate meaningful signals from short-term noise. From shifting economic conditions and market volatility to emerging investment themes and changing investor behavior, Curio Compass brings curiosity and context to the questions that matter most. Tune in each week and gain a more informed perspective on the markets, the economy, and the road ahead. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions.

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