This week on Curio Compass, Dustin and Mike examine the sharp breakout in Treasury yields and the surge in bond market volatility. With the 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year yields moving higher and the MOVE Index jumping above 100, they discuss whether the bond market may be nearing a capitulation point—and why stocks have remained resilient despite the rate shock. The conversation turns to the economy after U.S. manufacturing PMI reached its highest level since 2022. Dustin and Mike break down how strong growth, Treasury supply, hawkish Fed commentary, and energy prices may be pushing yields higher, while inflation expectations remain relatively contained. With earnings season approaching, they preview what to watch from the major banks, including capital markets activity, trading revenue, the consumer, and the impact of higher rates. On the charts, they examine weakening market breadth as equal-weight stocks, industrials, financials, and defensive sectors struggle while mega-cap technology continues to support the broader market. The episode closes with Bitcoin retesting the $82,000–$83,000 area after its recent breakout. Dustin and Mike discuss if former resistance can become support and what Bitcoin’s resilience may signal about risk appetite. Plus, they preview the September jobs report, PCE inflation, ADP payrolls, ISM data, and jobless claims. Topics Covered: Treasury yields and bond market volatilityThe MOVE Index and possible capitulationStrong manufacturing PMI and economic growthBank earnings and the consumerWeakening market breadth and tech leadershipFed expectations and the next rate decisionBitcoin’s $82,000–$83,000 support testJobs data, PCE inflation, and the week aheadCurio Compass is your guide to navigating the intersection of investing, economics, policy, and long-term market trends. About Curio Compass Curio Compass is a weekly market and economic commentary podcast from Curio Capital, focused on helping investors cut through the noise, understand what’s driving markets, and stay focused on long-term investment success. Disclosure: Curio Compass is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Curio Capital Management and the hosts of Curio Compass may own positions in securities or other investment products mentioned on this podcast. The opinions expressed by the hosts and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Curio Capital Management. Nothing discussed on this podcast should be considered investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All investing involves risk, and listeners should consult their own professional advisors before making financial decisions. Resources: Dustin Terry: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dustinterryclearharbor/ | X: https://x.com/DustinTerry00Mike Zaccardi: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikezaccardi/ | X: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikezaccardi/Curio Capital Management: Website: http://www.curiocm.com/ | LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/curio-capital-management/ | X: https://x.com/CurioCapMGMTFounder’s Fortune: https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Fortune-Entrepreneurs-Freedom-Lasting/dp/B0FPBRCX5C by Dustin Terry