Hive 108 - MLB Baseball Analysis and Discussion

Harry D + Hive108 Crew

For those who love baseball and the intersection between stats, analytics, prediction models, and daily fantasy … please join us! www.hive108.com

Episodes

  1. Oct 4

    Hot Streaks vs Confidence

    Harry D from www.hive108.com talks with Peter, a data scientist at Hive108, and Leslie, a clinical psychologist who works with athletes. Peter checked years of games to see whether a win streak, or a hot hitting streak, tells you anything about the next game once you already know how good that team or player is. His answer: it doesn't. Leslie walks through published research on confidence and performance. A confident athlete can still play better. That is not the same claim as a hot streak. They don't have to agree. The back half is the 2026 playoffs. The Padres were hot in September and swept the Cubs. The White Sox were not, and they swept the Astros anyway. Peter's research Team hot streaks. hive108.com/data-analysis/colab1-team-hot-streaksPlayer hot streaks. hive108.com/data-analysis/colab3-player-hot-streaks Leslie's references Lochbaum, Sherburn, Sisneros, Cooper, Lane, and Terry (2022). Revisiting the Self-Confidence and Sport Performance Relationship: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis. doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19116381Lochbaum, Sisneros, Cooper, and Terry (2023). Pre-Event Self-Efficacy and Sports Performance: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis. doi.org/10.3390/sports11110222Avugos, Köppen, Czienskowski, Raab, and Bar-Eli (2013). The "hot hand" reconsidered: A meta-analytic approach. doi.org/10.1016/j.psychsport.2012.07.005Iso-Ahola and Dotson (2016). Psychological Momentum—A Key to Continued Success. doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2016.01328

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For those who love baseball and the intersection between stats, analytics, prediction models, and daily fantasy … please join us! www.hive108.com