Markets Without Spin

Franz Amussen

Markets Without Spin explores the incentives that drive markets, governments, corporations, and investor behavior. Hosted by Franz Amussen, the show examines why things happen—not simply what happened. Through historical examples, market analysis, and long-form conversations, each episode follows the incentives, follows the money, and follows the behavior beneath the headlines.

  1. Sep 1

    Episode 12: When Profits Aren't Profits: The Accounting Game Behind GAAP Earnings

    What does it really mean when a company says it "earned" $500 million? GAAP gives investors a common language for measuring corporate performance. But GAAP earnings aren't the same thing as cash—and the accounting choices, estimates and assumptions behind those earnings can have a profound effect on what investors see. In this episode of Markets Without Spin, we examine how accounting can make a company's economics look better or worse than they really are. We look at: Accrual accounting and the difference between earnings and cash Depreciation and useful-life assumptions FIFO vs. LIFO inventory accounting Revenue recognition Fair-value and mark-to-market accounting Management incentives and executive compensation Enron and the danger of turning future profits into today's earnings Arthur Andersen and the collapse of Enron Planet Labs and the opposite problem: when today's investment looks like today's expense Goodwill and acquisitions Why the cash flow statement may tell you more than the headline earnings number The central lesson is simple: Don't distrust GAAP. Understand it. Don't just ask, "What did the company earn?" Ask: How did it earn it? Where's the cash? What assumptions went into the number? What is management incentivized to do? And what is the company actually building with the money? Because companies don't spend earnings. They spend cash. Markets Without Spin explores the forces, incentives and financial mechanics that shape markets—and what investors should know before accepting the conventional story.

  2. Aug 11

    Episode 9: The Myth of Safety

    The Myth of Safety In this episode, we examine what "safe" really means in modern finance. We often assume that money in the bank is secure. That brokerage accounts are protected. That money market funds are cash equivalents. History tells a more complicated story. This episode explores: The 2013 Cyprus bail-in and frozen deposit accounts Capital controls and withdrawal limits inside the European Union The 2008 "breaking the buck" moment at the Reserve Primary Fund How the commercial paper market nearly froze payroll across America The structural build-up to the 2008 financial crisis The incentives behind mortgage securitization and leverage expansion Moral hazard and the stabilization of major institutions through TARP A personal experience during the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank Why some uninsured depositors were rescued — and others were not Brokerage firm failures and the risk of losing access even when assets are legally segregated What it actually means to be an unsecured creditor of a bank How FDIC insurance works — and what it doesn't guarantee The role of the Treasury and Federal Reserve as ultimate backstops Why nominal protection is not the same as protection of purchasing power Practical steps toward antifragility in a layered financial system This episode sets the foundation for Episode 10, where we examine the gold window, inflation, and the structural shift in the monetary system. If you found value in this discussion, please subscribe and share.

    Episode 9: The Myth of Safety
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About

Markets Without Spin explores the incentives that drive markets, governments, corporations, and investor behavior. Hosted by Franz Amussen, the show examines why things happen—not simply what happened. Through historical examples, market analysis, and long-form conversations, each episode follows the incentives, follows the money, and follows the behavior beneath the headlines.