Oscars Outsider

Bravo Outsider
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Oscars Outsider is a podcast where Craig Midwinter and Dylan Ferguson break down the Oscars the way most people break down sports. We follow the awards race week by week — the narratives, the precursors, the surprises, the discourse, and the strategy behind every contender’s campaign. We treat awards season like a competitive ecosystem, tracking momentum, analyzing the politics of voting bodies, and running our own Oscars Fantasy Draft to score nominations, wins, snubs, and everything in between. If you care about movies and the game behind the movies, you’re in the right place.

Episodes

  1. 2D AGO

    The Oscar Nominations Went as Expected… Mostly

    The Oscar nominations are finally here — and they didn’t break the way we expected. In this episode, we react in real time to the full list of nominees, sorting through the surprises, the snubs, and the calls that completely upended our predictions. From Best Picture curveballs to category shake-ups that force a rethink of the entire race, this is our immediate read on what the Academy actually did — not what we assumed they would do. This conversation builds directly off our final nomination predictions, revealing where we were right, where we were wrong, and what these nominations signal about the season ahead. If you’re looking for level-headed Oscar analysis without hot-take hysteria, you’re in the right place.

    55 min

  2. 4D AGO

    Oscar Nomination Predictions, the 82nd Oscars, and One Battle After Another

    With Oscar nominations just a day away, we lock in our final predictions for which films will make the Best Picture lineup, not who will win, but who will get in.We debate the strength of films like Hamnet, Frankenstein, Marty Supreme, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, F1, and the wild-card case for K-Pop Demon Hunters. We also break down how vote-splitting, international contenders, and late momentum could shape the final ten.Then we rewind to the 82nd Academy Awards, the first modern ten-nominee Best Picture race, and unpack why it remains one of the most chaotic and revealing Oscar years ever. From The Hurt Locker vs Avatar to the surprise inclusion of The Blind Side, we explore how the Academy struggled to redefine itself in a changing industry.Finally, we review One Battle After Another, talking through what works, what doesn’t, and where it lands in the current Oscar conversation.Plus: fantasy draft trades, nomination strategy, and the constant fear that by the time you’re watching this, we already look completely wrong.

    1h 42m
  3. The Golden Globes Were Rigged (And Everyone Knew)

    JAN 6

    The Golden Globes Were Rigged (And Everyone Knew)

    For decades, the Golden Globes were Hollywood’s strangest open secret.Long before their modern reboot, and long before the scandals that finally brought down the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the Globes operated less like a serious awards body and more like a social club where access, schmoozing, and favors mattered as much as the votes.In this episode of Oscars Outsider, we trace the bizarre history of the Golden Globes, from their origins as a tool for foreign correspondents to gain access to celebrities, to FCC intervention, alleged vote manipulation, and open bribery that everyone in the industry seemed to understand.We also share our thoughts on Marty Supreme, preview this year’s Golden Globes, and break down what the ceremony could mean for the Oscar race as the season starts to take shape.

    57 min
  4. The Oscars at the End of History

    12/24/2025

    The Oscars at the End of History

    In 1999, the Academy Awards didn’t just celebrate movies — they celebrated a worldview. In this episode of Oscars Outsider, we revisit the 71st Academy Awards and ask whether the ceremony represents the Oscars at the end of history: a moment of brash, unapologetic confidence at the height of American cultural dominance, in the narrow window between the Cold War and 9/11. From Roberto Benigni’s ecstatic wins and WWII prestige filmmaking to Miramax’s campaign blitz and the Shakespeare in Love vs. Saving Private Ryan showdown, the night plays like a time capsule of peak certainty. We also check in on our Fantasy Oscars league following the latest Golden Globe nominations, debate key risers and fallers in this year’s race, and close with a review of Hamnet, one of the season’s most talked-about contenders. If this really was the Oscars at the end of history — what came after? More episodes, rules, and fantasy standings at oscarsoutsider.com. Intro & thesis: 1999 as “end of history” Fantasy Oscars update & Golden Globes fallout The 71st Academy Awards as cultural time capsule Shakespeare in Love vs. Saving Private Ryan Roberto Benigni, WWII prestige, and empire myths Hamnet review & awards-season outlook Oscars Outsider is an awards-season miniseries examining Oscar history, cultural moments, and the modern awards race — with just enough competition to keep things interesting.

    1h 22m

  5. 12/09/2025

    Our WAY TOO EARLY Oscars Fantasy Draft: What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

    Welcome to Oscars Outsider, a limited-run awards-season spinoff from the team behind Bravo Outsider. Each year we obsess over the Oscars, the gossip, the precursors, and the chaos — so this season we’re making it official.In this episode, Craig and Dylan kick things off with our WAY-too-early Oscars Fantasy Draft, recorded before the Golden Globes nominations drop. With almost no precursor data and only vibes to guide us, we each draft a slate of eight films, plus bonus actor picks, to see who can predict the most nominations and wins across:The OscarsThe Golden GlobesThe BAFTAsPGA, DGA, WGA, and SAGWe break down the scoring system, discuss how narratives build over awards season, and argue about which contenders are real, which are smoke, and which sleepers might surge once the discourse machine kicks in.You can find full rules and scoring on our website:👉 https://oscarsoutsider.comAnd check out our sister podcast, Bravo Outsider, where we analyze the social strategy of Bravo’s biggest shows:👉 https://bravooutsider.com👉    / @bravooutsider  What We Cover in This EpisodeWhy we're launching Oscars Outsider this yearHow our Oscars Fantasy Draft works (nominations, wins, bonuses, swaps)Early awards-season vibes before the precursor wave hitsThe risk of drafting before the Golden GlobesPredictions, overreactions, and completely unearned confidenceWhich films could surge — or collapse — once the discourse sets inOur male + female acting picksOur “snub prediction” bonus roundFollow & SubscribeOscars Outsider – YouTube, podcast apps, and oscarsoutsider.comBravo Outsider – YouTube + all major podcast platformsFollow us on social for episode drops and awards-season chaos

    57 min
  • 5 Episodes

About

Oscars Outsider is a podcast where Craig Midwinter and Dylan Ferguson break down the Oscars the way most people break down sports. We follow the awards race week by week — the narratives, the precursors, the surprises, the discourse, and the strategy behind every contender’s campaign. We treat awards season like a competitive ecosystem, tracking momentum, analyzing the politics of voting bodies, and running our own Oscars Fantasy Draft to score nominations, wins, snubs, and everything in between. If you care about movies and the game behind the movies, you’re in the right place.

Information

  • Creator
    Bravo Outsider
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    5
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Bravo Outsider
  • Show Website
    Oscars Outsider