Plausibly Deniable

Lukas and Saila
  • 5.0 (18)
  • Technology
  • Updated Weekly

A conversation about incentives, power, and the stories we tell ourselves to justify outcomes. Hosted by Lukas (https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ) and Saila (https://x.com/sailaunderscore) Sponsored by Polymarket, Zcash, CitizenX and Passage Press

  1. 4d ago

    The Reindustrialization Of America | Jakob Diepenbrock

    Jakob Diepenbrock is running a hard-tech fund from El Segundo, backing young engineers building defense, manufacturing, robotics, energy, and other critical industries. He joins Lukas and Saila to explain how he skipped the credential ladder, built Discipulus Ventures, raised a fund by treating the process like a startup launch, and why Anduril’s breakout made defense tech the allocation everyone suddenly wanted. They also discuss cost-plus military contracts, drones versus soldiers, DJI’s domination of creator hardware, automated American textile factories, why humanoid robots are TikTok bait, insectoid factory machines, American-made peptides, ethanol and farm lobbies, machine financing at 30%, the tacit knowledge trapped in aging machinists, lowballing retiring boomers for obscure industrial monopolies, founder bench-press requirements, a Vegas magician who broke reality, CIA remote viewing, UFOs as Space Force marketing, medical isotope enrichment, Russian shell companies, and Germany’s reverse house-flipping bureaucracy. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Passage Press: https://passage.press _________________________________ Watch, listen, and join the discussion: Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@PlausiblyDeniableExperience Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3cU3OBRKnYGY7fyGF6x2Th Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/plausibly-deniable/id1866452505 Substack: https://plausiblydeniable.substack.com X: https://x.com/PD_EXP Jakob Diepenbrock: https://x.com/jakobdiepen Discipulus Ventures: https://www.discipulusventures.com Discipulus Cohort: https://www.discipulusventures.com/cohort Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Contact: plausiblydeniableshow@gmail.com Timestamps: 00:00 Intro and Sponsors 01:25 The Substack Payment Processor Is Finally Fixed 05:00 Turning the Podcast Into a Call to Action 07:08 Meet Jakob / Long-Distance Running Is Adult Self-Harm 09:19 El Segundo, Chamath, and the Defense-Tech Wave 11:17 Why Hard Tech Belongs in El Segundo 14:40 Starting a Fund Without Credentials 17:29 Venture Capital Is Crappy Beta 19:23 Raising a Fund Like a Startup 22:46 The 22-Year-Old Fund Manager Problem 24:36 Why Defense Tech Suddenly Became Cool 27:27 Elon, DOGE, and the $20 Million Missile 29:05 How Cost-Plus Contracting Broke Defense 30:00 The Defense Industry Is Smaller Than You Think 32:19 Political Risk for Government Contractors 35:17 Robotics Is the Next Bubble 36:29 Reindustrialization and the American-Made Premium 40:00 DJI, Drones, and the Captured Creator Economy 42:03 “Reindustrialized” Sweaters Made in China 43:47 Automated American Textiles 47:59 Humanoid Robots Are Boomer Bait 50:51 Insect Robots, Chemicals, and Ethanol 54:58 RFK’s Fitness Camps and American-Made Peptides 57:11 Bioreactors and Cheaper Drug Manufacturing 58:23 Lowballing Boomers for Strategic Companies 1:03:51 America Runs on Three Old Guys and a Notebook 1:08:37 Grants, Tariffs, and Supply-Chain Sovereignty 1:12:38 Wire Harnesses and 30% Machine Financing 1:17:08 El Segundo Culture and the Founder Bench Test 1:21:48 The Vegas Magician Who Broke Reality 1:24:49 CIA Remote Viewing, UFOs, and Space Force 1:28:33 Medical Isotopes and Russian Shell Companies 1:31:05 Germany’s Reverse House-Flipping Program 1:33:20 Mandatory Call to Action

  2. Aug 20

    The Bliss of Confirmation Bias — w/ Covfefe Anon

    Covfefe Anon returns to Plausibly Deniable to discuss the bliss of confirmation bias: how to engineer a viral take, why the edit may be the native medium of the 21st century, and why Angry Birds might be the most fascist movie ever made. Lukas, Saila and Covfefe review films they have not seen, explain why ironic criticism only makes its targets cooler, and consider whether Confirmation Bias is actually a better name for the podcast. The conversation also covers Ryan Gosling, Barbenheimer, James Bond, public-domain superheroes and AI remakes, Joe Biden and the death of the presidency, girl-avatar growth hacks, GPUs and matrix multiplication, phonics and grade inflation, business-school arbitrage, solo-podcast psychosis, radicalized wives, Twitter jannies, boomer game, hair-loss hopium, live-editing reality, friendship simulators, freedom of association, and the “blood diamonds attack” on crypto. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Passage Press: https://passage.press Watch, listen, and join the discussion: Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@PlausiblyDeniableExperience Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3cU3OBRKnYGY7fyGF6x2Th Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/plausibly-deniable/id1866452505 Substack: https://plausiblydeniable.substack.com X: https://x.com/PD_EXP Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Covfefe Anon: https://x.com/CovfefeAnon Contact: plausiblydeniableshow@gmail.com Timestamps: 00:00 How to Engineer a Viral Take 01:02 Intro and Sponsors 01:48 Reviewing The Odyssey Without Watching It 05:15 Spoilers, Millennial Slop, and the Last Shared Culture 10:40 Meta-Level Lying, LARPing, and Intrigue-Maxing 17:24 Ryan Gosling’s Drive and the Single-Mom Concession 20:28 Barbenheimer and the Fascism of Angry Birds 24:03 Ryan Gosling vs. Angry Birds and the Communist Sequel 30:00 James Bond Rides Bitch 32:55 Public-Domain Superheroes and AI Remakes 34:11 Activated Charcoal and the Final Original Podcast Episode 37:12 Patrick Bateman, Starship Troopers, and Failed Irony 39:44 GEOBODEN and Joe Biden’s Final Act 42:58 The Presidency Is a Puppet Show 46:49 The Edit Is the Native Medium of the 21st Century 50:02 One Reader and Ninety-Nine Edit Watchers 52:09 How to Manufacture a Viral Take 54:46 The Girl-Avatar Growth Hack 58:39 GPUs Accidentally Built Superintelligence 1:02:14 Schooling, Phonics, and the End of Reading 1:07:11 Harvard Sells Credentials, Not Education 1:12:03 Business School, Bar Prep, and Clicker Arbitrage 1:15:36 Solo Podcasting Causes Mental Illness 1:17:34 Candace Owens and the Radicalized Wife 1:22:20 Men Lead, Women Follow, and Soy Turns You Into a Deer 1:24:09 Should We Rebrand as Confirmation Bias? 1:26:30 Emotional Programming and Mental Illness as a Defense 1:29:18 The Brain-Damage Loophole 1:33:27 Mom Gets Banned and Twitter Jannies Get Rich 1:38:22 Boomer Opportunity Stories and “May I Meet You?” 1:42:46 Hot-Girl Signaling, Hair-Loss Hopium, and Recycled Tweets 1:46:15 Broken Twitter Search, Outsourced Editing, and Dog Clickers 1:49:48 Live-Editing Reality and the Ex Who Shrunk Seven Inches 1:52:33 The Bliss of Confirmation Bias 1:55:08 Friendship Simulators and the Blood-Diamonds Attack 1:58:54 Freedom of Association and Memetic Stink 2:02:20 Outro: Should We Rebrand?

  3. Aug 13

    Coin-Flipping and the Linguistic Destruction of America

    America has become a coin-flipping economy—and the language we use now punishes anyone foolish enough to take things seriously. Lukas and Saila discuss AI psychosis and a 76,000-contact CRM, the fragmented B2B SaaS economy, travel-authorization scams, tax software, W-2 employment, lawsuits, bankruptcy, fake sponsorships, macro investors with monkey pictures, crypto traders posting inspirational corn after blowing up, and Costco gold arbitrage. Then they turn to the linguistic destruction of America: how “try-hard,” “glazing,” the IDGAF war, and “Woke One” made effort, admiration, accountability, and sincerity embarrassing. Also discussed: DeepSeek’s immigrant work ethic, aggressive safety razors, safe-horny culture, podcasters as male sex workers, the office LARP keeping the American economy alive, and why titles and thumbnails matter more than the podcast itself. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.comZcash: https://z.cashCitizenX: https://citizenx.comPassage Press: https://passage.press Watch, listen, and join the discussion: Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.orgYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@PlausiblyDeniableExperienceSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3cU3OBRKnYGY7fyGF6x2ThApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/plausibly-deniable/id1866452505Substack: https://plausiblydeniable.substack.comX: https://x.com/PD_EXP Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQSaila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Contact: plausiblydeniableshow@gmail.com Timestamps: 00:00 “Try-Hard” Caused Societal Damage01:06 Intro and Sponsors01:17 Ransoming Product Recommendations02:14 The Beach-House Food Disaster04:32 AI Psychosis and the 76,000-Contact CRM07:29 The B2B SaaS Lego Scam09:11 Travel Authorization Scams and Private FCC Stings16:31 Tax Software, Professional Cartels, and the W-221:02 There Are No Winners in Court25:54 JD Vance, Europe, and Girlboss Diplomacy29:35 Fake Sponsorships and the Prometheus Statue33:13 Corporate Norwood Haircuts and Hormone Twitter37:31 The Crypto Trader Starts Posting Corn40:10 Gold, T-Bills, and Macro Monkey Pictures46:17 The Coin-Flipping Economy50:00 The Collective Psychic Force Field and the Big Kahuna52:22 Outflanking Every Doomer by Going Further Back53:51 Costco Gold Arbitrage56:29 Shamelessness Is the Last Remaining Edge57:49 Podcasters Are Male Sex Workers1:00:54 Crypto Nostalgia and DeepSeek’s Work Ethic1:03:00 The Aggressive Razor Ambush1:06:19 Smoothness, Bottoming, and Safe Horny1:09:44 “Woke One” and the Great Fugue State1:15:16 The IDGAF War1:16:20 How “Try-Hard” Damaged Civilization1:18:40 The Office Worker Who Pretends to Be Busy1:21:54 Your Breeding Fetish Came Free1:22:43 “Glazing” and Linguistic Destruction1:25:18 Titles, Thumbnails, and the Podcast Meta1:29:47 The New Dating Gift Economy1:31:48 Covfefe Anon Becomes a Permanent Houseguest1:32:43 Childhood Obliviousness

  4. Aug 6

    Cooking With Arsenic: Why Cops Can't Shoot Pet Cats

    Lukas and Saila talk about an accidental arsenic-poisoning bonfire, frustrating hospital visits, bizarre injuries, the Hunter Biden–Nick Fuentes interview, Gavin Newsom, European manufacturing, aging, astrology and viral internet tools, gender and dating dynamics, rural life, bulk food, FBI encounters, online anonymity, food quality, RFK Jr., AI culture, Silicon Valley politics, cats, dogs, strange neighbors, self-deception and AI-assisted coding.Sponsored by:Polymarket: https://polymarket.comZcash: https://z.cashCitizenX: https://citizenx.comNetwork Press: https://network.press_______________________________

  5. Jul 28

    Private Money And The Norwood Supremacy: w/ Mert

    Mert Mumtaz, co-founder and CEO of Helius, joins Lukas and Saila to explain why privacy is crypto’s unfinished business, why he sees Zcash as encrypted—or “better”—Bitcoin, and what the Ironwood upgrade means for the Orchard pool, supply integrity, formal verification and quantum recoverability. They compare Zcash and Monero, unpack fungibility and tainted coins, discuss private finance on Solana and Helius’s work with Light Protocol, and examine why public blockchains risk becoming a global financial panopticon. The conversation then moves into AI, DeFi security, startup hiring, company names, Slavic relationship theory, emergency flowers and the collapse of straightforward Western dating. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.comZcash: https://z.cashCitizenX: https://citizenx.comPassage Press: https://passage.press Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.orgLukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQSaila: https://x.com/sailaunderscoreMert: https://x.com/mert

  6. Jul 23

    The Libertarian Addiction to Losing and New Hampshire Nationalism: W/ Jeremy Kauffman

    Jeremy Kauffman joins the Positively Deniable Experience to explain how spending a few hours per week on libertarian politics helped throw the national Libertarian Party into chaos—and why he believes the Free State movement is succeeding in New Hampshire while the national party remains committed to losing. Jeremy recounts the rise of LBRY and Odysee, the SEC case that destroyed the company, crypto’s early generation of true believers, and the attempt to build a censorship-resistant alternative to YouTube. He also explains how the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire grew its X account from roughly 4,000 to 110,000 followers and why political influence increasingly flows from culture, social media, and status rather than policy papers. The conversation also covers the Free State Project, concentrating committed political minorities in one state, anonymity and trust online, New Hampshire’s economy and quality of life, prediction markets, AI-model bets, right-to-try laws, Lumina, biohacking, GLP-1s, housing, fertility, dating, Palantir, and the difference between efficient and ineffective government.Sponsored by:Polymarket: https://polymarket.comZcash: https://z.cashCitizenX: https://citizenx.comNetwork Press: https://network.press_______________________________Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.orgLukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQSaila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Jeremy: https://x.com/jeremykauffman

  7. Jul 16

    Escaping The IQ Shredder: with Spandrell

    Spandrell joins us to explain the “IQ Shredder”: how successful cities attract ambitious, intelligent people from across the world, place them into a hypercompetitive rat race, and then make it nearly impossible for them to reproduce. We discuss why fertility is collapsing across virtually every developed society, whether Israel has escaped the trend, why financial incentives have repeatedly failed, and what governments could realistically do to make family formation prestigious again. Spandrell also explains Bio-Leninism—his theory of how political systems recruit people with few alternatives and convert personal disadvantage into institutional loyalty. We connect it to the strange people selected by modern politics, why competent people tend to leave government, and why the political right struggles to build a durable machine. Later, we get into Spandrell’s life in Japan and China, how China changed under Xi Jinping, the decline of Twitter, the possible return of long-form blogging, Substack’s monetization advantage, Urbit’s future, AI-assisted development, and why Chinese companies can conquer entire industries without making their shareholders rich. https://spandrell.com Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Extra content: https://substack.com/@plausiblydeniable Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Spandrell: https://x.com/spandrell4

  8. Jul 7

    Nukes are Good For You, Actually

    The boys return under plague conditions to discuss why nukes might be less socially destructive than dating discourse, the ethics of height-maxxing children with growth hormone, the “ship it, I guess” approach to biohacking, trad life vs gene editing, Europe’s anti-AC death drive, Singapore, Yarvin, Nick Land, cats, prediction markets, bought accounts, World Cup confusion, and why prediction markets might just be manifestation markets.Sponsored by:Polymarket: https://polymarket.comZcash: https://z.cashCitizenX: https://citizenx.comNetwork Press: https://network.press_______________________________Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.orgLukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQSaila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore0:00 Nukes vs dating discourse1:26 Intro + sponsors2:46 Growth hormone for short kids6:00 Correcting disorders vs height-maxxing9:17 Short women, short sons, and dating math13:13 How tall is too tall?16:23 “Ship it, I guess” and gene editing18:35 Ted Kaczynski as meme philosopher23:15 The “media arena” problem25:04 Pets, illness, and irrational coping27:20 Copper peptides and supplement stupidity31:26 Remineralizing toothpaste and managing 100 trillion variables34:24 Everyone is a drug addict now38:36 When the Giga Chad opinion is dumb41:43 The green screen blanket era45:41 Nukes don’t matter theory47:59 Radiation poisoning vs modern dysfunction50:22 Compliment euphemisms and dating language53:51 The mommy-dommy tangent56:48 Do we actually want tradition?59:50 Trad or supercomputer gene editing1:02:18 Brian Johnson, rationality, and religion1:04:07 Europe’s heatwave and anti-AC ideology1:06:41 Singapore, order, and political realism1:12:00 America’s smaller future1:15:50 The K-shaped economy: AI or fraud1:18:23 Are consultants ready for AI?1:19:15 The singularity as a crash GIF1:21:00 Everything is destroyed and that’s beautiful1:25:24 Universal suffrage, kings, and weird politics1:27:03 Yarvin in San Francisco1:29:42 Becoming Nick Land1:32:22 Cats vs dogs1:38:54 Prediction markets and insider information1:42:17 Does paying people more change behavior?1:44:29 Americans pretending to care about soccer1:53:41 Millennials vs Zoomers1:56:26 Bought accounts and viral posting1:57:42 How much is an X account worth?1:59:23 Nikita, X payouts, and not drawing aggro2:02:21 2026 midterm markets2:05:30 Prediction markets as manifestation markets2:06:22 Bonus episodes on Substack2:07:42 Closing fever/green screen delirium

See All (30)

Ratings & Reviews

5
out of 5
18 Ratings

About

A conversation about incentives, power, and the stories we tell ourselves to justify outcomes. Hosted by Lukas (https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ) and Saila (https://x.com/sailaunderscore) Sponsored by Polymarket, Zcash, CitizenX and Passage Press

Information

  • Creator
    Lukas and Saila
  • Years Active
    2026
  • Episodes
    30
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Lukas and Saila
  • Show Website
    Plausibly Deniable

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