Prediction Market Movers

Prediction News
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Each week, Chris Gerlacher talks to industry insiders, financial analysts and legal experts on all of the latest developments in prediction markets.

  1. 6D AGO

    Kalshi Trader Gaeten Dugas on Culture Markets, Politics & Insider Trading | Prediction Market Movers

    On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlach is joined by Gaeten Dugas, a top-100 Kalshi trader, for a deep dive into how experienced traders approach culture markets, political prediction markets, and insider trading risk. Gaeten explains why his trading starts with genuine interest, from politics and government shutdowns to music, movies, and pop culture markets like Spotify charts, Rotten Tomatoes, Taylor Swift, and Super Bowl halftime props. He breaks down how prediction markets help remove emotion from political analysis and why “skin in the game” produces better forecasts than traditional punditry. The conversation also tackles one of the biggest issues facing prediction markets today: insider trading and data leaks. Gaeten shares firsthand experiences with suspicious Spotify market movements, explains how traders protect themselves from leaked data, and reacts to Kalshi’s newly announced insider trading safeguards and integrity tools. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - Getting into culture markets 3:00- Approach to trading 4:00 - Will PM traders get mainstream coverage 6:20 - What markets he is monitoring 9:40 - Requesting markets 10:30 Guarding insider trading 12:40 - Deciphering insider trading 14:00 - Markets he avoids 15:30 - When the price is right 17:00 Feeling secure with markets 20:30 How should Kalshi handle insider trading 21:20 - Using polymarket 22:10 - on Crypto 23:15 - Balancing the markets   #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket #InsiderTrading #CultureMarkets #PoliticalPrediction #ElectionMarkets #PredictionNews #EventContracts #MarketIntegrity #SpotifyCharts #TaylorSwiftMarkets #CFTC #TradingPsychology

    26 min

  2. JAN 28

    Richard Hanania on Prediction Markets, White Nationalism & the Midterms | Prediction Market Movers

    On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher is joined by political commentator and writer Richard Hanania for an in-depth conversation on prediction markets, Republican Party realignment, and the road to the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election. Richard shares his personal history with prediction markets, from trading on PredictIt to being a named plaintiff in PredictIt’s lawsuit against the CFTC. The discussion explores why prediction markets remain one of the most powerful tools for forecasting political outcomes, holding commentators accountable, and cutting through media narratives. The conversation then turns to politics, where Richard explains his break from both white nationalist movements and the MAGA coalition, offering a candid analysis of how fringe ideologies have moved closer to the Republican mainstream. Chris and Richard examine the influence of figures like Nick Fuentes, the online far-right, and how these groups could impact Republican turnout and candidate selection in the 2026 midterms.

    45 min

  3. 12/17/2025

    Building the Next Generation of Prediction Markets with Gigi Alcaraz | Prediction Market Movers

    On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher is joined by Gigi Alcaraz, Founder of Mira, to explore how social-first trading platforms could reshape the future of prediction markets. Gigi breaks down Mira’s vision, why social markets and community-driven trading are becoming essential, and the biggest challenges facing prediction markets today. She also shares her personal journey — from finding her place in the prediction market ecosystem to participating in Kalshi’s builder program. The conversation wraps with a forward-looking discussion on how prediction markets can evolve, the role of consumer brands, and what builders need to get right to unlock mainstream adoption. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com #PredictionMarkets #SocialTrading #Fintech #Kalshi #TradingPlatforms

    28 min

  4. 12/03/2025

    Henry Lau on Skywalk's Growth, Market Integrity & Polymarket's Comeback | Prediction Market Movers

    On this week’s edition of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Henry Lau, Founder of Skywalk, for an in-depth discussion on the rapidly evolving prediction market industry. Chris and Henry break down Skywalk’s mission, their strategy for scaling the platform, and how builders can thrive amid shifting regulations and increasing competition. The conversation then shifts to Polymarket’s U.S. comeback, what the relaunch means for the market, and if Polymarket can compete against Kalshi. To close out the episode, the two explore market integrity, emerging challenges for entrepreneurs in the space, and the broader future of prediction markets as crypto-native and regulated platforms converge. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

    38 min

  5. 11/27/2025

    Andrew Kim on Kalshi Cases, Sports Contracts & Prediction Markets | Prediction Market Movers

    The two dive into the recent Kalshi case developments, how states could define swaps and the CFTC’s involvement in the prediction market landscape. Plus, the two also explore responsible trading, the explosion of crypto and prediction markets, and project what the court's will decide in Kalshi cases.   👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

    44 min

  6. 11/20/2025

    Prediction Market Insights with Political Trader Ben Freeman | Prediction Market Movers

    In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with entrepreneur and prediction-market expert Ben Freeman to break down the future of forecasting, market structure, liquidity, and how AI is transforming trading platforms. Chris and Ben discuss how he entered the prediction market space, the biggest problems with current market infrastructure, what founders misunderstand about focus and scale, and why smarter incentives could unlock massive growth in forecasting markets. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

    45 min

  7. 11/18/2025

    The Future of Trading with ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen | Prediction Market Movers

    In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen for a deep dive into the future of prediction markets. Jake shares his journey through major career pivots, how he entered the prediction market ecosystem, and what it has taken to navigate CFTC compliance while building an innovative trading platform. The conversation expands into macro-level prediction market trends, what the next generation of trading could look like, and how AI is poised to reshape the entire landscape. Whether you’re a trader, a policymaker, or someone fascinated by emerging fintech, this is a must-watch episode. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

    28 min

  8. 11/12/2025

    Evie (@0xgingergirl) on XO Live, Prediction Markets & the Creator Economy

    On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Evie, founder of XO Live — known online as @0xgingergirl — to talk about how her app is reshaping community engagement and prediction markets. Evie shares how she pivoted from building a dating app to creating a thriving prediction market platform, the difference between men and women in trading communities, and why she loves no mention markets. The two discuss how prediction markets influence companies, the ongoing badge wars, and Evie’s candid take on X as a sometimes toxic space for creators. Plus, she shares her experience meeting Shane Copeland. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - Joinng the prediction market ecosystem 3:45 - Founding a dating app 5:15 - On pivoting from her dating app 9:25 - Live stream markets 13:15 - The impact of her app 16:30 Prediction markets influencing companies 17:30 - Difference between men and women in the prediction market space 22:30 - Approaching the no mention markets 24:15 - On meeting  Shane Copeland 26:15 - Why X can be a toxic place  28:00 The badge wars on social media 30:00 - Improvements to the industry

    35 min
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About

Each week, Chris Gerlacher talks to industry insiders, financial analysts and legal experts on all of the latest developments in prediction markets.

Information

  • Creator
    Prediction News
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    18
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Prediction News
  • Show Website
    Prediction Market Movers

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