Predictive Programming

NovigTV
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Weekly deep dives into the rapidly changing world of prediction markets. Henry Kerins is the EVP of Trading Tech & Ops at Novig. Chris Dierkes is a professional bettor and trader. Expect guests from across the spectrum of sports, business, and technology. Brought to you by NovigTV.

  1. 22 DE JAN.

    How He Made a Living off Basketball Parlays | Ep. 14 - Predictive Programming

    Maple, one of the sharpest minds in sports prediction markets, to break down how he actually makes money trading sports. From his early days exploiting sportsbook promos and same-game parlays, to originating his own numbers, going all-in on sweepstakes exchanges, and navigating platforms like Novig, Kalshi, and ProfitX, Maple walks through the real mechanics behind winning — and why most people misunderstand them. We dive deep into fees, liquidity, adverse selection, combos vs parlays, and where prediction markets are headed over the next few years. Chapters (00:00:00) - Louis on Predictive Programming(00:00:49) - LeBron on His NBA Parlay(00:02:18) - Did You Ever Recreationally Bet Sports?(00:04:44) - Capping on DraftKings's Golden Age(00:06:11) - SportsLine: When Should You Parlay?(00:09:07) - In the Elevator With Rich People(00:10:11) - Jan Novig on Profit X Sweepstakes(00:12:19) - Lone Wolf on NBA Sweepstakes(00:18:29) - Is Kalshi increasing their fees?(00:20:10) - Kalshi: If We're Going to Increase Fees,(00:24:28) - Will Kalshi Replace FanDuel?(00:28:46) - Steve Kalshi on the Supreme Court's Sportsbook Cases(00:31:33) - Predicting Markets: The Stupid Trade(00:32:33) - Sportsbooks on Combo Parlays(00:36:07) - What's the Long Term Hold on Parlays?(00:38:42) - Kalsha: Will I Never Get Limited on Prediction Markets?

    43min

  2. 14 DE JAN.

    He Got Rich Trading on Spotify & Rotten Tomatoes | Ep. 13 - Predictive Programming

    Gaeten Dugas, a prominent prediction market trader, who shares his journey into the world of prediction markets, particularly focusing on Spotify and entertainment markets. Gaeten discusses with Henry and Chris about his strategies, recent trades, and the impact of new music releases on market dynamics. Chapters (00:00:00) - Spotify's Gaten Douglas on Predictive Programming(00:00:26) - Caleb Davis: On Kalshee, Predicting Future(00:04:33) - Predicted: How to Make Money on Algorithmic Trading(00:06:56) - Trump's Motivation for Venezuela(00:14:56) - Spotify's 'Daily' Most Streamed Song(00:17:03) - Is It In Your Mind When an Album Debut(00:18:35) - Steve Miller on His Big Positions(00:21:28) - How Do Streaming Charts Compare on Spotify?(00:23:02) - Taylor Swift vs Olivia Dean: Should You Bet on Either?(00:27:06) - Spotify's Olivia Dean Pick, and More(00:34:36) - Outside Investors: Insider Trading Kills Markets(00:36:36) - Inventing Insider Trading(00:40:57) - Top Stock Trader: No Insider Trading(00:44:19) - Predicting Sports in 2026

    46min

  3. 7 DE JAN.

    Ep. 12 - Gouker's Best Tweets: A Year Review | Predictive Programming

    Chris and Henry start 2026 by reacting to tweets from industry insider Dustin Gouker. Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predict Predictable Predictions(00:00:10) - Novig Enjoyer on Kalshi(00:01:59) - Dustin Galker On The Prediction Market(00:03:32) - Dustin Dahmer Hates Prediction Markets (Seriously)(00:06:27) - DraftKings vs CME: Should They Build a Crypto Exchange?(00:10:55) - Risk Takers: The John Wang Effect on Sports(00:15:05) - Rufus the Hedge Fund Guy(00:16:06) - Predicting Future Real Estate Prices(00:18:10) - Predicting Housing Prices With No Liquidity(00:24:23) - Bokashi Cannot Keep An Actual Candidate From Trading On His Own(00:30:43) - Dustin Woods: "This is a good tweet"(00:30:56) - Scared LeBron? You Should Bet On The Underdogs!(00:34:46) - Prediction Markets: No VOTES(00:39:46) - Dustin Hoffman on New Year's

    41min

  4. 05/12/2025

    Ep. 11 - Sixty Minutes W/ Domer | Predictive Programming

    Chris and Henry intrewiew Domer and ask the questions that couldn't be asked during Domer's Sixty Minutes interview this past Sunday. They talk about Domer’s backstory and how he became one of the top prediction market traders in the world. Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Huge Guest(00:00:49) - Bradley on Trading Gambling(00:02:11) - PokerStars on Predictability Markets(00:03:19) - What's the First Year of Prediction Market Trading?(00:04:03) - Predicting the Oscars and Presidential Elections(00:05:54) - How to Win Money on Betting(00:07:52) - How to Win at Scale(00:08:16) - Quantum Trading Has Become More Difficult(00:12:45) - What is Day 0 of Trading a New Market?(00:17:03) - In the Elevator With a Prediction Market(00:19:21) - Bovada Sportsbook Bans Betting On Sports(00:22:16) - Steve Ballentine on Scaling(00:24:06) - Have We Reached the Limit of Prediction Markets?(00:25:52) - Will Prediction Markets Replace the Fed Markets?(00:32:26) - Prediction Market Traders: Finding the Upside(00:37:57) - What has biased me so much in this exam?(00:40:30) - Will the Person of the Year Be AI-related?(00:42:40) - The Oscars Betting(00:47:25) - Prediction Markets: Should the CFTC Set Limits?(00:50:07) - On Political Commentations on Prediction Markets(00:54:02) - Top Executives: Prediction Markets Are Important(00:56:51) - A Question for the Audience

    57min

  5. 20/11/2025

    Ep. 10 - Trading Prediction Markets Is A Full Time Job W/ Foster

    Chris and Henry sit down with @Foster who talks about his journey from casino blackjack dealer to full time prediction market trader. Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets.

    38min

  6. 05/11/2025

    Ep. 9 - Blockchain Price Signals W/ Bunchu

    Henry and Chris sit down with the founder of Billy Bets, Joe O'Rourke (@BunchuBets on X) aka Bunchu, to discuss his journey from sports to crypto to prediction markets! Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictable, Predictable Prediction(00:00:09) - Interviewing Billy Betts on Kalshi(00:01:05) - Bill Betts on Blockchain in Sports Betting(00:04:52) - BillyBeds on AI and Blockchain(00:12:10) - Will Polymarket US be on Chain or Off-Chain?(00:16:51) - Do Prediction Markets Need to Be on Chain?(00:20:41) - In the Elevator With Crypto Insiders(00:23:12) - Should We Have a Decentralized Prediction Market?(00:24:34) - Does UMA Really Be a Dao?(00:27:46) - Brian Armstrong on the Laced Markets(00:32:30) - Market Maker: Liquidity and Integrity in Crypto(00:39:08) - Billy Bets: Last Minute Plugs

    40min

  7. 29/10/2025

    Ep. 8 - The Man Who Introduced Henry To Novig W/ Isaac Altman-Sagan

    Henry and Chris sit down with Isaac Altman-Sagan to understand his strategies for success and his perspective on the current state of prediction markets. Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets.   Chapters (00:00:00) - Predict Predictable(00:00:09) - Isaac Altman Sagan on In the Elevator(00:01:39) - Robinhood Market Maker: Week 1(00:03:51) - Bookmaker: Bigger Bet on MLB(00:07:24) - NFL Betting on Taylor Swift(00:09:37) - Betting Advice From Real People(00:12:19) - Your Edge at Poker(00:13:47) - BROKEN: What's The Biggest EV Win On An(00:16:39) - Is the Ecosystem Better Than It Was One Year Ago?(00:20:25) - NFL DraftKings vs FanDuel(00:20:58) - Robinhood Market Maker vs. Polymarket(00:24:51) - Kalshi on Polymarket Acquisition(00:26:12) - Do You Think You're In A Better Spot or Worse Spot?(00:29:17) - NFL Betting: More Liquidity, Less Accuracy(00:34:39) - How to Win a Million on Sports Betting(00:39:07) - Chris Collins on His Trading Portal

    41min

  8. 22/10/2025

    Ep. 7 - Prediction Market Trading Goes Livestream W/ PredMTrader

    PredMTrader joins Henry and Chris to explain what it's like from his newcomer perspective to trade prediction markets. In this episode we discuss mention markets, political markets, sports markets and more.  Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictable, Predictable(00:00:10) - Predicting Market Traders(00:00:34) - Prediction Markets Guy(00:02:14) - Disclosure: I Trade Prediction Markets(00:09:17) - In the Elevator With Stock Trading(00:10:02) - Are You Ever Making Money On Crypto?(00:11:07) - Followers: What's Your Selling Point?(00:12:14) - The Taylor Swift Stream(00:14:57) - Marathon on Trading & Content(00:18:31) - Markets: What Other Data Feeds Are You Using?(00:20:56) - How AI Trading and Sports Betting Have Impact(00:24:52) - Predicting Sports on MSN(00:27:31) - What's Next for the Market?(00:28:43) - Political and Business Markets: How They're Going(00:33:58) - Sports and Crypto: Will They Replace Prediction Markets?

    39min
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Classificações e avaliações

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de 5
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Sobre

Weekly deep dives into the rapidly changing world of prediction markets. Henry Kerins is the EVP of Trading Tech & Ops at Novig. Chris Dierkes is a professional bettor and trader. Expect guests from across the spectrum of sports, business, and technology. Brought to you by NovigTV.

Informações

  • Criado por
    NovigTV
  • Anos de atividade
    2025 - 2026
  • Episódios
    14
  • Classificação
    Livre
  • Copyright
    © 2025
  • Site do podcast
    Predictive Programming

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