Real Perspectives Podcast

The Registry/Mighty Dot Media

Exploring commercial real estate topics across the West Coast of the US, and sometimes the world!

  1. 2d ago

    The Last Affordable Housing: RV Parks, Return-to-Office & the Airbnb Backlash

    Real Perspectives Podcast — presented by The Registry Host Vladimir Bosanac sits down with Evan McLeod, Principal of Palmero Partners, a Seattle-based brokerage, consulting, and investment firm focused on RV parks, manufactured housing, and multifamily across the West Coast. Broadcasting from the Pacific Northwest, Evan brings a rare, ground-level view into one of real estate's most overlooked — and increasingly institutional — asset classes. The conversation opens on manufactured housing and RV parks as one of the last true forms of affordable housing, where residents can rent from as little as $500 a month and even own their homes. Evan explains why investor capital is flooding in (he estimates the space is 10–20 years behind the apartment boom), why roughly 70% of RV parks and ~80% of manufactured housing are still mom-and-pop owned, and how location, transit access, and full utility hookups drive value. He also pushes back on the media narrative around rising rents, walking through the utility, tax, and insurance costs — insurance up 200% in a year — that owners can't simply absorb. From there, the discussion turns to the topics shaping commercial real estate in 2026: Return to office — Governor Newsom's four-day mandate for California state workers takes effect July 1, potentially bringing ~110,000 people back to downtown Sacramento. Vlad and Evan weigh the boost to local businesses against loose enforcement, employee pushback, and the case for flexibility.Airbnb & short-term rentals — Tightening restrictions in coastal markets like Carmel-by-the-Sea, the "blunt tool" problem, the impact on mom-and-pop owners, and parallels to backlash across Spain, Germany, and France.Pension funds returning to CRE — Capital is flowing back, but reallocating toward industrial, data centers, and multifamily over office — often the same players chasing distressed deals.The episode closes with the show's signature Telescope / Microscope segment: Evan on the rising cost of electricity and the push toward solar and utility recapture, and Vlad on whether we've reached "peak pickleball." Guest: Evan McLeod, Principal, Palmero Partners (Seattle, WA) Host: Vladimir Bosanac, Co-founder & Publisher, The Registry New episodes every week. Subscribe and stay tuned. Timestamped chapters 00:00 — Intro & Pacific Northwest catch-up02:30 — Manufactured housing & RV parks: the last affordable housing05:00 — Institutional capital moves in; behind the apartment boom09:20 — Valuation, pricing & the mom-and-pop landscape13:20 — The affordability narrative vs. rising operating costs19:00 — Return to office: Newsom's mandate & downtown recovery25:40 — Airbnb & the short-term rental crackdown33:20 — Pension funds returning to commercial real estate35:50 — Telescope/Microscope: solar, energy costs & peak pickleball43:40 — Wrap-up

    44 min
  2. Jun 23

    Running Out of Mansions: AI Wealth, Market Stagnation, and the LA Question

    On this episode of the Real Prospectus Podcast, Vladimir Bosanac sits down with David Saxe, Managing Principal at Calvera Partners, a multifamily owner-operator across California, Texas, and North Carolina. From his new home base in Sausalito, David unpacks why deals are stalling nationwide — a stubborn bid-ask spread, regulatory drag, interest-rate whiplash, and the war in Iran's pressure on inflation — even as workout and distress deals trickle through. The conversation turns to AI's twin impact: a wave of newly minted millionaires (OpenAI's $6.6B tender offer alone averaged ~$11M per employee) driving record San Francisco mansion sales and rents, and growing anxiety about AI's bite on jobs — especially for recent college grads, where unemployment is running well above the national rate. David and Vlad contrast SF's runaway rent growth with oversupplied Sun Belt markets like Austin and Dallas, the resilient Midwest, and a stubbornly stuck Oakland. They also dig into the data-center boom and whether power — not capital — is the real constraint, the uncertainty tariffs inject into development, and the labor squeeze from immigration crackdowns. The episode closes on Los Angeles: a wide-open mayoral race, the entertainment industry's AI reckoning, and why both hosts still bet on the city long-term. Plus a "Microscope/Telescope" segment on whether AI creates or destroys jobs, and how headlines are making capital raising harder than ever. Guest: David B. Saxe, Managing Principal, Calvera Partners. Formerly of CIM Group ($575M+ in investments) and Equity Office Properties Trust. BA in Economics (cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa), Northwestern; MBA, Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley. In this episode: Market stagnation and the persistent bid-ask spread in multifamilyAI wealth reshaping the San Francisco housing and rental marketJobs, AI disruption, and the youth unemployment signalSun Belt oversupply vs. coastal recovery — "survive 'til 27"Data centers, energy constraints, and the China comparisonLA's mayoral race, entertainment's future, and long-term outlookMicroscope/Telescope: Will AI create jobs or replace them?

    48 min
  3. Jun 16

    Riding the Cycles: Northmarq's Jeffrey Weidell on Rates, Data Centers & the Future of CRE Capital

    Hosts Vladimir Bosanac (co-founder & publisher, The Registry) and Byron Renfro (Orchard Commercial) sit down with Jeffrey Weidell, CEO of Northmarq, one of the few large privately held capital markets firms in U.S. commercial real estate. Jeff walks through how Northmarq evolved from a mortgage banking shop into a four-legged "capital markets" business spanning loan servicing ($80B+), debt origination, investment sales, and a growing investment fund platform — and why recurring revenue is what carries a firm through the cycles. The conversation gets into where we actually are in the current distress cycle, the asset classes capital favors right now, and Jeff's candid read on interest rates and the broader economy. In this episode: Northmarq's "three-legged stool" plus a fourth leg, and why loan servicing's recurring revenue was a lifeline through COVID and the rate shockThe fund strategy: filling the niches Wall Street ignores — higher-leverage first mortgages, mezzanine, and pref equity in smaller bite sizesWhere we are in the distress cycle ("the middle"), and why maturing 2021-vintage debt is forcing today's sales activityWhich assets capital likes now: retail's surprising strength, smaller-tenant industrial, the office "winners and losers," and why hotels and seniors housing stay hardBucketing deals: what's a no-brainer to finance vs. what's a tough one (weak sponsorship, tertiary markets, non-traditional product)Jeff's rate outlook: a normal upward-sloping yield curve, longer-term rates staying elevated, and why "stable is okay"The privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the "do no harm to housing" mandateThe data center tidal wave: $150B (2023) → $400B (2025) → $656B committed (2026), synthetic leases, and the claim that half of U.S. GDP activity is tied to data center constructionWhy hyperscalers are chasing remote power, plus latency and the limits of going ruralBuilding the next generation: Northmarq's two-year associate "coach" program, recruiting by referral, and why talent still clusters in fun cities and strong officesAI in practice: lease reviews, auto-populating broker opinions of value, and Jeff's advice — "wait a year"Guest: Jeffrey Weidell, CEO, Northmarq Hosts: Vladimir Bosanac (The Registry) · Byron Renfro (Orchard Commercial)

    48 min
  4. Jun 10

    Extend and Pretend: Distress, Private Debt, and the Future of CRE

    On this episode of Real Perspectives, co-host Vladimir Bosanac is joined by David Arscott of Baycrest Capital for a wide-ranging look at the pressures reshaping commercial real estate. With a vantage point spanning coast-to-coast debt acquisitions and West Coast multifamily and industrial underwriting, David unpacks why CMBS distress has hit a record ~12%, what the surge in private debt means for borrowers facing maturities, and why the "extend and pretend" era may be running out of road. The two dig into the stubborn math of office-to-residential conversions, the cooling of the once red-hot industrial sector, the data center frenzy and its echoes of the life-science and IOS booms, and a telescope look at San Francisco office vacancy — which has rocketed from roughly 6% in 2019 to north of 20% today. Optimism, skepticism, and a few predictions included. Guest: David Arscott, Baycrest Capital What we cover Record CMBS distress (~12%) and what it signals about lending across all asset typesThe wave of loan maturities from 2017–2019 vintages that can't refinanceThe roughly $1.8T surge in private debt — short-term fix or structural shift?Distressed sales trading at up to 80% discounts and why nobody advertises themOffice-to-residential conversions: cheap basis vs. astronomical construction costs, and why cities may quietly prefer commercialIndustrial softening nationally, robotics / "physical AI" demand, and the chase for powered spaceConstruction costs running above completed value, and the flight to qualityThe data center boom — and whether it ends like life science and industrial outdoor storageTelescope segment: San Francisco office vacancy from 6.2% (2019) to ~23% (2024), and whether AI leasing fills the gap or faces a dot-com-style bustNotable quotes "Banks will lend and extend, extend and pretend, for as long as they can." — David"Recessions don't die of old age." — David"I would not be surprised if in five years we are back to single digits again." — Vlad, on SF officeApproximate timestamps 01:51 — CMBS distress hits a record high05:00 — Is this worse than 2008?08:26 — The $1.8T rise in private debt11:21 — Buying notes and assets at a discount17:23 — Office-to-residential conversions23:45 — Industrial: vacancy peaks as demand holds25:50 — Robotics, "physical AI," and the hunt for power32:51 — Data centers and infrastructure money40:23 — Microscope / Telescope: SF office vacancy48:05 — The return-to-office disconnect

    51 min
  5. May 21

    Nick Arenson, President of Rurka Homes and their development at Mountain House

    In this episode, we sit down with Nick Arenson, homebuilding president of Rurka Homes and managing director of Altamont Development, the firm behind The Lakes at Mountain House — a premier master-planned community in one of Northern California's newest and fastest-growing cities. Arenson shares his vision for The Lakes, which he describes as the next chapter in the growth of Mountain House: beautifully designed homes set within walking distance of parks, trails, and future amenities, in a community built around connection and quality of life. We talk about the firm's approach to thoughtful design, modern floorplans, and energy-efficient construction, and how its newest neighborhoods fit into a broader master plan of roughly 900 homes. Beyond the homes themselves, we dig into what makes Mountain House work: scenic waterways and open space, a second phase of Central Park now underway, and ambitious future amenities including an aquatic center, an outdoor amphitheater, and sports courts and fields. We also discuss the area's standout schools — the Lammersville Unified School District consistently ranks among California's best — and the city's rare mix of small-town community feel and big-city accessibility, sitting roughly 24 miles from Pleasanton and within an hour of San Jose, Oakland, and Sacramento. Finally, Arenson offers his perspective on why Mountain House has become one of Northern California's most desirable places to live, and what it means to build neighborhoods that families will call home for generations. Learn more at mountainhouseliving.com and rurkahomes.com.

    48 min
  6. May 19

    Connie Verceles, Sunnyvale Assistant City Manager

    Welcome to The Real Perspectives podcast, where we take commercial real estate seriously, but never ourselves. Hosted by Vladimir Bosanac, co-founder and publisher of The Registry, and Patty McGuigan, a pioneering Silicon Valley commercial real estate broker with more than four decades of experience and over $1 billion in closed deal volume. Patty is also a celebrated author and public speaker whose work spans children's books, a collective on widowhood, and an industry memoir reflecting on her trailblazing career in a historically male-dominated field. In this episode, Vladimir and Patty sit down with Connie Verceles, Assistant City Manager of Sunnyvale, for a conversation about the policies, programs, and partnerships shaping economic vitality in one of Silicon Valley's most dynamic cities. Connie leads Sunnyvale's citywide economic development initiatives and serves as the primary liaison to the business community, overseeing small business assistance, downtown development, business financing, and special projects. She also manages the implementation of the City's Wage Theft Prevention Policy and Minimum Wage Ordinance, while directing the Economic Development Division's research and recommendations on financial, organizational, and economic development matters. Join us for a candid look at how city leadership, commercial real estate, and the business community intersect in Sunnyvale — and what it takes to keep a local economy moving forward in the heart of Silicon Valley.

    44 min

Ratings & Reviews

4.8
out of 5
17 Ratings

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Exploring commercial real estate topics across the West Coast of the US, and sometimes the world!

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