Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

  1. 1d ago

    (39-16, 71%) NFL Week 7 Best Bets & Player Props 2026: Chiefs-Seahawks, Packers-Lions

    NFL Week 7 best bets, player props and picks for Chiefs at Seahawks on Sunday Night Football, Packers at Lions, Rams vs Raiders, Buccaneers at Panthers, Colts vs Vikings, Giants at Texans and 49ers at Falcons, plus the Week 7 referee report and three big college football games. Warren Sharp opens with the Rams: 2-4 after the loss to Arizona, and without Davante Adams for months. What has to change against Las Vegas? Then Brian Flores, who pressures and blitzes like no one else, as Minnesota meets Daniel Jones and the Colts, and how Carolina should handle Todd Bowles' blitz in a big NFC South game. Ryan McCrystal breaks down Ole Miss at Texas, Houston at Utah and LSU at Auburn. Rich Hribar brings three props from Buccaneers at Panthers, Giants at Texans and 49ers at Falcons, and Warren shares his advice on betting through a slump. Joe Gibbs runs the referee report for Packers at Lions and Chiefs at Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Warren closes with his best bet of the week, 39-16 lifetime on this show. This week only: buy two weeks of Sharp All Access and get two weeks free with code SHOW40: sharp.football Watch the show: youtube.com/watch?v=ucdD94UhgtQ Free week of OddsJam with code WARREN, then 40% off your first month: oddsjam.com What You'll Learn• What the Rams have to change without Davante Adams• Why Brian Flores blitzes like no one else, and what it means for the Colts• How Carolina should attack Todd Bowles' blitz• What decides Ole Miss at Texas, Houston at Utah and LSU at Auburn• How the Week 7 referee crews call games, including John Hussey's record with home teams• How to bet through a slump• Warren's best bet of the week and the matchup behind it Chapters00:00 Week 7 best bets and player props: the preview01:13 Rams vs Raiders: the Rams without Davante Adams08:19 Colts vs Vikings: Brian Flores and the blitz10:43 Buccaneers at Panthers: beating Todd Bowles' blitz13:18 College football with Ryan McCrystal13:39 Ole Miss at Texas18:15 Houston at Utah20:20 LSU at Auburn24:19 Rich Hribar prop 1: Buccaneers at Panthers28:27 Rich Hribar prop 2: Giants at Texans31:46 Rich Hribar prop 3: 49ers at Falcons36:29 The Week 7 referee report with Joe Gibbs37:05 Packers at Lions: the referee crew39:53 Chiefs at Seahawks on Sunday night: the referee crew45:19 Warren's best bet of the week: Rams vs Raiders GuestsRich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal, Joe Gibbs More ResourcesFree Sharp Football newsletter with our written analysis and best bets: sharp.footballWatch the full show on YouTube: youtube.com/watch?v=ucdD94UhgtQ Follow UsX: @SharpFootball, @SharpFBAnalysis, @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  2. 2d ago

    NFL Week 7 Preview: Chiefs-Seahawks, Packers-Lions and More

    NFL Week 7 preview and matchups: Chiefs at Seahawks on Sunday Night Football, Packers at Lions, 49ers at Falcons and Bengals at Ravens. Kenneth Walker's revenge game, Josh Jacobs' return and the run game numbers that decide each one, plus two sneaky matchups: Broncos vs Cardinals and Panthers vs Buccaneers. 4 WEEKS FOR THE PRICE OF 2: use code SHOW40 at checkout on our monthly packages, every betting recommendation plus the fantasy side in one: https://sharp.football Kenneth Walker, Patrick Mahomes, Mike Macdonald, Sam Darnold, Steve Spagnuolo, Zach Charbonnet, Jonathan Gannon, Jared Goff, Dan Campbell, Josh Jacobs, Jordan Love, Matt LaFleur, Bijan Robinson, Michael Penix Jr., Raheem Morris, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Mike Evans, Derrick Henry, Tyler Huntley, Cam Jurgens, Bo Nix, Sean Payton, Jaylen Waddle, Bryce Young, Todd Bowles. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • Why Kenneth Walker against his former team is the most important matchup of Week 7, and why neither the Chiefs run game nor the Seattle run defense has really been tested• The Seattle streak Walker could snap on Sunday night• Where Seattle is vulnerable to running backs in the passing game• Patrick Mahomes' only career game against Mike Macdonald• Sam Darnold's turnover problem and how Steve Spagnuolo's defense can force negative plays• What Zach Charbonnet's return can and can't fix in Seattle's backfield• What Jonathan Gannon did to Dallas, and his history against Jared Goff• How soft Detroit's schedule of defenses has been, and why Green Bay is its biggest test yet• What Josh Jacobs' return does to a Packers offense that has leaned on Jordan Love• Why Atlanta's first half against Chicago was a play-calling problem, and the outside zone battle with the 49ers• How the Falcons should use Bijan Robinson in the passing game against San Francisco• What the 49ers did on the ground in this matchup last year, and their passing game without Mike Evans• Derrick Henry, a reshuffled Ravens interior line and the Bengals' light boxes• Why Denver needs to push the ball downfield with Bo Nix against Arizona• Bryce Young against Todd Bowles and the Tampa Bay blitz CHAPTERS 00:00 Week 7: what you need to know01:33 MATCHUP 1: Kenneth Walker vs the Seahawks run defense08:36 Mahomes vs Mike Macdonald09:27 How high is Seattle's floor?11:54 Sam Darnold vs the Chiefs defense15:47 Subscribe16:18 MATCHUP 2: Jonathan Gannon's Packers defense vs the Lions18:52 Jared Goff vs Jonathan Gannon21:44 Josh Jacobs returns: the Packers offense vs Detroit24:53 4 weeks for the price of 2: code SHOW4026:06 MATCHUP 3: Bijan Robinson vs the 49ers run defense30:56 Christian McCaffrey vs the Falcons run defense35:16 Rich's Worksheets35:59 MATCHUP 4: The Ravens run game vs the Bengals40:10 SNEAKY: Bo Nix vs the Cardinals defense43:37 SNEAKY: Bryce Young vs the Bucs blitz45:45 Wrap Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q7d53eoM-1A Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ Hosted by Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) and Rich Hribar (@LordReebs). New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, Takeaways on Monday. Follow UsX: @SharpFootball • @LordReebs • @SharpFBAnalysisWeb: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  3. 5d ago

    NFL Week 6 Takeaways and Monday Night Football Best Bets

    NFL Week 6 takeaways from the numbers. Atlanta had the best run game in the week on a per carry basis and called 12 rushes, the fewest in the week, while Michael Penix got blitzed and sacked at the second worst rates of any quarterback. The Cowboys slipped, literally, and ran the worst early down run game of any first half in the week. 2026 is the second most penalized start to a season since 2000 and delay of game flags are at an all time high. The Steelers went from first and goal with 1:38 left to fourth and goal with 1:23 left and needed overtime to beat Tampa Bay. The Giants collapsed against the Saints, and Jalen Hurts' London numbers fell off a cliff after halftime on 36 hours without sleep, before the news that he is out for the season. Plus a best bet for Monday Night Football with Curtis. Get the free newsletter: every article we write, plus free bets and player props, sent straight to your inbox. Sign up in 30 seconds at https://sharp.football Players and coaches discussed: Michael Penix, Bijan Robinson, Kevin Stefanski, Tommy Rees, Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Mike Tomlin, Cam Skattebo, Najee Harris, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels. What you'll learn • Atlanta's first half drives: two three and outs, a turnover on downs, one touchdown, one punt, and a 21 to 7 halftime deficit• The Falcons ran it 12 times, the fewest in the week, with a 16.7 percent explosive rush rate, the best in the week• Michael Penix was blitzed on 52.6 percent of dropbacks and sacked on 13.2 percent, both second worst, with a 31.6 percent bust rate, the worst• Bijan Robinson averaged 12.8 yards on 4 first half carries and the Falcons kept throwing• The Cowboys' first half early down runs averaged -0.37 EPA, the worst first half mark in the week, and Dallas threw 78 percent of its passes at 10 air yards or less, the most in the week• 97 delay of game penalties through six weeks, the previous high was 75, and offenses have committed 690 flags, the most through Week 6 since at least 2000• Offensive holding is up 58 percent since 2022• The Steelers threw on first and goal and third and goal with 1:38 left and two Tampa Bay timeouts on the board• Pittsburgh's first half was the worst in the week by EPA per play and EPA per dropback• The Giants' catastrophe against New Orleans• Jalen Hurts is out for the season, and what 36 hours without sleep did to his London numbers: 69 to 42 percent completions, +0.38 to -0.32 EPA per attempt, 7.6 to 4.1 yards per attempt• Monday Night Football: Commanders at 49ers, with Curtis on the matchup he likes Chapters 00:00 Intro00:45 Atlanta's failure to launch08:43 Cowboys issues12:58 Penalties are out of control18:16 Subscribe18:42 Steelers end of game clock management23:44 Giant catastrophe27:57 Jalen Hurts, 36 hours with no sleep32:21 Free newsletter32:53 Monday Night Football: Commanders at 49ers, with Curtis44:26 Wrap-up and a look at Week 7 Free NFL stats tools: Pass Rate Over Expected and more, free on the new stats page: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/stats-nfl/ Get the full slate: weekly, monthly and full season packages at https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Guests: Curtis Hirsch Follow UsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysisX: @SharpFootballSite: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  4. Oct 16

    (39-15, 72%) NFL Week 6 Best Bets & Player Props 2026: Cowboys-Packers, Bears-Falcons

    NFL Week 6 best bets, player props and picks for Cowboys at Packers, Bears at Falcons, Texans at Jaguars in London, Cardinals at Rams and Steelers at Buccaneers, plus the Week 6 referee report and three big college football games. Warren Sharp opens with three keys to the Week 6 betting board: the Green Bay defense facing Dallas, the first half angle on short road favorites, and Houston in London. Ryan McCrystal breaks down Alabama at Tennessee, Notre Dame at BYU and Ohio State at Indiana. Rich Hribar brings three props, two from Cardinals at Rams and one from Steelers at Buccaneers. Joe Gibbs runs the referee report for Ravens at Browns and Cowboys at Packers on Sunday Night Football. Warren closes with his best bet of the week, 39-15 lifetime on this show. Free week of OddsJam with code WARREN, then 40% off your first month: oddsjam.com What You'll Learn• Why Green Bay's defensive numbers need context, and the schedule behind them• The first half angle on short road favorites• How Houston should attack Jacksonville in London• What decides Alabama at Tennessee, Notre Dame at BYU and Ohio State at Indiana• How the Week 6 referee crews call games, and which teams it helps• Warren's best bet of the week and the matchup behind it• The free pass rate over expected and stats tools on the Sharp site Chapters00:00 Week 6 best bets and player props: the preview01:07 Cowboys at Packers: Green Bay's backup QB schedule06:05 Short road favorites: the first half angle07:26 Texans at Jaguars in London11:56 College football with Ryan McCrystal12:19 Alabama at Tennessee14:42 Notre Dame at BYU18:22 Ohio State at Indiana22:50 Rich Hribar prop 1: Cardinals at Rams25:58 Rich Hribar prop 2: Cardinals at Rams30:02 Rich Hribar prop 3: Steelers at Buccaneers32:44 Pass rate over expected and the free stats tools34:50 The Week 6 referee report with Joe Gibbs35:25 Ravens at Browns: the referee crew38:07 Cowboys at Packers on Sunday night: the referee crew41:51 Warren's best bet of the week: Bears at Falcons GuestsRich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal, Joe Gibbs More ResourcesFree Sharp Football newsletter with our written analysis and best bets: sharp.footballWatch the show on YouTube: Warren Sharp Follow UsX: @SharpFootball, @SharpFBAnalysis, @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  5. Oct 15

    NFL Week 6 Preview: Cowboys-Packers, Bears-Falcons and More

    NFL Week 6 preview and matchups: Cowboys at Packers on Sunday Night Football, Bears at Falcons, Texans vs Jaguars in London and Steelers at Buccaneers. The pressure rates, personnel splits, run game numbers and coverages that decide each game, plus two sneaky matchups: 49ers at Commanders and Saints at Giants. Jordan Love, Matt LaFleur, Tucker Kraft, Dak Prescott, Bijan Robinson, Montez Sweat, Caleb Williams, Ben Johnson, C.J. Stroud, Woody Marks, Aaron Rodgers, Todd Bowles, Brock Purdy, Cam Skattebo. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • How Green Bay stopped getting Jordan Love hit, and the personnel and play action change behind it• Why the way Dallas defends heavy sets plays right into the Packers' hands• Why the Cowboys offense is the biggest test the Green Bay defense has seen all year• How bad the Bears run defense really is once you look at who it has faced, and what Bijan Robinson does on outside zone• What happens to Chicago's run defense when Montez Sweat is off the field• Caleb Williams inside the pocket vs outside it, and why Atlanta wants him to drop back• The run game mismatch in London: Houston's ground game against a Jacksonville front that has not been tested• Why the Jaguars are a pass funnel, and what that opens up for C.J. Stroud• Aaron Rodgers against Todd Bowles: the quick game, the blitz and the coverage he has struggled with• Brock Purdy against base defense, and why Washington plays so much of it• The one run concept the Saints shut down, and why the Giants run it so often CHAPTERS 00:00 Week 6: what you need to know00:46 MATCHUP 1: Jordan Love vs the Cowboys defense03:49 How Green Bay fixed the protection07:27 The Cowboys offense vs Green Bay08:57 Subscribe09:19 MATCHUP 2: Bijan Robinson vs the Bears run defense14:20 Montez Sweat on and off the field16:03 Caleb Williams and the Bears offense19:17 MATCHUP 3: Texans run game vs the Jaguars, London26:39 Rich's Worksheets27:34 MATCHUP 4: Aaron Rodgers vs Todd Bowles31:12 Tampa Bay's Cover 3 and Rodgers33:11 SNEAKY: Brock Purdy vs Washington's base defense35:27 SNEAKY: Giants run game vs the Saints38:22 Wrap Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vGRyoc6V2A Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ Hosted by Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) and Rich Hribar (@LordReebs). New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, the recap on Monday. Follow UsX: @SharpFootball • @LordReebs • @SharpFBAnalysisWeb: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  6. Oct 12

    NFL Week 5 Takeaways and Monday Night Football Best Bets

    NFL Week 5 takeaways from the numbers. The Seahawks handed the 49ers all three touchdowns on turnovers and still finished last in the week in EPA per play, the Commanders led 12 to 3 at the half and let the Giants run the best second half of any offense, the Chargers offense broke in Denver and the Broncos won anyway, the Browns ran one shotgun look into the blitz for four quarters, and LaFleur finally threw over the loaded box. Plus a best bet for Monday Night Football, Rams at Bills, with Curtis. Get the free newsletter, every article plus free bets and player props: sharp.football What You'll Learn • Seattle gave up three touchdowns off turnovers and ranked last in EPA per play, series conversion and plays per drive• The Seahawks' early down runs produced -0.66 EPA per rush, the worst in the week, with a 13.8 percent drop rate, the highest• The Giants went from a 20 percent first half success rate, worst in the week, to 61.5 percent in the second half, the best• Washington's coverage flipped at halftime: man coverage from 22 to 43 percent, two high from 50 to 18 percent, and Jameis Winston went +0.67 EPA per attempt with three touchdowns• Jayden Daniels was blitzed on 73.3 percent of dropbacks, the highest rate any quarterback faced• Harbaugh's Chargers used two back sets on 41.3 percent of snaps, the most in the week, and Justin Herbert's sack plus interception rate was 21.4 percent, the highest• Denver ranked last in third down conversion and pass success rate and won• Cleveland lined up in shotgun on 96.9 percent of snaps against a 56.1 percent blitz rate and took 8 sacks• Green Bay saw 7 or more in the box on 89.8 percent of snaps and Jordan Love averaged 11.8 yards per attempt over it• Chicago turned it over on 41.7 percent of drives with backup quarterbacks, and what the last three weeks say about Caleb Williams• The Steelers put 8 in the box on 75 percent of Colts runs against a 39 percent league average• Monday Night Football: Rams at Bills, with Curtis on the matchup he likes Chapters 00:00 Intro00:20 Seahawks gave away the game05:19 Commanders defense let down again11:13 Herbert and a broken Chargers offense15:57 The Broncos won with the worst offense of the week18:43 Browns ran one shotgun look into the blitz21:43 Subscribe22:22 LaFleur finally gets it24:57 The Bears gave it away, and need Caleb Williams back28:58 Texans step up in London31:20 Steelers did not respect Daniel Jones33:24 The free newsletter34:28 Monday Night Football: Rams at Bills, with Curtis46:44 Wrap-up Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bahxb0Z9IZ4 More Resources Free NFL stats tools, Pass Rate Over Expected and more: sharpfootballanalysis.com/stats-nflWeekly, monthly and full season packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages Follow UsX: @SharpFootball and @SharpFBAnalysisYouTube: Sharp Football Analysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  7. Oct 8

    NFL Week 5 Preview: 49ers-Seahawks, Eagles-Jaguars and More

    NFL Week 5 matchups, stats and betting angles: 49ers at Seahawks, Eagles vs Jaguars in London, Colts at Steelers, Raiders at Patriots. The coverages, pressure rates and personnel splits that decide each game, plus two sneaky games: Bears at Packers and Vikings at Saints. This week only: every pick, every prop and every Worksheet for $5 with code WEEK5: https://sharp.football Brock Purdy, Mike Macdonald, Sam Darnold, Nick Bosa, Raheem Morris, Jalen Hurts, Aaron Rodgers, Drake Maye, TreVeyon Henderson, Jordan Love, Tyler Shough, Brian Flores. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • Why Mike Macdonald's defense is the one Brock Purdy has never solved, and the two coverages it comes down to• What the 49ers pass rush turns into without Nick Bosa, and how Raheem Morris is coaching around it• Why Sam Darnold is about to see exactly what he is worst against• The reason the Eagles do not want to throw, and why they cannot run either• What Jacksonville does to teams in the first half, and what Philadelphia does in the second• The coverage every defense is now playing against Aaron Rodgers, and whether Indianapolis will follow• Where the Colts pass defense is open, and the Steelers receiver who lives there• What Drake Maye cleaned up last week, and the problem that did not go away• Why nobody in New England is making yards for him• How Green Bay fixed Jordan Love, and why Chicago is built the same way• What Brian Flores does to rookie quarterbacks, and what Tyler Shough does when blitzed CHAPTERS 00:00 Cold open: Week 5, what you need to know01:24 MATCHUP 1: Brock Purdy vs Mike Macdonald's defense05:44 Sam Darnold vs the 49ers defense without Bosa11:32 Subscribe12:14 MATCHUP 2: Eagles offense vs Jaguars defense, London20:36 $5 for every pick and every Worksheet, code WEEK521:46 MATCHUP 3: Aaron Rodgers vs the Colts defense27:15 The Worksheet27:41 MATCHUP 4: Drake Maye vs the Raiders defense33:36 SNEAKY: the Packers' fix, and the Bears37:04 SNEAKY: Tyler Shough vs Brian Flores40:51 Wrap Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@WarrenSharp Rich writes a full Worksheet preview for every game, every week: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/ Hosted by Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) and Rich Hribar (@LordReebs). New shows every week: Matchups on Thursday, Best Bets on Friday, the recap on Monday. Follow UsX: @SharpFootball • @LordReebs • @SharpFBAnalysisWeb: sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

4.5
out of 5
205 Ratings

About

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

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