Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

  1. 17h ago

    2026 QB Tiers: Every NFL Starting Quarterback, Ranked

    Warren Sharp ranks every NFL starting quarterback into tiers for 2026, covering all 32 teams, NFL QB rankings, quarterback tiers, betting futures and fantasy football draft value. Get the 2026 Football Preview Book, 619 full color pages on all 32 teams. Use code SHARPQB to save $10 on the PDF: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ Training camps are open, so Warren Sharp puts every starting quarterback in the NFL on one board and sorts them into five tiers, from "we can win the Super Bowl because of you" down to "we need to replace you." This is not a career ranking. It is a 2026 ranking: the quarterback, the coaching staff, and the talent around him, judged for this season only. Warren goes team by team from Arizona to Washington with the numbers behind every call. Some of the placements that will start arguments: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen land in different tiers, Justin Herbert sits in tier three, Bryce Young is placed below Jacoby Brissett, Sam Darnold does not crack tier two, and Bo Nix does. What You'll Learn: • Why "win playoff games because of you" and "win playoff games in spite of you" are two different tiers • Why Jacoby Brissett is better than the league thinks, above average across the board among 45 qualifying quarterbacks • The Justin Herbert verdict: elite talent, tier three placement, and what has to change • Drake Maye vs Jayden Daniels, and how roster building rather than talent separated the same draft class • The full tier board at the end, including where Kirk Cousins and Shedeur Sanders shake out Chapters: 0:00 The five QB tiers, explained 0:26 The 2026 Football Preview Book 1:19 How the tiers work 2:33 Jacoby Brissett 3:16 Tua Tagovailoa & Michael Penix Jr. 4:15 Lamar Jackson 6:28 Josh Allen 7:32 Bryce Young 10:09 Caleb Williams 11:36 Joe Burrow 12:35 Shedeur Sanders / Deshaun Watson 13:47 Dak Prescott 14:58 Bo Nix 16:29 Jared Goff 17:39 Jordan Love 18:27 C.J. Stroud 19:57 Daniel Jones 20:47 Trevor Lawrence 21:45 Patrick Mahomes 22:56 NFL Futures package 23:32 Justin Herbert 25:28 Fernando Mendoza 25:53 Matthew Stafford 27:16 Malik Willis 28:13 Aaron Rodgers 28:48 Kyler Murray 29:27 Drake Maye 31:48 Tyler Shough 32:34 Jaxson Dart 33:02 Geno Smith 33:19 Jalen Hurts 34:23 Brock Purdy 35:06 Sam Darnold 36:03 Baker Mayfield 36:28 Cam Ward 36:48 Jayden Daniels 38:20 The final tier board and wrap-up For more NFL rankings, betting analysis and data-driven football coverage, subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootball?sub_confirmation=1 NFL Futures package, 18+ recommendations. Use code FUTURES50 for 50% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/ More Resources: Fantasy Football Draft Kit: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ 2026 NFL Preview Book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  2. Jul 7

    The 1 Fix the Chiefs, Broncos, Texans & Giants Need in 2026

    The Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans & New York Giants each must make one key change in 2026 to improve their Super Bowl odds.  Full offseason breakdown with betting & fantasy angles. Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the single most important fix for all four teams — straight from the 2026 Football Preview.  Bet smarter with Novig — $5 gets you $50 in Novig coins with code SHARP50: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  Get the 2026 Football Preview (619 pages, all 32 teams) — code SHARP10 for 10% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  WHAT YOU'LL LEARN  • Why the Chiefs fell from No. 1 to 28th in first-quarter scoring — and how Kenneth Walker's explosiveness (32 runs of 20+ yards vs. 17 by ALL Chiefs RBs since 2022) fixes their slow starts as Patrick Mahomes returns from injury  • The play-calling tell that made Denver's offense predictable (79% pass from shotgun, 29% under center) and what new play caller Davis Webb changes after an 11-2 record in one-score games  • How Houston's rebuilt offensive line and David Montgomery unlock Nick Caley's man-blocking scheme — and why C.J. Stroud's red zone numbers, not his overall play, held the Texans back  • Jaxson Dart's historic rookie rushing (3rd-best EPA since 2000) vs. 35th-ranked passing — and why Giants expectations under the new staff need caution  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The 1 Fix the Chiefs, Broncos, Texans & Giants Need in 2026
  3. Jun 23

    Why the 2026 NFL Season Is More Wide Open Than Ever

    2026 NFL Preview Book is live with 619 pages of football betting edges, fantasy football rankings, NFL win totals, team previews, schedule analysis and futures market insight.  Get the 2026 Football Preview: https://sharp.football  The 2026 NFL season starts now. The new Sharp Football Preview is here with 619 pages built to get you smarter before the market catches up. This episode breaks down what is inside the book, why this NFL season looks more wide open than usual, and how coaching changes, schedule edges, win totals, fantasy football trends and futures markets create opportunity before Week 1.  What You’ll Learn:  • What is inside the 2026 Football Preview  • Why this year’s book is the biggest one yet  • How Sharp Football attacks all 32 NFL team previews  • Why the 2026 NFL season has more uncertainty than usual  • How coaching changes can create betting and fantasy edges  • Why schedule analysis, rest edges and team context matter • How to enter the printed book giveaway • Why this book helps with futures, fantasy football, best ball and in-season betting  This episode is brought to you by Novig. Spend $5, get $50 in Novig Coins with code SHARP50: https://novig.onelink.me/JHQQ/65opklku  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Why the 2026 NFL Season Is More Wide Open Than Ever
  4. May 18

    2026 NFL Schedule Winners and Losers: Who Got Helped?

    NFL rest edges could shape the 2026 season as Warren Sharp identifies major schedule advantages for teams like the Bears and Bills while the Chargers face one of the toughest rest disadvantages in years.  Get the 2026 Sharp Football Preview: https://www.sharp.football Use code SCHEDULE for 15% off. The 2026 NFL schedule is not only about who teams play. It is about when they play them. This full breakdown explains how rest advantages, short-week road games, mini-byes, bye-week timing, and schedule sequencing can impact betting markets, win totals, futures, playoff races, and team expectations.  Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the biggest 2026 NFL schedule winners and losers, including the Bears’ major rest edge, the Chargers’ brutal disadvantage, and why the Bills’ schedule is more complicated than it looks.  What You’ll Learn  • Why 110 games feature a rest advantage in 2026  • Why 69 games include at least a 3-day rest edge  • Which teams gained the biggest schedule edge • Why the Bears may have the NFL’s best rest setup  • Why the Chargers face a historic disadvantage  • How the Bills benefit in key AFC matchups despite some tough spots  • Why short-week road games matter against the spread  • How rest edges can impact NFL futures, betting markets, and win totals Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  5. Apr 30

    2026 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Love Is Clear, Who’s 1.02?

    2026 dynasty rookie mock draft strategy starts with Jeremiyah Love as the clear 1.01, but the real debate begins at 1.02 with Fernando Mendoza, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and more.  Get the Sharp Fantasy Footall bundle and use code ROOKIE for $10 off: https://sharp.football Jeremiyah Love is the obvious top pick in 2026 dynasty rookie drafts, but what happens after 1.01?  Raymond Summerlin and Rich Hribar run through a full first-round dynasty rookie mock draft after the 2026 NFL Draft, breaking down Superflex strategy, rookie WR tiers, trade value, landing spots, and which picks could become traps.  The biggest decision point comes immediately after Love. Should dynasty managers force Fernando Mendoza in Superflex? Should Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson be the top wide receiver? Where do KC Concepcion, Makai Lemon, Jadarian Price, Kenyon Sadiq, Denzel Boston, Omar Cooper, Eli Stowers, Antonio Williams, Chris Bell, Zachariah Branch, Jacoby Lane, Kaytron Allen, Jonah Coleman, and Nicholas Singleton belong in rookie drafts?  What You’ll Learn  • Why Jeremiah Love is the clear 1.01 in dynasty rookie drafts  • How to value Fernando Mendoza in Superflex formats • Whether Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson should be WR1  • Where KC Concepcion and Makai Lemon fit in rookie rankings  • Why Jadarian Price could be a risky Round 1 rookie pick  • How to approach weak rookie draft tiers after the top names  • Which tight ends matter most in TE premium formats  • Which late-round RBs and WRs are worth targeting  Follow the Podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for dynasty rookie rankings, fantasy football strategy, NFL Draft analysis, betting insights, and weekly football breakdowns.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    2026 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Love Is Clear, Who’s 1.02?
  6. Apr 27

    NFL Draft Grades: Biggest Winners & Losers | Sharp Football Show

    NFL Draft Grades are in for the biggest winners and losers of the 2026 NFL Draft with Warren Sharp & Ryan McCrystal. Sign up for the free Sharp Football newsletter for NFL analysis, draft grades, team rankings, betting angles, and fantasy football updates: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/newsletter/  Which teams had the best and worst draft classes? This breakdown examines the franchises that whiffed by missing on value, reaching against consensus, ignoring roster needs and failing to improve their path toward winning in 2026.  You'll also learn which teams earned the highest marks based on player value, draft capital, athleticism, roster fit, and long-term team-building upside. What You’ll Learn:  • Which teams earned the worst 2026 NFL Draft grades  • Why the Jaguars’ draft process raised major concerns  • Why the Rams’ first two picks made little sense for a Super Bowl contender  • How the Cardinals mishandled value after drafting Jeremiyah Love  • Why the Broncos and Chargers landed below average  • Why the 49ers remain a major draft process debate despite a better grade from Ryan • Which teams earned the best 2026 NFL Draft grades • Why the Raiders, Chiefs, and Bills landed among the biggest winners • How the Titans supported Cam Ward with Carnell Tate and more talent • Why the Buccaneers, Jets, Dolphins, and Colts graded out strongly • Where draft capital, athleticism, team needs, and player fits aligned • Which picks could become immediate starters or long-term roster wins Subscribe on YouTube for more NFL Draft recaps and data-driven analysis of the NFL: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis Follow Us: Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Ryan McCrystal: https://bsky.app/profile/ryanmccrystal.bsky.social Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    NFL Draft Grades: Biggest Winners & Losers | Sharp Football Show
  7. Apr 24

    NFL Draft Round 1 Reaction + Betting Recap | Sharp Football Show

    The biggest winners, questionable trades, shocking picks, and costly mistakes from Round 1 of the NFL Draft.  👉 Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1  Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal, and Ray Summerlin break down every key storyline from Round 1 of the NFL Draft. From aggressive trades to questionable decisions and perfect player-team fits, this is a complete reaction covering betting angles, fantasy football impact, and team-building strategy.  We also grade Ryan McCrystal's mock draft!  Plus—the faster draft timing created a rushed broadcast, limiting real analysis and leaving coverage far behind online news reporting.  👉 Get 15% off our Draft Kit + 2026 NFL Preview (Code: DRAFT): https://sharp.football  In This Episode:  Best and worst picks from Round 1  Surprising trades and draft strategy decisions  Fantasy football rookie impact  Betting market reactions and recap  Teams that improved (and those that didn’t)  TV coverage couldn't keep up with fast draft Grading Ryan McCrystal’s Mock Draft  What are the Rams doing? Cardinals Draft Jeremiyah Love at #3  Chiefs Trade Up for Monsoor Delane  Browns Pass on Caleb Downs for Spencer Fano  Fantasy Football Impact: Sadiq & Cooper to Jets  Fantasy Perspective: Jadarian Price to Seahawks  Confusing Browns Trade  Howie Roseman Does It Again  Steelers Get Desperate at #21  Great Fit: Rueben Bain Jr. to Buccaneers  Dillon Thieneman to Bears  Lions Draft Blake Miller at #17  NFL Draft Timing Discussion  Carnell Tate to Titans  Jordyn Tyson to Saints  KC Concepcion to Browns  Classic Ravens Pick: Olaivavega Ioane  NFL Draft Betting Recap  Best Players Available (Rounds 2–3)  👉 Join the FREE Newsletter: https://sharp.football  As soon as the draft ends, the edge begins. Our Draft Kit and 2026 NFL Preview book give you everything you need to attack futures markets, dominate fantasy drafts, and stay ahead all offseason. Use code DRAFT to save today: https://sharp.football  Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Rich Hribar: https://x.com/LordReebs Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Ryan McCrystal: https://bsky.app/profile/ryanmccrystal.bsky.social Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    NFL Draft Round 1 Reaction + Betting Recap | Sharp Football Show
  8. Apr 21

    2026 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Biggest Edge Before Draft Day

    Warren Sharp and Ryan McCrystal break down NFL Draft prop betting markets to identify mispriced odds, positional inefficiencies, and value opportunities across key first-round player and team-based markets.    Subscribe on YouTube to join our LIVE Draft Day show at 1PM ET for props, predictions, trade talk, and subscriber-only Q&A: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 This episode focuses on how volatility at the top of the draft, positional clustering, and team-specific tendencies are shaping prop markets across the first round and beyond. From uncertainty around early picks to how offensive line and defensive value is being interpreted differently across teams, this is a deep look at where information is still moving the market. Betting Markets Covered:  Jets No. 2 pick: David Bailey vs. Reese market  Steelers first position drafted: offensive line focus  Big Ten players drafted in Round 1  Sonny Styles: potential top-five draft range  Jacob Rodriguez: first-round longshot  Diego Pavia: draft position over/under 200.5  First offensive lineman drafted: Mauigoa / Freeling / Proctor  Buffalo Bills first position drafted: WR vs OL vs defense  Offensive tackle range: Monroe Freeling pricing and overall tackle board positioning dynamics  Kadyn Proctor: value vs field for first OL drafted market What You’ll Learn Why this draft class is creating unusual uncertainty in prop markets How early draft chaos is impacting top-10 positioning Why offensive line demand is driving first-round strategy How linebacker and defensive prospects are being evaluated differently than consensus boards Where longshot first-round markets are still offering potential value How team needs and trade behavior could reshape draft-day outcomes Why late rumors and visits are still moving betting lines If you’re betting the NFL Draft or tracking how teams actually make decisions, this episode breaks down where the market may still be mispriced heading into draft night. Subscribe on YouTube to join our LIVE Draft Day show at 1PM ET for props, predictions, trade talk, and subscriber-only Q&A: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis Follow Us: Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Ryan McCrystal: https://bsky.app/profile/ryanmccrystal.bsky.social Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    2026 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Biggest Edge Before Draft Day
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About

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

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