The Smart Betting Club Podcast

Smart Betting Club

Exploring the world of profitable betting and what it takes to generate a long-term edge gambling. Through this series of podcasts, join Pete from the Smart Betting Club as he interviews professional punters and expert tipsters on how they make a profit betting and what lessons we can take from them for our own betting journey.Expect to learn about the strategies or methods they employ to win, the markets they focus on, bookmakers or exchanges they use and much more besides.

  1. 6일 전

    Phil Smith, Antepost Betting Edges & Battling The Bookies - A Modern Betting Journey

    Today, I’m joined by Phil Smith, a full time football bettor specialising in antepost (futures) markets and exchange trading. Phil shares his journey from early losses and trial and error, through to building a profitable approach combining Betfair trading and more recently, antepost betting. We go deep into how antepost betting works in practice, where the real edge comes from, and why volume, structure and discipline are key to long term success. The conversation also explores the growing challenges facing bettors today, including Phil’s own experiences, from being permanently removed from Betfair after years of activity, to being locked out of funds and bets for months during an affordability check with Sky Bet. These real world examples highlight the realities of modern betting, where getting money down, accessing funds, and even maintaining accounts has become as important as finding value. Bettors everywhere are experiencing woeful levels of customer service and significant hurdles depositing money for betting due to the failure of affordability checks and overbearing regulation. Phil's story captures and explains those frustrations in full for all to hear. This is a practical, honest discussion about modern betting, where theory often takes a back seat to execution, access and adaptability. KEY TALKING POINTS Phil’s journey from early losses to going full time in 2020Transition into antepost betting and building a profitable edgeTurning a £3k bankroll into £12k through structured bettingBetfair trading as the foundation of his bankrollImpact of affordability checks, account closures and restrictionsBeing removed from Betfair after years of activity.Being locked out of funds and bets for months with Sky BetEvolution of his antepost strategy and staking approachManaging variance through diversification and structured bettingCombining short term income with long term ante post returnsSupport The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link Resources & Mentions Phil on Twitter(X): https://x.com/philbettingTelegraph article featuring Phil "The professional sports gamblers being hunted down by the bookies"Chris Fawcett's SYC Suggestion Smart Betting ClubKEY QUOTES On early struggles:  “There was a lot of going through bankrolls and going around in circles. “It took me about 10 years before I went full time.” On finding an edge in antepost betting:  “I realised there was a lot more to learn and a lot more angles to cover.” On building a bankroll:  “I turned three grand into about twelve grand, that was a big bank builder.” On going full time:  “I wasn’t happy in my job, so I decided to take the risk and go for it.” On Betfair challenges:  “Betfair staff don’t really understand how people trade and operate. I never expected to get kicked off, it definitely caught me by surprise.” On Sky Bet issues: “It was six months of no access to my funds, no access to my bets. You can’t even speak to the people actually dealing with your account.” On volume and variance:  “If you don’t place enough bets, you can easily get caught out.” On long term success: “If you can combine day to day profit with long term systems, that’s the way to go.

    51분
  2. 4월 3일

    Antonino De Rosa - The Reality of Sharp Betting, Models, Markets and Scale

    In Episode 100 of the SBC Betting Interview series, Pete welcomes a special guest to mark the milestone, Antonino (Ant) De Rosa, a former Pinnacle trader and now operator of a large scale professional betting group. This episode goes deep into the reality of sharp betting. Not theory, not models in isolation, but how markets actually move, how sportsbooks react, and why execution is often the biggest edge in the modern game. Ant shares his unique journey from elite level Magic: The Gathering player to being recruited by Pinnacle, where he specialised in live NBA trading. He explains how his edge was never about knowing sport better than others, but about predicting behaviour, understanding where the next bet would come from, and how the market would react. The conversation then shifts into the mechanics of running a serious betting operation today. From scaling across multiple sports, managing hundreds of accounts, and handling real world challenges like liquidity, restrictions, and non payment. Ant is clear that having a strong model or idea is not enough, if you cannot get money down, the edge has no value. This is a rare, honest look at the sharp end of betting in 2026, where success comes from combining insight, discipline, and the ability to execute at scale. Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions Avoid The Trap Podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/3VXIHNAv3HS9738ZeS0mKuAnt De Rosa on X/Twitter: https://x.com/DeRosa_AntoninoSmart Betting Club: https://smartbettingclub.com/Topics covered include From Magic: The Gathering to Pinnacle traderHow Pinnacle identified and used sharp bettorsPredicting where the next bet comes fromWhy market movement is driven by respected moneyThe difference between “cold” and “hot” betsHow sportsbooks actually set lines and limitsBuilding and scaling a multi sport betting operationManaging hundreds of accounts and execution challengesThe reality of getting bets on and getting paidWhy liquidity defines what is worth bettingHow edges evolve and disappear over timeWhere opportunities still exist in modern bettingKey quotes  On what made him successful at Pinnacle “I was able to predict where the next bet was coming from." On market dynamics “If nothing is happening and a sharp bets you, you have to move. If they bet after you move, that means something completely different.” On sportsbooks and pricing “Opening lines don’t matter. Within 15 minutes you’re at the right number taking bets.” On timing of bets “Why did they bet now and not later, that’s the question you should be asking. On betting reality vs theory “If you can’t get money down on it, it’s worthless.” On execution challenges “I had no idea how hard it was to bet until I started doing it myself.” On scaling and liquidity “For us to get 10k down on a challenger match, 300 people might have to see the bet.” On building an edge “Start with an idea, then test it. Don’t start with a sport and hope to find one.”

    52분
  3. 3월 5일

    Graeme Acheson: Finding a Rugby Betting Edge & Sunderland Managers

    Pete sits down with Graeme Acheson, founder of Sports4Cast, the data driven modelling platform recently reviewed in SBC Magazine 161. Graeme explains how a background in accountancy and risk analytics evolved into building forecasting models across rugby, football and baseball. What began as a passion project tracking rugby rankings developed into a fully automated betting model designed to identify bookmaker mispricing through probability accuracy. The discussion centres on rugby, where the model has produced a double digit ROI over the past 12 months, and why thinner, less efficient markets can offer opportunity for disciplined bettors. Graeme breaks down the distinction between prediction and probability, how his dynamic system adapts to market movement, and why timing can matter as much as selection. The conversation then moves beyond betting, exploring how the same ranking methodology has been used by football clubs such as Sunderland to help shortlist managers and guide season level decision making. Finally, Graeme outlines plans to expand into further sports, the challenges of modelling sharper markets like football, and why simple principles, applied consistently with good data, can still uncover edges in 2026. Topics covered include From chartered accountant to sports modelling founderHow rugby rankings evolved into a betting modelWhy rugby markets are less efficient than footballWhy early week pricing can offer stronger edgesLiquidity trade offs and closing line efficiencyUsing A, B and C bet gradings to manage riskFully automated modelling and hourly odds updatesWorking with betting syndicates vs retail bettorsApplying ranking systems to football manager recruitmentData driven shortlisting at SunderlandSeason targeting models and decision support for clubsExpanding into football, baseball and future sportsWhy probability accuracy matters more than picking winnersSupport The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link  Resources & Mentions Sports4Cast: sports4cast.comSmart Betting Club: https://smartbettingclub.com/Key quotes and pull outs On how it started “I didn’t start doing it for betting. I just enjoyed making the predictions and seeing how accurate they were.” “The first question everybody would always ask was, do you use these for betting?” On rugby as a betting market “There’s always something going on in rugby, and it’s not priced as efficiently as football.” “The mispricings in some of the smaller rugby leagues are almost farcical.” “Three or four days out you’ll see plenty of good opportunities. The trade off is limits.” On Using The Sports4Cast Service "The system is constantly updating. Every hour the recommendations can change.” “Different users will see different opportunities depending on when they log in.” On Syndicates and Scale “I speak to a couple of syndicates who take the responsibility of getting the bets down. That allows you to get some skin in the game without the admin of keeping accounts open.” “If you have the execution in place, there is definitely scale there in rugby.” On working with football clubs “If a manager consistently joins clubs and leaves them at a much higher ranking, they must be doing something right.” “You never blindly follow the data. You match the quantitative with the qualitative.” “It just gives clubs a grounding. You’re not sticking your finger in the air.”

    44분
  4. 2월 17일

    Chris Fawcett on 20 Years As A Sharp Bettor & The Modern Betting Market

    Pete sits down with Chris Fawcett, former full time professional gambler turned model builder and co founder of Sharp Betting. Chris reflects on a 20 year career in betting that began in the late 1990s, from early horse racing speed ratings to automated exchange models, and later high volume football accumulators. He explains how exchanges changed the game, why markets became more efficient, and why staking and risk tolerance evolved as he got older. The conversation then shifts to Sharp Betting, how the models work, why accumulators make sense in today’s soft bookmaker environment, and the challenge of educating bettors to trust process over short term results. Finally, Chris gives a detailed and data driven take on the state of the UK betting market, affordability checks, exchange decline, black market growth, rising taxation, and what he believes needs to change. Topics Starting as a full time pro in the late 1990sHow Betfair transformed his betting careerFrom manual betting to fully automated modelsWhy market efficiency forced constant adaptationMoving from high variance gambling to lower risk tradingThe evolution of staking as experience grewWhy price matters more than opinionThe logic behind using accumulators in soft marketsLessons from making six figures before account closuresHow Sharp Betting models football and racingEducating users to trust process over short term runsNFL and NBA modelling and the rise of prediction marketsExchange liquidity decline and what it means for bettorsAffordability checks, black market growth, and unintended consequencesPractical advice for serious UK bettors in 2026Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions Sharp betting: https://sharpbetting.co.uk/Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/chrisgambler247Smart Betting Club: https://smartbettingclub.com/ Key Quotes Why Business Feels Riskier Than Gambling “Doing business actually feels riskier than gambling ever did. Every decision is costly.”The Betfair Turning Point “Betfair was a complete game changer. Once you could automate bets, everything changed.”Models Must Adapt “Early on I trusted the model completely. Later I learned you have to adjust to the market.”Why Accumulators Make Sense “If you want to survive with soft bookmakers today, you have to bet where they expect to make money, and that often means accumulators.”Where Did The Money Go “We have a situation now where the regulated betting market is shrinking and that money has gone somewhere.”Culture Change First “The only way we go back to a healthier market is a culture shift. It cannot be the operator’s job to decide what someone can or cannot afford to gamble.”Punishing The Majority “It feels like we are punishing the whole population to protect a minority, without measuring whether harm is actually being reduced.”Adapt, Do Not Exit “I would not tell people to leave the UK. There are still opportunities, but you have to adapt.”

    47분
  5. 2025. 12. 19.

    Inside a Modern Bookmaker, Restrictions, Tax, Compliance & More With Anthony Kaminskas

    In Episode 97 of the Smart Betting Club Podcast, I am joined for the third time by Anthony Kaminskas, founder of AKBets and a former professional punter turned bookmaker. Nearly three years on from the launch of AKBets, this conversation takes stock of how the business has grown, how the betting industry has shifted, and why life as a modern bookmaker is far tougher than most punters realise - including a healthy discussion on betting restrictions. AK speaks candidly about operating under UK regulation, handling restrictions, managing compliance risk, and absorbing rising costs at every level of the business. He also lifts the lid on the real economics of running a sportsbook, sharing hard numbers on payroll, data feeds, duties, levies, payment processing and platform fees. This is not a marketing interview. It is an honest look at why betting markets look the way they do, why margins are tightening, and why both punters and bookmakers are being squeezed by the same pressures. Topics covered include • The early chaos of launching AKBets just before Cheltenham and surviving the first year  • Growing from a one man operation to a licensed bookmaker with close to 30 staff  • Why compliance now outweighs trading as the biggest business risk and team  • How and why bookmakers limit or restrict certain betting patterns  • The reality behind social media narratives around account closures  • The impact of rising UK betting and casino duties on prices and offers  • Why higher taxation almost always leads to worse odds for customers • The true monthly cost of running a UK sportsbook  • Why horse racing is becoming harder and harder to offer sustainably  • The growing risk of black market operators as regulation tightens  • Whether the future still holds opportunity for sharp bettors  • Why professional gambling skills transfer well outside betting If you want to understand how bookmakers actually think, why markets behave the way they do, and where the pressure points now sit in UK betting, this is essential listening. Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions AKBetsSmart Betting Club

    58분
  6. 2025. 12. 09.

    Inside the Mind of a Live Betting Pro with Andrew Pace of inplayLIVE

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Andrew Pace, founder of inplayLIVE, a live betting platform built around real time wagering and repeatable edges. Andrew shares his journey from early losing punter to profitable live bettor, then into building one of the most active live betting communities around today. Andrew explains how watching games in real time revealed repeatable pricing errors, why mindset is the foundation of long term success, how his field goal strategy kickstarted six figure profits, and why tracking and data now shape everything he does. He also gives a candid look at the realities of getting on, dealing with limits and non payments, and why offshore and crypto books are both a risk and a necessity at scale. The conversation also covers the evolution of inplayLIVE, the role of its education system, how the community compounds edges, and the adjustments needed as markets shift and tighten.  For those wanting to learn more about inplayLive, you can read a full independent review and take advantage of a 25% saving on both the Light and Pro packages (the latter worth over £450) in Issue 158 of the Smart Betting Club magazine. Key Talking Points Andrew’s transformation: From gambling on instinct to building a structured live betting approach that actually winsThe lightbulb moment: How spotting repeatable patterns during games led to his first major edgeField goals to full markets: The simple live angle that grew into hundreds of 1000's in profitWhy watching games beats models: Real time information, fast reactions, and knowing when prices are wrongDiscipline over bravado: How mindset, loss management and volume control separate winners from the restThe power of community: Members uncovering edges that became more profitable than Andrew’s own playsInside the live stream setup: Why fast feeds matter and how to avoid being picked off by delaysGetting on and staying on: Over 500 hundred account closures, six figure non payments, and how he still navigates today’s booksRisk and reward offshore: What he looks for before trusting a new crypto or grey market bookmakerMarket evolution: Why edges shift, how corrections happen, and the process Andrew uses to find what comes nextEducation first: How the inplayLive masterclass became the backbone of their entire systemBetting as a vocation: Why Andrew would still watch every game even without money on the lineKey Quotes  On getting started live betting... "My first parlay won, and the next day I was on Craigslist buying TVs so I could watch every game.” On learning where the edges lay... “I watched everything with the sportsbook open, and I started to notice patterns. That’s when things changed.” On the psychological battles bettors face... “The biggest edge in betting long term is always mindset.” On the inplayLIVE community... “We’ve had members find edges that became more profitable than anything I’d been betting before.” On not getting paid by bookies... “I’ve been cut off from well over 500 sportsbooks and stiffed for more than $400,000 dollars.” Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions inplayLIVE website  Recent SBC magazine feature (Issue 158) reviewing inplayLIVE Listen to the inplayLIVE podcast 'Behind The Lines'

    51분
  7. 2025. 11. 10.

    Real Edges, Real Profits: The Sharp Betting Method with David Hipkin

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Sharp Betting co-founder David Hipkin, who started out as a boxing trader before pivoting into professional betting, using the same data-led methods that would later form the basis of Sharp Betting to generate over £200,000 in profit from soft bookmakers alone. David shares his journey from early days in spread betting alongside the likes of Mike Tyson and Lennox Lewis, to betting with AI edge models and the launch of the Sharp Betting platform in 2024. You’ll learn real-world strategies to beat the bookmakers, insights into how to operate like a sharp bettor and what it really takes to escape the limitation trap most punters find themselves in. We also explore Sharp Betting’s curated tools and member community, including the explosive growth of David’s Daily - a free Telegram tipping feed showing 12.54% ROI from more than 2,600 bets. And if you're an SBC member, you can currently secure a full 12 months of Sharp Betting Premium for just £150 - saving £78 compared to the regular price (offer valid until 30 November 2025). Key Talking Points David’s origin story: From betting with family at the Grand National to trading Vegas title fightsTurning data into money: How "Frog the Gambler" evolved into Sharp Betting’s global football modelWhy sharp betting isn’t about staking big - it’s about winning small, consistentlyGrabbing value quietly: How multiples (accas, Yankees, Lucky 15s) act as camouflage for sharp bettors“If it works, why sell it?” - The real answer behind productising a winning betting modelVariance vs edge erosion: How to spot the difference and stay profitableDealing with restrictions: Camouflage tactics, priming accounts, and making yourself look like a mugWhy betting exchanges don't suit every model - Sharp Betting’s experience on BetfairCommunity impact: Why helping everyday bettors build £1–3K banks is as rewarding as six-figure winsSharp Betting Highlight: David’s Daily (Free) -  2,600 bets logged and verified at 12.54% ROILive Model Access (Premium) - Bet alongside the data in real-time on soft booksCurrent SBC member offer: £150 off a 12-month subscription (until 30 Nov, 2025)Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions Sharp Betting website  Recent SBC magazine feature (Issue 157) profiling Sharp BettingFollow Sharp Betting on X (Twitter)  Follow David on X (Twitter)

    52분
  8. 2025. 10. 14.

    How Elite Bettors Master the Mental Game With Elliot Roe & Samm Hunter

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Elliot Roe and Samm Hunter, two leading performance and mindset coaches who specialise in helping elite performers from poker champions and traders to professional bettors reach their potential. Fresh from their Bet Bash 2025 seminar “From Emotion to Execution: The Champion’s Mindset for Sports Betting”, Elliot and Samm break down what separates consistent winners from those trapped by emotion, ego, and poor habits. Together, they unpack how to build emotional regulation, discipline, and resilience in a world driven by variance and risk. This is one of those episodes that will make you rethink how you approach betting, pressure, and performance both on and off the computer screen.   In This Episode Why emotional control and self-awareness are key to long-term betting successThe difference between being the casino and being the gamblerTools to reset your mindset after wins or lossesHow subconscious beliefs about money, self-worth, and luck impact performanceWhy lifestyle habits, sleep, exercise, and relationships directly affect betting resultsHow to identify and stop destructive patterns like chasing losses or over-staking after a winPractical exercises to improve focus, resilience, and emotional recoveryKey Quotes “You need to see yourself as the casino, not the gambler. The casino doesn’t care about one spin, it cares about the long-term results.” - Elliot Roe “Our subconscious beliefs around money, worth, and success shape everything - even how we bet.” - Samm Hunter “Most bettors aren’t aware how much edge they give away through emotion. Tracking those moments is the first step to real improvement.” - Elliot Roe About the Guests Elliot Roe is a mindset and performance coach who has worked with world champions, elite athletes, and top-level traders. He is also the creator of the Primed Mind app elliotroe.com/success-storiesSamm Hunter is a performance and transformation coach helping individuals break through subconscious barriers to unlock their potential primedmind.com/sammhunterDownload the Primed Mind app at www.primedmind.comApply for a coaching consultation: https://elliotroe.pro.typeform.com/to/rl0svgYSSupport The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150

    35분

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소개

Exploring the world of profitable betting and what it takes to generate a long-term edge gambling. Through this series of podcasts, join Pete from the Smart Betting Club as he interviews professional punters and expert tipsters on how they make a profit betting and what lessons we can take from them for our own betting journey.Expect to learn about the strategies or methods they employ to win, the markets they focus on, bookmakers or exchanges they use and much more besides.

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