Stock Market Updates

HDFC Securities

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  1. 4d ago

    Opening Bell - 06 / 07 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Soft Jobs Data Fuels Markets Rally Ahead of Quarterly Earnings Season US markets ended the week of July 3 with gains after a softer-than-expected US jobs print and cooler rate-hike expectations, led by cyclical and communication services while defensives underperformed. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed last week as investors priced in a slower Fed rate-hiking path after US jobs data, with stocks set for their best weekly performance since May. Markets are recalibrating rate expectations after Fed funds futures indicated roughly even odds of a rate hike by September, though June's weaker-than-expected jobs report tempered immediate fears. S&P 500 companies are collectively expected to report Q2 earnings growth of over 24%, with earnings season kicking off this week as a key catalyst for equities. Indian equities ended the week of 3 July on a constructive note, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex both closing higher and benchmarks supported by softer crude, improved global cues, and a rebound in IT. A key tailwind was the decline in crude oil prices, which eased inflation and import bill concerns for India. The other major support came from improving global risk appetite, expectations of a more accommodative US rate path, and a better tone around the India-Japan Summit. The upcoming quarterly results season will be closely watched for signs of demand recovery, margin resilience, and management commentary on second-half growth. Markets are likely to react more to guidance and earnings quality than to headline numbers. In the near term, the bias remains positive as long as the Nifty holds above the 24,000 zone, with 24,400–24,600 likely to act as resistance if momentum continues. Indian markets are set to open on muted note amid cautious global cues.

    2 min
  2. Jun 30

    Opening Bell - 30 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Dow Crosses 52,000 as Tech Rebounds U.S. equity markets saw a significant recovery yesterday, with the Nasdaq Composite climbing over 2% to break a five-day decline. The S&P 500 rose more than 1%, while the Dow Jones crossed the 52,000 threshold for the first time in its history. This broad rally was largely fueled by a resurgence in technology and artificial intelligence stocks following a volatile period of selling. Alphabet officially debuted as a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average this week, replacing Verizon in the blue-chip index. The stock's inclusion helped propel the Dow to record highs amid a broader rally in mega-cap technology names. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% during its June 2026 meeting, but officials signalled a more aggressive stance for the remainder of the year. Updated projections show that a majority of policymakers now anticipate additional rate hikes rather than cuts due to persistent inflation concerns. This hawkish shift follows the first meeting under new Chairman Kevin Warsh, whose leadership has seen a removal of previous language hinting at future policy easing. Asian markets opened higher today, tracking gains on Wall Street overnight. Last night in US, all three major indices closed on the higher end after a pause in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran lifted sentiment. India's industrial activity gathered pace, with industrial output growth accelerating to a five-month high of 5.1% YoY in May from 4.9% YoY in April. The improvement was led by the electricity and gas segment, which expanded 9.9%, compared with 4.6% in the previous month The Union Cabinet approved an additional ₹30,000 crore investment in the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF), doubling the Centre's total commitment to ₹60,000 crore. The fresh capital will be deployed towards launching NIIF Infrastructure Fund II. The rupee began the week on a weaker note, depreciating by 14 paise. The decline was driven by month-end dollar demand, elevated crude oil prices, and a risk-off sentiment amid rising geopolitical uncertainties. The gains from the previous two sessions were reversed yesterday, the first day of the week, as the Nifty fell 109 points to close at 23,946. Nifty remains supported by the near-term averages clustered near the 23,800 level, while the recent swing low at 23,789 offers an additional near-term floor. On the upside, the key resistance remains at the swing high of 24,261; a decisive breakout above this level would restore the near-term bullish bias. Indian markets are set to open on a mildly positive note amid encouraging global cues.

    3 min
  3. Jun 12

    Opening Bell - 12 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Hopes of IRAN-US Breakthrough Bouy Global Markets Indian markets posed to open on a constructive note, buoyed by progress on U.S. – Iran agreement U.S. equities rallied sharply on Thursday, led by a strong rebound in semiconductor stocks, after President Donald Trump announced the suspension of planned strikes on Iran and signalled that a deal with Tehran is nearing completion. Trump yesterday stated that the U.S. is close to finalizing an agreement ensuring Iran will not develop nuclear weapons, adding that the deal is in its final stages and expected to be signed soon. The S&P 500 advanced 1.75% to close at 7,394.30, while the Nasdaq Composite surged 2.54% to 25,809.66. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 929.97 points, or 1.86%, to settle at 50,848.75. A rebound in Micron Technology, Advanced Micro Devices and Intel provided momentum to the market. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) gained more than 8%. On the macro front, the U.S. Producer Price Index rose 1.1% in May, exceeding expectations of 0.7%. However, core PPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 0.4%, slightly below estimates of 0.5%. Crude oil prices declined sharply, with WTI falling toward $86 per barrel, its lowest level since April, following easing geopolitical tensions. Treasuries rallied on Thursday, sending yields lower across the board, as oil dropped. Gold extended its climb to over $4,210 an ounce. The dollar was a touch stronger against all its Group-of-10 peers. Asian markets opened firmly higher, tracking the strong rally on Wall Street amid optimism surrounding the potential U.S.–Iran agreement. Back home, Indian benchmark indices witnessed another volatile session. The Nifty ended 53 points lower at 23,161. After opening with a gap-down of 110 points on weak global cues, the index staged a sharp intraday recovery of over 250 points. However, selling pressure in the latter half erased gains, dragging the index down more than 230 points from the intraday high of 23,327. Broader markets continued to underperform for the second consecutive session, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 declining by 0.81% and 0.67%, respectively. After two sessions of gains, the Indian Rupee depreciated by 50 paise yesterday, pressured by rising Middle East tensions, fresh dollar demand due to forward maturities, and a rebound in the dollar index driven by safe-haven flows. Technically, Nifty found support near the previous swing low of 23,070 and attempted a recovery. This price action indicates the potential formation of a double bottom pattern on the daily chart, highlighting the significance of the 23,070 support level. For further upside, a decisive breakout above 23,425 is crucial. A sustained move above this level could trigger a pullback rally toward the next resistance at 23,700. Indian markets are set to open higher on conducive global cues.

    3 min
  4. Jun 11

    Opening Bell - 11 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary U.S. stocks Fell Sharply as President Trump Threatens more Iran attacks U.S. stocks tumbled sharply on Wednesday after President Donald Trump warned that talks with Iran were “taking too long” and threatened further action. The Dow plunged 953.33 points (1.87%) to 49,918.78, the S&P 500 slipped 1.62% to 7,266.99, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.98% to 25,169.50. Semiconductor names again led the weakness. Micron Technology, Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom all declined, marking their fourth down day in five sessions. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) dropped more than 3%. Some traders attribute selling in chip names to position adjustments ahead of Friday’s SpaceX IPO, with retail investors freeing up capital for what could be the largest IPO ever. On the macro front, May’s core consumer price index (ex-food and energy) was a bit lower than expected at 0.2% month-on-month versus a 0.3% consensus. Year-on-year core CPI held at 2.9%, matching estimates but still above the Fed’s 2% target. Headline inflation, which includes all items, climbed above 4% for the first time in three years. In commodities, gold plunged over 4% amid a stronger dollar and equity weakness, while oil rallied after fresh U.S. strikes on Iran stoked fears of prolonged supply disruptions. Brent August futures gained nearly 2% to about $95 a barrel. Asian markets opened lower, dragged by the Wall Street selloff and rising crude, with renewed U.S.-Iran tensions adding to risk-off sentiment. Coming to our markets, Indian benchmark indices witnessed another volatile session yesterday, with the Nifty closing 27 points lower at 23,214. After a muted start the index rallied more than 200 points from early lows in the first half, but a sharp reversal in the second half erased gains. The broader markets faced significant selling pressure, with the Microcap 250, Smallcap 100, and Midcap 100 all forming bearish engulfing patterns on the daily charts. After Monday’s outperformance, these indices lagged the benchmark yesterday, as the Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 fell 1.49% and 1.33%, respectively. Market breadth weakened considerably, with the BSE advance-decline ratio sliding to 0.54. Technically, Nifty remains in a downtrend, trading below all key moving averages. A decisive close below 23,000 could trigger further downside towards the 22,700–22,800 support zone, while 23,515 is expected to act as immediate resistance on any pullback. Indian markets are expected to open lower on the back of weak global cues

    3 min
  5. Jun 10

    Opening Bell - 10 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary U.S. stocks ended mixed but recover from deep losses amid renewed US-Iran tensions U.S. equities ended mixed on Tuesday, recovering from steep intraday losses amid heightened geopolitical tensions after President Donald Trump warned of retaliation following an Iranian attack that shot down an American helicopter. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% to close at 7,385.48, recovering from an intraday decline of as much as 2.3%. The index recorded a sharp 3.4% bottom-to-top reversal—its second largest since April 2025, when the Trump administration paused additional tariffs, according to Bloomberg data. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1% to 25,678.82, trimming a steeper fall of 3.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.1% to 50,870.94 after reversing losses of up to 1.1%. Sentiment weakened after initial hopes of Middle East de-escalation faded, with Trump confirming that Iran had shot down a U.S. helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz. In commodities, gold and silver dropped to two-month lows amid rising rate expectations and geopolitical developments. Brent crude rebounded 1% today to $92.50 per barrel after briefly slipping below $90 yesterday. Asian markets trading lower today, tracking geopolitical concerns and a selloff in technology stocks. On the domestic front, The Indian rupee appreciated by 36 paise yesterday to close at 95.35 against the dollar, supported by a risk-on sentiment driven by a weaker US dollar and softer crude oil prices amid easing geopolitical concerns. Additionally, renewed inflows into the debt market, following recent RBI measures, lent further support to the currency. Indian markets rebounded strongly yesterday after sharp fall on the Monday. The Nifty 50 gained 119 points and ended near day high to close at 23243. Broader markets outperformed, with midcap and smallcap indices posting gains, supported by strong market breadth. Technically, Nifty managed to hold above the previous session’s low of 23,070, which is a constructive sign indicating buying interest at lower levels. However, the current rebound is not sufficient to confirm a trend reversal. A decisive move above 23,516 is required to negate the prevailing downtrend. On the downside, the 23,000–23,100 zone remains a key support. A break below 23,000 could accelerate declines toward the 22,700–22,800 zone. Indian markets are expected to open mildly lower, tracking weak Asian cues, while midcap and smallcap stocks are likely to continue their outperformance.

    3 min
  6. Jun 8

    Opening Bell - 08 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary A Trillion-Dollar Selloff Wall Street experienced a significant downturn as the tech-heavy Nasdaq plunged 4.18%, marking its steepest single-day decline since early 2025. This selloff was primarily driven by heavy losses in the semiconductor industry, with major players like Nvidia and Micron seeing sharp drops following a robust May jobs report that increased the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Friday's market rout erased $1.4 trillion in S&P 500 value, triggered by Broadcom's disappointing AI revenue guidance and a strong May jobs report that reignited fears of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. SpaceX plans to raise at least $75 billion by selling over 555 million shares at $135 apiece, setting a valuation of over $1.75 trillion in what would be one of the largest IPOs in history. Demand for SpaceX shares has triggered significant selling across other equities as retail and institutional buyers raise cash. The 2-year Treasury yield reached 4.17%, its highest level since February 2025, while the 10-year yield rose to approximately 4.55% as investors reacted to a hot labor market report. This surge reflects growing market consensus that persistent inflation and economic resilience may force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish monetary stance through the remainder of the year. Asian markets tumbled sharply on Monday, with South Korea's chip-heavy KOSPI dropping 8% and triggering a 20-minute trading halt before recovering intraday to 4.5% losees, while Japan's Nikkei fell 3.5% in today's trade. Global oil prices climbed on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, with Brent crude trading near $96 per barrel as missile exchanges threatened to unravel a fragile ceasefire and stoke supply disruptions. Prices surged further after Iran launched multiple missile waves at Israel following renewed Israeli airstrikes on Beirut. OPEC+ on Sunday agreed to lift output targets by 188,000 bpd from July — its fourth straight monthly increase — but the move is largely symbolic. Gulf state export restrictions have gutted actual production, with April output collapsing to 33.19 million bpd from 42.77 million bpd in February. India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q4 FY26 (January-March 2026), beating expectations. The full-year FY26 growth came in at 7.7%, up from 7.1% in FY25 and slightly above the government's earlier forecast of 7.6%. Growth was driven by strong manufacturing, services, consumption, and investment, though agriculture slowed. The RBI has since cut its FY27 growth forecast from 6.9% to 6.6%, citing geopolitical tensions and monsoon uncertainties. The RBI's MPC announced on Friday that the repo rate will remain unchanged at 5.25% for the third consecutive meeting, maintaining the "neutral" policy stance. The committee raised India's CPI inflation projection for FY27 to 5.1% from 4.6%, while lowering the FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.6% from 6.9%, amid concerns over the Middle East conflict and rising crude oil prices. The Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) rate continues at 5%, with MSF rate and Bank Rate unchanged at 5.5%, ensuring liquidity management remains aligned with the monetary framework. The MPC voted unanimously for the status quo on rates, citing the weakening rupee, geopolitical risks to economic growth, and the need to monitor inflation dynamics more closely before considering any further rate adjustments. Governor Sanjay Malhotra emphasised India's resilience against global economic shocks while maintaining confidence in price stability and supporting sustainable growth in the coming quarters. Nifty has been consolidating in a narrow range, indicating a lower-range consolidation. The index remains below key moving averages, maintaining a bearish bias. Near-term support lies in the 23,000-23,100 band, while immediate resistance is placed at 23,557. Indian markets are poised to open sharply lower on the back of weak global cues.

    3 min
  7. Jun 3

    Opening Bell - 03 / 06 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Markets Navigate AI Optimism and Middle East Tensions, Global AI Rally Lifts Nifty IT Major U.S. stock indexes - the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq — notched record highs for a fifth consecutive session, marking the longest such streak since 2017, driven by sustained investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence infrastructure and semiconductors. The S&P 500 edged up 0.13% to close at 7,609.78, extending its longest winning streak in over a year. The Nasdaq Composite advanced modestly in tandem, lifted by chipmaker outperformance and persistent appetite for AI-driven growth — even as geopolitical tensions exerted a countervailing drag. Alphabet fell nearly 4% after announcing plans to raise $80 billion through equity issuance to fund its AI buildout, which targets up to $190 billion in capital expenditures for 2026. The raise includes a $10 billion commitment from Berkshire Hathaway. Infrastructure optimism fueled broad gains across the semiconductor sector: Texas Instruments rose 4%, Broadcom rose 5.2%, Monolithic Power rose 5.36%, and Microchip rose 5.94%. Texas Instruments stands out as the year-to-date leader in the space — up 76% versus Nvidia's 19% — powered by a 90% year-over-year surge in data center revenue in Q1. Marvell Technology surged over 30% after Nvidia's CEO suggested the company could become the next trillion-dollar chipmaker. Hewlett Packard Enterprise gained 19% following strong earnings and an acceleration of its long-term financial targets, underpinned by robust demand for AI servers. U.S. Central Command confirmed Tuesday that it intercepted multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones and launched defensive strikes in response to what it described as attempted attacks — the latest exchange threatening an already fragile regional ceasefire. Bitcoin tumbled more than 5%, falling through the $70,000 and $68,000 support levels to its lowest price since April. The sell-off was triggered by Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) disclosing an unusual bitcoin sale, which cascaded into broader weakness across digital assets, including Ethereum and Solana. Oil prices continued to climb as Iranian missile activity and contradictory signals from U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks sustained a geopolitical risk premium in energy markets. Uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz, compounded by declining U.S. crude inventories, reinforced supply-tightening concerns. Asia-Pacific markets opened broadly higher today, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 hitting a record high, as investors appeared to look past uncertainty over U.S.-Iran negotiations aimed at ending the Middle East conflict. The rupee began the month on a subdued note but weakened as the session progressed, pressured by rising crude oil prices, geopolitical concerns, and persistent foreign capital outflows. After opening lower, the currency continued to decline and settled near its intraday low, reflecting sustained dollar demand from importers. Nifty snapped its four-day losing streak, gaining 100 points to close at 23,483 yesterday. The Nifty IT index surged over 4%, marking its largest single-day rally of the year. Nifty briefly breached the swing low of 23,262 but managed to hold above the lower band of the April 8 upward gap at 23,153. The index also sustained above the key support level of 23,106. Yesterday's low of 23229 now serves as an important support. A decisive trend reversal would require a close above 23,800. Indian markets are poised to open subdued on higher crude oil prices.

    3 min

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Stay updated with the latest happenings in the world of stock markets with our expert analysts

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