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HDFC Securities

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  1. 1D AGO

    Opening Bell - 24 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Crude Oil Spikes to $106 on Hormuz Blockade Woes US stocks closed lower on Thursday, retreating from recent record highs as investors weighed mixed quarterly earnings, fading hopes for a swift diplomatic resolution in Iran, and inflationary pressures. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all declined, with tech shares underperforming and defensive sectors gaining. The Nasdaq Composite led the declines, down 0.89%, while the S&P 500 and the Dow fell approximately 0.4% each. Market sentiment was dampened by disappointing quarterly results and tempered guidance from key industry players, including ServiceNow and IBM. The retreat followed stalled US-Iran peace negotiations, even as 81% of the 87 S&P 500 companies reporting so far beat earnings estimates. Sentiment improved on Thursday evening, as investors reacted to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension. Intel shares surged more than 20% in extended trading after the chipmaker reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings. The upbeat performance was driven by robust demand for data centre processors and artificial intelligence-related workloads, which have become a key growth driver for the company. Uncertainty surrounding the ongoing conflict with Iran and a continued naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent crude oil prices toward $106 per barrel. These rising energy costs have fueled inflationary concerns, leading to higher U.S. Treasury yields across maturities. The benchmark 10-year yield recently traded near 4.3% as investors assessed the potential for sustained high interest rates. Recent economic data indicate a cooling labour market, with weekly jobless claims climbing to 214,000, exceeding previous expectations. Many firms are reportedly holding headcounts steady or only hiring to replace departing workers, a shift from the aggressive hiring seen in prior periods. This trend, combined with sticky inflation, is complicating the Federal Reserve's path for future interest rate decisions. Driven by surging hedging demand and a flight to safe-haven assets, the Indian rupee weakened for a fourth straight day, depreciating 32 paise against the dollar to hit its lowest level this April. Nifty has now entered the gap zone between 24,145 and 23,907, formed on 15 April 2026, which may act as short-term support. On the upside, 24,310 and 24,600 are likely to act as resistance levels. Indian markets are likely to open marginally higher amid strong NASDAQ futures cues.

    3 min
  2. 2D AGO

    Opening Bell - 23 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary US markets surge on geopolitical relief President Trump's indefinite extension of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, which eased geopolitical fears and lifted sentiment alongside strong earnings and AI-driven tech optimism. U.S. equities rallied sharply, with the S&P 500 up 1% and the Nasdaq up 1.6%, both closing at all-time highs. The ceasefire provided only partial relief. Iran rejected further talks, its navy seized two container ships in the Strait of Hormuz, and VP Vance reportedly paused a diplomatic trip after Tehran refused to participate. Alphabet's new AI chips and partnerships anchored a broad semiconductor rally. Tesla beat Q1 earnings but missed revenue estimates; shares fell ~2% after hours after Musk warned of substantially higher capex and confirmed HW3.0 lacks full autonomy. IBM and ServiceNow dropped 6% and 13% on weak results; UnitedHealth beat estimates and supported broader sentiment. The 10-year yield rose to ~4.31% and the 2-year to 3.80% after stronger-than-expected March retail sales reinforced expectations of no Fed rate cuts this year. Asia-Pacific Markets are trading mixed, tracking Wall Street futures. Indian indices experienced a significant downturn as the Nifty fell 0.81% to close at 24,378. The decline was primarily driven by intense selling in the IT sector following disappointing quarterly earnings and cautious growth forecasts from heavyweights like HCL Technologies. The rupee extended its three-day slide, depreciating 30 paise amid surging crude prices and West Asia peace deal uncertainties, Nifty ended its three-session winning streak by falling 198 points to close at 24378. Next support lies at 24,000, while resistance remains between 24,600 and 24,820. Indian markets are likely to open lower amid muted global cues.

    2 min
  3. 2D AGO

    Opening Bell - 22 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Late-session news of a ceasefire extension lifted US futures after the close. US futures surged 0.5% after President Donald Trump extended the U.S. ceasefire with Iran, saying the extension was warranted due to Tehran’s government being “seriously fractured.” Trump said the ceasefire would continue “until such time as” Iran’s leaders and representatives submit a “unified proposal” to end the war with the U.S. and Israel. Earlier in the regular session, US markets extended losses, with all three benchmarks closing down roughly 0.6% after key diplomatic talks in Pakistan were delayed. The Nasdaq briefly touched a fresh all-time high intraday before fading as peace-deal optimism evaporated. Oil briefly rose before turning lower as investors weighed whether US–Iran negotiations could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude, hovering near $98/barrel, pared further gains on ceasefire extension hopes. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed to 4.29% after a government report showed U.S. retail sales rose 1.7% in March, surpassing economists' expectations. This robust consumer spending data suggests continued economic resilience despite recent geopolitical tensions and high oil prices. Investors analysed Senate confirmation hearings for Kevin Warsh, who is being considered to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair. First-quarter earnings were mixed. Halliburton posted net income of $461 million despite disruptions in the Middle East. Adobe surged in extended trading after announcing a $25 billion buyback. United Airlines delivered a profitable quarter despite higher fuel costs and geopolitical pressure on international routes. UnitedHealth Group jumped 7% after beating earnings estimates and raising its full-year outlook. GE Aerospace and RTX bucked the trend, declining despite their own quarterly beats. A heavy earnings slate on April 22 — Tesla, Boeing, IBM, Texas Instruments, ServiceNow, Southwest Airlines, AT&T, and GE Vernova — will offer investors a broader read on corporate health amid persistent geopolitical uncertainty. Asian equities opened with a mixed note amid an overnight surge in energy prices and a lack of supportive cues from the global peers. Back home, HCL Tech and Tata Elxsi Q4 results were lower vs expectations, while PNB Housing Finance beat expectations handsomely, and Persistent Systems delivered another resilient quarter. SBI Life Insurance Company, Tech Mahindra, Trent, Bharat Coking Coal, Delta Corp, Havells India, L&T Technology Services, Maharashtra Scooters, Oracle Financial Services Software, Sangam India, and Tata Communications will announce their quarterly earnings on April 22. Nifty extended its winning streak to three sessions yesterday, climbing 211 points to close at 24,576. The rupee weakened for the second consecutive day, depreciating by 37 paise amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Despite buoyant domestic equities and steady FII inflows, it buckled under a strong US dollar and jittery global oil prices. The index has now rallied nearly 11% from the recent swing lows. On the downside, support has shifted higher to the 24,200 level, which can serve as a stop-loss for existing long positions. Indian markets are likely to open marginally lower amid muted global cues.

    3 min
  4. APR 16

    Opening Bell - 16 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Trump signals Iran conflict "close to over" Global markets rallied as optimism grew that Washington and Tehran were moving toward a framework agreement — easing fears of prolonged energy supply disruptions and helping broad markets recoup losses from the recent conflict. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at fresh all-time highs, with the S&P 500 breaching 7000 for the first time. The Nasdaq surged approximately 1.6% to a record finish, led by technology and software stocks. The Dow slipped modestly on Wednesday. Energy stocks lead year-to-date gains on elevated oil prices, even as crude began to ease on hopes of de-escalating Middle East tensions. First-quarter earnings from Bank of America and Morgan Stanley topped expectations, propelled by strong equity trading revenues. Executives at both firms pointed to continued U.S. consumer resilience — a constructive signal as the 2026 earnings season gets underway. Asian equity indices opened in the green zone for the third consecutive session on the supportive global cues. Indian equity benchmarks rallied on Wednesday, on positive global cues, as optimism grew over a diplomatic solution to the Middle East conflict. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) emerged as net buyers on April 15 , purchasing equities worth Rs 666 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) turned net sellers, offloading equities worth Rs 568 crore. The index opened sharply higher yesterday, fuelled by robust global cues and falling crude prices and closed at 24231, up 388 points. From the recent swing low of 22182, Nifty has now rallied nearly 2,100 points, or 9.45%, to 24,280 in just eight trading sessions. Near-term support has now shifted higher to around 24000, while the 24570 may act as the immediate resistance level. Indian markets are set to open around 0.5% higher, buoyed by hopes of the resumption in US–Iran negotiations.

    3 min
  5. APR 15

    Opening Bell - 15 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Hopes of resumption of US–Iran negotiations buoy the markets US President Trump signalled a second round of U.S.-Iran talks within two days, potentially to be hosted by Pakistan, to ease tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude plunged to $95 as supply disruption fears faded, while spot gold climbed above $4,800/oz on a softer dollar and risk-on sentiment post-cooler U.S. inflation data. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 2% to finish its tenth consecutive positive session, the longest stretch of gains for the index since 2021. This rally has successfully pushed the index back into positive territory for the year 2026 after recovering from earlier geopolitical shocks. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.25% as the March producer price index rose only 0.5%, well below the 1.1% consensus estimate. Cooler inflation data, combined with a retreat in oil prices, has increased market expectations for a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Asian indices opened higher for a second day on optimism about U.S.-Iran talks. On Monday, Nifty was weighed down by souring global sentiment and a spike in crude oil prices, closing 230 points lower at 23,842. It opened 460 points lower after a breakdown in US-Iran talks, but buyers stepped in at lower levels. Nifty took support at the 20-day EMA and recovered more than 300 points from the low, ending near the high, suggesting strength. The short-term trend of the Nifty remains strong, and the swing low at 23,555 is likely to act as a strong support going forward, while the 24300-24500 band poses near-term resistance. As the quarterly results season picks up, stocks will respond to earnings performance relative to expectations. Indian markets are set to open around 1.5% higher, buoyed by the hopes of resumption in US–Iran negotiations.

    3 min
  6. APR 10

    Opening Bell - 10 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary S&P 500 notched its longest winning streak since October Major U.S. stock indexes rose as investors reacted positively to a fragile two-week ceasefire and reports of direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon. The S&P 500 closed above the key 6,800 psychological level, while the Dow Jones turned positive for the 2026 calendar year. The Nasdaq outperformed other major benchmarks, driven by significant gains in mega-cap technology firms. Amazon shares climbed over 5% following internal AI chip developments, while Intel and Alphabet rallied on news of an expanded semiconductor partnership for Google Cloud infrastructure. Futures edged slightly lower overnight as the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, and diplomatic talks remained fragile heading into Friday. Asian equity indices opened higher and are expected to consolidate at higher levels ahead of important talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding the recent geopolitical situation. TCS reported USD revenue growth of 1.2% QoQ CC, which was in line with estimates, and the margins expanded by 10bps QoQ to reach 25.3% (best in the last eight quarters). TCS indicated better growth visibility for FY27E, bolstered by healthy deal wins, improving outlook, and strategic investments made over the last two quarters. The growth confidence is led by an improved vertical outlook where BFSI is prioritising data transformation and scaled GenAI, Consumer Business is gaining market share through large-scale renewals, Manufacturing is focusing on supply chain modernisation, and CMI is showing signs of a rebound in IT spending. The rupee's five-session rally stalled yesterday, shedding 8 paise to end at 92.66, alongside weakening Asian peers, pressured by higher crude prices and relentless FII outflows. Nifty surrendered some gains yesterday amid dented hopes for a ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict and fresh inflationary worries. Nifty ended the day with a loss of 222 points, closing at 23,775. Immediate support is seen around 23,500, while immediate resistance is placed at 24,000 and 24,200 on any rebound attempt. Indian markets are poised to open marginally higher on positive global cues.

    2 min
  7. APR 8

    Opening Bell - 08 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary US and Iran agree to 2-week ceasefire President Trump announced a two-week suspension of military strikes against Iran just hours before his 8 p.m. ET Tuesday deadline, following last-minute Pakistani diplomatic efforts. Iran agreed to allow safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz during the ceasefire, triggering sweeping market moves across oil, equities, currencies, and crypto. WTI Crude Oil tumbled as much as 17% to below $100 per barrel following the ceasefire announcement. Oil had surged above $115 earlier in the session after reports of strikes on Iran's Kharg Island — the hub of roughly 90% of Iran's oil exports — before the diplomatic breakthrough reversed the move. After a muted regular session where the S&P 500 eked out a 0.1% gain, and the Dow fell 0.2%, futures exploded higher post-ceasefire announcement. S&P 500 futures jumped 2.2% to 6,804, Nasdaq futures rallied 2.7%, and Dow futures surged 2%, as investors priced in hopes of a durable peace deal and resumption of Gulf oil flows. Spot gold climbed 2.5% to $4,821 per ounce, its highest level since March 19, as the weaker dollar made bullion cheaper for foreign holders. Silver surged 4.7% to $77 per ounce, while platinum gained 2.5%, with all three precious metals benefiting from the risk-on shift and dollar softness following the ceasefire. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee wraps up its meeting today and will announce its decision at 10:00 AM. The market expects the RBI's MPC to maintain the repo rate at 5.25%. A neutral stance is likely to persist, balancing global risks such as tensions in West Asia with domestic liquidity support, and avoiding further cuts unless growth falters. The Nifty rose 155 points yesterday to close at 23,123, marking its fourth consecutive gain. The Indian rupee extended its four-session winning run, gaining 5 paise to 93.01, fueled by lower crude prices, domestic equity recovery, and RBI-driven unwinding of bank arbitrage positions. Nifty has closed above its 10-day EMA for the first time since the U.S.-Iran-Israel War erupted, also topping last week's high. The short-term trend has reversed, with resistance near 23,800-24000 and support at yesterday's low of 22,719. Indian markets are poised for a strong surge at the open following the announcement of a ceasefire in Iran, easing geopolitical tensions and boosting investors' risk appetite.

    3 min
  8. APR 7

    Opening Bell - 07 / 04 / 2026

    Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Markets Brace as Trump's Iran Ultimatum Nears Global markets are on high alert as a critical geopolitical deadline approaches. Investors are focused on President Donald Trump’s 8:00 PM ET (6:30 AM IST, Wednesday) ultimatum for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with threats of military escalation if a deal is not reached. WTI Crude Oil climbed to $115 as President Trump reaffirmed his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, threatening strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges. The Strait, which handles roughly one-fifth of global oil flows, has remained disrupted since the conflict began on February 28, driving crude prices up approximately 90% year-to-date. Iran dismissed a U.S.-backed 45-day ceasefire proposal supported by mediators including Pakistan, Egypt, and Türkiye, instead demanding a permanent end to hostilities, sanctions relief, and war damage compensation. U.S. stocks advanced on Monday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.44%, the Nasdaq rising 0.54%, and the Dow adding 165 points, as investors parsed mixed signals on Iran negotiations. However, overnight futures retreated as Trump's escalating rhetoric dampened optimism for a ceasefire. The rupee appreciated by 4 paise supported by risk-on sentiment fuelled by hopes of a de-escalation in the Middle East. The Nifty climbed 255 points to close at 22,968, marking its third consecutive session of gains. Nifty has never risen for more than three consecutive trading sessions since the U.S-Iran War started in late February. Whether this streak holds or breaks will be the defining market moment of today's session. The short-term resistance for the Nifty is at 23,465, with supports at 22,800 and 22,540. Our markets are slated to open half a percent lower on the back of cautious global cues.

    3 min

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Stay updated with the latest happenings in the world of stock markets with our expert analysts

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