The Arqiv

Steve Ryan

The Arqiv is a safe space for Science and Tech Enthusiasts. Here I will discuss questions in Science and Technology.

  1. 1D AGO

    AI Now Has The Muscle

    In this episode of The Arqiv, we sit down with Hiten Sonpal, CEO of RISE Robotics, to discuss the technology that is killing hydraulics: the Beltdraulic™ linear actuator. Unlike traditional hydraulic cylinders that rely on pressurized fluid, pumps, and hoses, RISE Robotics uses steel-reinforced polyurethane belts to deliver 3x the speed, 3x the efficiency, and 3x the durability of legacy systems. This fluid-free engineering marvel is revolutionizing heavy machinery, oil and gas production, and industrial automation by offering a "solid-state" alternative that provides digital twins and AI-ready telemetry out of the box. We dive deep into the origins of the tech (starting as an Iron Man-style exosuit), their Guinness World Record for the World's Strongest Robotic Arm, and their partnership with Anthony Liftgates. Hiten also reveals why RISE Robotics chose Regulation Crowdfunding (Reg CF) to let retail investors own a piece of the company, raising over $5.3 million. If you are interested in the future of robotics, heavy industry electrification, or startup investing, this deep dive explains why the days of leaking hydraulic fluid are numbered. LINKS MENTIONED: RISE Robotics: https://www.riserobotics.com Invest in RISE (Crowdfunding): https://wefunder.com/riserobotics (Check current status) Anthony Liftgates: https://www.anthonyliftgates.com CHAPTERS:00:00 - Introduction01:46 - Guinness World Record: Strongest Robotic Arm02:38 - The Origin: From Chess Robots to Exosuits04:29 - Consumer vs. Military & Industrial Robotics06:08 - The Problem with Hydraulics (Inefficiency & Leaks)07:21 - What is a Beltdraulic™ Cylinder? (Technology Explained)09:12 - "Iron Man without the Jetpack"10:53 - Power Density: Beating Hydraulics with Speed12:34 - Manufacturing in the USA vs. China14:16 - Digital Twins & Teleoperation for AI16:24 - Why Not Space? (Focusing on Earth First)17:21 - The VC Problem: Why Hardware Startups struggle with Venture Capital19:29 - First Commercial Sales: Oil & Gas Sector21:35 - Partnership with Anthony Liftgates22:25 - The Truth About Humanoid Robots (Timeline Prediction)25:02 - Regulation Crowdfunding: Raising $5.3M from the Public

    26 min
  2. JAN 21

    Robotics and AI Taking Over Warehouses Already?

    The robotics revolution isn't 10 years away—it's arriving in 2027. Global automation strategist David Kilser reveals why warehouse automation, humanoid robotics, and industrial AI are accelerating faster than Wall Street predicts.Most of the world believes the AI revolution is restricted to chatbots and Large Language Models (LLMs). But the true disruption is happening on the 400,000-square-foot warehouse floor. In this deep-dive interview, we sit down with David Kilser, a veteran automation strategist with 50 years of experience, to expose the "messy" reality of physical automation that digital-first investors are missing.Why This Matters Now: While tech giants showcase sleek robot demos at CES, the industry is hiding a dirty secret: "Pixels are not Tokens." Kilser explains the fundamental flaw in current AI: while an LLM can predict the next word in a sentence, it cannot predict the laws of physics, gravity, or friction. This "Physics Blind Spot" is why a trillion-dollar AI model can pass the Bar Exam but still fails the "Laundry Test" (opening a simple bottle of detergent).The "Timeline Shock": The consensus among major analysts is that full humanoid adoption is a 2035 event. David Kilser shatters this roadmap, arguing that due to a "massive capability incline" and the convergence of vision systems with high-degree-of-freedom hardware, the window has collapsed to just 24 months. We are not 10 years away; we are 2 years away.In this episode, we cover:The "Forklift Fallacy": Why "Legacy Thinking" and 20-year-old habits are sabotaging modern automation design.The Hardware Threshold: Why 27 "degrees of freedom" is the magic number for robotic hands to match human dexterity.The Safety Paradox: Why humans—despite being "unpredictable" and error-prone—remain the ultimate safety net against "Black Swan" AI failures.Career Survival: Why the only "AI-proof" job left is the "Skeptical Human" (The Lawyer) who can imagine failures that algorithms cannot.The "Zero-Base" Strategy: Kilser details how top-tier firms are moving beyond "augmenting" humans to "Zero-Based Budgeting" their processes⏱️ CHAPTERS & TIMESTAMPS 00:00 - The Digital Cloud vs. The Warehouse Floor 01:24 - Rethinking Automation: "Zero-Based" Process Design 01:43 - Legacy Thinking: The "Forklift Fallacy" in Robotics 02:20 - CES 2026: Why Robots Fail the "Laundry Test" (Bottle Caps) 03:30 - The Timeline Shock: Why It’s 2 Years Away, Not 10 04:15 - The Hardware Incline: 12 vs. 27 Degrees of Freedom 05:12 - The Pace of Change: "I Haven't Seen Anything This Rapid in 50 Years" 06:05 - The Kiva Lesson: Monotony & Human Fatigue 08:09 - Pixels vs. Tokens: Why LLMs Struggle with Physics 09:33 - The Error Rate: Humans are Unpredictable, Robots are Fast 11:36 - The Future of Work: Humans as "Supervisors of 5 Machines" 13:47 - The "Blue Screen" Scenario: Safety Nets for AI Failure 15:00 - The "Skeptical Human": The Ultimate Defense Against AGI 16:46 - Playing The Lawyer: Preventing "Boundary Conditions" 20:32 - Career Advice: Why STEM & Engineering Basics Are CriticalWhen will humanoid robots replace warehouse workers? Expert David Kilser predicts a massive capability incline within 2-3 years (2027), contradicting the 2035 consensus.What is the difference between pixels and tokens in AI? Tokens (LLMs) predict language, while pixels (World Models) must predict physics. Current AI struggles to translate language tokens into physical actions like friction and gravity.Why are humanoid robots failing at CES? Lack of sensor density and "degrees of freedom" (12-14 vs. the human 27) prevents them from performing fine motor tasks like opening bottles.Is Amazon Kiva automation fully autonomous? No. Kiva systems (Amazon Robotics) bring shelves to humans, but humans still perform the "pick and stow" actions due to the dexterity required.

    24 min
  3. JAN 20

    93% Of The Worlds Money Flows Through One System: And AI Is Watching

    In this exclusive Arqiv deep dive, we break down the industrial nervous system of global business with Christopher Carter, CEO of AppRoyo and founder of Mugatu AI. As 93.7% of all financial transactions globally flow through SAP systems, understanding the transition from legacy SAP R3 to the 100% cloud-based S4/HANA in-memory database is critical for any Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) strategy. We move beyond the hype of Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT or Gemini to discuss why Small Language Models (SLMs) and Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems are the future of data sovereignty and corporate intelligence. Our technical analysis covers the deployment of Mugatu AI Overwatch, an observation tool monitoring 2,300 touchpoints across the SAP landscape to provide predictive analytics for system failures, drive health, and table extensions. By leveraging homomorphic encryption, this system ensures that repository of truth data remains secure within the organization’s walls, preventing data leakage while cleaning "garbage data" from fragmented data lakes and Redshift clusters. We also explore the 2026 tech frontier, including Neuralink brain-computer interfaces, wearable AI display glasses, and the role of machine learning (ML) in addressing global population decline. Learn why "boiling your lake" with specific tokenization and predictive modeling beats "boiling the ocean" with generic AI.Chapter Timestamps:00:00 The Invisible System Running Your Life01:40 Why 93.7% of Transactions Use SAP03:14 Garbage In, Garbage Out: The Data Truth04:51 Solving Tribal Knowledge with Approyo06:54 Mucata AI: The 2,300 Touchpoint Observer09:22 Turning Humans into Bigger, Faster Humans12:08 ML vs. LLM: Predictive vs. Generative14:02 Boil Your Lake: The Rise of SLMs17:51 2026 Future: Neuralink and Robots21:58 Is the AI Bubble Real?Follow me on: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61575664544055https://www.linkedin.com/company/arqivhttps://open.spotify.com/show/7fbCzxXIoKmULJBSJAqwIHhttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-arqiv/id1812339769Check out eleven Labs-https://try.elevenlabs.io/mi5cr8q36gejhttps://www.instagram.com/thearqiv/https://arqiv.fm

    24 min
  4. JAN 20

    What is the Governments Project Genesis

    In this episode of Arqiv, we go inside the Genesis Mission, a massive, high-stakes federal initiative transforming the United States Department of Energy (DOE) and its 17 National Laboratories into a single, integrated "cognitive machine". We are witnessing the birth of the Fourth Paradigm of discovery, where Large Physics Models (LPMs) are being fed exabytes of raw scientific data to "secretly" learn the fundamental laws of nature—like thermodynamics, gravity, and particle physics—through pure observation rather than human programming. We explore the Exascale Trinity—the world’s most powerful supercomputers: Frontier (the Data Generator), Aurora (the AI-Native Learner training AuroraGPT), and El Capitan (the national security powerhouse). Connecting this "brain" is the American Science Cloud (AmSC) and ESnet6, a high-performance fiber optic network moving data at 46 Terabits per second, acting as the nervous system for autonomous science. Learn how AI Emulation is replacing traditional deductive simulation, allowing these models to run 100,000 times faster by using intuition and Physics-Informed Loss Functions to ensure they don't violate the laws of physics. We also look at the "feature" of scientific hallucination, where AI-generated hypotheses are sent to self-driving laboratories like Polybot to physically build and test new materials 24/7. Finally, we confront the Safety Paradox and the risks of optimized fragility in our energy grid, alongside the biosecurity and national security implications of moving toward an Industrialized Cognitive Engine. Is the Department of Energy taking a gamble on a "Black Box" we can no longer audit? Let's dig in.

    16 min

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The Arqiv is a safe space for Science and Tech Enthusiasts. Here I will discuss questions in Science and Technology.