The Daily Digits

The Daily Digits

Five or six numbers each morning. Base rate, horizon, and the misses published. thedailydigits.com

Episodes

  1. 4h ago

    93 in 100: Nvidia’s best days are its most dangerous

    Nvidia closed up 8.74% on Thursday. Its own record since 2015 says a jump that size is a warning, not a green light. 5:13 on the numbers behind it. The Daily Digits makes five or six falsifiable market calls every morning, each with a base rate, a horizon and a line that would kill it. We publish the misses too. In this episode * Nvidia’s +5% days raise the odds of a 5% drawdown to 93 in 100. Expect a peak-to-trough fall of 5% or more inside 21 sessions of Thursday’s close, and neutral on direction over the same window. * Quarter-end is the only session where the funding spread separates. Neutral on funding stress into 30 September, and the reverse repo chart is not the gauge that would show it arriving. * Moonwell’s oracle move bought $3.01m of the $11.06m of borrowing power. Bearish WELL, with a $9,125,153 shortfall against a $13.2m circulating market cap. * Ethena buys no ENA until USDe supply is up 85%. Bearish ENA into the vote close on 2 September. On the ledger this morning * The 25 August Nvidia straddle call resolved a hit. The chain charged 6.058% of spot to own the move, and the stock moved 8.74%. * The 21 August ether call resolved a hit. Ether closed at 2422 and never went near the 1,900 short target. The full workings, every base rate and all the charts are in this morning’s edition: https://thedailydigits.com/p/daily-2026-08-27 Every call carries a horizon and a line that would kill it, and every one gets marked when it resolves, hit or miss. Five or six numbers every morning, free: https://thedailydigits.com Nothing here is investment advice. Get full access to The Daily Digits at thedailydigits.com/subscribe

    93 in 100: Nvidia’s best days are its most dangerous

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Five or six numbers each morning. Base rate, horizon, and the misses published. thedailydigits.com