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Gambit Capital Management, LLC
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Gambit Capital Management, LLC is partnering with clients to build private wealth strategies that align with individual goals and risk tolerance. As fiduciaries, we tailor and adapt portfolios to ensure they are in the best interest of the clients we serve.Gambit Capital Management, LLC is an independently owned, Registered Investment Advisory firm.

  1. 3D AGO

    War, Oil, and Markets: What Changed in 30 Days

    Q1 2026 didn’t play out the way most expected, and in this episode Tyler and Dan break down what really happened. After a strong start to the year, markets reversed course as geopolitical tensions drove oil prices higher and inflation expectations surged. We cover what changed, where valuations stand today, and what signals actually matter going forward including interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and energy prices. If you’re trying to make sense of the current environment without the noise, this is the conversation you need. 00:00-00:29 – Intro & Show Overview Quick intro, purpose of the episode, and what will be covered. 00:30-01:29 – Q1 2026 Recap Strong start to the year followed by a sharp reversal. 01:30-02:29 – What Drove the Market Drop Geopolitics, Iran conflict, and the impact on investor sentiment. 02:30-03:39 – How Major Indexes Performed Small cap, mid cap, emerging markets vs. S&P 500. 03:40-04:14 – Where We Are Today (April 2026) Current market positioning and macro backdrop. 04:15-05:29 – Inflation Surprise Explained Why inflation expectations jumped from ~2.3% to ~3%. 05:30-06:44 – Oil Prices & Supply Shock Energy-driven inflation vs. demand-driven inflation. 06:45-07:59 – Real Impact on Consumers Why rising energy costs hit lower-income households harder. 08:00-08:59 – Economic Outlook: Stagflation Risk? Slowing growth + rising inflation implications. 09:00-10:14 – Market Valuations Reset Why valuations look more reasonable now. 10:15-10:59 – Earnings & Forward Expectations Price vs. earnings dynamics. 11:00-12:34 – What Happens Next in 2026 Key variables shaping the outlook. 12:35-13:59 – Stocks to Watch (Signals, Not Recommendations) Mortgage and housing activity indicators. 14:00-15:14 – The U.S. Dollar & 2-Year Treasury Why these matter more than the S&P right now. 15:15-15:59 – Rate Cuts? Maybe Not How inflation is changing expectations. 16:00 – Final Takeaways Short-term pain vs. potential long-term outcomes.

    18 min

  2. MAR 19

    What If Your Gut Reaction Is Wrong?

    Why do investors panic at the worst times? We dive into the science behind stress, decision-making, and how to avoid costly mistakes with a practical system you can use immediately. Books Referenced: • “Thinking Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman • “Superforecasting” by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner • “How to Decide” by Annie Duke • “How to Measure Anything" by Douglas Hubbard

    20 min

  3. FEB 20

    6 Ways to Start 2026 Off Right

    A new year is the right time for a financial check-up. In this roundtable episode, Tyler Schelhaas sits down with Dan Powers, CFA, and tax expert Peter Earp, EA, to break down the most important financial updates for 2026 — along with practical steps you can take right away. Inside this episode: • Lower-cost borrowing strategies versus traditional margin or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) • Falling money market rates — and why your cash may not be earning what you think • Why reviewing your budget and subscriptions still matters • Mortgage rates near multi-year lows — when refinancing actually makes sense • Updated 401(k), 403(b), and IRA contribution limits • Hidden portfolio fees and how layered expenses quietly erode returns • The increased federal estate tax exemption and who it impacts Small adjustments, made early, can have a meaningful long-term impact. If any of these topics apply to you and you'd like to review your situation, reach out — we’re happy to take a look together. 00:00 – Welcome & 2026 Focus 01:32 – 2026 Retirement Contribution Increases 03:30 – Reviewing Spending & Subscriptions 04:45 – Mortgage Rates at 3-Year Lows 05:38 – Money Market Rates Are Down 06:10 – Smarter Short-Term Borrowing Strategies 07:23 – Hidden Investment Fees 09:19 – Estate Tax Exemption Increase to $15M 10:08 – Final Thoughts: People Respect What They Inspect

    11 min

  4. JAN 23

    Noise vs. Numbers: Why 2025 Worked

    This episode looks back at the key economic and market forces that shaped 2025, from geopolitical shocks and policy changes to GDP acceleration, falling inflation, and strong corporate earnings. We break down why markets performed well despite nonstop headlines, highlighting the roles of small caps, gold, international stocks, and currency dynamics. Then we shift into early 2026, analyzing growth expectations, rate outlooks, and what current market signals are telling us. Finally, we explore emerging structural changes—from Treasury-driven policy to business credit expansion and housing market constraints—that could define the next phase of the economic cycle. 00:00 - Introduction 01:20 - 2025 Review 04:20 - Gold & Int'l Stocks 08:37 - 2026 Economic Forecast 13:10 - Reestablishing US Treasury Dominance over Fed 19:00 - Business Lending 21:40 - Real Estate 24:43 - 2025 Surprise Tax Refunds 30:00 - Final Thoughts

    32 min

  5. 10/30/2025

    Q3 2025: Trades, Trends & Our Market Outlook

    Markets kept climbing in Q3 — from gold’s massive 16% jump to small caps finally catching fire. They discuss the key drivers behind these moves and walk through some of the portfolio trades and allocation shifts made during the quarter — including the decision to add gold to fixed income. Tune in for a concise 20-minute episode covering the quarter that was, and what’s next for markets and investors heading into year-end.

    19 min

  6. 10/21/2025

    Every Company Wants AI—But Few Know What to Do With It

    AI is no longer optional—every company feels the pressure to adopt it. But where does it fit, how do you use it effectively, and what does it mean for investment and productivity? On this episode of The Schmo Show, Tyler and Dan sit down with tech entrepreneur Jonathan Anderstrom to unpack how businesses are navigating the AI explosion. From automating workflows to next-generation agentic AI that can autonomously manage tasks, companies are exploring how to leverage AI to streamline operations, identify new opportunities, and make smarter capital investments. We dive into how organizations—from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies—are figuring out where AI adds real value, how to integrate it across departments, and how to prioritize investments while staying competitive. If you’re a business leader, investor, or tech enthusiast, this episode provides a front-row seat to the evolving strategies, real-world use cases, and market opportunities that AI is creating right now.

    52 min

  7. 07/31/2025

    Cryptocurrencies: What, How, Where?

    Crypto can feel confusing, but it doesn’t have to. In this episode, we walk through where it all started with Bitcoin, why it’s captured so much attention, and what makes it different from traditional currencies. To put it in perspective: gold is worth about $22 trillion, the S&P 500 about $53 trillion, and Bitcoin around $2 trillion. We’ll talk volatility, potential use cases, and how people are investing — all in plain English, with no need for a tech dictionary.

    28 min

  8. 07/15/2025

    New Tax Law, New Rules: What You Need to Know

    With the passage of the new federal tax legislation—officially titled the “One Big, Beautiful Bill”—several significant tax and financial planning changes are set to take effect. We’re committed to staying ahead of these developments and helping you understand what they could mean for your income, deductions, savings strategies, and more. In this episode, we walk through the key highlights of the new bill from a personal tax perspective and share planning insights to help you prepare. If you have any questions about how these changes may affect your situation—or if you'd like to revisit your current tax strategy—please don’t hesitate to reach out. We’re here to help.

    32 min
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About

Gambit Capital Management, LLC is partnering with clients to build private wealth strategies that align with individual goals and risk tolerance. As fiduciaries, we tailor and adapt portfolios to ensure they are in the best interest of the clients we serve.Gambit Capital Management, LLC is an independently owned, Registered Investment Advisory firm.

Information

  • Creator
    Gambit Capital Management, LLC
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    25
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2024 The SMO Show