This is John Lothian

John Lothian

A podcasts based on old commentaries John Lothian wrote before 2003.

  1. 12/05/2024

    Don Morton: My Second Client As A Full-Service Broker, Has Passed Away At Age 89

    His Highly Complex Bond Option Position Helped Get Me Fired From First American, But It Was Not His Fault   Don Morton, the second futures brokerage account I ever opened as a full-service futures broker, passed away on Monday, December 2, 2024, at the age of 89. Don was a brilliant options trader who served as the executive director of the Tennessee Legislature's Fiscal Review Committee. He was also a U.S. Army veteran of the Korean War and a certified public accountant.   I met Don when I worked for First American Discount, where he was a customer at Table 3. Don traded options spreads, primarily on 30-year Treasury bond options. I don’t recall exactly when his account was transferred to me after I was promoted to a new trading desk for high-risk customers, but he was part of my equity run. This included large, active day traders, traders from the Hume SuperInvestor File, a German introducing broker with numerous sub-accounts, and other high-risk traders.   Don’s highly complex options position actually played a role in my being fired from First American. Another key figure was Gil Leistner, who led an options market-making group at Rosenthal. Gil also played a pivotal role in my career, teaching me and a select group of First American colleagues about the intricacies of options trading.   The week before the 1987 stock market crash, Bill Mallers, Sr. shouted my name across the trading room midday on Wednesday. He called me over to my old trading desk, number 3, and informed me that the Dow was down 200 points. He mentioned an account holding 80 S&P 500 option straddles that was losing money, on margin call, and said the client could not be reached by telephone. Mallers had concluded that the new head of the desk, my former number two, was not up to the job.   I sat down at the desk, reviewed the equity run, and checked the price of the S&P 500 futures. At that time, deltas weren’t included on the equity runs provided by GMI, nor were they available on the quote screens. While we had last trade prices for options, they were often grossly outdated.   I had to extrapolate the deltas manually by analyzing the market and the distance of the account’s strike prices relative to the market. From there, I calculated a delta quotient for each position. I then summed up all the delta quotients, both long and short, to determine the net delta position. Finally, I multiplied that net delta by the change in the underlying market to assess the overall impact.   After completing the calculations, I determined that the account was actually making about $10,000 that day and was not on margin call. The customer had sold the straddles in August, and although the market rallied in the fall, he consistently met all margin calls for his million-dollar account. When the straddles were sold, the market was positioned in the middle of the straddle. By October, the market had risen significantly above the straddle, which the customer had margined up to maintain. However, as the market fell, it landed right back in the middle of the original straddle position. When I explained this to Bill Mallers, Sr., he decided that I should take over handling the account in the future. By Friday, the stock market's decline had intensified, and the S&P futures were dropping sharply, putting the account in serious jeopardy. That afternoon, I was discussing potential next steps with the client when Bill Mallers, Jr. decided that the situation's gravity required the M...

    11 min
  2. 11/27/2024

    Arcesium Executive Highlights Hedge Funds' Balancing Act: Advanced Tech vs. Top Talent

    David Nable discusses AI adoption, pass-through models, and the evolving expectations of portfolio managers in the hedge fund industry In a recent interview with John Lothian News, David Nable, a senior executive at Arcesium, highlighted the growing challenge hedge funds face in balancing advanced technology adoption with the demand for skilled portfolio managers. Nable emphasized that top-tier talent has high expectations for seamless technology infrastructure when moving to a new employer. "What we found is that the portfolio managers who are coming from some of the top industry participants have a very high bar for what they expect to just work for them to come in and be able to do their jobs," Nable said. He noted that this expectation extends beyond trading and research systems to the underlying infrastructure, adding, "All of the things that nobody wants to notice, they want it to just work." This demand for advanced technology has significantly impacted how hedge funds attract and retain top talent, according to Nable. He explained that the pass-through expense model allows hedge funds to offer more competitive compensation packages and invest in cutting-edge technology without compromising their financial health. "The pass-through model for organizations that are able to implement this type of business model, I would argue, puts certain organizations at a competitive advantage," Nable said. "They're able to invest in the best systems, the best data, the best talent, and they do so because they have a different economic model in place that allows them to do this." However, Nable emphasized that this approach comes with heightened expectations for performance. "The flip side is they have to outperform," he noted. "If they don't, investors are going to look and say, you know, what's my net return?" Despite scrutiny, Nable pointed out that firms using pass-through models have generally outperformed their peers, attracting significant capital inflows as a result. To meet these high expectations, hedge funds are investing heavily in infrastructure to quickly evaluate new data sources. Nable explained that this investment has reduced analysis time from weeks to mere hours in some cases. "If they can capture that new source of data, evaluate it more quickly than their competitors, and put it into their investment process, it seems to be a competitive advantage," he said. Nable then discussed Arcesium's core platform, originally developed within the D.E. Shaw Group. "For our clients today, often they get to leapfrog some of the legacy technologies that are in the industry to be able to support everything from high frequency, quantitative, high volume trading strategies to more esoteric strategies," Nable explained. Addressing the challenge of balancing technology adoption with talent acquisition, Nable described it as a "chicken and egg situation" where firms must strategically decide whether to prioritize investing in advanced technology or securing top talent. He suggested several approaches, including targeted investment in specific strategies, collaborating directly with potential talent on technology decisions, and leveraging non-compete periods to prepare infrastructure. Regarding artificial intelligence, Nable views it primarily as a "copilot" in current investment management practices, enhancing efficiency rather than making investment decisions. "I don't think we're there yet. Today, it's still very much an efficiency play, albeit a dramatic one," he concluded, suggesting that the industry has only...

    6 min
  3. Lake Geneva Yacht Club and Chicago's Futures Markets: A Shared Legacy

    09/11/2024

    Lake Geneva Yacht Club and Chicago's Futures Markets: A Shared Legacy

    The intertwined history of the Lake Geneva Yacht Club, the Chicago Board of Trade, and the City of Chicago traces back to the 19th century, with key figures like Julian Sidney Rumsey and Nathaniel Kellogg Fairbank establishing deep connections through sailing and business By John J. Lothian   ELMHURST, IL - (JLN) - When I mentioned the news about my cousin Tom being hired as the new manager of the Lake Geneva Yacht Club ("LGYC") yesterday in JLN, I mentioned Thomas "T" Freytag, a co-founder of Geneva Trading, as a contemporary reference to give it relevance to the normal newsletter fodder. However, the history of Chicago's futures markets and the LGYC have a common founder in Julian Sidney Rumsey.   In fact, the City of Chicago, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), and the LGYC share an intertwined history dating back to the mid-19th century, with the Sheridan Trophy serving as a symbolic link between these institutions. Chicago's Early Days and the CBOT In 1848, as Chicago was experiencing rapid growth, the CBOT was established to bring order to the city's burgeoning grain trade. The CBOT quickly became a central force in Chicago's economic development, coinciding with the opening of the Illinois and Michigan Canal and the city's first railroad. These transportation innovations positioned Chicago as a major hub in the international grain trade. Shortly before the Great Chicago Fire of 1871, a railroad line to Lake Geneva was completed, allowing Chicago's elite to access their lakeside summer homes by rail. Julian Sidney Rumsey: A Key Figure Julian Sidney Rumsey, a founding member of the CBOT, played a pivotal role in connecting Chicago's business world with Lake Geneva's leisure community. Rumsey served as president of the CBOT in 1858 and 1859, and later became mayor of Chicago at the outbreak of the Civil War. His influence extended beyond Chicago to Lake Geneva, Wisconsin, where he maintained a summer home.   Nathaniel Kellogg "N.K." Fairbank Nathaniel Kellogg Fairbank was the first commodore of the LGYC, president of The University of Chicago board of trustees, a founder and president of The Chicago Club and a founder of the Commercial Club of Chicago. He was also a major trader at the CBOT, where he served as an officer. His company produced soap and baking products. He was also involved in one of the greatest squatting incidents in Chicago when ship captain George Streeter's schooner went aground off Fairbank's property that is now called "Streeterville." There is a Fairbanks Court on the western edge of Streeterville. The Lake Geneva Yacht Club and the Sheridan Trophy In 1874, Rumsey and Fairbank became founding members of the LGYC. That same year, an event occurred that would cement the connection between Chicago's business elite and Lake Geneva's sailing community. On August 31, 1874, Lieutenant Gen...

    10 min
  4. 08/30/2024

    Celebrating 25 Years of the John Lothian Newsletter – A Leap of Faith in 1999

    Standing Out in 1999 Led to a Career Standing Up For The Markets Twenty-five years ago, in August 1999, I began producing this daily newsletter as a marketing and networking tool to promote my electronic trading brokerage services, Commodity Trading Advisor offerings, and my personal brand. I was competing with large discount commodity firms that were transitioning to electronic trading, and I needed to market myself and my firm and find a way to stand out, but I didn’t have many monetary resources to do so. Therefore, I had to think outside the box. My specific goals at the time were to increase the number of my brokerage clients at The Price Futures Group, to raise funds for Defender Capital Management and Hargrave Financial Group, two CTAs I represented, and to elevate my profile amid industry changes that I felt could undermine my career path. I feared that the introduction of single stock futures could change the face of the industry, potentially making standalone introducing brokers like The Price Group obsolete. I wanted to learn as much as possible about SSFs and share this information. I was also concerned about the impact of electronic trading on open outcry trading and its related careers, and I wanted my friends and colleagues in the industry to be aware of the risks they were facing. Additionally, I worried that backlash from competing brokers over my participation in the ‘wild west’ of the internet—Usenet, the Reddit of its day—might damage my reputation. My hope was to address both my goals and my fears in a positive way that would benefit myself and my community. My specific strategy for the newsletter was unique. I wanted to experiment with something called a weblog and a concept called viral marketing. The weblog was created in 1997. By combining these two elements, I aimed to create a publication that would gather all the information I could find about the changes occurring in the industry, compile it into a single email, and send it to clients, colleagues, leads, acquaintances, and others. In the early days of the internet I had seen some incredibly successful examples of viral marketing, including one for the online brokerage firm National Discount Brokers that had involved a quacking duck.  The pace of change in the industry was so rapid in those days that no publication could keep up with the constant flow of news. None of the weekly or biweekly newsletters seemed able to meet the challenge. In the meantime, there was too much risk. My own risk as the head of electronic trading was increasing as well, since I was with an introducing broker outside of our futures commission merchant, Man Financial. Man Financial was mostly staffed with second-in-command executives from acquired firms who lacked a clear vision for handling the industry’s changes. Too often, when memos from the exchanges landed in their inboxes, they simply went unnoticed, rather than being shared with the rest of the firm and its clients. I decided to take a proactive approach and seek out the information myself. I would find, aggregate, and compile it with other relevant news and stories I could gather, and then share it with anyone who signed up for my newsletter. I initially s...

    21 min
  5. 05/03/2023

    A Forgotten Rogue CBOT Chairman - This is John Lothian EP8

    In the late 1960s, there were two rogue candidates who ran for the role of chairman of Chicago's leading futures exchanges. One was Leo Melamed, head of the "Young Turks" at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the other was William Mallers, Sr. the youngest man ever elected chairman of the Chicago Board of Trade. This infusion of young blood into these stodgy organizations would transform Chicago's financial markets and change the course of its place in the global financial markets. Melamed would lead the creation of the International Monetary Market, a separate exchange that would later be rolled back into the CME. Melamed's accomplishments during his career are legendary.  Mallers would lead the committee at the CBOT that led to the creation of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. Both Mallers and Melamed would play a part in the creation of the National Futures Association, with Mallers finding CBOT President Robert Wilmouth a new job as NFA president.  Melamed's story is well known via the multiple books he has written about his experiences and his long tenure on the board of the CME, which only ended a few years ago. Mallers would step aside after one term as CBOT chairman and slate the man he had run against as a rogue candidate as chairman to replace him. Mallers would wield power behind the scenes at the CBOT for the next fifteen years without any official title. OK, maybe he was the unofficial godfather of CBOT politics at the time.  Melamed would serve multiple terms as chairman of the CME before finally stepping aside for his protege Jack Sandner, though Melamed still wielded power from the CME executive committee he chaired for many years.   Joe Sullivan talks about Mallers in his paper about his career and the beginning of the CBOE, noting it was Mallers who resurfaced after leaving the limelight of the chairman's position to weigh in on the question of which members of the CBOT should be able to trade on the CBOE. Mallers said that "the purpose of the undertaking had been to provide trading opportunities for all members whether or not they chose to use them at any given time." Sullivan noted that giving CBOT members this perpetual right would bite CBOE in the butt later.  The story I was told by Mallers, whom I worked for in the 1980s at First American Discount, was that Eddie O'Connor had proposed creating an exchange to trade stock options at a dinner and outlined the plans on a cocktail napkin. Mallers took that idea as chairman and drove it to reality, along with O'Connor, Paul Maguire and several other key players at the CBOT. The first board of directors of the CBOE did not have Mallers on it, but it did have Pat Hennessy, from Hennessy & Associates, the firm that Mallers was the president of when he was chairman. You can see how Mallers worked, having key allies in positions of power at the CBOT and also at the CBOT Clearing Corporation. I met Mallers after he had fallen out of favor at the CBOT, and Tom Donovan as a strong CBOT president had changed the power dynamics of the exchange.  As we celebrate the 50th anniversary of the CBOE, now Cboe Global Markets, I wanted to remember William Mallers, Sr., a man largely forgotten to history. Mallers died in 2006 at the age of 77. He had been gone from the industry since 2000 when First American was sold to ED&F Man, Inc. ...

    6 min

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A podcasts based on old commentaries John Lothian wrote before 2003.