Three Clowns

ThreeClownsPod

Three clowns in suits. Markets before the bell. Alex, Tom, and Ray — daily financial market breakdowns before the US opening bell. The Tape, The Footnotes, The Nerd Corner, and The Calls. Every weekday. @threeclownspod on X and TikTok threeclowns.co This show is produced using AI-generated voices.

  1. Ep. 13 — Oil Shock, Ceasefire Trade Collide

    قبل ٤ أيام

    Ep. 13 — Oil Shock, Ceasefire Trade Collide

    Ep. 13 — Oil Shock, Ceasefire Trade Collide Oil's supply math says "billion-barrel hole," headlines say "ceasefire" — and the market is trying to price both at once. Gold whipsaws, bonds sniff a sticky inflation floor, and tech splits between non-optional AI plumbing and consumer squeeze. Plus: Tim Cook steps aside, John Ternus takes Apple’s wheel, and VW pushes edge AI into cars. Today's stories: Intro: Markets cheer a ceasefire while oil’s supply shock refuses to vanish; gold snaps back; tech splits.The Tape: Oil rips, then slips; gold bounces; small caps and utilities drag; yields grind up; AMD/MSFT bid vs. Apple/Google offered.The Footnotes: Vitol’s billion-barrel hole, Iranian tankers rerouting, Ukraine restarting a Russian pipeline, and BHP locks iron ore prices with China.Nerd Corner: Edge AI in cars (VW) vs. cloud AI; Apple’s Ternus era signals device-first strategy; where AI dollars actually land.The Calls: Three fresh predictions on semis, the 10-year, and WTI — with clear invalidations.The Calls: Tom: Semiconductor ETF closes up at least 2% by Friday. Invalidation: crude closes below $75.Ray: 10-year yield closes the week above 4.35%. Invalidation: PCE prints cool enough to let the Fed breathe.Alex: WTI crude closes above $82 by week’s end. Invalidation: WTI closes below $78 by Friday.New episode every weekday before US market open. Find us on threeclowns.co | YouTube | TikTok | X Produced using AI-generated voices.

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  2. Ep. 11 — Oil Rips, Bonds Price Recession

    قبل ٦ أيام

    Ep. 11 — Oil Rips, Bonds Price Recession

    Ep. 11 — Oil Rips, Bonds Price Recession Friday was a broad risk-on rip. Then Sunday night the US seized an Iranian ship, oil went up five percent, and futures went the other way. The question: was Friday real, or are we walking into a growth scare with energy inputs spiking? The bond market is voting recession — yields are falling while oil is ripping, which is not the inflation trade. It's the "something breaks" trade. Today's stories: The Tape: Friday breadth with gold and silver both up; AMC +15% on squeeze dynamics; crypto moving with equities (Schwab's 0.75% crypto wires TradFi and crypto into the same risk pipes); low-vol ETFs already under scrutiny before Iran blew up the weekend.The Footnotes: Johns Hopkins: Iran can sustain this for months, not weeks — changes the structural math for traders. Hormuz as a plumbing nightmare for 20% of global oil and European LNG. Asia private credit wobbling; Philippines central bank begging banks to hedge FX.The Nerd Corner: What it actually costs to keep a data center running when the grid tightens (4-7¢/kWh locked vs 15-25¢ marginal). AI at 35x earnings is a duration trade, not a defensive one. Crypto correlation with equities: it's one trade, and it only works when nothing moves.The Calls: First daily-format episode — calls expire at today's close, not next week.The Calls: Alex: QQQs close below 645 — day one of geopolitical escalation, tech gets squeezed harder than energy gains.Tom: Nvidia closes red and underperforms the QQQs — duration punished, energy is a tax on everything they're selling.Ray: Russell 2000 down more than 1.5% — rate-sensitive, rising input costs, no AI narrative to protect the multiple.New episode every weekday before US market open. Find us on threeclowns.co | YouTube | TikTok | X Produced using AI-generated voices.

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حول

Three clowns in suits. Markets before the bell. Alex, Tom, and Ray — daily financial market breakdowns before the US opening bell. The Tape, The Footnotes, The Nerd Corner, and The Calls. Every weekday. @threeclownspod on X and TikTok threeclowns.co This show is produced using AI-generated voices.