Kelly DePonte brings more than 34 years of experience to this discussion, with a career spanning commercial banking, global due diligence for major institutions such as CalPERS and the NYC pension plans, and more than two decades at Probitas Partners, where he led research and published widely followed LP trend surveys. His background as an investor, advisor, educator, and placement specialist gives him a broad view of how private markets have evolved and where they are heading. We learn how private equity has shifted from a niche, relationship-driven business into one dominated by large, publicly traded multi-strategy firms. Highlights include the growing divide between large institutions that must write increasingly large checks and smaller, more agile LPs that still lean into emerging managers. Kelly also explains why focused strategies, transparent reporting, and real team cohesion have become essential for new managers trying to break through mature LP portfolios. Perhaps the most critical element of all is developing a trusting relationship between the GP and the LP. Our discussion examines the realities behind first-time funds, the widening performance spread in early vintages, and the operational demands of running a firm. These are factors that often separate skilled investors from effective fund managers. Kelly discusses the rise of independent sponsors as a structural development rather than a temporary response to fundraising conditions, and why LPs with co investment capabilities are now more prepared to evaluate deal-by-deal opportunities. We get a clear view of today’s competitive deal environment, the pressures it creates on returns, and the risks he sees in highly promoted trends such as retail access to private equity. Kelly’s perspective on industry cycles, due diligence, and manager discipline provides a grounded, practical framework for understanding the challenges and opportunities shaping private markets today. Episode Highlights: [01:15] Kelly describes his early years in Hawaii, his path through Stanford and UCLA, and how he transitioned from banking into private equity. [03:43] A look into his early responsibility for interest-rate swaps and his introduction to managing venture-backed portfolios at First Interstate Bank. [05:35] The shift to Pacific Corporate Group is explored, along with his work performing global due diligence for major pension clients. [07:23] Kelly explains how his role at Probitas Partners evolved and why research became central to understanding LP behavior. [08:30] Discussion turns to the industry’s transformation and why early predictions underestimated the scale private equity would reach. [09:30] A deep dive into how large, multi-strategy firms began to resemble broad asset managers rather than traditional PE shops. [11:19] Kelly compares the return profiles of large established firms with the higher dispersion found among emerging managers. [12:36] The divide between large LPs writing massive checks and smaller, more agile institutions is highlighted as a defining industry dynamic. [14:27] Middle-market buyouts and small-cap strategies are examined, including why LPs continually need new relationships in these segments. [17:01] Common red flags in GP pitches are outlined, particularly overly long decks and insufficient focus on the team’s actual edge. [18:31] Kelly walks through why a pitch deck should build trust rather than educate LPs on broad industry themes. [19:19] Allocation decisions are discussed, including how portfolio size influences an LP’s ability to pursue smaller managers. [20:15] Structural changes in private markets—real estate, infrastructure, private credit, and data-center-driven opportunities—come into focus. [23:03] The tension LPs face between wanting exposure to growth and mid-market strategies while also reducing GP relationships is explored. [24:19] The rise of focused strategies is analyzed, with examples from technology, healthcare, and financial services. [25:05] A review of how middle-market firms often scale out of their original strategy as successive funds grow larger.[26:33] The economics of management fees and the push toward AUM growth are addressed as drivers of GP behavior. [29:08] Specialization is evaluated—when it adds value and when a generalist portfolio provides needed diversification. [31:07] LPs’ responsibility for creating cross-sector diversification is discussed, especially when backing domain-specific managers. [32:55] Benchmarking practices come into view, including how LPs blend multiple data sources rather than rely on a single standard. [34:49] The conversation turns to evaluating early-stage venture funds, where performance data is limited and trust becomes essential. [37:21] Kelly outlines uncomfortable truths about first-time funds, including the difference between investing skill and fund management skill. [39:27] Examples illustrate how headline IRRs can mask weak portfolios when one outlier dominates returns. [42:20] Fundraising challenges for emerging managers are discussed, along with the importance of attribution and team cohesion. [44:10] Independent sponsor pathways are presented as viable alternatives for teams lacking a fully documented track record. [45:39] The growth of independent sponsors is framed as a structural evolution tied to LPs building deeper underwriting capabilities. [49:52] Fee structures and economics are compared between traditional funds and deal-by-deal sponsor models. [51:21] The tradeoffs between writing checks from a commingled fund versus raising capital one deal at a time are laid out. [52:56] Kelly describes the emerging profile of independent sponsors who prefer long-term autonomy over eventually raising a fund. [55:05] LP willingness to back independent sponsors is shown to have expanded meaningfully in recent years. [57:49] A comparison emerges between co-investing with GPs and evaluating sponsor-led opportunities without a GP intermediary. [59:01] Career incentives within LP organizations are discussed, especially how direct investing experience shapes upward mobility. [1:00:38] Retail access to private equity is identified as one of the most overhyped trends, with liquidity misunderstandings posing real risks. [1:03:14] Competitive pressure in dealmaking is examined as a key force driving up entry prices and compressing future returns.[1:06:04] Kelly offers straightforward guidance for GPs to stay within proven expertise and for LPs to emphasize rigorous due diligence. [1:07:31] The placement agent landscape comes into focus, including why agents must now understand multiple private market verticals. [1:10:24] A discussion of LP silos shows how buyout, real estate, and infrastructure teams require distinct outreach strategies. [1:12:33] Kelly speaks to the increasing complexity of fundraising and what it takes for GPs or agents to break through mature LP portfolios. [1:14:12] Relationship-building is underscored as a core value a placement agent provides, far beyond simply arranging meetings. [1:18:32] The shift back toward in-person LP meetings is noted, with trust-building cited as the reason Zoom can’t fully replace them. [1:36:58] Reflections on how fundraising norms continue to shift, why adaptability matters for both GPs and LPs, and the enduring importance of long-term relationships in a competitive market. Resources & Links Related to this Episode Kelly Deponte Advisory LLC Kelly Deponte - LinkedIn