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Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 21h ago

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Just Baseball | MLB | 9/15/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB SD/COL Over 11.5 -105 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Sept 15) | One Play: Padres-Rockies Over 11.5 at Coors Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Tuesday, Sept. 15 after going 2-0 the prior show (Tigers and Chiefs) and discusses a slate he largely dislikes due to heavy favorite pricing and unclear edges. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with situational angles, bullpen usage, public betting splits, and pitcher form, including Rays-A’s, White Sox-Guardians, Dodgers-Reds, Brewers-Pirates, Phillies-Nationals, Tigers-Blue Jays, Orioles-Mets, Braves-Cubs, Yankees-Twins, Giants-Cardinals, Red Sox-Rangers, Royals-Astros, Mariners-Angels, and Marlins-Diamondbacks. His only official play is San Diego vs. Colorado over 11.5 at Coors Field, citing shaky starting pitching and bullpen factors, while noting 11 would be preferable if priced reasonably. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 02:56 Today’s Board and NFL Tease 04:07 A’s vs Rays Breakdown 08:39 White Sox vs Guardians 13:12 Dodgers vs Reds Preview 17:44 Brewers vs Pirates Mismatch 23:10 Phillies vs Nationals Prices 28:25 Tigers vs Blue Jays Bullpens 33:09 Orioles vs Mets Lean 38:22 Braves vs Cubs Spotlight 44:34 Setting Up Yankees vs Twins 44:37 Yankees Twins Breakdown 48:50 Giants Cardinals Preview 53:36 Slump Rant Reset 55:08 Red Sox Rangers Handicapping 01:00:56 Royals Astros Total Lean 01:05:42 Padres Rockies Over Pick 01:12:47 Mariners Angels Under Angle 01:18:06 Marlins Diamondbacks Leans 01:22:29 Wrap Up Final Play Plug #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  2. 1d ago

    Monday BEST BETS | I Hate Week 1 | MLB & NFL | 9/14/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NFL KC -2.5 MLB DET +117 MLB Bets & Monday Night Football Pick (Sept. 14) | Tigers ML + Chiefs -2.5 | Toad’s Tool Sports Toad recaps mixed results from the previous day (2-2 on the show), notes frustrations with Week 1 NFL outcomes, and reviews MLB totals that cashed while a Reds-related bet fell short. He breaks down several Monday MLB matchups with situational angles (teams returning home from road trips, bullpen usage, offensive and bullpen rankings, and pitcher splits), including White Sox–Cleveland, Dodgers–Reds, Orioles–Mets, Braves–Cubs, Yankees–Twins, Giants–Cardinals, Padres–Rockies, Mariners–Angels, and Marlins–Diamondbacks. His featured MLB play is Detroit moneyline over Toronto, citing pitching, bullpen rest, and market signals. For Monday Night Football, he reiterates his play on Kansas City -2.5 vs Denver, framing it as a public-under-dog spot and a revenge/home-field matchup, and also leans under on the total. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Kickoff Recap 01:36 NFL Week One Reactions 02:38 Sunday Baseball Results 03:37 Monday Card Setup 03:58 White Sox Guardians Breakdown 08:31 Dodgers Reds Preview 13:56 Best Bet Tigers Moneyline 21:19 Orioles Mets Lean Pass 27:26 Bears Rant Week Two Talk 27:57 Braves Cubs Wrigley Total 37:21 Yankees Twins Matchup 41:25 Yankees Twins Read 42:48 Survivor Pool Strategy 43:46 Splash Survivor Frustrations 45:12 Giants Cardinals Breakdown 51:13 Best Plays Recap 51:30 Slump Vent Session 53:02 Padres Rockies Coors Total 59:03 Mariners Angels Spot Analysis 01:05:21 Marlins Diamondbacks Pick 01:11:51 Chiefs Broncos Monday Night 01:17:14 Wrap Up and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  3. 2d ago

    Sunday BEST BETS | Football and Focus | MLB & NFL | 9/13/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NFL CAR +3 MLB LAA/WSH Over 9 -115 CIN F5 +0.5 +110 SEA/A's Over 9.5 +100 MLB Picks for Sunday (Sept 13) + One NFL Play: Angels/Nats Over, Reds F5 +0.5, Mariners/A’s Over Toad reviews recent results and focuses on Sunday’s baseball slate, discussing multiple matchups and market reads while trying to limit his card. His three official MLB plays are Angels vs. Nationals over 9 (seeking a 9), Reds first five +0.5 behind Chase Burns, and Mariners vs. A’s over 9.5 (or 10) due to shaky pitching and bullpens. He also notes leans including Houston–Tampa under, Royals–Red Sox first five under, and Pirates first five as a sweep-avoidance spot. He briefly reiterates his NFL play: Carolina Panthers +3 vs. the Bears, citing expected Chicago regression, and then runs quickly through other NFL market reads before closing with channel plugs and show schedule. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Welcome and Card 01:59 Yesterday Recap 05:01 Colorado Detroit Breakdown 09:54 NFL Bears Rant 10:37 Angels Nationals Over 15:32 Subway Series Lean 20:52 Bears Turnover Regression 22:03 Phillies Braves Preview 26:39 Orioles Blue Jays Angle 32:02 Astros Rays Under Look 33:52 Wisneski Breakdown 35:01 Peralta Turning Corner 36:47 Under Lean Market Read 37:25 Dodgers Marlins Momentum 39:10 Sheehan vs Perez Handicapping 42:35 Pass But First Five Lean 43:44 Play Reds First Five 46:24 Burns vs Gasser Matchup 50:34 Guardians Twins Under Talk 56:32 Rush Concert Detour 58:23 White Sox Cardinals Uncertainty 01:04:12 Slump Venting Segment 01:05:45 Pirates Cubs Breakdown 01:06:57 Windy Wrigley Under Angle 01:07:18 Chandler vs Boyd Matchup 01:09:46 Pittsburgh F5 Lean 01:11:08 Royals Red Sox Under Hunt 01:11:37 Bullpen Mismatch Warning 01:12:43 Cameron vs Talley Duel 01:14:49 How to Bet This Game 01:16:07 Mariners As Over Play 01:18:04 Fade Both Starters 01:21:45 Market Split Confirms Over 01:22:04 Rangers Diamondbacks Lean 01:23:16 Quantrill vs E Rod 01:26:30 Sunday Night Padres Giants 01:28:16 Pivetta and Webb Preview 01:31:44 Under and F5 Dog Lean 01:33:05 Recap MLB Card 01:33:52 Panthers Plus Points 01:34:27 NFL Market Read Rundown 01:38:10 Wrap Up and Plugs 01:38:50 Final Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  4. 3d ago

    NFL Week 1 BEST BETS | Fade the Hype

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NFL CAR +3 KC -2.5 Toadstool Sports: NFL Week 1 Picks — Panthers +3 & Chiefs -2.5 (Market Leans & Survivor Talk) Toad returns with the NFL Week One edition after starting 1–0 with San Francisco and also leaning New England +3.5, then runs through Sunday’s slate with quick market reads, ticket/cash splits, and leans including Cincinnati over Tampa, Jets over Tennessee, Indianapolis +3.5 vs Baltimore (a strong opinion), Atlanta +6 at Pittsburgh after quarterback changes, Cleveland +8.5 at Jacksonville (while considering Jacksonville for survivor), Houston over Buffalo, Minnesota over Green Bay (noting Josh Jacobs is out), and Philadelphia over Washington. His featured Week 1 play is Carolina +3 vs Chicago, fading Bears hype and turnover regression, and his Monday night play is Kansas City -2.5 vs Denver, citing Mahomes’ home dominance vs Denver and fading a public underdog. He closes by mentioning Indy as the next-best add, plus channel plugs and upcoming shows. 00:00 Cold Open Poetry 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 02:42 Rush Concert Detour 03:42 Week One Approach 04:15 Bucs vs Bengals 08:36 Saints vs Lions 11:27 Jets vs Titans 13:59 Colts vs Ravens 16:17 Falcons vs Steelers 19:00 Best Bet Panthers 22:24 Browns vs Jaguars 25:19 Bills vs Texans 28:25 Dolphins vs Raiders 29:32 Miami Dolphins Reset 30:03 Dolphins at Raiders 32:45 Packers Vikings Line Move 36:17 Eagles vs Commanders 39:08 NFL Streaming Subscriptions 40:06 Cardinals at Chargers Spread 43:12 Cowboys Giants SNF 46:04 Broncos at Chiefs Pick 50:30 Final Plays and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  5. 3d ago

    Saturday BEST BETS | Nothing to See Here | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/12/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NCAAF Michigan +5.5 Monmouth +27.5 Louisiana Tech +35.5 Charlotte +47.5 MLB TOR -109 SF F5 +0.5 -115 Toadstool Sports | Saturday Betting Breakdown (Sept 12): MLB Leans, Giants F5 + Jays ML, and College Football Dogs Toad returns on Saturday, Sept. 12 to recap a rough recent run and a 1-1 previous day (Villanova fails to cover; A’s F5 cashes), then breaks down the MLB board with notes on pitching, bullpens, offenses, market splits, and weather angles. He passes or leans on several games (including Yankees–Mets, Pirates–Cubs with Wrigley wind concerns, Angels–Nationals F5 under lean, Dodgers–Marlins under lean, Twins bounce-back lean, Astros–Rays under lean, and others) while adding Toronto moneyline as a bounce-back bullpen-game play against Bradish and making his main card play San Francisco +0.5 in the first five vs San Diego, avoiding the Giants bullpen. He reiterates his college football plays from the late-night show: Michigan +5.5, Monmouth +27.5, Louisiana Tech +35.5, and Charlotte +47.5, plus plugs his social channels, podcasts, and upcoming content. 00:00 Cold Open Poem 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:38 Rockies at Tigers Breakdown 07:26 Subway Series Betting Angles 12:05 Pirates Cubs Wind Watch 18:39 Blue Jays Bullpen Game Pick 24:48 Angels Nationals First Five Lean 29:43 Giants First Five Play 33:46 Backing Cesar Perdomo 35:14 Fading Public Padres Price 36:25 Red Sox Rage Recap 38:20 Dobnak vs Suarez Breakdown 42:43 Dodgers Marlins Under Lean 47:27 Guardians Twins Bullpen Game 53:06 Astros Rays Pitching Duel 58:49 Slump Spiral Interlude 01:00:35 Reds Brewers After 20-0 01:05:31 Editing Credits Chat 01:06:04 Phillies Braves Pitching 01:08:51 Moll Under Lean 01:11:14 Michigan Line Value 01:11:46 White Sox Cardinals Total 01:16:27 Baseball Slump Rant 01:17:22 Rangers Diamondbacks Breakdown 01:22:24 AI Picks Discussion 01:22:54 Mariners Athletics Preview 01:29:24 Wrap Plays And Plugs 01:33:44 Rush Concert Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  6. 4d ago

    College Football Week 2 BEST BETS | Big Dogs

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NCAAF Michigan +5.5 Monmouth +27.5 Louisiana Tech +35.5 Charlotte +47.5 College Football Week 2 Picks (Toad’s Soul Sports): Michigan +5.5 + 3 Massive Underdogs Toad returns for College Football Week 2 after a rough start to the season, focusing on situational and market-based angles across key TV matchups and ranked games. He breaks down lines, public vs. money splits, totals, and travel/look-ahead spots, with his favorite play being Michigan as a home underdog vs Oklahoma due to a major market overreaction from Week 1. He also gives leans on multiple games (including Oregon/Oklahoma State, Penn State/Temple, Kansas State/Washington State, Duke/Illinois, Alabama/Kentucky, and Ohio State/Texas) while emphasizing low-total underdog value. His official card features four plays: Michigan +5.5, Monmouth +27.5 vs Western Michigan, Louisiana Tech +35.5 vs LSU, and Charlotte +47.5 vs Ole Miss. 00:00 Cold Open Meltdown 01:27 Week 2 Underdog Card 02:51 Oregon at Oklahoma State 05:03 ASU at Texas A&M 06:56 Best Bet Michigan 12:51 Penn State at Temple 14:24 Wazzu at Kansas State 15:59 UNC Letdown Spot 19:38 ODU at Virginia Tech 22:04 Wake Lookahead Purdue 24:02 USF at Army 26:25 App State at ECU 28:15 WKU at Georgia 29:53 Rice at Notre Dame 31:13 Alabama at Kentucky 33:19 Arizona at BYU 35:32 Utah State at Washington 37:55 Mississippi State at Minnesota 38:45 Mississippi State at Minnesota 39:44 Villanova Bad Beat Rant 40:16 UCF at Pitt Breakdown 41:47 Cal at Syracuse Travel Spot 43:39 Duke at Illinois Value 47:18 Eastern Michigan at Michigan State 49:30 Maryland at UConn Read 51:01 UTSA vs Texas State Shootout 53:12 UMass Letdown vs Sacred Heart 54:38 UNLV at North Texas Travel 56:21 Delaware at Vanderbilt Angle 57:39 Memphis at Boise Fade Spot 59:44 Buffalo at FIU Sandwich 01:02:44 Jacksonville State at Ohio Public 01:04:14 Monmouth Plus Points Play 01:07:23 Tennessee at Georgia Tech Lean 01:09:08 Bowling Green at Nebraska Huge Spread 01:10:51 Tulsa at Sam Houston Letdown 01:13:37 South Alabama at Tulane Hangover 01:16:09 San Diego State at UCLA Dog 01:17:38 Ohio State at Texas Game of Week 01:18:30 Texas Revenge Angle 01:20:26 Texas vs Ohio State Total 01:21:21 Louisiana Tech Big Dog 01:25:09 Texas Tech Travel Spot 01:27:14 Cy Hawk Line Trap 01:30:04 Clemson Bounce Back 01:31:21 FAU vs Navy Points 01:32:54 Charlotte Massive Underdog 01:37:30 Auburn Sandwich Spot 01:39:56 Air Force vs NDSU 01:42:30 Utah vs Arkansas Read 01:45:09 Late Slate Market Leans 01:51:02 Wrap Up Plays Plug #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  7. 4d ago

    Friday BEST BETS | Strange Selections | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/11/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NCAAF Villanova +37.5 MLB A's F5 +0.5 +105 Toadstool Sports Picks: A’s F5 +0.5, Villanova +36.5 (Sept 11) | MLB Slate Breakdown + CFB Friday Toad opens the Friday, Sept. 11 Toadstool Sports show reflecting on the anniversary of 9/11 and recapping a winning San Francisco cover, then breaks down a full MLB slate he largely dislikes, discussing situational angles like teams returning home from road trips, rest edges, public betting splits, and starter matchups across multiple games. He highlights leans such as Mets ML, Reds F5, and various totals but makes one official baseball pick: Athletics +0.5 in the first five vs. Seattle, citing Oakland’s rest edge, Seattle’s road issues, and George Kirby’s poor road form while avoiding the A’s bullpen. He then gives a Friday college football play outside FBS vs. FBS: Villanova +36.5 at Louisville, framing it as a sandwich spot for Louisville and a focused spot for Villanova. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro and 9/11 Note 02:03 Thursday Night Win Recap 03:09 Today’s Slate Overview 03:57 Pirates vs Cubs Breakdown 08:31 Rockies vs Tigers Breakdown 13:36 Angels vs Nationals Breakdown 19:50 Subway Series Yankees Mets 26:23 Orioles vs Blue Jays Ugly Matchup 33:12 Astros vs Rays Situational Spot 40:44 Red Sox Rant and Royals Preview 42:46 Royals Fade at Fenway 44:05 Sonny Gray Edge 47:08 Bullpen Notes and Pass 48:54 Dodgers Travel to Miami 50:46 Snell vs Gusto Breakdown 53:39 Market Read Under 7.5 54:58 NL East Showdown Setup 56:39 Nola Resurgence vs Braves 58:37 Chris Sale Dominance 01:01:12 Reds Brewers Spot 01:02:58 Abbott vs May Angles 01:05:51 Cincy First Five Lean 01:08:12 Slump Rant Reset 01:09:45 Guardians Twins Handicapping 01:15:02 White Sox Cardinals Spot 01:16:15 Kay vs Liberatore 01:19:53 Ugly Play A's First Five 01:22:26 Kirby Road Struggles 01:23:08 Kirby Road Concerns 01:24:15 Backing Springs Spot 01:25:50 A's First Five Pick 01:26:30 Rangers Dbacks Breakdown 01:28:20 Rocker vs Kelly Matchup 01:32:21 Padres Giants Under Lean 01:38:29 Villanova Plus Points 01:50:37 Rutgers at BC Angle 01:55:12 Kansas Fade Public 01:59:37 Wrap Up Plays Plug #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  8. 5d ago

    Thursday BEST BETS | Upside Down | MLB & NFL | 9/10/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NFL SF +4 Toadstool Sports: Brutal Baseball Recap, No Plays Today + 49ers vs Rams in Australia Pick Toad reviews a rough MLB betting day, highlighting a St. Louis first five win despite a late collapse, missed totals in Yankees-Rockies and a blown Cubs-Brewers play, and says he’s not putting out official baseball plays due to poor recent results. He still breaks down five matchups with leans, including Tampa Bay-Atlanta (prefers Tampa first five), Houston-Philadelphia (leans Houston as a big dog and considers the over), Texas-Seattle (leans under but notes the low 6.5 total), Rockies-Yankees (suggests first five under and avoids the huge Yankees price), and Pirates-White Sox (discusses bullpen usage and a possible first five under). He gives one official play: 49ers +4 vs Rams in Melbourne, citing San Francisco’s early time-zone adjustment, injuries, and matchup history, and briefly recaps Patriots-Seahawks injuries and trends. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:28 Yesterday’s Betting Recap 02:55 No Plays Today Rant 03:38 Rays vs Braves Breakdown 08:31 Astros vs Phillies Lean 13:16 Rangers vs Mariners Under Talk 19:17 Rockies vs Yankees Preview 25:31 Pirates vs White Sox Setup 25:46 Playoff Motivation Angle 26:40 Bullpen Usage Breakdown 27:36 Jared Jones Scouting 29:16 Hagen Smith Mystery 31:36 Betting the Total 32:57 Switch to NFL Australia 33:32 Timezone Strategy Debate 37:09 49ers Plus Points Case 42:21 Market Numbers and Total 45:50 Last Night Injury Recap 49:01 Week One Trend Notes 49:57 Weekend Show Schedule 51:07 Subscribe and Audio Plug 52:52 Final Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    515
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports