Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson

Interviews and presentations on climate and energy realism, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. 2D AGO

    Joseph Fournier: “There is not one greenhouse effect; there are two” | Tom Nelson Pod #374

    Joseph Fournier presents “part two” on how Pacific Walker circulation controls Earth’s largest greenhouse effect: cloud longwave radiative forcing. He explains cloud radiative forcing terminology, cites literature claiming cloud greenhouse warming dwarfs CO2 forcing, and shows satellite-era links between trade winds, cloud shifts during ENSO, outgoing longwave radiation, and global/tropical temperature anomalies. He contrasts absorbed solar radiation, OLR, and Earth energy imbalance, arguing global averages can be dominated by regional Pacific dynamics. He reviews multidecadal “dimming/brightening” sunshine trends in Europe, Japan and the U.S., discusses aerosols vs natural drivers, and briefly addresses future uncertainty, AMO/IPO impacts, and solar/cosmic-ray hypotheses.  00:00 Welcome Back: Joseph Fournier & Why This Is “Part Two” 02:15 Cloud Basics 101: Shortwave vs Longwave, Net Cloud Radiative Forcing 05:51 Albedo Matters: How Small Cloud Changes Rival CO₂ Forcing 08:40 Evidence in the Literature: Trendberth and Early Satellite Cloud Forcing Maps 14:28 Clouds vs CO₂ Since 2000: Step-Change in Cloudiness and OLR 16:56 Geography Over Global Averages: The Western Pacific Warm Pool Hotspot 20:12 Warm Pool Size, SST, and Real-World Impacts (Winters, ENSO Timescales) 22:48 Walker Circulation Explained: Where Deep Convection Sits in La Niña vs El Niño 25:34 Warm Pool “Thermal Capacitor”: Thermocline Slosh, Water Volume, and Cloud Shift 30:32 Sea Level Pile-Up and the Gravity-Driven Discharge During El Niño 32:36 Radiation Signatures of ENSO: DLW/OLR Links to Niño Indices 36:13 Cloud Forcing Ratios & Decadal Patterns: What El Niño Does to Warm Pool Clouds 40:34 Global Signals: OLR vs Global Air Temperature and the ENSO Lead–Lag 45:14 Trade Winds as the Control Knob: Linking Pacific Easterlies to Global OLR 47:44 Tropical temps, OLR & trade winds: Walker circulation link 48:42 Clouds as the “other knob”: absorbed shortwave (ASR) vs temperature 50:29 2023 El Niño cloud changes: low-cloud cover & shifting albedo 53:49 ASR vs OLR since 2000: the hiatus ends and the energy budget shifts 55:44 Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) vs GAT: why the correlation breaks 57:58 Seasonal cycle first: EEI swings, hemispheres, clouds & land–ocean contrast 01:00:10 Wrap-up: two greenhouse effects & a call for academics to test it 01:02:54 Sunshine hours & AMO: UK/Europe brightening over the 20th century 01:07:26 Aerosols vs clouds: modern satellite trends and the “brightening” debate 01:11:53 Global dimming/brightening goes global: Japan/China records & Pacific teleconnections 01:12:56 Natural vs human drivers: when aerosols don’t explain surface radiation 01:18:13 Forecasting the next decade: sun, AMO/IPO, cooling claims & big uncertainties 01:26:17 Closing remarks: slides, Substack, and the climate–energy–geopolitics link More information about Joseph Fournier: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/joseph-fournier/ His 2024 presentation: https://youtu.be/P2hVW0R67CY Joseph’s Substack: https://josephfournier.substack.com/ X: https://x.com/JosephF55175005 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1h 28m
  2. 6D AGO

    Jamie Andrews: “Control Studies” | Tom Nelson Pod #373

    Jamie Andrews discusses his journey from geology to virology, questioning the mechanisms and validity of virus transmission and pathogenic theories, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Drawing on historical and contemporary controlled human infection studies, Andrews suggests that viruses do not spread as traditionally believed and criticizes the reliance on PCR tests for diagnosing viral infections. He also questions the role of global institutions in shaping scientific narratives, proposing that environmental factors and industrial toxins may play a more significant role in disease than viruses. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome 00:20 Journey into Virology and 2020 Events 01:21 Geology Background and Climate Data 04:48 Skepticism and Investigations 10:28 Controlled Human Infection Models 11:25 Spanish Flu and Historical Experiments 15:42 Modern Virology and Contagion Studies 31:36 Court Cases and Legal Battles 39:01 Realizing the Potential of Independent Research 40:21 Crowdsourcing and Engaging CROs 41:16 Following Standard Laboratory Protocols 41:56 Unexpected Findings in Cell Cultures 45:22 Microscopy and Viral Morphologies 49:36 Challenges with Mainstream Virology 54:58 Genetic Sequencing and Future Research 01:02:05 Debating Historical Disease Outbreaks 01:10:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Directions https://x.com/JamieAA_Again https://substack.com/@controlstudies ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1h 11m
  3. FEB 10

    Cohler/Soon: “Rebuttal to Nikolov on global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #371

    Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction 00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless 01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance 02:26 Disagreement in Science 02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion 04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) 08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship 15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims 34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws 49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths 49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation 51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics 53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models 54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST 55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science 01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research 01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Work https://jonathancohler.com/ https://x.com/cohler DDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1I DDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1h 38m
  4. FEB 4

    Ned Nikolov: “Meaning of global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #370

    Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility. 00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview 00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature 01:24 Review of Key Papers 02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature 04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages 09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement 19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons 33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics 37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts 38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws 38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy 40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications 43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy 44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules 45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy 48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship 49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant 54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature 57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature 01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship 01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics 01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts  Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf  Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf  Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17 Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdf My tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848 https://x.com/NikolovScience ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1h 16m
  5. JAN 31

    Steve Davies: The Great Realignment | Tom Nelson Pod #369

    Steve Davies discusses the major themes of his new book ‘The Great Realignment: Why the New Right Wing Politics is Here to Stay,’ which analyzes the political upheaval since the mid-2000s. He explains how traditional left vs. right economic issues have been replaced by a new alignment based on nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, driven by deep structural changes in the global economy and political landscape. Davies also touches on topics like digital IDs, the future of climate change policies, open borders, and the impact of emerging geopolitical shifts. 00:00 Introduction to Steve Davies and His New Book 01:32 The Great Realignment: Political Upheaval Explained 03:17 The Collapse of Traditional Major Parties 04:54 The Permanent Nature of New Right Politics 05:35 Understanding Political Realignment 09:40 The Shift from Economics to Globalization vs. Cosmopolitanism 15:48 Material Causes Behind Political Changes 16:44 Impact of Global Investment and Migration 19:46 The Role of Meritocracy and Cultural Splits 21:39 Climate Change in the New Political Divide 27:09 Alternative Solutions to Global Problems 29:41 The Future of the United Nations 31:08 Global Power Shifts and the Decline of the UN 33:49 The Looming Debt Crisis 34:59 The Impact of Aging Populations on National Budgets 37:12 Potential Solutions to the Debt Problem 38:07 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Finance 40:21 Public Spending and Corruption 42:39 The Threat of Digital Dystopia 47:14 Open Borders and Immigration Policies 58:48 Final Thoughts on Future Political Landscapes https://x.com/SteveDavies365 ======== Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    59 min
4.9
out of 5
36 Ratings

About

Interviews and presentations on climate and energy realism, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

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